Financial Management Insights
Financial Management Insights
Agency theory
Agency theory is the relationship between the various interested parties in the firm. An
agency relationship exists when one party, the principal, employs another party, the
agent, to perform a task on their behalf. For example, a manager is an agent of the
shareholders. Similarly, an employee is an agent of the managers. Conflicts of interests
exist when the interests of the agent are different from the interests of the principal. For
example, an employee is likely to be interested in higher pay whereas the manager may
want to cut costs. It is therefore important for the principal to find ways of reducing the
conflicts of interest. One example is to introduce a method of remuneration for the
agent that is dependent on the extent to which the interests of the principal are fulfilled
– e.g. a director may be given share options so that he is encouraged to maximise the
value of the shares of the company.
Goal congruence
Goal congruence is where the conflict of interest is removed and the interests of the
agent are the same as the interests of the principal. The main approach to achieving this
is through the remuneration scheme, that of giving share options to the directors.
However, no one scheme is likely to be ‘perfect’. For example, although share options
encourage directors to maximise the value of shares in the company, the directors are
more likely to be concerned about the short-term effect of decision on the share price
rather than worry about the long-term effect. The shareholders are more likely to be
concerned with long-term growth. An alternative approach is to introduce profit-related
pay, for example by awarding a bonus based on the level of profits. However, again this
may not always achieve the desired goal congruence – directors may be tempted to use
creative accounting to boost the profit figure, and additionally are perhaps more likely
to be concerned more with short-term profitability rather than long-term.
a. Empire building Chief executives having the aim of building as large a group as
possible by takeovers – not always improving the return to shareholders
c. Of balance sheet finance For example, leasing assets rather than purchasing them
(although this is now dealt with by the Accounting Standards)
d. Takeover bids There have been many instances of directors spending time and
money defending their company against takeover bids, even when the takeover
would have been in the best interests of the shareholders. The reason for this is
suggested as being that the directors are frightened for their own jobs were the
takeover bid to succeed.
e. Unethical activities Such as trading with unethical countries, using ‘slave’ labour,
spying on competitors, testing products on animals.
f. Corporate governance Corporate governance is the combination of rules, processes
or laws by which businesses are operated, regulated or controlled. The term
encompasses the internal and external factors that affect the interests of a
company's stakeholders, including shareholders, customers, suppliers, government
regulators and management.
In the UK there is a mix of legislative (Companies Acts) and institutionally endorsed
voluntary codes. Institutional investor input to boards is generally weak, although
recent years have seen a greater emphasis on strong non-executives and better
corporate reporting.
4. What are the traditional and basic methods of interest rate risk management?
Answer:
(i) matching and smoothing
(ii) asset and liability management
(iii) forward rate agreements
Smoothing
In this simple approach to interest rate risk management the loans or deposits are
simply divided so that some are fixed rate and some are variable rate. Looking at
borrowings, if interest rates rise, only the variable rate loans will cost more and this will
have less impact than if all borrowings had been at variable rate. Deposits can be
similarly smoothed.
Matching
This approach requires a business to have both assets and liabilities with the same kind
of interest rate. The closer the two amounts the better.
5. Identify the main types of interest rate derivatives used to hedge interest rate risk and
explain how they are used in hedging
Answer:
(i) Interest rate futures
(ii) Interest rate options
(iii) Interest rate caps, floors and collars
(iv) Interest rate swaps
Futures contracts are financial derivatives that oblige the buyer to purchase some
underlying asset (or the seller to sell that asset) at a predetermined future price and
date.
Options Contract:
An options contract is an agreement between two parties to facilitate a potential
transaction involving an asset at a preset price and date.
Call options can be purchased as a leveraged bet on the appreciation of an asset, while
put options are purchased to profit from price declines. Buying an option offers the right,
but not the obligation to purchase or sell the underlying asset.
Currency Swaps:
If a company does business around the world, it may experience currency risk - that the
exchange rate will change when converting foreign money back into domestic currency.
Currency swaps are a way to help hedge against that type of currency risk by swapping
cash flows in the foreign currency with domestic at a pre-determined rate.
