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Slides Module 4 Lesson 6

This document discusses using natural log transformations in linear regression models. It explains that taking the natural log of variables can improve linearity and allow regression coefficients to be interpreted as elasticities or growth rates. The document provides an example of using a log-log or semi-log regression model to predict annual cocoa demand based on price and per-capita income, and to build a 95% confidence interval around the prediction.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
55 views23 pages

Slides Module 4 Lesson 6

This document discusses using natural log transformations in linear regression models. It explains that taking the natural log of variables can improve linearity and allow regression coefficients to be interpreted as elasticities or growth rates. The document provides an example of using a log-log or semi-log regression model to predict annual cocoa demand based on price and per-capita income, and to build a 95% confidence interval around the prediction.

Uploaded by

padma
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Linear Regression for Business Statistics

Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.

 Log-log as well as the Semi-log interpretation.


Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.

 Log-log as well as the Semi-log interpretation.

 1 and 2 is a log-log interpretation, a.k.a. Elasticity interpretation.


Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Example: Annual demand for cocoa in million pounds over a period of time.

 Log-log as well as the Semi-log interpretation.

 1 and 2 is a log-log interpretation, a.k.a. Elasticity interpretation.

 3 is a semi-log interpretation, a.k.a. Growth Rate interpretation.


Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

 Natural logs may be taken for reasons other than improving


R-square.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

 Natural logs may be taken for reasons other than improving


R-square.

 When we want ‘Betas’ to be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth


Rates.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

 Natural logs may be taken for reasons other than improving


R-square.

 When we want ‘Betas’ to be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth


Rates.

 Two main reasons for taking a natural log transformation.

1. Improve Linearity.

2. Have ‘Betas’ be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth Rates.


Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

 Natural logs may be taken for reasons other than improving


R-square.

 When we want ‘Betas’ to be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth


Rates.

 Two main reasons for taking a natural log transformation.

1. Improve Linearity.

2. Have ‘Betas’ be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth Rates.


Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

 Natural logs may be taken for reasons other than improving


R-square.

 When we want ‘Betas’ to be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth


Rates.

 Two main reasons for taking a natural log transformation.

1. Improve Linearity.

2. Have ‘Betas’ be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth Rates.


Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

 Natural logs may be taken for reasons other than improving


R-square.

 When we want ‘Betas’ to be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth


Rates.

 Two main reasons for taking a natural log transformation.

1. Improve Linearity.

2. Have ‘Betas’ be interpreted as Elasticities or Growth Rates.


Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Predict the cocoa demand for the following year and build a 95%
confidence interval around the prediction.
Assume, for the following year, the price to be 1.15$ per pound and
the per-capita income to be 40,000$.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Predict the cocoa demand for the following year and build a 95%
confidence interval around the prediction.
Assume, for the following year, the price to be 1.15$ per pound and
the per-capita income to be 40,000$.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Predict the cocoa demand for the following year and build a 95%
confidence interval around the prediction.
Assume, for the following year, the price to be 1.15$ per pound and
the per-capita income to be 40,000$.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Predict the cocoa demand for the following year and build a 95%
confidence interval around the prediction.
Assume, for the following year, the price to be 1.15$ per pound and
the per-capita income to be 40,000$.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

Predict the cocoa demand for the following year and build a 95%
confidence interval around the prediction.
Assume, for the following year, the price to be 1.15$ per pound and
the per-capita income to be 40,000$.
Linear Regression for Business Statistics
Natural Log transformation in a Regression Model.

The Log-log Model.

The Semi-log Model.

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