BCG Google Report Distribution New
BCG Google Report Distribution New
CONSUMER DURABLES
A $23 Bn opportunity by 2023
July 2019
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06 20 52
DECODING DECODING SEIZING THE
DIGITAL DIGITAL OPPORTUNITY
INFLUENCE CONSUMER
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The consumer durables industry is penetration, falling smart phone expected to become 55% by 2023
expected to continue the growth prices, decline in data tariffs, more • Between 2013 and 2017, number of
momentum to become USD 36 Bn vernacular content & sales thrust by digitally influenced consumers has
by 2023 on back of multiple growth ecommerce companies grown disproportionately for tier
drivers viz. low product penetration, • We expect USD 10 Bn out of the 2-3 city consumers (5X) and women
rising disposable income, increasing above to be online sale consumers (10X)
urbanization, easy access to credit &
Government’s thrust on electrification Digital Influence varies by product Digital influence varies by brands
categories • Offline market share by brand does
Decoding Digital Influence:
• 3 out of 10 consumers today are not translate into similar share for
Digital Influence will power digitally influenced for high average digitally influenced purchases today
consumer durables selling price (ASP) durables like
Decoding Digital Consumer:
ACs, Televisions, Refrigerators and
• We define a sale as ‘digitally
influenced sale’ if the buyer uses
Washing machines. 1 in 3 buy these Pre-purchase phase:
products online
internet during any stage of • 84% in-store buyers and 74% online
purchase cycle • 2 out of 10 consumers today buyers are not decided on their
are digitally influenced for choice of brand when they start
• Percentage of digitally influenced
comparatively lower ASP products their search
sales in consumer durable industry
like small appliances, water purifiers
has more than doubled over last • Influence window is short. Digitally
& microwaves. 1 in 2 buy these
five years and in next 5 years we influenced buyers typically research
products online
expect 63% of overall consumer for 2-3 weeks before making the
durable sales to be digitally Digital influence varies by consumer final purchase
influenced. USD 23 Bn by 2023!!! demographics • Digitally influenced buyers use
• Multitude of drivers will propel this • 29% of urban consumer are digitally search engines as the primary
growth in India viz. rising internet influenced today & this number is source for online research; social
This report has been compiled using proprietary research and data from BCG & Google. We have also considered perspectives of industry leaders
media, online videos, blogs & online Post-purchase phase: • Drive focused interventions at
forums are other key sources for individual consumer level across
• Nearly 1 out of every 3 online
online research journey touchpoints to leverage
buyers provides digital review post
• Consumers tend to search for high short research window of 2-3 weeks
purchase
ASP durables by brand & low asp of ~80% undecided consumers
• ~26% in-store buyers and ~36%
durables by product specifications • Leverage ~30% of consumers who
online buyers look for other
• Nearly 2 out of every 3 digitally post reviews online to influence
offerings from the same brand post
influenced consumers rate online ~60% for whom this matters. Drive
purchase; propensity for repeat
reviews as a significant influencer in post purchase experience and
purchase is over-indexed for low ASP
their purchase decisions amplify advocacy at scale
durables
Purchase phase: This will require a big shift. From
Seizing the opportunity:
• Low price and convenience are the • ‘Digital as a channel’ to ‘Digital as
What does this mean for consumer
largest drivers of online purchase; core of future marketing’
durable companies?
choice of multiple payment options • ‘Current focus of driving purchase’
is one of the top 5 drivers • Set up investments and create right to ‘Driving end to end consumer
• Absence of in-person guidance and digital organization structure to engagement’
lack of ‘touch & feel’ are the biggest capitalize the upcoming USD 23 Bn
• ‘Mass marketing’ to ‘Personalized
barriers of online purchase digitally influenced opportunity
interventions’
• Buying from e-commerce • Given disconnect in market share
• ‘Driving offline market share’ to
aggregators is preferred over and digitally influenced shares –
‘Driving digitally influenced market
individual brands’ website/apps reset the digital ambition. Market
share’
across categories; TV, AC & water leaders should strive for at least fair
• ‘Driving company driven
purifiers are relatively over-indexed share in digitally influenced sales
communication’ to ‘Driving advocacy
on brand website or app led to remain relevant. Aspirers have
at scale’
purchases opportunity to beat the market
leaders through digital leadership
DECODING
DIGITAL
INFLUENCE
Rapid urbanization
Expected to increase to 37% Television Small Appliances Washing Machines Microwave
in 2025 from 33% in 2018
Government initiatives to
enhance electrification Refrigerator Air conditioners Water Purifiers
Electrification for all by 2022
under the DDUGJY1 to drive 1. Deendayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana
Note: Exchange Rate – 1US$ = INR 70
penetration across the country Source: Euromonitor; Press Search; Industry Reports, BCG Analysis
Source:BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital Influence Study 2013, 2015, 2017; BCG Analysis
Concurrently, digital
influence has grown from 55%
14% in 2013 to 29% in 2017
and is expected to reach 29%
55% by 2023 (~4x vs 2013).
