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Uncertain Activity Times

This document contains a table with activity data including optimistic, most probable, and pessimistic estimates, expected times, and variances. It then calculates the expected total time for activities B, D, and F as 23.83 days or 24 days. Finally, it finds the variance of activities A, D, F to be 0.47 by summing their individual variances.

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Ira Grace De Castro
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78 views1 page

Uncertain Activity Times

This document contains a table with activity data including optimistic, most probable, and pessimistic estimates, expected times, and variances. It then calculates the expected total time for activities B, D, and F as 23.83 days or 24 days. Finally, it finds the variance of activities A, D, F to be 0.47 by summing their individual variances.

Uploaded by

Ira Grace De Castro
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Ira Grace B. De Castro.

ACN1 | CAED101

Most Expected
Optimistic Pessimistic
Activity Probable Time Variance
(a) (b)
(m) (days)
A 4 5.0 6 5 0.1111
B 8 9.0 10 9 0.1111
C 7 7.5 11 8 0.4444
D 7 9.0 10 8.83 or 9 0.25
E 6 7.0 9 7.17 or 7 0.25
F 5 6.0 7 6 0.1111

E(T) = tB + tD + tF
= 9 + 8.83 + 6
= 23.83 days or 24 days

𝜎 2 = 𝜎2𝐴 + 𝜎2𝐷 + 𝜎2𝐹 + 𝜎2𝐻


= 0.11 + 0.25 + 0.11
= 0.47

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