Considered to be a foreign exchange transaction, currency swaps are not required by law
to be shown on a company's balance sheet the same way a forward or options contract
would.
b) The clientele effects. This idea suggests that investors buy shares that ‘suit’ their
needs. So, a pension fund will base much of its investment portfolio on its need to
produce income to pay to pensioners. It will therefore invest heavily in shares that
pay regular, relatively predictable dividends. Similarly, tax can affect investment
decisions if gains are taxed less severely than income. If a company abruptly changes
its dividend policy it will disturb investors’ carefully constructed portfolios and
investors will have to adjust their mix of shares incurring transaction costs. It is
sometimes argued that if a cut in dividend reduces an investor’s income, the investor
can sell some shares to manufacture ‘income’. Of course, this will again incur
transaction costs and different tax treatment.
c) Liquidity preference. Some shareholders invest for income and others for capital
growth. If they require income then they will choose to invest in companies that have
a record of high dividend payments whereas if they prefer growth then they will
choose companies that have a record of lower dividends but more retention and
expansion. If, for example, an investor requires income and has therefore chosen a
company paying high dividends, they are going to be unhappy if the company
changes its policy and starts to retain a higher proportion of earnings.
d) Scrip dividends. a very common practice in recent years has been to ofer investors
the choice between taking dividends in cash or in shares. Tis overcomes the ‘liquidity
preference’ problem by allowing each shareholder to choose whichever is best for
them
Risk management: ‘A process of understanding and managing the risks that the entity is
inevitably subject to in attempting to achieve its corporate objectives. For management
purposes, risks are usually divided into categories such as operational, financial, legal
compliance, information and personnel. One example of an integrated solution to risk
management is enterprise risk management.’
1. Currency risk: risk that the value of a financial instrument will fluctuate due to
changes in foreign exchange rates (IAS 32).
a) Transaction risk This is the risk that a transaction in a foreign currency at one
exchange rate is settled at another rate (because the rate has changed). It is
this risk that the financial manager may attempt to manage.
b) Translation (or accounting) risk This relates to the exchange profits or losses
that result from converting foreign currency balances for the purposes of
preparing the accounts. These are of less relevance to the financial manager,
because they are book entries as opposed to actual cash flows.
c) Economic risk This refers to the change in the present value of future cash
flows due to unexpected movements in foreign exchange rates. E.g. raw
material imports increasing in cost.
2. Interest rate risk: risk that interest rate changes will affect the financial wellbeing of
an entity. This includes changes in interest rates adversely affecting the value and
liquidity of fixed or floating rate exposures. In addition to bond prices, interest rate
fluctuations also directly affect stock prices, foreign exchange rates and economic
growth.
3. Liquidity: funding or cash flow risk: risk that an entity will encounter difficulty in
realising assets or otherwise raising funds to meet commitments associated with
financial instruments.
4. Credit risk: the possibility that a loss may occur from the failure of another party to
perform according to the terms of a contract. One form of credit risk is debt leverage
risk: the larger a debt becomes as a portion of an entity’s capital structure; the risk of
default of interest payments and repayment of the principal becomes greater.
Prohibitions:
i. As a consequence of the laws regarding the generation of wealth, it is strictly forbidden
to use money for the purpose of making money – i.e. it is forbidden to charge interest
(riba)
ii. Investments in businesses dealing with alcohol, gambling, drugs, pork, pornography or
anything else that the Shariah considers unlawful or undesirable (haram)
ii. Ijara This is effectively a lease, where the lessee pays rent to the lessor to use the asset.
Depending on the agreement, at the end ot he rental period the lessor might take back
the asset (effectively an operating lease) or might sell it to the lessee (effectively a
finance lease – Ijara-wa-Iqtina).
iii. Muduraba This is similar to equity finance, or a special kind of partnership. The investor
provides capital and the business partner runs the business. Profits are shared between
both parties, but all losses are attributable to the investor (limited to the capital
provided).
iv. Musharaka This again is similar to a partnership, but here both parties provide both
capital and expertise. Profits are shared between the parties according to whatever ratio
is agreed in the contract, but losses are shared in proportion to the capital contributions.
