FinTech: The Endgame Report 2021
FinTech: The Endgame Report 2021
Thank You
to Our ERSHAD JAMIL GAL KRUBINER MAX LEVCHIN SEAN RINGSTED
Speakers Chief Growth Officer,
ServiceTitan*
Co-founder & CEO,
Pagaya
Co-founder & CEO,
Affirm*
Chief Digital Officer,
Chubb
* Denotes a current or former Battery Portfolio Company. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. For a complete list of Battery Ventures’ investments, please visit our website: https://www.battery.com/our-companies/list/.
Disclaimer
This disclaimer applies to this document and the verbal or written comments of any person presenting it. This document, taken together
with such verbal or written comments, is referred to herein as the “presentation.” This presentation is being provided for informational
purposes only. Nothing herein is or should be construed as investment, legal or tax advice, a recommendation of any kind or an offer to sell
or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. This presentation does not purport to be complete on any topic addressed. The information
in this presentation is provided to you as of May 26th, 2021 unless otherwise noted and Battery Ventures does not intend to update the
information after its distribution, even in the event the presentation becomes materially inaccurate. Certain information in this presentation
has been obtained from third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Certain logos, tradenames, trademarks and copyrights included in the presentation are strictly for
identification and informational purposes only. Such logos, trade names, trademarks and copyrights may be owned by companies or
persons not affiliated with Battery Ventures and no claim is made that any such company or person has sponsored or endorsed the use of
such logos, trade names, trademarks and copyrights in this presentation. This presentation includes various examples of companies in
which Battery Ventures has invested. For a complete list of all companies in which Battery Ventures has invested, please visit here. Past
performance is not evidence of future results and there can be no assurance that a particular Battery portfolio company investment will
achieve comparable results to any other investment. There can be no assurance that the investment objectives or the investment strategies
described in this presentation will be successful.
The information contained herein is based solely on the opinions of Scott Tobin, Michael Brown, Shiran Shalev, Aaron Rinberg, and Lior
Mallul, and nothing should be construed as investment advice. The anecdotal examples throughout are intended for an audience of
entrepreneurs in their attempt to build fintech businesses and not recommendations or endorsements of any particular business.
Battery Ventures as a Firm
Investing in software
since 1983
$9.3B raised since inception, and
currently deploying funds representing
$2.4B of capital
Partnered with entrepreneurs in
450+ companies
Invest across stages, from
seed to mature companies
Battery Fintech Portfolio:
An Evolutionary Approach
2018+
1985+ 1998+ 2004+ Financial
Picks & The House Services,
Middleman Everywhere
Shovels “Balance
“Transactions” “Embedded
“Software” Sheet”
Finance”
Pedestal
Software companies are offering financial services…
and financial companies are offering software
Software Companies1 Financial Services2
Median EV/Sales: 11.0x Median P/TB: 2.0x Median P/E: 12.3x
Example Companies
Go-to-Market Mechanics
Enterprise Sales Reps Software Services Cloud Marketplaces Open Source SaaS Product
Sample
companies
executing
strategy
Sample
enablers
Much like sales and marketing, product and community have a great opportunity to reinforce each other
Valuation:
$2.0B4
Members host # of Users:
Over 85% of traffic
4M
Collaboration events, share
driven through
within Notion Notion set ups,
organic search5 (1M before Series A)
teach classes
Product Hunt Upvotes:
7K+5
1. Community.atlassian.com.
2. Multiple is based on NTM Revenue. Source: S&P Capital IQ data as of 05/26/21
3. Refers to “cloud net expansion rate”. Source: company note on 11/17/20 virtually investor day conference.
4. Latest known valuation. Source: TechCrunch article from 4/1//20.
5. Similarweb, Product Hunt as of 5/26/21.
Three lessons learned
from financial services
Have a redundant financial
supply chain
Securitization
Diverse
funding Bank Sponsors Bank Sponsors
sources
(Warehouse lines) (Warehouse lines)
Company Maturity
Despite the time investment, it’s very worthwhile to diversify your funding sources
“Move fast and break things”
doesn’t work for regulators
MAY 5, 2021
Chime has agreed to stop using the word ‘bank’ after a California
regulator pushed back
$88/mo
4.0x EV/2020 Revenue 23.3x 24 months (0% APR)
SHOP
Monthly Payments
When selling financial products, the HOW can matter just as much as the WHAT
Source: Financial data from S&P Capital IQ as of 05/26/21 and Wall Street Research (Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, Morgan Stanley). LendingClub image from Reddit. Affirm image from Casper’s website.
1. Based on Calendar Year; 3-Yr average revenue growth for CY21’-23’. Revenue excludes interest expense for LendingClub.
2. Denotes a past or current Battery company. For a full list of all Battery investments, see https://www.battery.com/our-companies/list/.
Framework checklist: Which of
these apply to your business?
How should companies somewhere between Software and Financial Services be valued?
Revenues under different business models
are worth different valuations... for a reason
Financial services
Software/SaaS (Lenders as an example)
Revenue Model Sell seats / licenses Extend credit
Purchase threshold Moderate, need to choose the tool Low if competitive terms
60.x 3.50x
R² = 0.4414
50.x
EV/NTM Revenue
3.00x
40.x R² = 0.6108
P/TBV
2.50x
30.x
2.00x
20.x
1.50x
10.x
0.x 1.00x
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0%
LTM-NTM Rev Growth 2022E ROE
So how should you be valued if you’re neither a pure software company, or a pure financial?
1. Based on a set of publicly traded SaaS companies tracked by Battery, with expected positive NTM growth (n=81) . Data source: S&P Capital IQ as of 05/26/21.
2, Based on the top 35 banks with positive expected net income growth from the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (ARCA:KRE) index. Data source: S&P Capital IQ as of 05/26/21.
The Battery Fintech Framework (BFF!)
Fee-based, scalable models valued more richly
Futu Holdings
Trading Plus500 Schwab
Median
GreenSky Synchrony
Lending LendingTree Upstart
LendingClub
Source: Battery analysis, S&P Capital IQ data as of 05/26/21. PAY & FLYW multiples are illustrative and calculated by Battery Ventures based on historical growth rate in the absence of Wall Street research.
Note: Specialty banks and trading platforms are presented based on MktCap/NTM sales. *Denotes a past or current Battery company. For a full list of all Battery investments, see https://www.battery.com/our-companies/list/.
Only the Early Innings of Fintech
US Financial Services1
$6.2T
Market Capitalization as of 5/26/2021. Sources: 1. CapIQ company screening for the U.S. financial sector.(n=1675). 2. Represents current and historical software constitutes of the S&P500. 3. Fintech Index Includes: AFRM, BILL,
CLOV, DCT, EVER, FLYW. FUTU, GOCO, GSHD, GSKY, GWRE, INTU, LMND, MILE, NCNO, OSCR, PAY, PLMR, PYPL, QTWO ROOT, RPAY, RTPZ, SHOP, SI, SLQT, SQ, STNE, TRUP, UPST.