Digital 14%
The % of online buyers Influence
has witnessed exponential
growth from a mere 3% in
22%
2013 to 9% in 2017 and is
expected to reach 22% by
2023 (~7x vs 2013).
9%
Online 3%
Buyers
1. Urban Buyers – Any consumer in urban India who bought any consumer durable in past 1 year
2. Digital Footprint - % urban consumer durable buyers with internet access
3. Digital Influence - % urban consumer durable buyers using internet during any stage of the purchase process
4. Online Buyers - % urban consumer durable buyers buying consumer durables online
Note : Consumer durables include television, air conditioner, refrigerator, washing machines, water purifier, microwave oven & small
appliances; Also, numbers are different from last page as one consumer can buy multiple items & these numbers are only for urban
consumers
Source : BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital Influence Study 2013, 2015, 2017, Press Search,
BCG Analysis
10
10 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
High digital influence & online buying in other emerging
economies like China & Brazil show potential for India
Digitally influenced consumers in Emerging Markets
A comparative study of digitally
influenced consumers in
emerging markets shows
that India currently lags
50 behind other markets such
as China, Brazil etc. in terms
of digital influence on the
consumer durables purchase
40 Brazil journey. Only ~29% consumer
durable consumers are
digitally influenced in India,
China
as compared with ~90% and
30
~80% in China and Brazil,
% Online buyers Significant respectively.
potential to
For online buyers, the
20 increase share of
difference is starker. Only ~9%
digital influence
consumers buy online in India
& online buying vs ~40% and ~50% in China
Philippines Nigeria and Brazil, respectively.
10 India
South Africa India has the potential to
move up the digital ladder
Morocco Indonesia in the years to come owing
0 to factors like increasing
0 20 40 60 80 100 internet penetration, cheaper
smartphones and data, rise
of vernacular content and
% Digitally Influenced consumers
e-commerce companies thrust
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG – Digital Consumers, Emerging Markets &
on online buying.
the $4 Trillion Future Report, BCG CCI Digital Influence Survey 2017
Decoding Digital Influence 11
Increasing internet penetration, cheaper smartphones
and data, vernacular content and ecommerce thrust
will continue to drive digital influence
India is currently 1 Increasing internet penetration 2 Falling smart phone prices
undergoing a digital
explosion driven by a Internet users in India Average smartphone price ($)
multitude of factors. These
include:
Increasing internet
1 penetration (650 650
million+ 250-260
million+ internet
users expected in
India by 2020)
Significant decline in
3 data tariffs 500
2011
2018
million
Increasing
4 availability of
vernacular content 2020
Sales thrust by
5 ecommerce
companies
12
12 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
3 Significant decrease in data tariffs 4 Increase in vernacular content 5 Ecommerce companies thrust on
online buying
Data consumed per user per month
(MB) vs Price per MB (Paise)
on Youtube
9,000
No cost EMIs
6,000
Faster delivery
Jun
2017 9 out of 10
Mar New Internet users in
3,000 2017 Sep India are likely to be 24x7 product tracking
2016 Indian language users
Source: Press search, Google Year in Search 2017, 2018, 2019, BCG Analysis
9%
Online buyers as a %
17% 35% of digitally influenced
Refrigerator 74% buyers is high for low
ASP durables
Digitally influenced Digitally influenced Non digitally influenced
online buyers in-store buyers
Online buyers as a % of digitally influenced buyers
1. High ASP products – Appliances with ASP >INR 20,000; Low ASP products – Appliances with ASP <INR 20,000
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital Influence Study 2017
14
14 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
DigitalInfluence
Decoding Digital Matters 15
17
Digital influence varies by demographics; high growth
in women, 35+ age group and tier 2-3 city consumers in
last 4 years
Significant growth observed
in digitally influenced 10x increase in female online buyers over last 4 years
buyers from non-tier 1
cities, women and higher
age group consumers over
the last 4 years.