It is regarded as being similar to venture capital.
v. Sukuk This is the equivalent of debt finance (Islamic bonds). Sukuk must have an
underlying tangible asset, and the holders of the Sukuk certificates have ownership of a
proportional share of the asset, sharing revenues from the asset but also sharing the
ownership risk. There are two types of sukuk
a. Asset based Sukuk – raising finance where the principal is covered by the capital
value of the asset but the returns and repayments to sukuk holders are not directly
financed by these assets.
b. Asset backed sukuk – raising finance where the principal is covered by the capital
value of the asset but the returns and repayments to sukuk holders are directly
financed by these assets.
vi. Salam contracts are similar to forward contracts, where a commodity (or service) is sold
today for future delivery. Cash is received immediately from the IFI and the quantity,
quality, and the future date and time of delivery are determined immediately. The sale
will probably be at a discount so that the IFI can make a profit. In turn, the IFI would
probably sell the contract to another buyer for immediate cash and profit, in a parallel
Salam arrangement. Salam contracts are prohibited for commodities such as gold, silver
and other money-type assets.
vii. Istisna contracts are often used for long-term, large construction projects of property
and machinery. Here, the IFI funds the construction project for a client that is delivered
on completion to the IFI’s client. The client pays an initial deposit, followed by
instalments, to the IFI, the amount and frequency of which are determined at the start of
the contract.
viii. Sharia Boards (SBs) ensure that all products and services offered by IFIs are compliant
with the principles of Sharia rules. They review and oversee all new product offerings
made by the IFI and make judgments on an individual case-by-case basis, regarding their
acceptability with Sharia rulings. Additionally, SBs often oversee Sharia compliant
training programmes for an IFI’s employees and participate in the preparation and
approval of the IFI’s annual reports. SBs are in-turn supervised by the International
Association of Islamic Bankers (IAIB).
ix. Islamic finance institutions (IFIs), including banks, could raise finance via Mudaraba and
Musharaka equity-type contracts through multi-partnership contracts (see below). Here,
investors (known as rub-ul-mal) would invest funds with the IFI (known as the mudareb
or investment manager). The funds are then pooled and used in profit-making projects
while also keeping within Sharia rules. Therefore, the IFI would effectively become the
rub-ul-mal and the corporation that uses the funds for investment purposes becomes
the mudareb. In each case, the emphasis is on partnerships, and the profits earned are
shared between the corporation, the bank and the investors.
x. Diminishing Musharaka contracts are a recent innovation where not only are the profits
shared between rub-ul-mal(investor ) and the mudareb (investment manager), but the
mudareb would pay greater amounts to the rub-ul-mal. In this way the mudareb owns
greater and greater proportion of the asset, until eventually the ownership of the asset is
passed to the mudareb entirely.
12. Behavioural Finance terms
Behavioural finance attempts to explain how decision makers take financial decisions in
real life, and why their decisions might not appear to be rational every time and,
therefore, have unpredictable consequences.
Market Paradox. This occurs because in order for markets to be efficient, investors have
to believe that they are inefficient. This is because if investors believe markets are
efficient, there would be no point in actively trading shares –which would mean that
markets would not react efficiently to new information.
Herding. This refers to when investors buy or sell shares in a company or sector because
many other investors have already done so. Explanations for investors following a herd
instinct include social conformity, the desire not to act differently from others. Following
a herd instinct may also be due to individual investors lacking the confidence to make
their own judgements, believing that a large group of other investors cannot be wrong.
Market Bubble. If many investors follow a herd instinct to buy shares in a certain sector.
This can result in significant price rises for shares in that sector and lead to a stock
market bubble.
Noise Traders. There is also evidence to suggest that stock market ‘professionals’ often
do not base their decisions on rational analysis. Studies have shown that there are
traders in stock markets who do not base their decisions on fundamental analysis of
company performance and prospects. They are known as noise traders. Characteristics
associated with noise traders include making poorly timed decisions and following
trends.
Loss Aversion. Avoiding investments that have the risk of making losses, even though
expected value analysis suggests that, in the long-term, they will make significant capital
gains. Investors with loss aversion may also prefer to invest in companies that look likely
to make stable, but low, profits, rather than companies that may make higher profits in
some years but possibly losses in others.
