Macabacus Complex M&A Model
Ryan MacGregor
www.macabacus.com [email protected] 2014 Macabacus, LLC Built with Macabacus Macros
DISCLAIMER
LIMITATION OF WARRANTIES OF MACABACUS
LIMITATION OF LIABILITY OF MACABACUS
Built with Macabacus Macros.
Macabacus Complex M&A Model
Ryan MacGregor
www.macabacus.com
[email protected] 2014 Macabacus, LLC Built with Macabacus Macros
DISCLAIMER
This model presents a hypothetical M&A transaction between two hypothetical companies. Any similarity between the financial metrics of these companies and actual companies is purely coincidental. Macabacus does not provide investment, accounting, or tax advice.
LIMITATION OF WARRANTIES OF MACABACUS
EXCEPT AS OTHERWISE EXPRESSLY STATED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO IN A LICENSE OR OTHER AGREEMENT GOVERNING THE USE OF SPECIFIC CONTENT, ALL CONTENT IN THIS MODEL IS PROVIDED "AS IS," AND MACABACUS MAKES NO REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, TITLE OR NON-INFRINGEMENT OF PROPRIETARY RIGHTS. WITHOUT LIMITING THE FOREGOING, MACABACUS MAKES NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY THAT CONTENT IN THIS MODEL IS FREE FROM ERROR OR SUITABLE FOR ANY PURPOSE; NOR THAT THE USE OF SUCH CONTENT WILL NOT INFRINGE ANY THIRD PARTY COPYRIGHTS, TRADEMARKS OR OTHER INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS. YOU UNDERSTAND AND AGREE THAT YOU DOWNLOAD OR OTHERWISE OBTAIN CONTENT THROUGH MACABACUS' WEBSITES AT YOUR OWN DISCRETION AND RISK, AND THAT MACABACUS WILL HAVE NO LIABILITY OR RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY DAMAGE TO YOUR COMPUTER SYSTEM OR DATA THAT RESULTS FROM THE DOWNLOAD OR USE OF SUCH CONTENT. SOME JURISDICTIONS MAY NOT ALLOW THE EXCLUSION OF IMPLIED WARRANTIES, SO SOME OF THE ABOVE LIMITATIONS MAY NOT APPLY TO
LIMITATION OF LIABILITY OF MACABACUS
EXCEPT AS OTHERWISE EXPRESSLY STATED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO IN A LICENSE OR OTHER AGREEMENT GOVERNING THE USE OF SPECIFIC CONTENT, IN NO EVENT WILL MACABACUS BE LIABLE TO YOU OR ANY OTHER PARTY FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, CONSEQUENTIAL OR EXEMPLARY DAMAGES, REGARDLESS OF THE BASIS OR NATURE OF THE CLAIM, RESULTING FROM ANY USE OF THIS MODEL, OR THE CONTENTS THEREOF, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION ANY LOST PROFITS, BUSINESS INTERRUPTION, LOSS OF DATA OR OTHERWISE, EVEN IF MACABACUS WAS EXPRESSLY ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES. SOME JURISDICTIONS MAY NOT ALLOW THE EXCLUSION OR LIMITATION OF LIABILITY FOR CERTAIN INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES, SO SOME OF THE ABOVE LIMITATIONS
Built with Macabacus Macros.
Inputs
SCENARIO SELECTOR
9
Active Scenario Contemplated Scenarios 5 25.0% 50.0%
1 20.0% 50.0%
2 25.0% 50.0%
3 30.0% 50.0%
6 25.0% 100.0%
7 25.0% 50.0%
8 25.0% 50.0%
9 25.0% 50.0%
Purchase price & consideration Offer premium to market Cash consideration (%) Synergies Annual revenue syergies COGS savings SG&A savings Acquisition financing Senior credit facility 3 Subordinated note 3 Convertible bond 3 Preferred stock 3 Common stock issuance Optional revolver pay-down? Retire existing TargetCo debt close? Senior credit facility 2 Subordinated note 2 Convertible bond 2 Preferred stock 2 Convert convertible bonds at close if ITM? Convert convertible preferreds at close if ITM? Roll over TargetCo options (0=liquidate, 1=roll over)?
