Chapter 4 - Research Methodology
Chapter 4 - Research Methodology
Chapter 4
Research Methodology
Chapter No. Contents Page No.
4.1 Introduction 54
4.2 Statement of Problem 54
4.3 Objectives of the Study 55
4.4 Hypothesis 55
4.5 Research Design 58
4.5.1 Research Study 58
4.5.1.1 Exploratory Research 58
4.5.1.2 Descriptive Research 58
4.5.1.3 Causal Research 59
4.5.2 The Universe 59
4.5.3 Sampling Element 60
4.5.4 Sampling Frame 60
4.5.5 Sample 60
4.5.6 Sampling Technique 60
4.5.7 Sample Size 61
4.5.8 Method of Data Collection 61
4.5.9 Tools of Data Collection/Research 62
Instrument
4.5.10 Description of the Measurement Scale 63
4.5.11 Pilot Testing of Questionnaire 78
4.5.12 Coding the Questionnaire 78
4.5.13 Time Dimension of the Study 80
4.5.14 The Research Environment 80
4.5.15 Procedure of Research 80
4.5.15.1 Dependent Variables 81
4.5.15.2 Independent Variables 82
4.5.16 Data Analysis 82
4.5.17 Software used for Data Analysis 82
4.6 Conclusion 83
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
4.1 Introduction
Research comprises the fundamental and supporting block of every subject base. It
could be defined as methodical and planned process undertaken to come at conclusion
of predefined problem. Grinnel (1993) has simplified the debate and stated that the
word research is a combination of two words, re and search. The lexicon defines
research as in two conclusion ways the prefix means again, unique and the suffix as to
examine closely or carefully. Combined, they make of word that is structured and
careful study undertaken for the examination or investigation of some facts,
undertaken to ascertain facts or principles. Kothari (1999) defines research as
scientific and systematic search for relevant information on a specific topic.
Following unit of the chapter provides how systematically the study conducted, which
specifies the method of attaining the stated research objectives in the best possible
manner.
Human behaviour has largely been ignored in understanding financial market. The
most researches on investor‟s behaviour has focused on testing the efficiency of the
financial market identifying the anomalies due to investor‟s behaviour and testing the
assumption that economic agent is rational as prescribed by expected utility theory.
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
The traditional models do not fully explain the movement in the share price.
Researcher advocates that understanding investor‟s sentiment can offer a better
explanation of stock price performance. The factors that affect investors sentiment is
need to be identified.
4.4 Hypothesis
In present study, following hypothesis have been developed to achieve the objectives
of the study.
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
H04: Investor‟s Optimism is not influenced by the Risk and Cost Factors
(RCF)
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
1) In Indian stock market, most of the shares are overvalued relative to their
fundamental value.
2) A major stock market correction like that of the 2008 could happen in India
in next 12 months.
H015: Stock Market Outlook is not influenced by the Internet Led Access to
Information and Trading (ILAIT)
H017: Stock Market Outlook is not influenced by Risk and Cost Factor (RCF)
H019: Stock Market Outlook is not influenced by Who Else is Buying (WEB)
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
After establishing objectives of research the next step is to decide what will be the
form of study (Research Design). It stipulates the method of achieving the objectives
in the best possible manner. Research design entails the detailed plan for executing
the research study (Thyer 1993).
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The said study, descriptive could be further bifurcated into categories like (1) Cross
sectional study; is carried out at a single moment of time and on a segment of
respondents from the population units under the study. The practical applications of
the study are most pertinent for a specified time period (Chawla et. al. 2011). In
multiple cross sectional design the response is recorded from two or more segments
and the response from each sample is recorded only once (Malhotra, 2009). (2)
Longitudinal design is where the response is recorded from same segment of people
over time and the same variables are examined (Malhotra, 2009).
It is used to get proof of cause and effect relationships (Malhotra, 2009).It is also
called as experimental research design. Researcher actively manipulates one or more
causal variables and measures their influence on the dependent variables of interest
through experiment (Chawla et. al. 2011).
In this study, researcher has used two stage research approaches. In the first instance,
exploratory research was used to explore and obtain clarity about the problem
situation. Exploratory research has been conducted by using following methods. 1)
Qualitative research was done by conducting in-depth focus group interview of senior
level experienced and expert persons in share broking industry. 2) Secondary data
(authenticated and published data) was collected from journals and computerized
database such as Proquest, JSTOR, Emerald.
In the second stage, descriptive research was conducted for gathering data for testing
the research hypotheses. This design used to validate the hypothesis generated from
exploratory research. Descriptive research is most suitable for this research as it
enables researcher to identify and describe which are the factors affecting investor‟s
sentiment.