Momentum Effect. A period of rising share prices may result in a general feeling of
optimism that prices will continue to rise and an increased willingness to invest in
companies that show prospects for growth. If a momentum effect exists, then it is likely
to lengthen periods of stock market boom or bust.
13. What contributes to the risk suffered by equity shareholders, hence contributing to
the beta value?
Answer:
There are two main components of the risk suffered by equity shareholders:
The nature of the business. Businesses that provide capital goods are expected to show
relatively risky behaviour because capital expenditure can be deferred in a recession
and these companies’ returns will therefore be volatile. You would expect ßi > 1 for
such companies. On the other hand, a supermarket business might be expected to show
less risk than average because people have to eat, even during recessions. You would
expect ßi < 1 for such companies as they offer relatively stable returns.
The level of gearing. In an ungeared company (ie one without borrowing), there is a
straight relationship between profits from operations and earnings available to
shareholders. Once gearing, and therefore interest, is introduced, the amounts
available to ordinary shareholders become more volatile.
The rate of return required by shareholders (the cost of equity) will also be affected by
two factors:
i. The nature of the company’s operations.
ii. The amount of gearing in the company.
When we talk about, or calculate, the ‘cost of equity’ we have to be clear what we
mean. Is this a cost which reflects only the business risk, or is it a cost which reflects the
business risk plus the gearing risk?
When using the dividend growth model, you measure what you measure. In other
words, if you use the dividends, dividend growth and share price of a company which
has no gearing, you will inevitably measure the ungeared cost of equity. That’s what
shareholders are happy with in this environment. If, however, these quantities are
derived from a geared company, you will inevitably measure the geared company’s cost
of equity.
Conventional theory
When there is only equity, the WACC starts at the cost of equity. As the more expensive
equity finance is replaced by cheaper debt finance, the WACC decreases. However, as
gearing increases further, both debt holders and equity shareholders will perceive more
risk, and their required returns both increase. Inevitably, WACC must increase at some
point. This theory predicts that there is an optimum gearing ratio at which WACC is
minimised.
Conclusion:
Whichever theory you believe, whether there is or isn’t tax, provided the gearing ratio
does not change the WACC will not change. Therefore, if a new project consisting of
more business activities of the same type is to be funded so as to maintain the present
gearing ratio, the current WACC is the appropriate discount rate to use. In the special
case of M&M without tax, you can do anything you like with the gearing ratio as the
WACC will remain constant and will be equal to the ungeared cost of equity.
Summary:
i. M + M (No Tax): Cheaper Debt = Increase in Financial Risk / Keg
ii. M + M (With Tax): Cheaper Debt > Increase in Financial Risk / Keg
iii. Traditional Theory: The WACC is U shaped, ie there is an optimum gearing ratio
iv. The Pecking Order: No theorised process; simply the line of least resistance first
internally generated funds, then debt and finally new issue of equity
Approximated YTM
It’s important to understand that the formula above is only useful for an approximated YTM.
In order to calculate the true YTM, an analyst or investor must use the trial and error method.
This is done by using a variety of rates that are substituted into the current value slot of the
formula. The true YTM is determined once the price matches that of the security’s actual
current market price.
The formula’s purpose is to determine the yield of a bond (or other fixed-asset security)
according to its most recent market price. The YTM calculation is structured to show – based
on compounding – the effective yield a security should have once it reaches maturity. It is
different from simple yield, which determines the yield a security should have upon maturity,
but is based on dividends and not compounded interest.
Initial margin
When a futures hedge is set up the market is concerned that the party opening a
position by buying or selling futures will not be able to cover any losses that may arise.
Hence, the market demands that a deposit is placed into a margin account with the
broker being used – this deposit is called the ‘initial margin’.
These funds still belong to the party setting up the hedge but are controlled by the
broker and can be used if a loss arises. Indeed, the party setting up the hedge will earn
interest on the amount held in their account with their broker. The broker in turn keeps
a margin account with the exchange so that the exchange is holding sufficient deposits
for all the positions held by brokers’ clients.
Maintenance Margin
Maintenance margin is the minimum amount of equity that an investor must maintain in
the margin account after the purchase has been made. Maintenance margin is currently
set at 25% of the total value of the securities in a margin account as per FINRA
requirements. The investor may be hit with a margin call if the account equity falls
below the maintenance margin threshold which may necessitate that the investor
liquidate positions until the requirement is satisfied.
