A
guide
to
getting
started
with
Technical
Analysis
for
Cryptocurrencies
Section 1: Technical Analysis Basics
What it is & isn’t Charting Basics Tools & Software
Section 2: Patterns & Trends
Bullish Patterns Bearish Patterns Bases & Breakouts
Section 3: Technical Indicators
Essential Indicators Advanced Indicators
Section 4: Automating the Process
Step away from the screen! Alerts & Limit Buys
Step 1: Get a Wallet
Section 1: Technical Analysis Basics
Basic
Terms
&
Definitions Charting
Basics
&
Essentials Tools
&
Software
• My
definitions
• How
TA
can
help
you
• What
it
won’t
do
for
you
What
it
is
and
isn’t
The
“official”
definition:
Technical
Analysis
-‐ financial
analysis
that
uses
patterns
in
market
data
to
identify
trends
and
make
predictions
My
definition:
The
use
of
past
price
info
to
identify
trends
and
areas
of
supply
&
demand.
A
picture of
market
psychology.
$1,500
$1,600
$1,300
$2,000
What
it
is
and
isn’t
Technical
Analysis
is
part
Science and
part
Art.
Science Art
On
one
side
you
have
Fear
&
Greed
Statistics Estimates
Averages Probability
Ratios Flexibility
logarithmic
charts News
percentages Changes
WHAT DO YOU SEE?
• What is the general trend?
• Where is the most recent top or bottom?
• Where are we relative to that?
• Are we forming a new trend?
• Where are the support & resistance zones?
• Do you see a pattern or base?
• Crosscheck w/ other indicators
Line OHLC
Bar
Candlestick
Graph
Area
Price
Axis
Volume
Indicators
Time
Axis
Highest
Traded
Price
Open
or
Close
Price
Open
or
Close
Price
Lowest
Traded
Price
Highest
Traded
Price Highest
Traded
Price
$6.80 $6.80
Closing
Price Opening
Price
$6.20 $6.20
Opening
Price
Closing
Price
$5.00
$5.00
Lowest
Traded
Price
$4.30 Lowest
Traded
Price $4.30
Highest
Traded
Price Highest
Traded
Price
$6.80 $6.80
Closing
Price Opening
Price
$6.20 $6.20
Opening
Price
Closing
Price
$5.00 $5.00
Lowest
Traded
Price Lowest
Traded
Price
$4.30 $4.30
Days Week
• Free
version
available
as
well
as
mobile
app
• Not
just
cryptocurrencies
– also
covers
stocks,
commodities
&
other
FOREX
markets.
• Social
following
&
commentary
• Charts
feel
the
same
as
TradingView,
desktop
&
mobile
versions
• 30-‐day
trial,
paid
tool
after
that.
~$100
for
6
months
• Direct
access
to
all
major
cryptocurrency
exchanges!
Section 1: Technical Analysis Basics
What it is & isn’t Charting Basics Tools & Software
Section 2: Patterns & Trends
Bullish Patterns Bearish Patterns Bases & Breakouts
Section 3: Technical Indicators
Essential Indicators Advanced Indicators
Section 4: Automating the Process
Step away from the screen! Alerts & Limit Buys
Over
time,
prices
create
trends.
One
of
the
first
steps
in
technical
analysis
is
to
understand
what
the
trend
is.
3
Primary
Types
Up
Trend Down
Trend Sideways
Trend
Areas
of
repeated
buying
or
selling.
Typically
on
horizontal lines
but
also
works
on
diagonal
trends.
Resistance
Support
Support
Diagonal
trends
also
create
support
and
resistance
lines
that
once
broken,
can
signal
a
change
in
trend.
Up
Trend Down
Trend Sideways
Trend
Resistance
Support
Beyond
trends,
there
are
some
very
common
patterns
you’ll
see
in
charts.
We’ll
take
a
deeper
look
at
the
following:
Head
&
Shoulders Double
Top Cup
&
Handle
Inverted
Head
&
Shoulders Double
Bottom Bull
Flag/Pennant
Ascending
Triangle Descending
Triangle Symmetrical
Triangle
These
patterns
will
have
some
associated
terms
you
need
to
understand
first:
Base is
an
area
of
consolidation
– the
longer
and
more
structured
the
better.
Slightly
different
than
the
common
pattern
but
sometimes
overlaps.
Breakout Point
(also
called
the
“pivot”
point)
This
is
a
common
and
reliable
bearish
pattern
that
consists
of
three
peaks
with
the
middle
peak
being
the
highest.
Typically,
the
right
shoulder
(or
third
peak)
is
a
little
lower
than
the
first.
The
breakpoint
is
the
“neckline”
at
the
bottom
of
the
formation.
This
is
a
bullish
pattern
that
consists
of
three
lows
with
the
second
one
being
the
lowest.
The
break
out
point
is
the
“neckline”
at
the
top
of
the
formation.
The
double
top
is
a
bearish
pattern
that
consists
of
two
prominent
peaks
with
the
second
peak
being
a
little
lower
than
the
first.
They
are
typically
steep
peaks
that
form
an
M
shape
followed
by
a
sharp
sell-‐off
The
double
top
is
a
bullish
pattern
that
consists
of
two
prominent
support
zones
with
the
second
being
a
little
lower
than
the
first.
They
are
not
typically
as
steep
as
double
tops
but
do
form
a
W
shape.
A
bullish
pattern
that
follows
a
rally
and
consisting
of
two
parts.
The
cup
is
a
round
saucer
shaped
bottoming
in
the
price
and
the
handle
is
a
short
pull
back
close
to
the
old
highs.
A
bullish
pattern
that
follows
a
rally
and
forms
a
right
triangle
with
the
bottom
of
the
tringle
wedging
up
as
the
pattern
progresses.