By Gender 2013 2017
10x growth in the % of
digitally influenced female
online buyers in the last 4
years. 5x growth for men ~5x
in online buying between 3% 15%
2013 and 2017. Male
11% 16%
Significant growth in
digital influence & online
purchases in the 35-55 year
age bracket.
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital influence Study 2013, 2017, BCG Analysis
16
16 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
3-5x growth in digital influence & online purchases in the 35-55 year age bracket over last 4 years
By Age Group 2013 2017
~2x
18-24 year 3% 13% 17% 15%
~2x
25-34 year 3% 16% 13% 19%
~3x
35-44 year 2% 5% 11% 13%
~5x
45-54 year 2% 2% 14% 7%
~3x
>54 year 1% 4% 5% 8%
1% ~2x 9%
Tier-1 10% 14%
1% ~5x 8%
Tier-2 3% 12%
1% ~5x 15%
Tier-3 4% 8%
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital influence Study 2013, 2017, BCG Analysis
Brand 4 8%
Brand 5 7%
1.Euromonitor
2.BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019
18
18 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Digitally influenced in-store purchases2 Online purchases2
Brand 6 8% Brand 6 9%
Digitally influenced in-store
purchase market share
Brand 4 7% Brand 3 6%
Online purchase
Brand 1 14% Brand 3 26% market share
Brand 2 7% Brand 7 7%
Research Offline
Purchase Online
HI I’M
RAJ Profile Raj wishes to
replace his
existing TV, wants
22 years, Delhi to upgrade to
Offline
Interaction across channels
latest technology
Tech savvy
television buyer Digital Age
ends up buying
6 years
online owing to
Online
The tech savvy
better prices shopper
Decides to check
specifications
online using his
smartphone
Opportunities
Create greater
engagement
through
personalized
content
Tracks product
Gets Word of Mouth rigorously
Visits MBOs1 to check recommendations
different brands & models from friends & family
to ratify features in-person &
receive salesman guidance Further, reads product
reviews and contacts Appreciates
customer care for installation
clarifications regarding support
"money back policy"
Prompted by
Finds 15% discount the app, he
Turns to mobile search on e-commerce site rates the seller
again- explores TV models Orders TV
– he gets excited online, pays
through e-commerce but is also wary of
apps and search engines online
spending.
that allow comparison of
features & prices
Leverage digital Proactive data Reviews from Optimize supply Incentivize post
marketing to driven targeted trusted influencers chain for faster purchase advocacy;
make relevant offers basis past to overcome initial delivery closely manage
recommendations purchases, age hesitation in online social sentiment
and showcase product group/income shopping about the products
offerings profiles
Research Offline
Purchase Online
HI I’M Mamta wants
MAMTA to purchase a
Profile new convection
microwave with
30 years, preloaded dishes;
Offline
Interaction across channels
Bhopal to experiment
with new ways of
cooking
Tier-3 buyer
orders Digital Age
microwave
4 years
online due
Online
The tech savvy
to greater shopper
Searches online
for "convection
availability & microwave
cookware"
variety
Opportunities
Personalization-tailor
messages to consumer
profile
Researches
online using
appliance Returns online
guides, brand Decides the final to complete her Orders microwave
product & adds She rates
websites & purchase online online; avails the the seller
user reviews to cart without COD option
to zero in completing purchase
on the exact
model
Research Online
Purchase Offline
HI I’M
Sarika is looking
SARIKA Profile to replace
her fridge; to
Offline
31 years, accommodate
the needs of her
Refrigerator
buyer switches Digital Age
offline for
1 year
salesman
The Patient Searches online
Online
guidance and evaluator using her
touch & feel of smartphone
the product Consumers are increasingly
using mobile devices to do
research. In categories such as
AC, Refrigerator queries from
mobiles are growing at 25%+
Opportunities
Tailored marketing to relevant
age groups/ income profiles to
increase product awareness
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019,
Google Trends data, Industry interactions, BCG Analysis
28 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Eg: Refrigerator
Research Online
Purchase Offline
HI I’M
VARUN Profile Varun wants to
purchase a new
mixer to replace
40 years, his existing mixer
Offline
Interaction across channels
Lucknow
Buyer decides
to buy the mixer Digital Age
offline for fear
2 years
of duplicate/
Online
The Patient Actively starts taking
damaged evaluator feedback from
products friend/family online
on the brands that
they use
Opportunities
Proactive data
driven targeted
offers
