Reorder point
1. Lead time (LT) and demand (d) during lead time is steady.
ROP, Reorder point = d x LT
2. If both lead time and demand during lead time varies with time
Avg. Lead time = LT
Standard deviation of Lead time = σLT
Avg. demand = d
Std. Deviation of demand = σd
ROP = d x LT + z x SQRT(LT x σd2 + d2 x σLT2)
3. Fixed lead time with variable demand
LT
σ LT =0
d, σd
ROP = d x LT + z x SQRT(LT x σd2)
ROP = d X LT + z x σd x SQRT(LT)
4. Fixed demand with variable lead time
LT
σ LT
d,
σ d =0
ROP = d x LT + z x SQRT(d2 x σLT2)
ROP = d X LT + z x d x σLT
ROP = 300 + 2.33 x 30 = 370 units
Safety stock = 2.33 x 30 = 70 units
Solution:
a. Stock-out risk = 1%
Service level = 100 – 1 = 99%
Z (99%) = 2.33
Std. dev. of lead time demand, SDdLT = 30 units
ROP = Expected demand during lead time + z x SDdLT
= 300 + 2.33 x 30 = 370 units
b. Safety stock = z x SDdLT
= 2.33 x 30 = 70 units
c. Risk of stockout = 2%
Service level = 100 – 2 = 98%
Z (98%) = 2.06
Safety stock = 2.06 x 30 = 62 units
Safety stock is 62 units with 2% risk of stock-out, which is less
than ROP at 1% risk of stock out (70 units).
Re-Order Point (ROP)
Demand, d
Lead time, LT
Service Level, Z
Situation 1
Demand is fixed (no variation)
Lead time is fixed (no variation)
ROP = d x LT
Situation 2
Demand is variable
- Avg. demand = d
- Std. Dev. of demand = SDd
Lead time is variable
- Avg. Lead time = LT
- Std. dev. of Lead time = SDLT
ROP = Avg. demand x Avg. lead time + Z x SQRT (Square of Std. dev. of
demand x Avg. Lead time + Square of Std. dev. of lead time x square of avg.
demand)
ROP = d x LT + Z x SQRT(SDLT2 x d2 + SDd2 x LT)
ROP = Expected demand during lead time + Safety stock
Safety Stock = Z x SQRT (Square of Std. dev. of demand x Avg. Lead time +
Square of Std. dev. of lead time x square of avg. demand)
= Z x SQRT(SDLT2 x d2 + SDd2 x LT)
Situation 3
Demand variable
Lead time fixed
Demand is variable
- Avg. demand = d
- Std. Dev. of demand = SDd
Lead time is Fixed
- Lead time = LT
Std. dev. of Lead time = SDLT = 0
Situation 4
Demand Fixed
- Demand = d
- Std. Dev. of demand = SDd = 0
Lead time variable
- Avg. Lead time = LT
Std. dev. of Lead time = SDLT
Solution:
a. Safety stock = Z x Sdt. Dev. of demand during lead time
Stock out risk = 4%, Service level = 100 – 4 = 96%
Z (96%) = 1.75
Std. dev. of lead time demand = 52 pounds
Safety stock = 1.75 x 52 = 91 pounds
91 pounds of safety stock is appropriate
b. ROP = Expected demand during lead time + Safety stock
Lead time demand = 600 pounds
Safety stock = 91 pounds
ROP = 600 + 91 = 691 pounds
When there is a stock of 691 pounds of the item then it will be re-
ordered.
c. Safety stock would be zero if value of Z = 0, i.e., service level is 50%
(from one-tailed Z table). Then stock out risk = 100 – 50% = 50%
For a 50% risk of stock-out there would not be any safety stock.