Fig. 1

Response distributions for the reported percent chance of (a) getting infected in the next three months; (b) getting hospitalized if infected; (c) dying if infected and (d) running out of money in the next three months. Note: Except for those at the end points, the categories of reported percent chance were created such that the midpoint reflected a response ending in 0 or 5, which tend to be relatively more frequent (Bruine de Bruin and Carman 2018). The relatively excessive use of 50% responses tends to occur across probability questions and may partially reflect participants being unsure what to answer (Fischhoff and Bruine de Bruin 1999; Bruine de Bruin and Carman 2012)