Population presents as any collection of people or objects that constitute the main
subject of study in a specific survey and are alike in one or more ways (Chawla et. al.,
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4.5.5 Sample
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= 384.16
= 385
Where
n = Sample size
Z= Z value from the standard normal distribution for the confidence level looked-for
by the researcher. For this study researcher has assumed 95 percent confidence
level. Then from the standard distribution table the Z value is 1.96.
π = frequency of occurrence of something expressed as a proportion
D= Tolerable error. This can be decided by the researcher. For this study researcher
assumed tolerable error 0.05.
As per the above calculation number of sample required for the study is 385 but under
the current study researcher has taken response from 539 respondents which is more
than sufficient to estimate the population proportions with 95 percent confidence level
and allowable tolerance limit of 0.05.
Sources of Data
For this research primary as well as secondary data have been used for further
analysis. Secondary data used to develop theoretical framework and to get insight into
the research problem. Secondary data have been collected from published
authenticated material such as journals, newspapers, internet and books.
Computerized database such as Proquest, Jstor and Emerald were also used to collect
secondary data. In present study, secondary data for the period up to 2014 have been
used.
Primary data is original and collected for the specific objectives and needs described
by the researcher. It might be qualitative or quantitative in nature. Primary qualitative
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
data collection is in-depth and collected through interaction and unstructured way.
Qualitative data collection method includes observation, focus groups study, in-depth
interviews, content analysis etc, For this study, researcher has conducted focused-
group interview with experts in stock market to get insight into the problem. For
collection of quantitative primary data, structured questionnaire was developed.
Questionnaires were personally administered and explained to respondents to ensure
accurate collection of data. The primary data was collected through personal interview
and online survey.
As the population was very large, practically it was not possible to collect data from
every parts of the country. So majority of data was collected from Gujarat and
remaining state‟s data was collected through online survey. Data was collected by
visiting the different share brokers‟ offices such as Motilal Oswal Securities ltd,
Marwadi Share Broker Ltd, Angel Broking, Religare Securities, Reliance Securities,
Sharekhan Ltd. Data was also collected through friends and family contacts. Data was
collected during the period from September 2014 to March 2015.
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Investor‟s Optimism In India, share price will rise for the next 12 Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012);
months scale Rating Likert E.Bennet et al. (2011);
Scale Singhvi, (2001); Shiller,
(1999)
If the Indian stock market Index dropped on Interval Seven Point Shiller, (1999);
tomorrow, I would guess that it would recover scale Rating Likert Singhvi, (2001)
most of losses in few days Scale
Investor‟s Presently I will stay invested in the Indian stock Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012);
Participation market scale Rating Likert E.Bennet et al. (2013);
Scale Singhvi, (2001); Shiller
(1999)
I plan to increase my investment in the Indian Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012);
stock market in the next 12 months scale Rating Likert E.Bennet et al. (2013);
Scale Singhvi, (2001); Shiller
(1999)
Stock Market In Indian stock market, most of the stocks are Interval Seven Point Shiller, (1999); Singhvi,
Outlook overvalued relative to their fundamental value scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
A major stock market correction like that of the Interval Seven Point Shiller, (1999); Singhvi,
2008 could happen in Indian in next 12 months scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
Macro-Economic Rate of Inflation Interval Seven Point Abdullah & Hayworth, (1993); H3,H14
Factors scale Rating Likert Mukherjee and Naka, (1995);
Scale Maysami and Koh, (2000);
Udegbunam and Eriki, (2001);
Li & Wearing, (2002); H.A.H.
Al- Tamimi, (2006); Türsoy et
al. (2008); Sehgal Sanjay et al.
(2009); E.Bennet et al. (2012);
Singhvi, (2001)
Rate of Interest Interval Seven Point Bulmash and Trivoli, (1991);
scale Rating Likert Abdullah & Hayworth, (1993);
Scale Mukherjee and Naka, (1995);
Maysami and Koh, (2000), Li &
Wearing, (2002); Türsoy et al.
(2008); Sehgal Sanjay et al.
(2009); E.Bennet et al. (2012);
Singhvi, (2001)
GDP, GNP Interval Seven Point Chaudhuri and Smiles, (2004).
scale Rating Likert Sehgal Sanjay et al. (2009).
Scale
Strength of Indian Rupee vs. Interval Seven Point Mukherjee and Naka, (1995);
other major currencies scale Rating Likert Maysami and Koh, (2000);
Scale E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
(2001)
Unemployment Rate Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
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Price of crude oil Interval Seven Point Chaudhuri and Smiles, (2004).
scale Rating Likert E.Bennet et al. (2012) Singhvi
Scale ,(2001)
Availability of corporate research Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
scale Rating Likert (2001).
