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Thinking Middle East

Thinking Middle East

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A Tectonic Shift in the Middle East
 • Paul Salem
Two Years After October 7:
 • Paul Salem
First Take on a New Era in the Middle East
 • Paul Salem
Assessing Trump’s record and potential impact in the Middle East
 • Paul Salem
Strategic scenarios after the Israeli strike on Iran
 • Paul Salem
Baghdad revisited: Iraq balances on a tightrope
 • Paul Salem
Two Years After October 7:
A Region Between Disorder and Transition
 • Paul Salem
Inflection Point or Continuing Spiral in the Middle East?
Military victories have redrawn the power map, but will they be translated into political settlements, or squandered in open-ended wars?
 • Paul Salem
What Comes Next for Iran, Israel, and the Region: A Quick Update
As I wrote a few days ago, the most likely scenario has come to pass: a “performative limited retaliation by Iran, as they did after the killing of…
 • Paul Salem
The Israel-Iran war: Scenarios for the days — and years — ahead
(This article was published by the Middle East Institute)
 • Paul Salem
Strategic scenarios after the Israeli strike on Iran
(This article was published by the Middle East Institute.)
 • Paul Salem
The long-term challenges of reconstruction in the Middle East
Reconstruction will require ending wars first and will take decades not years. It cannot rely solely on grants, but must create investable conditions.
 • Paul Salem
How Trump's Gulf visit could transform the Middle East
This article was published in The National.
 • Paul Salem
Thinking Middle East
Thinking Middle East
A substack by Paul Salem
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Thinking Middle East

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