diff --git a/site/src/modules/dashboard/Navbar/UserDropdown/UserDropdown.stories.tsx b/site/src/modules/dashboard/Navbar/UserDropdown/UserDropdown.stories.tsx
index 6260b96dc7157..ff48b732541e8 100644
--- a/site/src/modules/dashboard/Navbar/UserDropdown/UserDropdown.stories.tsx
+++ b/site/src/modules/dashboard/Navbar/UserDropdown/UserDropdown.stories.tsx
@@ -73,7 +73,7 @@ export const WithAISpend: Story = {
 			await waitFor(() =>
 				expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("$819 / $1,200 USD"),
 			);
-			expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("(AI spend/month)");
+			expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("(Estimated AI spend/month)");
 			expect(
 				screen.getByRole("progressbar", { name: "AI spend usage" }),
 			).toHaveAttribute("aria-valuenow", "68");
@@ -97,7 +97,7 @@ export const AISpendWarning: Story = {
 			await waitFor(() =>
 				expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("$1,080 / $1,200 USD"),
 			);
-			expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("(AI spend/month)");
+			expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("(Estimated AI spend/month)");
 			expect(
 				screen.getByRole("progressbar", { name: "AI spend usage" }),
 			).toHaveAttribute("aria-valuenow", "90");
@@ -144,7 +144,7 @@ export const AISpendExceeded: Story = {
 			await waitFor(() =>
 				expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("$1,500 / $1,200 USD"),
 			);
-			expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("(AI spend/month)");
+			expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("(Estimated AI spend/month)");
 			expect(
 				screen.getByRole("progressbar", { name: "AI spend usage" }),
 			).toHaveAttribute("aria-valuenow", "100");
@@ -165,7 +165,7 @@ export const AISpendUnlimited: Story = {
 			await waitFor(() =>
 				expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("$819 / Unlimited USD"),
 			);
-			expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("(AI spend/month)");
+			expect(document.body).toHaveTextContent("(Estimated AI spend/month)");
 			expect(
 				screen.queryByRole("progressbar", { name: "AI spend usage" }),
 			).not.toBeInTheDocument();
@@ -272,7 +272,7 @@ export const AISpendHiddenOnInvalidData: Story = {
 	play: async ({ canvasElement, step }) => {
 		await step("hides AI spend on invalid data", async () => {
 			await openDropdown(canvasElement);
-			expect(screen.queryByText("(AI spend/month)")).not.toBeInTheDocument();
+			expect(screen.queryByText(/spend\/month/)).not.toBeInTheDocument();
 		});
 	},
 };
@@ -293,7 +293,7 @@ export const AISpendHiddenOnNegativeLimit: Story = {
 	play: async ({ canvasElement, step }) => {
 		await step("hides AI spend on a negative limit", async () => {
 			await openDropdown(canvasElement);
-			expect(screen.queryByText("(AI spend/month)")).not.toBeInTheDocument();
+			expect(screen.queryByText(/spend\/month/)).not.toBeInTheDocument();
 		});
 	},
 };
diff --git a/site/src/modules/dashboard/Navbar/UserDropdown/UserDropdownAISpend.tsx b/site/src/modules/dashboard/Navbar/UserDropdown/UserDropdownAISpend.tsx
index 2cff36afa4519..17e9816b7bcab 100644
--- a/site/src/modules/dashboard/Navbar/UserDropdown/UserDropdownAISpend.tsx
+++ b/site/src/modules/dashboard/Navbar/UserDropdown/UserDropdownAISpend.tsx
@@ -31,7 +31,7 @@ export const UserDropdownAISpend: FC<UserDropdownAISpendProps> = ({
 				/>
 			)}
 			<div className="mt-1 text-xs text-content-secondary">
-				(AI spend/month)
+				(Estimated AI spend/month)
 			</div>
 		</div>
 	);
diff --git a/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/AICostControl.tsx b/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/AICostControl.tsx
new file mode 100644
index 0000000000000..31f43623ae447
--- /dev/null
+++ b/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/AICostControl.tsx
@@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
+import type { FC } from "react";
+import { Link } from "#/components/Link/Link";
+import { docs } from "#/utils/docs";