Scale
Government policy toward Interval Seven Point Hasan Al- Tamimi, (2006).
business scale Rating Likert
Scale
Herd Behaviour Stories of successful investors Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al,(2012) Singhvi , H1,H13
scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Get quick rich philosophy Interval Seven Point H.A.H.Al -Tamimi, (2006);
scale Rating Likert E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
Scale (2001)
Greed among investors Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Performance Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
of Internet stock scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Media focus on stock market Interval Seven Point Mian, and Sankaraguruswamy,
scale Rating Likert (2008); Tetlock Paul C., (2007)
Scale
Media coverage of stock Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
Perception of „easy money‟ Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
among investors scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Everyone else is investing Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Best Game in Performance of Indian stock Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi, H6
Town market vs other stock market scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Can‟t depend on social security Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
to fund the retirement like scale Rating Likert (2001)
PF/Gratuity/Post office saving Scale
Target Saving rate Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012);
scale Rating Likert Singhvi,(2001)
Scale
Lower rate of return in E.Bennet et al. (2012)
government bond
Internet led Online trading Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012) H2,H15
Access to scale Rating Likert
Information and Scale
Trading Information age and access to Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Brad M
information scale Rating Likert Barber and Terrance Odean,
Scale (2001); Singhvi, (2001)
Access to tools and technology Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
via internet scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Low cost of executing trade Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Information available on internet Interval Seven Point Barber and Odean, (2001);
scale Rating Likert Singhvi, (2001)
Scale
Risk and Cost Cost cutting by corporation Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi, H4,H17
Factor scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Technological advancement at Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
company level scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Investor‟s risk tolerance level Interval Seven Point Kannadhasan. M, (2006);
scale Rating Likert E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
Scale (2001)
Political stability Interval Seven Point E.Bennet et al. (2012); Singhvi,
scale Rating Likert (2001)
Scale
Statement from politician and Interval Seven Point Singhvi, (2001)
government official scale Rating Likert
Scale
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
Firm status in Industry Interval Seven Point Hossain and Nasrin, (2012);
scale Rating Likert Merikas et al. (2003); Singhvi,
Scale (2001)
Price Earning Price to Earnings Ratio Interval Seven Point Moore and Beltz, (2002); Ishii
Ratio and scale Rating Likert and Metrick, (2003); Sehgal
Familiarity with Scale Sanjay et al. (2009); E.Bennet
Firm Product and et al. (2011).
Service Familiarity of firm products and Interval Seven Point Hossain and Nasrin, (2012)
service scale Rating Likert
Scale
Other variable Do you invest in the stock listed in Nominal Dichotomous
Indian Stock Market? Scale Question
Tell me the number of the years Ratio Scale Hossain and Nasrin, (2012)
you have been investing in the
stock market?
Brand name Interval Seven Point Singhvi, (2001)
scale Rating Likert
Scale
Perceived ethics of firms Interval Seven Point Singhvi, (2001)
scale Rating Likert
Scale
Mass marketing by mutual funds Interval Seven Point
scale Rating Likert
Scale
Mass marketing by discount Interval Seven Point Singhvi, (2001)
brokerage house scale Rating Likert
Scale
Institutional ownership Interval Seven Point Singhvi, (2001)
scale Rating Likert
Scale
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
Mental Suppose you own stock of ABC Nominal Dichotomous Kahnemann and Tversky,
Accounting Company. According to you the Scale Question (1984); Singhvi, (2001)
( Investor‟s company is having very good long
Rationality) term predictions. The stock price
falls because of poor last quarter
result. Would you like to buy more
shares of ABC company?
You do not own stock of ABC Nominal Dichotomous Kahnemann and Tversky,
company. According to you the Scale Question (1984); Singhvi, (2001)
company is having very good long
term predictions. The stock price
falls because of poor last quarter
result. Would you like to buy more
shares of ABC company?
Suppose you have paid Rs.150 to Nominal Dichotomous Kahnemann and Tversky,
see a film. Arriving at cinema hall Scale Question (1984); Singhvi, (2001)
you come to know that you have lost
the ticket. Will you pay another
Rs.150 to see the film?
Suppose you are on the way to see Nominal Dichotomous Kahnemann and Tversky,
the film but you did not own the Scale Question (1984); Singhvi, (2001)
ticket before. On reaching the
cinema hall you come to know that
you have lost Rs.150.Will you buy
the ticket to see the film?
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
Preparation of Questionnaire is the most important stage for this study. Initially,
preliminary research instrument was prepared based on in-depth literature review in
the same and/or similar field. Then the research instrument was sent to experts. The
changes were incorporated in the research instrument as suggested by the experts and
then pilot testing of this modified research instrument was performed. Some
drawbacks were detected from the pilot testing. After removing these drawbacks and
simplifying language, final research instrument was prepared for the study. The
research instrument was not only in English, but, considering that language should not
be a barrier to measure objective of research, the whole research instrument was
translated into regional language of the state of Gujarat, i.e. Gujarati. The translated
version of the data collection instrument was sent to reviewers who are subject
specialists in the area of Gujarati language. As per their recommendations, some of
the basic words and sentences were revised to ensure that there are no ambiguous
questions and respondents understand it in the way it has to be.