A
bullish
continuation
pattern
that
follows
a
sharp
rally
and
forms
a
small
triangle
with
the
bottom
of
the
tringle
wedging
up
as
the
pattern
progresses.
Similar
to
the
ascending
triangle,
but
shorter.
A
neutral pattern
that
signifies
a
big
move
may
be
in
the
making.
The
tringle
is
almost
perfectly
symmetrical
and
tightening
up
as
the
pattern
progresses
but
is
nether
point
up
or
down.
A
bearish pattern
that
follows
a
price
drop
and
forms
a
right
triangle
with
the
top
of
the
tringle
wedging
down
as
the
pattern
progresses.
• What is the general trend?
• Where is the most recent top or bottom?
• Where are we relative to that?
• Are we forming a new trend?
• Where are the support & resistance zones?
• Do you see a pattern or base?
• Crosscheck w/ other indicators
Section 1: Technical Analysis Basics
What it is & isn’t Charting Basics Tools & Software
Section 2: Patterns & Trends
Bullish Patterns Bearish Patterns Bases & Breakouts
Section 3: Technical Indicators
Essential Indicators Advanced Indicators
Section 4: Automating the Process
Step away from the screen! Alerts & Limit Buys
• Technical
indicators
are
always
secondary
to
chart
patterns
and
bases
and
should
be
used
as
a
way
to
confirm trends
and
setups.
• Helpful
for
getting
in
a
little
early,
but
high
risk
if
you
trade
using
only indicators.
• Keep
it
to
a
minimum.
Volume Moving
Averages
MACD RSI Fibonacci
Volume
is
very
often
displayed
on
charts
and
is
an
essential
indicator
when
confirming
a
breakout
as
well
as
for
identifying
tops
&
bottoms.
• Moving
averages
tend
to
form
support
&
resistance
zones.
• Look
at
the
10,
20,30
&
50
MA’s
• For
fast
moving
assets
such
as
currencies,
I
use
EMA
(exponential
moving
averages)
over
SMA
(simple
moving
average).
Specifically,
my
favorites
are
the
10
EMA
&
30
EMA.
• The
Moving
Average
Convergence/Divergence
oscillator
(MACD)
is
one
of
the
simplest
and
most
effective
momentum indicators
available.
• Takes
the
difference
between
two
trend
following
moving
averages
and
plots
them
on
a
histogram.
12,
26
and
9 EMA’s
are
the
typical
setting
used
with
the
MACD,
with
9
being
the
signal
line.
• The
Relative
Strength
Index
(RSI)
is
a
momentum oscillator
that
measures
the
speed
and
change
of
price
movements.
• RSI
oscillates
between
zero
and
100
• RSI
is
considered
overbought when
above
70 and
oversold when
below
30.
• I
like
to
use
RSI
to
spot
trend
changes &
divergences.
overbought
oversold
Divergence
• RSI
charts
create
support
&
resistance
zones
• In
bull
trends,
the
RSI
rarely
falls
below
40
• In
bear
trends,
the
RSI
struggles
to
get
above
60
• Key
ratios
work
for
retracements
to
the
downside
as
well
as
bounces.
• 23.6%,
38.2%,
50%,
61.8%
and
78.6%
• The
most
popular
Fibonacci
Retracements
are
61.8%
and
38.2%.
• These
levels
alert
us
to
a
potential
trend
reversal
or
identify
possible
resistance
&
support
areas.
24
38
100 50
62
78
Section 1: Technical Analysis Basics
What it is & isn’t Charting Basics Tools & Software
Section 2: Patterns & Trends
Bullish Patterns Bearish Patterns Bases & Breakouts
Section 3: Technical Indicators
Essential Indicators Advanced Indicators
Section 4: Automating the Process
Step away from the screen! Alerts & Limit Buys
Summary
of
the
process
• First,
understand
the
direction
of
the
trend
in
place.
• Next,
spot
the
major
support
and
resistance
areas.
• Understand
what
pattern
or
patterns
may
be
forming.
• Look
for
potential
support
and
resistance
areas
using
moving
averages
• Use
Volume
and
the
MACD,
RSI
or
Fibonacci
indicators
to
confirm
what
you’re
seeing.
• Identify
the
pivot
point
(breakout
or
breakdown)
and
plan
your
trade.
• Plan
your
trade
– what
are
your
buy
and
sell
points?
• Scale
in
and
out
of
positions.
I
do
two
buys;
50/50
,
60/40
,
70/30
• Have
a
stop
loss
price
or
%
in
mind
in
case
you’re
wrong.
• Automate
your
Buys
&
Sells
or
• Put
alerts
in
place
to
notify
you
of
breakouts
or
big
price
action.
• Practice
with
a
mock
portfolio
or
paper
trading.
Remember,
technical
analysis
is
a
skill!
• Email
or
SMS
with
TradingView or
Coinigy
• Set
up
watch
lists
with
alarms
• Good
for
automating
some
small
buying
and
selling
• Not
recommended
for
core
holdings
• Can
easily
get
shaken
out
of
a
position
• Should
only
be
used
occasionally
and
temporarily
• Step
away
from
the
screen!
• Don’t
check
prices
every
5
minutes
• Set
up
a
routine
to
do
your
scans
and
go
though
the
watchlist.
• My
routine
(daily
or
weekly)
• I
check
the
big
ones
– BTC,
ETH,
XRP,
etc.
• I
see
what
my
other
positions
are
doing
• I’ll
review
my
watch
list
–a
quick
look
at
charts
• Look
for
opportunities,
set
ups,
recent
big
breakouts
• In
depth
technical
analysis
on
a
few
charts
– ones
I
want
to
buy