In April 2000, as anti-globalization protesters
prepared to descend on Washington, the World Bank’s former chief economist,
Joseph Stiglitz, published an article in the New Republic
which began:
Next week’s meeting of the International Monetary Fund will
bring to Washington, DC many of the same demonstrators who trashed the
World Trade Organization in Seattle last fall. They’ll say
the IMF is arrogant. They’ll say the IMF is secretive and insulated
from democratic accountability. They’ll say the IMF’s economic
‘remedies’ often make things worse—turning slowdowns into recessions and
recessions into depressions. And they’ll have a point. I was chief economist
at the World Bank from 1996 until last November, during the gravest global
economic crisis in a half-century. I saw how the IMF, in tandem with the US
Treasury Department, responded. And I was appalled.footnote1
Stiglitz went on to detail his criticisms of the IMF’s
handling of the 1997–98 East Asian crisis. He pointed out that the countries
of the region had liberalized their financial and capital markets in the early
1990s not because they needed to attract more funds (savings rates were already
30 per cent or more) but under international pressure—particularly from the
US Treasury. In Thailand, the flood of short-term capital—‘the kind that
looks for the highest return in the next day, week or month, as opposed to
long-term investment in things like factories’—helped fuel an unsustainable
real-estate boom; in 1997, when the hot money flowed out again, the bubble
burst. The baht collapsed, the stock-market plunged. Japanese banks and other
investors pulled out, not just from Thailand but from other regional economies,
too. In doing so, they precipitated a far worse crisis. The IMF’s response
was to impose the same tight fiscal
monetary
policies on Thailand as they had on Latin America in the 1980s,
‘delivering the same medicine to each ailing nation that showed up on its
doorstep’.
As the World Bank’s chief economist, Stiglitz began
lobbying for change. He argued that the East Asian countries were already
running budgetary surpluses—actually starving the economy of much-needed
investment in education and infrastructure (both essential to economic growth).
The IMF’s austerity policies were only making the situation worse. High
interest rates were devastating debt-laden local firms, leading to a rash of
bankruptcies. Cuts in government expenditure were only shrinking the economy
further. When he made these points at a Kuala Lumpur meeting of finance
ministers and central bank governors in late 1997, the Fund’s Managing
Director Michel Camdessus replied that East Asia simply had to grit it out. As
unemployment increased tenfold and real wages plummeted, the Fund demanded that
the Indonesian government cut food and fuel subsidies. Cynical political
interests stoked the ensuing violence. The social fabric was unravelling
anyway, but IMF policies made the disintegration worse.
Stiglitz had no doubts as to where these policies were coming
from. Building free capital markets into the basic architecture of the world
economy had long been, in the words of the US Treasury’s (then) Deputy
Secretary Lawrence Summers, ‘our most crucial international
priority’.footnote2 ‘To what extent’, Stiglitz asked,
‘did the IMF and the Treasury Department push policies that actually
contributed to the increased global economic volatility?’ And ‘did
America—and the IMF—push policies because we, or they, believed the
policies would help East Asia, or because we believed they would benefit
financial interests in the United States and the advanced
industrialist world?’
A central aim of US economic policy since the Second
World War has been the worldwide acceptance of free-market
ideology—the belief that the free flow of goods, services and capital is to
the mutual benefit of all; that corporations should be managed for the
maximization of shareholder-value; that stock-markets should be used for buying
and selling corporate control; and that governments should intervene only in
cases of obvious market failure. If the US can persuade powerful segments of
national elites to embrace these goals for themselves, it can achieve its
foreign economic policy objectives far more cheaply and effectively than
through either negotiations or coercion. Once national elites accept the idea
of the mutualbenefits of free trade and free capital movements, they can
dismiss critics of the free market as defenders of special interests, at the
expense of the general good. During the Cold War, the goal of opening the
world’s markets had to be balanced against that of containing communism.
Since 1991, in the words of US National Security Advisor Anthony Lake,
the successor to a doctrine of containment must be a
strategy of enlargement, enlargement of the world’s free community
of market democracies. During the Cold War, even children understood
America’s security mission: as they looked at those maps on their schoolroom
walls, they knew we were trying to contain the creeping expansion of that big,
red blob. Today . . . we might visualize our security mission as promoting the
enlargement of the ‘blue areas’ of market democracies.footnote3