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Futura Doctrina

Futura Doctrina

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Justice Mission 2025 is a Golden Opportunity to Learn about PLA Joint Planning and Capabilities
A special assessment of China's Exercise Justice Mission 2025, what China designed it to achieve, and how we can learn from it.
 • Mick Ryan
The Mar-A-Lago Summit: Quick Assessment
According the Trump, "we made a lot of progress on ending that war." But war is a complex human endeavour which generally resists quick, simple…
 • Mick Ryan
Leadership Failure in Oz, Putin Rebuffs Peace, the NDAA & the Pacific, Japan & Nukes: The Big Five, 22 December edition
My long update on war and great power competition. This week: Jewish Australians massacred, Putin wants to keep fighting, Japan's resilience, NDAA and…
 • Mick Ryan
Failing to Imagine War and Tragedy in the Pacific
Failure in war, how fiction can help build a better understanding of military failure and strategic tragedy, and a preview of the sequel to my 2023…
 • Mick Ryan
Mr Zelenskyy Goes to Kupiansk. Putin Huddles in Moscow. Chinese Carrier Off Japan. The Big Five, 14 December edition.
My regular update on war and strategic competition. This week: Putin's Kupiansk lie, Ukrainian forces advance, the Chinese carrier strike group off…
 • Mick Ryan
The Futura Doctrina 2025 Reading List
My annual reading list that contains a range of resources (not just books) from the classics of antiquity through to speculation about future conflict.
 • Mick Ryan
She’ll Be Right, Mate: The New U.S. National Security Strategy and the Pacific
An examination of the new Trump administration National Security Strategy and the implications for security and prosperity in the Pacific.
 • Mick Ryan
Ukraine's 2025 Strategic Endeavours
A comprehensive assessment of the seven key strategic endeavours that made up Ukraine's national war fighting effort in 2025, and whether the…
 • Mick Ryan

November 2025

Peace Negotiations Stumble On, Putin Lays Down a Marker, and the Fall of Yermak: The Big Five, 30 November edition
My regular update on war and strategic competition, with a focus on Putin's presser, the fall of Yermak and China's military and diplomatic aggression…
 • Mick Ryan
A Transforming World Order
An exploration of the implications for the Pacific region of the past few days of the latest Ukraine peace process.
 • Mick Ryan
The Putin-Trump Pact is Afghanistan All Over Again, But With Much Worse Outcomes. The Big Five, 23 November edition
My regular update on war and strategic competition, with a focus on Trump and Putin's 28-point capitulation document imposed on Ukraine, as well as my…
 • Mick Ryan
Can Russia Win in Ukraine on its Current Trajectory: Assessing Russia’s 2025 War Effort
A comprehensive assessment of Russia's 2025 war against Ukraine, how it might measure its strategic success or failure, and what this means for the…
 • Mick Ryan
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