Aston Villa v Burnley: Key stats and talking pointspublished at 12:50 BST 4 October
Noel Sliney
BBC Sport senior journalist
The original team in claret and blue host a side with whom they have more than club colours in common so far this season. BBC Sport delves into the issues facing both teams before Sunday's meeting.
While promoted Burnley's place in the bottom three is no great surprise and can be mitigated by the fact their four defeats have all come against heavyweight opponents with vast resources, Aston Villa's slow start was not widely predicted.
Data analysts Opta calculated that Villa had the easiest opening five fixtures in the division - yet their first win didn't come until the sixth attempt, at home to an obliging Fulham last Sunday. An improved performance in that game, sandwiched between Europa League victories against Bologna and Feyenoord, suggests Villa are starting to snap out of their torpor.
Nonetheless, their attacking shortcomings are clear. Burnley copied Villa's club colours in 1910 and are mirroring the same issues as the Birmingham side on the pitch so far this season.
These are the two sides with the lowest expected goals (xG) tallies in the Premier League this season. Burnley's xG, a measure of how many goals a team is expected to score based on the quality of their chances, is 4.53. They have actually outperformed that, scoring six goals, but have had the joint fewest shots and shots on target in the division.
Villa have underperformed their xG by near-enough one goal in the league. More tellingly, they have only had a single shot which had more than a 50% probability of ending in the back of the net. It is not just Villa's forwards to blame either - their strangely passive build-up play in many games means they take 63.2 touches between shots on average, more than any other side.
Burnley manager Scott Parker admitted "our egos are dented" as a result of last weekend's 5-1 defeat by Manchester City, though he was "immensely proud" of his side's performance until the hour mark, when they were still level.
Nonetheless, the Clarets have lost all three away games this season, conceding 11 goals. They only let in eight goals in 23 Championship away fixtures in 2024-25.
Earning their first away points on Sunday will be a huge challenge, notwithstanding Villa's fragile confidence. Unai Emery's side have only lost once at home in the Premier League since the start of September last year – a record only Liverpool can match - and have the fourth highest points tally at home during that period.