Formula:
Variation Margin = Initial Margin - Margin Balance
Corporate governance is concerned with how companies are directed and controlled.
The purpose of this chapter is to briefly compare how this is approached in different
countries, and to consider in more detail the approach in the UK. In the UK there is a mix
of legislative (Companies Acts) and institutionally endorsed voluntary codes. Institutional
investor input to boards is generally weak, although recent years have seen a greater
emphasis on strong non-executives and better corporate reporting.
Option to delay:
Suppose we are considering a project, but the returns are uncertain because of forecast
general economic problems over the next few years. The ability to delay starting the
project could be attractive because if economic conditions turn out to be unfavourable,
we could cancel, whereas if they turn out to be favourable, we could go ahead and
maybe get even better returns. The fact that we would be able to remove the
‘downside’ potential would mean that we had an option and this would be worth paying
for. It would effectively be a call option (the right to invest in a project at a future date)
Option to expand
This would be similar to an option to delay in that we could invest a certain amount in
the project now and decide later whether or not to invest more if project is successful.
Again, this right would be worth money to us and could be valued, as a call option.
Option to abandon
We usually assume that the project lasts for the full life of asset. However, if the cash
flows turned out to be lower than expected, we would clearly want to be able to
consider stopping the project early. This right would effectively be a put option.
Option to redeploy
Projections of a project could turn out to be wrong and it could be beneficial to
effectively stop the project earlier than planned and use the resources towards another
project. This ability would be a put option.
Greeks:
Black and Scholes produced formulae to measure the rate of change in the options price
with changes in each of the factors listed. You do not need to know the formulae, but
you need to be aware of the names given to each of the measures as follows:
i. Delta - The rate at which the option price changes with the share price (=N(d1))
ii. Theta - The rate at which the option price changes with the passing of time.
iii. Vega - The rate at which option price changes with changes in the volatility of the
share
iv. Rho - The rate at which option price changes with changes in the risk-free
interest rate
v. Gamma - The rate at which delta changes
One common use of securitisation occurs when banks lend through mortgages, credit
cards, car loans or other forms of credit, they invariably move to ‘lay off’ their risk by a
process of securitisation. Such loans are an asset on the statement of financial position,
representing cash flow to the bank in future years through interest payments and
eventual repayment of the principal sum involved. By securitising the loans, the bank
removes the risk attached to its future cash receipts and converts the loan back into
cash, which it can lend again, and so on, in an expanding cycle of credit formation.
Securitisation may be also appropriate for an organisation which wants to enhance its
credit rating by using low-risk cash flows, such as rental income from commercial
property, which will be diverted into a "ring-fenced" SPV.
CDOs are a way of repackaging the risk of a large number of risky assets such as sub-
prime mortgages. Unlike a bond issue, where the risk is spread thinly between all the
bond holders, CDOs concentrate the risk into investment layers or ‘tranches’, so that
some investors take proportionately more of the risk for a bigger return and others take
little or no risk for a much lower return.
1. Tranche 1 (highest risk) known as the ‘equity’ tranche and normally comprising
about 10% of the value of the mortgages in the pool. Throughout the CDOs’ life, the
equity tranche will absorb any losses brought about by default on the part of
mortgage holders, up to the point that the principal underpinning the tranche is
exhausted. At this point the investment is worthless.
2. Tranche 2 (intermediate risk or ‘mezzanine’ tranche) consists of around 10% of the
principal and will absorb any losses not absorbed by the equity tranche until the
point at which its principal is also exhausted.
3. Tranche 3 (AAA or ‘senior’ tranche) consists of the balance of the pool value and will
absorb any residual losses.
21. Miscellaneous
Pecking order theory
Pecking order theory starts that companies raise finance in the ‘easiest’ way (or the ‘law of
least effort’) and that therefore they prefer to use internal funds (retained earnings) first,
followed by debt finance, only raising new equity as a last resort.
CD = Certificates of Deposit
In exchange for a deposit of funds the issuer writes a receipt (the CD) offering a one-of
interest payment plus repayment of the face value of the deposit at maturity. The CDs are
negotiable and can be traded.