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🟩 US attacks Venezuela and captures Maduro, threatens Iran, Mexico, Colombia and Denmark || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #1/2026

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🟩 Forecasts for drone attacks and AI time horizons; China holds military drills around Taiwan and imposes sanctions on US arms…
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge
🟩 AI unemployment and IPOs in 2026, EU funds Ukraine from its own pockets, US seizes Chinese-owned tanker || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge
🟩 EU freezes Russian assets, US and Iran seize oil tankers, Trump restricts AI regulation || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #50/2025
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge
🟩 US signals diminished role in NATO, Russia-Ukraine talks falter, Hassett likely to become next Fed chair || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge
🟩 Airspace closed over Venezuela, Russia-Ukraine talks continue, DeepSeek reaches gold IMO level || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #48/2025
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge
🟩 Ukraine peace plan, US continues activity around Venezuela, state AI regulation moratorium round 2 || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge
🟩 Rising China-Japan tensions, Iran seizes oil tanker, AI-directed cyberattacks disrupted || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #46/2025
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge
🟩 Iran drought warning, rebels agree to Sudan ceasefire, Trump tariffs threatened || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #45/2025
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge
🟦 Trump threatens to send troops to Nigeria and denies Venezuela attack plans, China-US trade détente || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…
Iran is carrying out more construction in and around a mountainous nuclear site. The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) have captured the city of el-Fasher in…
 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge
🟩 Aircraft carrier ordered near Venezuela, chance of Trump 3rd term, bird flu spreading with fall migration || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, Tolga Bilge, and belikewater
🟩 CIA authorized to operate in Venezuela, Trump walks back China tariff threat, Budapest to host US-Russia meeting on Ukraine || Global…
90% (86% to 92%) chance that former US National Security Advisor John Bolton will be convicted.
 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge
🟢 Gaza ceasefire agreed, Trump threatens 100% tariffs on China, OpenAI subpoena controversy || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #41/2025.
Executive summary
 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge
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