Then after, pilot study was conducted on thirty respondents having characteristics of
sample selected for survey. Respondents were asked to comment on any difficulty or
ambiguity they faced while giving response in questionnaire. Respondent‟s comments
and suggestions were incorporated while preparing final questionnaire.
Post data collection, next step is coding the questionnaire. It is the process of
detecting and denoting a numeric value to the responses given by a respondent
(Chawla et. al. 2011). Below table shows the coding of the questions used in this
study
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Chapter 4: Research Methodology
2 Age 18 to 25 =1
26 to 35 =2
36 to 45 =3
46 to 55 =4
56 to 65 =5
66 and above =6
3 Gender MALE = 1
FEMALE = 2
4 Highest Educational qualification Up to Primary =1
Up to secondary = 2
Higher secondary = 3
Graduate =4
Post Graduate =5
Other =6
4 Annual Family Income Less than Rs.2,00,000 =1
Rs.200001 to Rs.400000 = 2
Rs.400001 to Rs.600000 = 3
Rs.600001 to Rs.800000 = 4
Rs.800001 to Rs.10,00,000 = 5
Rs.1000001 and more =6
5 Occupation Service =1
Business =2
Profession = 3
Retired =4
Other =5
6 Marital status Single =1
Married =2
11 A1 to A6 Strongly Disagree =1
Disagree =2
Somewhat Disagree = 3
Indifferent =4
Somewhat Agree =5
Agree =6
Strongly Agree =7
12 Variables are influencing your Not at all Important = 1
attitude towards investing in stock Low importance =2
market Slightly important =3
From A7 to A44 Neutral =4
Moderately important = 5
Very important =6
Extremely important = 7
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The sample size was large. Number of persons involved in research was only one. By
considering this constraint it had taken three years‟ time duration to complete the
study.
The study was carried out in the field and not in the laboratory. The researcher met
the respondents individually for collection of data, so it was field study.
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Investors optimism means “nothing can go wrong attitude” among the investors, in
belief that Indian market will go up and any set back is temporary in nature.
To make the question relevant the individual investors were asked about how their
participation in stock market in terms of level of investment will change in next 12
months. Two statements were made regarding investors participation:
1) Presently I will stay invested in Indian stock market.
2) I plan to increase my investments in the Indian stock market in the next 12
months.
Now researcher examined the individual investor‟s stock market outlook. This was
measured through considering investors view on current stock market and their
expectation of market correction. To measure these again two statements were
prepared:
1) In India most stock are overvalued relative to their fundamental value.
2) A major stock market correction like 2008 could happen in next 12 months.
The respondent was asked to give rating on six statements by using 7 point likert
rating scale indicating the extent to which they agree with each statement and the
same way the market specific and stock specific variables are considered which have
influence on investor‟s sentiment. Through the analysis the researcher had
documented the relative importance of list of factors influencing investor‟s sentiment.
Investor‟s sentiment comprises three aspects (1) Investor‟s Optimism, (2) Investor
participation and (3) Investor‟s stock market outlook which were measured though six
statements as described above.
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Market specific variables and stock specific variables have been identified by the
researcher based on the literature review and individual investor‟s responses were
taken on 7 point likert scale to measure the importance of those variables on
individual investor‟s investment decision.
For data analysis, Descriptive Statistics, Multiple Regression, VIF value, Factor
Analysis, and Reliability Analysis statistical tools were used.
Chawla et al. (2011) define the factor analysis as a multivariate statistical technique in
which there is no distinction between dependent and independent variables. In factor
analysis, all variables under investigation are analyzed together to extract the
underlined factors. For present study factor analysis is used to reduce the number of
variables of market specific factors and stock specific factors.
Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 19 was used for data
preparation and data analysis.
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4.6 Conclusion
The present chapter has provided in-depth idea of research methodology adopted by
the researcher for this study. To attain the objectives of the study and to test the
hypothesis developed, researcher has found descriptive research design as the most
appropriate method which enables researcher to identify and quantify key variables
under study. For collection of primary data convenience sampling method was used as
the population was very large and not known. The sample size has been determined
considering 95 percent confidence level and 5 percent tolerable error. To achieve the
objectives of the research factor analysis, multiple regression, VIF test and frequency
analysis were found most appropriate techniques. Next chapter of the thesis would be
deal with data analysis.
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