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Downside Protection

To close high-dollar deals effectively, avoid leading with overly optimistic projections, such as hockey stick charts, which can trigger skepticism from potential buyers. Instead, present a 'downside protection' slide first to demonstrate how your solution can still succeed under less-than-ideal circumstances. This approach builds trust and allows you to then showcase the potential upside, making you a more appealing partner for executives.

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King Karvo
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
121 views5 pages

Downside Protection

To close high-dollar deals effectively, avoid leading with overly optimistic projections, such as hockey stick charts, which can trigger skepticism from potential buyers. Instead, present a 'downside protection' slide first to demonstrate how your solution can still succeed under less-than-ideal circumstances. This approach builds trust and allows you to then showcase the potential upside, making you a more appealing partner for executives.

Uploaded by

King Karvo
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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How do you get high-dollar big deals closed?

Well, here’s one thing NOT to do on video calls or in a meeting: the


brofist.
This seems pretty obvious.

But there's much worse things you can do.


For example almost everyone makes this one mistake ...
I'm about to share with you the exact mistake even the big guys make, how to
fix it, and what to do instead, so you’ll end up getting more big deals and
overall making more money.

But first, I have to ask… ever had a buyer laugh in your face?

I did.
It was massively embarrassing and I was dying on the inside while trying to
hold my cool ...

It was a few years ago, when I found myself at one of those lunch pitch
meetings with the CEO of a tech company (2,000+ employees.)
I’d just spent 10 minutes pitching to him.
A good pitch. A solid idea. Very clear slides.

And I was offering LOTS of value.


The whole time, he sat there stone-faced.
No emotion. No appreciation … No love.

But who cares?


I don’t get paid in “smiles.”
I get paid in dollars, and this was going to be a $1 million fee.

WIth that kind of pay, I dont need an “attaboy” and a pat-on-the-back every 2-
minutes.

My pitch was good … I clearly described a major industry problem ...


Then I showed how my company solves it, and how I deliver a big increase in
PROFITS.

And the pitch was executed perfectly...


I demonstrated value, then showed we had traction of doing this over and over
and over and over and over and over …
All of my story building toward the one slide I was most proud of — the climax
of my presentation.
I clicked to my next slide to reveal a “hockey stick” graph (you know that chart
that is always up-and-to-the-right).

I said, “We will increase your cash-flow by 3.5 MILLION,”

A big number, right? A good number.

Right? ...sir? ...hello ….you with me here?


Now I’d delivered that same slide dozens of times to plenty of other
CEO’s, entrepreneurs, and executives.

While it hadn’t gotten any applause, nobody ever seemed broken up about it.
Usually a few shrugs, and a few notes would be taken.

“Looks good to me,” they would say.


(Then we'd negotiate a price.)
But not this time.

This time the CEO laughed, and rolled his eyes.

Worse ...

He pushed his chair back with a kind of “this meeting is about to be over” body
language.

His laugh was not a loud or obnoxious laugh.

More of a “you poor sap” laugh like the one you got when you told your
highschool guidance counselor ... "I want to be an astronaut.”

Couldn’t miss it.

The “eye-roll, chair push, and laugh” was enough to catch my attention, and
stop my presentation.
I had to ask him what was so funny.

“You don’t see why this slide is a joke?” he said.

“No,” I answered. “This seems like the most important slide in my deck. It’s
projecting the value I’m going to provide to your company.”
He pointed to my j-curve, or the “hockey-stick” chart I showed above.

“That… right there. That’s what’s funny,” he said.


He continued …
“What do you think it is we do here Oren? You think we invest in risky sh** all
day long … j ust to see what might work out, and hoping we get lucky?”

I shrugged. “I figured you love to see high-reward opportunities.”


“Nah, you’ve got it all wrong,” he said while shaking his head and laughing
some more.
“We don’t invest in high-potential opportunities... until we see the downside
protection," he said.

Whaaaaa, downside protection??


WHAT IS DOWNSIDE PROTECTION?
Downside protection occurs when the management of a company seeks to
prevent losses while investing in new and uncertain opportunities. It is a
common objective of management and investors to seek "protection" from
large losses BEFORE considering new investments.

And here was the secret to unlocking new accounts.

DOWNSIDE PROTECTION.
It's so important because most experienced companies know that Big
Awesome Financial Successes are very hard to come buy. In other words, the
hockey stick never does that up-and-to-the-right thing you promised it would.
My mistake was showing the hockey stick slide first.

Every CEO has seen a 1,000 of these.


In reality, they never work out.

When you show a "hockey stick" chart to a buyer, you


force him to think ...
1) I need your product/service to perform absolutely perfectly every day for the
next three years; and,

2) I need my company to work perfectly with your company even though our
people have never met or done a single thing together, ever.
3) What are the chances of that actually happening?

“pretty low.”

EXACTLY pretty low!, the CEO said to me, bringing his big palm down on the
table with a WHACK. (I won this deal eventually, but it took another six months
of running around.)
THE LESSON LEARNED
Always show the buyer a "downside protection" slide before showing your J-
curve hockey-stick best-case scenario.

You can say something like, "This next slide is the "downside scenario." Of
course, it's not what we're aiming for, but it's a realistic look how, if everything
that can go wrong, does go wrong, we can still perform and meet a minimum
level of success."
THEN ...
You can ask permission to show the upside scenario (of course they will
want to see it.)

You can say it like this, "Ok if I show you the upside case? I think you're really
going to like the big picture and what a big win looks like ...”

Do it this way, exactly, and you’ll be the rare kind of dealmaker that
executives love to work with.

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