25.0% 50.0%
25.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$10.0 5.0% 20.0%
$75.0 $125.0 $75.0 Yes
No
No
No
No
No
No
$75.0 Yes
$75.0 $125.0 Yes
$75.0 $125.0 $75.0 Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No
No No No No No No No
No No No No No No No
No No No No No No No
No No No No No No No
No No No No No No No
No No No No No No No
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No
General Assumptions Acquirer name Target name Current BuyerCo stock price Current TargetCo stock price Transaction close date Model currency Currency symbol Deal Structure Stock purchase (0=asset, 1=stock)? Section 338 election? Carryover tax basis? Tax Assumptions BuyerCo tax rate IRS long-term tax-exempt rate Miscellaneous Transaction costs expensed at close Minimum pro forma cash balance Average interest? $30.0 $1,400.0 No 35.0% 2.83% Yes No Yes BuyerCo TargetCo $31.71 $9.16 6/30/13 USD $
Revenue Synergies & Cost Savings Realization Revenue synergies realization first 12 months after close Revenue synergies realization second 12 months after close COGS savings realization first 12 months after close COGS savings realization second 12 months after close SG&A savings realization first 12 months after close SG&A savings realization second 12 months after close Restructuring Charges Total restructuring charge (pre-tax) Restructuring costs realization at close Restructuring costs realization first 12 months after close Restructuring costs realization second 12 months after close Third Party Financing Debt issuance fee Preferred equity issuance fee Common equity issuance fee Common equity issuance discount Pro Forma Depreciation & Amortization Depreciation period for fixed asset write-ups (yrs) book Depreciation period for fixed asset write-ups (yrs) tax Amortization period for identifiable intangible write-ups (yrs) book Amortization period for identifiable intangible write-ups (yrs) tax Amortization period for goodwill created in deal (yrs) tax 7.0 9.0 5.0 15.0 15.0 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 4.00% $200.0 25.0% 50.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100.0% 50.0% 100.0% 50.0% 100.0%
Page 3 of 8
Close
Transaction Closing Calculations
($ and shares in millions, except per share amounts)
Purchase Price Current TargetCo stock price Offer premium to market Offer price per share ( / ) Current BuyerCo stock price Exchange ratio Roll over TargetCo options? TargetCo basic shares outstanding (BSO) ( + ) In-the-money TargetCo options liquidated ( + ) TargetCo convertible shares converted TargetCo fully diluted shares outstanding (FDSO) ( x ) Offer price per TargetCo share Equity purchase price ( ) Proceeds from liquidation of TargetCo options ( + ) Fair value of TargetCo options rolled over Purchase price ( + ) Non-convertible debt & preferred stock ( + ) Convertible debt & preferred stock ( + ) Capital leases ( + ) Noncontrolling interests ( ) Equity investments ( ) Cash & cash equivalents Enterprise value Valuation Multiples 2013 Revenue multiple 2014 Revenue multiple 2013 EBITDA multiple 2014 EBITDA multiple 2013 EBIT multiple 2014 EBIT multiple 2013 P / E multiple 2014 P / E multiple Market 0.83x 0.82x 3.06x 3.07x 4.29x 4.32x 8.03x 8.06x
$9.16 25.0% $11.45 31.71 0.3611x No 35.340 0.522 35.862 $11.45 $410.6 (4.9) 405.8 45.5 194.5 (187.3) $458.5
