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This is Thinking Middle East.
A Substack by Paul Salem, Vice President for International Engagement at the Middle East Institute.
May 30, 2023
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Paul Salem
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Levant Rising
Will 2026 see the revival of Syria and Lebanon?
Dec 22, 2025
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Paul Salem
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The region in suspended resolution
Awaiting two strategic rethinks, in Israel and Iran
Dec 19, 2025
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Paul Salem
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A Tectonic Shift in the Middle East
Oct 1, 2024
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Paul Salem
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Two Years After October 7:
Oct 7, 2025
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Paul Salem
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First Take on a New Era in the Middle East
Apr 14, 2024
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Paul Salem
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Assessing Trump’s record and potential impact in the Middle East
May 13, 2025
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Paul Salem
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Strategic scenarios after the Israeli strike on Iran
Jun 13, 2025
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Paul Salem
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Baghdad revisited: Iraq balances on a tightrope
Mar 19, 2025
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Paul Salem
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Two Years After October 7:
A Region Between Disorder and Transition
Oct 7, 2025
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Paul Salem
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Inflection Point or Continuing Spiral in the Middle East?
Military victories have redrawn the power map, but will they be translated into political settlements, or squandered in open-ended wars?
Jul 30, 2025
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Paul Salem
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What Comes Next for Iran, Israel, and the Region: A Quick Update
As I wrote a few days ago, the most likely scenario has come to pass: a “performative limited retaliation by Iran, as they did after the killing of…
Jun 24, 2025
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Paul Salem
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The Israel-Iran war: Scenarios for the days — and years — ahead
(This article was published by the Middle East Institute)
Jun 19, 2025
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Paul Salem
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Strategic scenarios after the Israeli strike on Iran
(This article was published by the Middle East Institute.)
Jun 13, 2025
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Paul Salem
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The long-term challenges of reconstruction in the Middle East
Reconstruction will require ending wars first and will take decades not years. It cannot rely solely on grants, but must create investable conditions.
May 26, 2025
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How Trump's Gulf visit could transform the Middle East
This article was published in The National.
May 17, 2025
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Thinking Middle East
A substack by Paul Salem
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