Sample Space
STossCoin ={H , T }
S RollDice={1,2,3,4,5,6}
SCoin∧Dice ={H 1 , H 2 , H 3 , H 4 , H 5 , H 6 , T 1 ,T 2, T 3 , T 4 , T 5 , T 6 }
Common Probability experiments
1. Coin− { H , T } 2
2. Dice−{ 1,2,3,4,5,6 }=6
3. Card− {2 S ,2 H ,2 C , 2 D ….. AS , AH , AC , AD } =52outcomes
Sample Points
STossCoin ={H , T }
Sample points arethe elements inside the set
SCoin∧Dice ={H 1 , H 2 , H 3 , H 4 , H 5 , H 6 , T 1 ,T 2, T 3 , T 4 , T 5 , T 6 }
Events
S RollDice={1,2,3,4,5,6}
Event :an event , E , where outcome is greater than∨equal ¿ 3
E={3,4,5,6 }
4 2 1 1 1 1 2
P ( E )= = = + + + = =0.66=66.667 %
6 3 6 6 6 6 3
Mutually Exclusive Events
1. E xample : Event A , B
Event A=¿ Balls
Event B=¿ Balls
2. Event E : greater than∨equal ¿ 3={3,4,5,6 }
Event F :less than∨equal ¿ 3
Event E∧F are non−mutually exclusive events
3. Event E : greater than∨equal¿ 3={3,4,5,6 }
Event G :less than 3
Event G∧E are mutually exclusive event
If 2 events are mutually exclusive ,
P ( A∨B )=P ( A ) + P(B)
example : P ( E∨G )=P( greater than∨equal ¿3∨lessthan 3)
6
P ( 3,4,5,6,1,2 )= =1
6
4 2 6
P ( A∨B )=P ( E ) + P ( G )= + = =1
6 6 6
Independent Events
Example 1
A :Getting an Ace 3 on the first try
B:Getting an Ace 4 on the 2 nd try wihout putting the 1 st card back
1
P ( A )=
52
1
if 1 st try is King of Hearts , P ( B )=
52−1
0
if 1 st try is an Ace 4 , P ( B )=
52−1
Events A∧B are DEPENDENT events
Example 2
A :Getting an Ace 3 on the first try
B:Getting an Ace 4 on the2 nd try putting the 1 st card back
1
P ( A )=
52
1
if 1 st try is King of Hearts , P ( B )=
52
1
if 1 st try Ace 4 , P ( B )=
52
We can saythat A∧B are independent events
For independent events , P ( A∧B )=P ( A ) × P ( B )
1 1 1
P ( A∧B )= × = 2
52 52 52
Conditional Probability
SCoin∧Dice ={H 1 , H 2 , H 3 , H 4 , H 5 , H 6 , T 1 ,T 2, T 3 , T 4 , T 5 , T 6 }
Event E : Higher than 3
Event H :Coinis H
What is the probability of getting higher than 3 given that the cointoss is H ?
S E Given H ={H 1 , H 2, H 3 , H 4 , H 5 , H 6 }
P ( E given H )=P(E /H )
1+1+1 1
¿ =
6 2
Permutation
Example 1:1,7,4,5
How many 4−digit numbers can we form ?
1745 is different ¿ 1754 , we should permutation
4 × 4 × 4 × 4=4 4=4 P 4
Example 2:1,2,3,4,5,6
How many 4−digit numbers can we form ?
6 P 4=360
Combination
Example :∈a deck of card
Event A : How many ways can we get a 4 ¿ cards ?
nCr=26 C 4
26 C 4
P ( A )=P ( getting 4 ¿cards ) =
52C 4
Activity:
1. Conduct a probability experiment with at least 2 events.
2. Identify the Sample space, sample points/elements, probability of each element/events.
3. Compare the computed probability and the actual results.
4. Identify if the events are independent or dependent.
5. Identify if the events are mutually exclusive or not.