Sources & Uses Sources Cash BuyerCo common stock Proceeds from liquidation of TargetCo options BuyerCo rollover options BuyerCo revolver draw-down Third party financing Total sources Uses Cash consideration Stock consideration Equity purchase price BuyerCo rollover options TargetCo revolver pay-off Senior credit facility 2 retired Subordinated note 2 retired Convertible bond 2 retired Preferred stock 2 retired Total TargetCo debt & preferred retired BuyerCo revolver pay-down Prepayment penalties Financing fees Transaction costs expensed at close Restructuring charge at close Total uses Cash Schedule Cash available BuyerCo existing cash TargetCo existing cash ( + ) New sources of cash ( ) Minimum pro forma cash balance Total cash available Cash needed Cash consideration TargetCo debt & preferred retired Restructuring charge at close Prepayment penalties Financing fees Advisory fees Cash needed before revolver pay-down Optional pay-down of BuyerCo revolver Total cash used
$21.7 205.3 4.9 236.8 275.0 $743.7
Section 382 Limitation Purchase price ( x ) IRS long-term tax-exempt rate Annual Section 382 NOL deduction limitation ( x ) Tax rate (A) Max. annual DTA utilization under Section 382 ( x ) Max. NOL carry-forward period (yrs) (B) Realizable tax benefit under Section 382 (C) Target's existing DTA attributable to NOLs (D) Total DTA subject to Section 382 (min. of C and B)
$405.8 2.83% $11.5 35.0% $4.0 14.5 $58.3 $12.2 12.2
$205.3 205.3 410.6 45.5 194.5 240.0 4.8 8.3 30.0 50.0 $743.7
Transaction DTA / DTL DTL from write-up/down of assets/liabilities Write off DTL related to purch. accnt. intangibles Transaction DTL DTA from write-down/up of assets/liabilities Write down DTA attributable to NOL (Section 382) Transaction DTA Purchase Price Allocation Purchase price ( + ) FV of noncontrolling interests ( ) Book value Excess purchase price to allocate Write off existing goodwill Write off purch. accounting-related intangibles Fair value adjustments Transaction DTL Transaction DTA ( ) Book value adjustments Excess purchase price after allocation ( + ) Bargain purchase gain Goodwill created Restructuring Charge at Close Total restructuring charge (pre-tax) ( x ) Restructuring charge realized at close Restructuring charge at close (pre-tax) Model Checks Sources equal uses of funds Cash used does not exceed cash available Transaction balance sheet balances Pro forma balance sheet balances BuyerCo standalone balance sheet balances TargetCo standalone balance sheet balances Pro forma revolver not overdrawn
$28.6 $28.6
Offer 0.98x 0.97x 3.62x 3.64x 5.08x 5.12x 10.07x 10.10x
$1,234.4 187.3 516.7 (1,400.0) $538.4
$405.8 (138.7) 267.1 (61.1) 81.8 (28.6) (7.9) 275.0 $275.0
Pro Forma FDSO at Close BuyerCo standalone FDSO ( + ) BuyerCo shares issued as consideration to seller ( + ) BuyerCo shares issued to third parties ( + ) TargetCo options rolled over (Treasury Method) ( + ) BuyerCo warrants issued (Treasury Method) Pro forma FDSO Existing BuyerCo shareholder pro forma ownership
219.330 6.475 2.460 228.264 96.1%
Yes
$205.3 240.0 50.0 4.8 8.3 30.0 538.4 $538.4
$200.0 25.0% $50.0
TargetCo Fair Value Adjustments Excess purch. price allocated to identifiable intangibles (%) Asset / Liability PP&E Identifiable intangibles [Asset 3] [Liability 1] [Liability 2] [Liability 3] Total TargetCo Stock Options TargetCo Options Outstanding Number of Options 0.402 0.120 0.466 0.300 0.520 0.422 0.375 Average Strike $9.13 9.93 11.60 12.64 19.48 27.03 45.78 Asset? Yes Yes Yes No No No