+
+export const SpendEstimateDocsLink: FC = () => (
+	<Link
+		href={docs("/ai-coder/ai-gateway/cost-controls#how-spend-is-estimated")}
+		target="_blank"
+		rel="noreferrer"
+	>
+		How spend is estimated
+	</Link>
+);
diff --git a/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupMembersPage.tsx b/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupMembersPage.tsx
index 953a87c7cd64e..fa8c1d7808b53 100644
--- a/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupMembersPage.tsx
+++ b/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupMembersPage.tsx
@@ -52,6 +52,7 @@ import { useFeatureVisibility } from "#/modules/dashboard/useFeatureVisibility";
 import { isEveryoneGroup } from "#/modules/groups";
 import { cn } from "#/utils/cn";
 import { formatBudgetUSD } from "#/utils/currency";
+import { SpendEstimateDocsLink } from "./AICostControl";
 import {
 	effectiveBudgetGroup,
 	GroupMemberBudgetCells,
@@ -112,7 +113,7 @@ const GroupMembersPage: FC = () => {
 		}),
 	);
 	const aiBudgetNote = [
-		"Monthly AI spend for this user.",
+		"Estimated monthly AI spend for this user.",
 		// Spend resets at period_end, rendered in the viewer's local time.
 		aiSpend &&
 			`Resets ${dayjs(aiSpend.period_end).format("MMM D, YYYY h:mm A")}.`,
@@ -173,7 +174,13 @@ const GroupMembersPage: FC = () => {
 													message="AI spend couldn't be loaded, so budgets aren't shown."
 												/>
 											) : (
-												<StatusIconTooltip message={aiBudgetNote} />
+												<StatusIconTooltip
+													message={
+														<>
+															{aiBudgetNote} <SpendEstimateDocsLink />
+														</>
+													}
+												/>
 											)}
 										</div>
 									</TableHead>
diff --git a/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupPage.stories.tsx b/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupPage.stories.tsx
index 2a42dd04b1676..c8a5e62231ca8 100644
--- a/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupPage.stories.tsx
+++ b/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupPage.stories.tsx
@@ -365,7 +365,7 @@ export const WithMemberAIBudget: Story = {
 		);
 		await expect(
 			await body.findByText(
-				/^Monthly AI spend for this user\. Resets .*The group's default limit is \$7,000 per member\.$/,
+				/^Estimated monthly AI spend for this user\. Resets .*The group's default limit is \$7,000 per member\.$/,
 			),
 		).toBeInTheDocument();
 		await userEvent.click(
@@ -434,7 +434,9 @@ export const AIBudgetActionDisabledForOtherGroup: Story = {
 			}),
 		);
 		await expect(
-			await body.findByText(/^Monthly AI spend for this user\. Resets .*\.$/),
+			await body.findByText(
+				/^Estimated monthly AI spend for this user\. Resets .*\.$/,
+			),
 		).toBeInTheDocument();
 		await userEvent.keyboard("{Escape}");
 
diff --git a/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupsPageView.tsx b/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupsPageView.tsx
index f7ed9fffd1dc2..79e44597904ff 100644
--- a/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupsPageView.tsx
+++ b/site/src/pages/GroupsPage/GroupsPageView.tsx
@@ -25,6 +25,7 @@ import {
 } from "#/components/TableLoader/TableLoader";
 import { useClickableTableRow } from "#/hooks/useClickableTableRow";
 import { docs } from "#/utils/docs";
+import { SpendEstimateDocsLink } from "./AICostControl";
 import { StatusIconTooltip } from "./StatusIconTooltip";
 
 const EM_DASH = "\u2014";
@@ -94,7 +95,14 @@ export const GroupsPageView: FC<GroupsPageViewProps> = ({
 										message="AI spend couldn't be loaded, so budgets aren't shown."
 									/>
 								) : (
-									<StatusIconTooltip message="Current AI spend compared to the group's AI budget for the active period." />
+									<StatusIconTooltip
+										message={
+											<>
+												Estimated AI spend compared to the group's AI budget for
+												the active period. <SpendEstimateDocsLink />
+											</>
+										}
+									/>
 								)}
 							</div>
 						</TableHead>