Recommendations One click user Virtual assistants for Data analytics driven
with similar interests– friendly process for advisory and prompt targeted marketing for
‘people like you also returns and refunds customer support in similar/ related product
buy’ – integrated into in case of damaged case of complaints offerings; personalized
browsing experience products loyalty programs and offers
to drive repeat purchases
Brand decisiveness: ~84% in-store buyers and ~74% online buyers are undecided on
1
their choice of brand at start of research
Research Duration: Digitally influenced buyers typically research for upto 2-3 weeks before
2
making the final purchase
Research channel: Digitally influenced buyers use search engines as the primary source for
Pre- 3 online research; social media, online videos, blogs & online forums are other key sources for
online research
Purchase
Search Behavior: Consumers tend to search for high ASP durables by brand and low ASP
4
durables by product specifications
Role of online reviews: 2 out of every 3 digitally influenced consumers rate ‘online
5
reviews’ as important influencer in their purchase decisions
Question: How many brands were you considering at the start of your research activities? & Was this the brand you had planned to buy initially?
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Google Trends data, BCG Analysis
2 out of every 3
digitally influenced
buyers research upto
2-3 weeks before
Online making the final
Buyers 34% 30% 24% 8% 4% purchase.
Question: How much time passed between the time you started to research and the time you actually bought on your most recent occasion?
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG Analysis
56%
products on
search engines (43%) YouTube
43%
followed by blogs & online
forums (36%) and online Watchtime
videos (31%), e-commerce for Consumer
43%
in India doubled
36%
for top sources for online year over year in
31%
research. 2018
36%
25%
Promotional emails
Promotional emails
26%
Search engines
Search engines
24%
Online videos
Online videos
20%
20%
Social media
Social media
13%
11%
Source for online research Source for online research
Question: Where did you find the information you were looking for online?
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG Analysis
Refrigerators
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Google search trends data, BCG Analysis
Digitally influenced
online buyers
More and more people are going to
YouTube to research and learn about
tech products. The searches happening
on YouTube for reviews and unboxing
has doubled since last year for TVs
Question: How important were online reviews/ratings in influencing your decision about what to buy/book/sign up for?
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Year in Search 2018, BCG Analysis
42 Digital
DigitalInfluence on consumer
Powers Consumer durables
Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 43
Low price and convenience are the largest drivers of online
purchase; Choice of multiple payment options in Top 5 drivers
Availability 29%
Product availability
We had gone to a local is the key trigger for
store to window shop Multiple
24% online purchases in
& check out the screen payment options
Tier-3 cities
size we wanted. But the
Helps making
salespeople are quite 19%
informed decisions
impatient. They want you
to just purchase. So we
Post sale support 19% Washing machine and
didn’t consult them. Had a
AC buyers consider
look and returned.”
‘good post sale support’
Variety 15% as one of the top 3
- Online buyer, Female,
Delhi triggers for online
Status symbol 14% purchase
Percentages mentioned are on a base of total consumers and not relative in nature, the total may exceed 100%
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG research & analysis
Percentages mentioned are on a base of total consumers and not relative in nature, the total may exceed 100%
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG research & analysis
7%
10% Small Appliances
4%
Brand website Microwave
or App
3%
Refrigerator
Question: Which website or app did you buy from?
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG analysis
48
48 Digital
DigitalPowers
PowersConsumer
ConsumerDurables
Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 49
Nearly 1 in every 3 online buyers provides digital
review post purchase
32% of online buyers 32% of online 60-65% in case of Interaction on social media,
provide product reviews buyers provided a other digitally evolved brand website and online blogs
online after purchasing a digital review post / forums are the key modes of
countries such as China
consumer durables across purchase in India review
category.
