MF2024 Robust and probabilistic design (6 cr)
Course-PM
Autumn 2011
Version 2011-09-15 Course webpage: http://www.kth.se/itm/inst/mmk/edu/inst_kurser/md/MF2024/ Course e-mail:: [email protected]
Department of Machine Design School of industrial engineering and management Royal Institute of Technology SE-100 44 STOCKHOLM
Department of Machine Design School of Industrial Engineering and Management Royal Institute of Technology, KTH
MF2024 Robust and probabilistic design HT2011 version 2011-09-15
Background
Probabilistic design is an engineering design methodology with the aim to produce highquality products, by systematically studying the effects of variations in the design parameters on product performance. Robust design is a methodology for optimising this quality by making the performance of the product insensitive to variations in the manufacturing, material, operational, and environmental properties
Aim
Probabilistic design is an engineering design methodology with the aim to produce highquality products, by systematically studying the effects of variations in the design parameters on product performance. Robust design is a methodology for optimising this quality by making the performance of the product insensitive to variations in the manufacturing, material, operational, and environmental properties. A student that has completed the course shall be able to: describe the characteristic properies of various design characteristics in statistical terms, assess the confidence interval of the assessed reliability of a technical system, find the type of probability distribution for a given set of data, describe the purpose for, the methodology of, and the output from Design of Experiments, define a testplan for a set of physical and numerical experiments, describe the purpose and steps for performing a Monte-Carlo simulation. use Monte Carlo simulations to analyse how the uncertainties in a models input variables affects the results from the model; describe the purpose of Robust design and how it relates to optimization approaches, use the Robust design methodology to minimize the sensitivity of a technical response parameter to variations in a set of component design parameters, use the Robust design methodology to minimize the sensitivity of a technical response parameter to variations i a set of technical interaction parameters, use the Robust design methodology to minimize the sensitivity of an interactive response parameter to variations in a set of ergonomic parameters,
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Department of Machine Design School of Industrial Engineering and Management Royal Institute of Technology, KTH
MF2024 Robust and probabilistic design HT2011 version 2011-09-15
Main content
Engineering statistics; distributions, Normal, exponetial, Weibull, confidence intervals Design of experiments: physical and simulation experiments, suspended or censured tests Probabilistic design; Monte-Carlo simulation of performance variations caused by variations in design (manufacturing tolerances, material properies, geometric configuration), user (anthropometric data), and environmental parameters (humidity, electromagnetic fields, temperature, dust) Robust design; minimizing performance variation due to variation in design parameters, human properties and environmental conditions Twelve lectures (13 x 2 hours) Four exercises (4 x 2 hours) Two group assignments Two individual assignments
A written examination
Examination and grading
Passed exercises and individual assignments, 3.0 credits, grade scale: pass/fail. Written examination, 3.0 credits, grade scale: A, B, C, D, E, FX, F Each individual assignment gives 0-20 points, with a minimum of 10 points required for pass.The written exam gives 0-40 points, with a minimum of 15 points required for pass. Final grading, which is reported as the written examination, is based on the sum of the points for the individual assignments and the written examination.
Course literature
1 Box, Hunter, Hunter, Statistics for experimenters, 2nd ed. Wiley, Swedish translation availble
Course teachers
Ulf Olofsson (course coordinator) Phone: +46 - (0)8 - 7906304 E-mail: [email protected] Ulf Sellgren Phone: +46 - (0)8 - 7907387 E-mail: [email protected]
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Department of Machine Design School of Industrial Engineering and Management Royal Institute of Technology, KTH
MF2024 Robust and probabilistic design HT2011 version 2011-09-15
Scheme, Autumn 2011
Period 2 V43 Monday 24 October Thursday.27 October V44 Monday 31 October Time 10-12 10-12 10-12 Location M35 Glader M35 Lecture (L)/ Excercise (E)/ Seminar (S)/ Project (P) L1: Introduction to Robust and probabilistic design (UO) Engineering statistics (snap fastener, paper clip) (chapt 2) E1: Statistical analysis (UO) L2: Probabilistic design: Variation and scatter, margin of safety, worst-case design, Monte Carlo simulations (UO) Introduction to assignment 1 L3a: Screw tightening exercise(UO) L3b: Screw tightening exercise (UO) L4: Supervision (assignment 1) (UO) L5: Comparing two entities (chapt 3) Anova (J) L6: Anova + least squares (chapt 4 + 10) (J) L7: Anova + least squares (chapt 4 +10) (J) L8: Factorial design (chapt 5) (J) Hand-in of assignment 1 E3: Anova Exercise (J) L9: Reduced factorial design (chapt 6) (J) E4: Factorial design excersise (J) L10: Robust design: method, signal/noise (chapt 13) (UO) Introduction to assignment 2
Thursday 3 November V45 Monday 7 November Thursday 10 November V46 Monday 14 November Thursday 17 November Friday 18 November Friday 18 November Friday 18 November
8-10 10-12 10-12 15-17 13-15 10-12 13-15 23:59
MD Lab MD Lab Q15 M35 M3?? M32 M32
V47 Monday 21 November 15-17 Tuesday 22 November 10-12 Wednesday 23 November 8-10 Thursday 24 November 13-15
M35 M32 M35 M36
V48 Monday 28 November Thursday 1 December Friday 2 December V49 Tuesday 6 December Thursday 8 December V50 Wednesday 13 December
10-12 10-12 23:59 10-12 13-15 14-18
L11: Supervision (assignment 2) : (UO) L12: Robust design: human properties and environmental conditions (US) Hand-in of assignment 2 Glader E4: Human-machine interaction exercise (US) M32 L13: Course assignments feed-back and conclusions seminar (UO, US) M31/M32 Written examination
M35 M32
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