25.0% BV at Close $51.1 FV at Close $66.1 66.8 FV Mark $15.0 66.8 DTA Created DTL Created $5.3 23.4 $28.6
OK OK OK OK OK OK OK
Liquidation In-the-money Options 0.402 0.120 0.522 Proceeds in Liquidation $3.7 1.2 $4.9 Replacement BuyerCo Options 0.145 0.043 0.168 0.108 0.188 0.152 0.135
Rollover New Avg. Strike $25.28 27.50 32.13 35.01 53.95 74.86 126.78 Treasury Method 0.029 0.006 0.035 Intrinsic Value $0.9 0.2 $1.1
Tranche 1 Tranche 2 Tranche 3 Tranche 4 Tranche 5 Tranche 6 Tranche 7 Tranche 8 Tranche 9 Tranche 10 Total Third Party Financing
Senior credit facility 3 Subordinated note 3 Convertible bond 3 Preferred stock 3 Common stock Total third party financing
Debt Instrument? Yes Yes Yes No No
Gross Issuance $75.0 125.0 75.0 $275.0
Issuance Fee (%) 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%
Capitalized Fee Amortization (yrs) 5.0 7.0 7.0 NA NA
Capitalized Issuance Fees $2.3 $2.3
Issuance Fees Netted Against Proceeds 3.8 2.3 $6.0
Net Proceeds $75.0 121.3 72.8 $269.0
TargetCo Debt & Preferred Stock Conversion & Repayment Pre-Conversion Face Is Security Value Convertible? Senior credit facility 2 No Subordinated note 2 $45.5 No Convertible bond 2 $194.5 Yes Preferred stock 2 No Total
Conversion Price $26.77
Convertible Shares 7.266
Conversion In-the-Money Convert at at Offer Price? Close if ITM? No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes
Is Security Converted? No No No No
Converted Shares
Additional Paid-in Capital
Post-Conversion Face Value $45.5 $194.5
Repay Debt? Yes Yes Yes Yes
Repayment Prepayment Penalty (%) 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Prepayment Penalty ($mm) $0.9 $3.9 $4.8
Post-Repayment Face Value
Transaction balance sheet
($ in millions)
BuyerCo Standalone 6/30/13
TargetCo Standalone 6/30/13
Write Off Purch. Accnt. Intang.
Fair Value Adjustments Fair Value New Net DTL Marks (pre-tax) from FV Marks
Fair Value of Acquired Balance Sheet
Purchase Accounting Adjustments
Acquired Incremental Balance Sheet
Transaction & Restructuring Charges at Close
Balance Sheet Restructuring
Debt Issuance
Third Party Financing Preferred Issuance
Common Issuance
Pro Forma Incremental Balance Sheet
Pro Forma Consolidated Balance Sheet
Total Adjustments
Assets Cash and equivalents Accounts receivable Inventory Deferred tax asset, current Other current assets Total current assets PP&E, gross ( ) Accumulated depreciation PP&E, net Goodwill Purchase accounting-related intangibles Other intangible assets Equity investments Unearned compensation Capitalized debt financing costs Other assets Total assets Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Accounts payable Accrued expenses Client deposits Income taxes payable Deferred revenue Other current liabilities Current portion of long-term debt Total current liabilities BuyerCo revolver Senior credit facility 1 Subordinated note 1 Convertible bond 1 Total BuyerCo debt TargetCo revolver Senior credit facility 2 Subordinated note 2 Convertible bond 2 Total TargetCo debt Senior credit facility 3 Subordinated note 3 Convertible bond 3 New debt issued Net deferred tax liability / (asset) Other liabilities Total liabilities Noncontrolling interest Preferred stock 1 Preferred stock 2 Preferred stock 3 Common stock, par value Additional paid-in capital (APIC) Treasury stock Accum. & other comp. income / (loss) Retained earnings Total liabilities & shareholders' equity Shares Outstanding Basic shares outstanding (mm) Fully diluted shares outstanding (mm) Check 216.443 219.330 35.340 35.343 35.340 35.343 (28.865) (28.868) 6.475 6.475 6.475 6.475 222.918 225.805 $217.0 460.9 41.8 247.9 2.2 969.7 471.4 471.4 503.0 1,944.1 3.9 2,239.6 (774.7) 6.6 1,427.6 $4,847.0 $22.0 16.4 3.1 21.2 38.6 101.3 45.5 194.5 240.0 (2.6) 17.9 356.6 0.6 371.4 (667.9) (0.4) 434.9 $495.3 $22.0 16.4 3.1 21.2 38.6 101.3 45.5 194.5 240.0 $22.0 16.4 3.1 21.2 38.6 101.3 45.5 194.5 240.0 $22.0 16.4 3.1 21.2 38.6 101.3 236.8 236.8 75.0 75.0 26.8 17.9 457.8 125.0 274.3 (55.1) $802.0 $239.0 477.3 45.0 269.1 38.6 2.2 1,071.1 236.8 471.4 708.2 75.0 75.0 26.8 520.9 2,401.9 125.0 3.9 2,513.9 (774.7) 6.6 1,372.5 $5,649.0 236.8 236.8 (45.5) (194.5) (240.0) 75.0 75.0 29.4 101.2 125.0 (0.6) (97.1) 667.9 0.4 (490.0) $306.7 $1,234.4 673.5 129.1 143.9 2,180.9 517.6 (56.8) 460.7 1,487.6 253.7 464.0 $4,847.0 $187.3 144.9 9.4 8.8 350.3 51.1 (13.1) 38.0 61.1 31.7 14.3 $495.3 $187.3 144.9 9.4 8.8 350.3 66.1 (13.1) 53.0 66.8 31.7 14.3 $516.0 ($200.4) ($13.1) 144.9 9.4 8.8 149.8 66.1 (13.1) 53.0 275.0 66.8 31.7 14.3 $590.6 ($52.0) ($6.3) $73.5 $121.3 $72.8 $196.1 144.9 9.4 8.8 359.1 66.1 (13.1) 53.0 275.0 66.8 31.7 2.3 14.3 $802.0 $1,430.5 818.3 138.4 152.7 2,539.9 583.6 (69.9) 513.7 1,762.6 66.8 285.4 2.3 478.3 $5,649.0 $8.8 8.8 15.0 15.0 213.9 66.8 2.3 $306.7
15.0 15.0 66.8
(200.4)
(52.0)
(6.3)
73.5
121.3
72.8
(61.1)
275.0
2.3 ($52.0) ($6.3) $75.8 $121.3 $72.8
($61.1)
$81.8
$74.6
236.8
236.8 (45.5) (194.5) (240.0)
28.6 28.6
$28.6
26.0 17.9 385.3 0.6 371.4 (667.9) (0.4) 434.9 $524.0
(0.6) (166.1) 667.9 0.4 (434.9) $66.6
26.0 17.9 385.3 205.3 $590.6
(3.2)
75.0 75.0 0.8 75.8
125.0 (3.8) 72.8
(52.0) ($52.0)
(3.1) ($6.3)
$75.8
$121.3
$72.8
Page 4 of 8
Pro Forma x x x x x x x x x x x x
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Statement Working Capital Equity Investments Debt Schedule Depreciation Schedule Amortization Schedule Tax Schedule Revenue Synergies, Cost Savings, and Restructuring Costs Amortization of Capitalized Debt Financing Costs Summary Credit Metrics
Page 5 of 8
Acquirer x x x x x x x x x x
BuyerCo Income Statement BuyerCo Balance Sheet BuyerCo Cash Flow Statement BuyerCo Working Capital BuyerCo Equity Investments BuyerCo Debt Schedule BuyerCo Depreciation Schedule BuyerCo Tax Schedule BuyerCo Shares Outstanding BuyerCo Summary Credit Metrics
Page 6 of 8
Target x x x x x x x x x x x
TargetCo Income Statement TargetCo Balance Sheet TargetCo Cash Flow Statement TargetCo Working Capital TargetCo Equity Investments TargetCo Debt Schedule TargetCo Depreciation Schedule TargetCo Tax Schedule TargetCo Shares Outstanding TargetCo Summary Credit Metrics TargetCo Acquisition Multiple Matrix
Page 7 of 8
Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System (MACRS)
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Total 3 33.33% 44.45% 14.81% 7.41% 5 20.00% 32.00% 19.20% 11.52% 11.52% 5.76% Property Class 7 10 14.29% 24.49% 17.49% 12.49% 8.93% 8.92% 8.93% 4.46% 10.00% 18.00% 14.40% 11.52% 9.22% 7.37% 6.55% 6.55% 6.56% 6.55% 3.28% 15 5.00% 9.50% 8.55% 7.70% 6.93% 6.23% 5.90% 5.90% 5.91% 5.90% 5.91% 5.90% 5.91% 5.90% 5.91% 2.95% 20 3.75% 7.22% 6.68% 6.18% 5.71% 5.29% 4.89% 4.52% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 4.46% 2.23% 100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Source: IRS Publication 946, Table A-1.