5 10 15
% of online buyers
Question: How did you share your review or recommendation?
Note: Percentages mentioned are on a base of total consumers and not relative in nature, the total will exceed 100% because of choice
of multiple selections to the question
Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG Analysis
Digitally influenced sale will grow Set up investments and create right
disproportionately. However, it digital organization structure to 1 2
varies by categories capitalize this opportunity
Offline market share does not Achieve fair share or strive to beat
translate into digitally influenced the market leaders in the future 3 4
share through digital leadership
From To
Mass Personalized
marketing interventions
Leveraging digital
and social media
platforms enabled Analytics based
customized marketing
the company to
efforts to tap rich
A leading drive its ‘celebrating
available data and
the new’ campaign
multinational and garner over a
drive actionable
consumer insights
electronics million views within
company’s a day of the launch
digital budget
went up from
high single- digit
figures in 2014
to ~30% of its
total marketing
budget in 2018
Select examples
A mid sized Indian consumer company set up digital brand team to enable from India
efficient digital marketing ecosystem for larger group of brand managers & and globally
driving synergies on increasing
importance of
organizational
enablement
An American electric car-maker selling its cars online through its website, is
using social media platforms, such as Twitter, to allow customers to interact
directly with the company, including its leadership
A leading
European
Focus on leading online It aims to hit a target of It uses its ever-widening sportswear
retailers helped a €4 billion ($4.9 billion) portfolio of apps to manufacturer
European sportswear by 2020 by leveraging push rarer — and more
uses its app to
company achieve €1.5 the likes of both leading expensive — products,
billion ($1.9 billion) in e-tailers and retailers while using other online push rarer &
online sales in 2017, as well as its’ company retailers to sell its cheaper more expensive
an unprecedented 57% owned channels, products products, while
growth over the previous particularly its apps
year
online retailers
sell its cheaper
products
An online healthcare
platform connects patients
with doctors in real time
using chatbots. They have
dedicated doctors at the
backend but are building an
AI layer to scale operations
An Indian
healthcare
venture which
provides online
They have built AI engines which
process over 10 million minutes The company then performs consultations
of talk time every month. This analytics on this data to is using AI to
generate actionable business
has enabled them to profile their pitch the right
customers for their preferences, insights (Eg: the company
is aware to what extent the product to the
likes and dislikes and the kind of
queries they raise agents were able to answer right customer
the queries and accordingly
pitch the right product)
A large global
furniture retailer
uses augmented Consumers can preview how furniture will look like in
reality to help life-size proportions in their homes and order directly
consumers from the free app
visualize furniture
in their homes
Interestingly, the
company’s bookstore
has less than 5000
titles, compared with
the millions of titles in
its online store. Using
technology and big
A US chain of retail data around customer
bookstores uses reviews, the company
customer ratings, has been able to make
reviews and data
collected from their
the shopping experience A US chain of
more efficient & effective
e-commerce business retail bookstores
and Kindle devices to offers a curated
display books that are
most likely to entice range of books
The featured books
readers to make a
table isn’t selected
based on online
purchase
by a local employee popularity
or organized by latest hyped
releases—it’s a selection of
most highly rated online books
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This report has been prepared by Boston Consulting Group in collaboration with Google India. We would like to thank and acknowledge
the contributions of Vikas Agnihotri (Country Director, India Sales), Shaurab Kapadia (Industry Head – Technology), Prabhanshu Pandey
(Principal Account Manager – Technology) and Bhavna Jagwani (Industry Analyst – Technology) from Google India Pvt Ltd and Ankur Jain,
Akash Sethia, Viren Rajani and Ity Jain from Boston Consulting Group. We would also like to thank Kantar IMRB for conducting extensive
quantitative survey of 6800 consumer durable buyers & qualitative discussions for BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables
Study 2019. A special thanks to Jasmin Pithawala for managing the marketing process and Jamshed Daruwalla, Saroj Singh and Divya
Mehrotra for their contribution towards design and production of the report.
This document has been prepared in good faith on the basis of information available at the date of publication without any independent
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well as Google search trends and BCG’s industry intelligence. Global trends are a result of BCGs industry knowledge. Unless otherwise specified,
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07/19