Sports Deception: Expert Insights
Sports Deception: Expert Insights
Deception in sport
Robin C. Jackson and Rouwen Cañal-Bruland
Introduction
In the semi-final of the 2013 Rugby League World Cup, England led New
Zealand by four points with less than 30 seconds of the match remaining. The
New Zealand player, Shaun Johnson, received a high pass 15 metres from the
England try line, yet less than four seconds later he had executed consecutive
sidesteps to evade advancing defenders and level the scores. Moments later
he kicked the conversion to win the match. As well as illustrating the fine line
between winning and losing, this example demonstrates the value of deceptive
action in dynamic interactive situations. It is well reported that the ability to
anticipate the actions of an opponent confers a performance advantage in many
competitive sport situations (Mann, Williams, Ward, & Janelle, 2007; Müller &
Abernethy, 2012; Williams & Jackson, 2019). In this chapter, we contend that to
develop a full understanding of anticipation we must understand how performers
differentiate between genuine and deceptive actions. Accordingly, the focus of
the chapter is on deception research in sport, a growing body of work emerging
from the broader research base on anticipation.
opponent imply use of deception. Causer and Williams (2015) used an alternative
means of disguise in a study of football penalty kicks. Skilled players were found
to be less accurate in judging the direction of a kick when players wore uniforms
designed with a zigzag or circular pattern that made it more difficult to perceive
the kicker’s waistline and body orientation. The distinction between disguise
and deception is clear when considering response accuracy in a forced-choice
task. Entirely successful disguise (in the absence of deception) would reduce re-
sponse accuracy to chance level, whereas entirely successful deception would
result in every response being incorrect ( Jackson, Warren, & Abernethy, 2006).
Accordingly, there are two main lines of empirical evidence for deception. First,
response accuracy that falls significantly below chance constitutes clear evidence
of deception. Second, where deceptive actions can be clearly identified, evidence
of their effectiveness can be found by comparing response characteristics with
those for equivalent ‘genuine’ or non-deceptive actions.
Researchers have begun to address a number of fundamental and applied ques-
tions regarding the judgement of deceptive actions. We focus on these questions
in the sections that follow, beginning by considering how expertise influences re-
sponses to deceptive actions in dynamic, interactive duelling tasks. We address com-
mon questions emanating from research on anticipation, including the nature of
information to which performers are attuned and the role of motor and perceptual
expertise. We then review studies of ‘contextual deception’, focussing on factors that
either directly or indirectly manipulate the expectations of a performer, including
situational probability information, the perception of eye movements, and ‘head
fakes’. Finally, we review preliminary attempts to train performers to detect decep-
tive intent and make a number of recommendations for future research in the area.
Deception in sport 101
Figure 6.2 he football ‘step-over’ action, shown in full video and point-light for-
T
mat. The timeline shows progression of the action relative to the point at
which the player’s lead foot passes in front of or over the ball, and illus-
trates different points at which the video might be stopped in a temporal
occlusion study.
However, in most studies to date, high-skilled performers are still deceived; their
accuracy falling below chance level on one or more occlusion points, albeit re-
maining higher than that of less-skilled performers. Second, with the exception
of a study involving football penalty kicks (Smeeton & Williams, 2012), the dif-
ference between response accuracy for genuine and deceptive trials tends to be
smaller in high-skilled performers. For example, Brault, Bideau, Kulpa, and Craig
(2012) used an immersive virtual environment to examine judgements of direction
change in rugby players. The accuracy of novices and experts was significantly
below chance when judging deceptive actions occluded 200 ms before reorienta-
tion. Nonetheless, expert players remained more accurate than non-players when
judging deceptive actions. Researchers who have used the football step-over have
similarly reported little or no difference in response accuracy between high- and
low-skilled players when judging non-deceptive actions but a significant differ-
ence on trials containing deception (Bishop, Wright, Jackson, & Abernethy, 2013;
Jackson, Barton, Ashford, & Abernethy, 2018; Wright & Jackson, 2014).
In analysing the time course of information pickup in responses to decep-
tive actions, most researchers have shown an earlier increase in response accu-
racy in more skilled players, indicating they are able to use such information
to recognise deception. Brault et al. (2012) found that the response accuracy of
expert rugby players improved from approximately 25% to over 80% in a time
window of just 100 ms. In the same time window, the response accuracy of
novice players improved from approximately 10% to just over 20% and remained
below chance level. Similarly, Mori and Shimada (2013; Experiments 2 and 3)
reported that the response accuracy of novice rugby players lagged behind skilled
players in judgements of single- and double-sidestep actions. These findings are
supported by a study that used a response-priming paradigm (Güldenpenning,
Steinke, Koester, & Schack, 2013). Güldenpenning and colleagues reported that
skilled volleyball players were faster at classifying the target following congruent
primes than incongruent primes when these depicted stills from 0 ms (same as
Deception in sport 103
the target stimulus), 200 ms, or 400 ms prior to the target, and the effect at 600
ms approached significance. In contrast, novices only showed an effect of con-
gruence for images taken 0 ms and 200 ms before the target stimulus, suggesting
they were unable to use earlier information (see also Güldenpenning, Braun,
Machlitt, & Schack, 2015).
for the importance of suppressing responses was reported in a study that compared
the ability of skilled kickers, goalkeepers, and novices to judge the direction of
football penalty kicks (Tomeo, Cesari, Aglioti, & Urgesi, 2013). Deceptive kicks
were created by interchanging actions for kicks to one direction with actions from
kicks to the opposite direction just before the kicker’s foot made contact with the
ball. Judgement accuracy was then assessed for clips occluded 67 ms before ball
contact, at contact, or 67 ms after contact. Using transcranial magnetic stimu-
lation, the researchers found that motor facilitation for the interchanged (incon-
gruent) actions was lower in goalkeepers than in novices (for a critique of this
approach, see Mann, Dicks, Cañal-Bruland, & van der Kamp, 2013).
From the perspective of ecological psychology, timing of responses is central
to the concept of affordances, or opportunities for action (Gibson, 1979) and this
may be particularly important when considering individual differences in judg-
ing deceptive actions. Dicks, Davids, and Button (2010) illustrated this concept
in a study of seven experienced football goalkeepers who responded to deceptive
and non-deceptive penalty kicks. For the deceptive kicks, penalty takers were
instructed to look away from where they intended to kick the ball, change their
angle of approach, and produce a kicking action as though intending to shoot to
one side before kicking to the other side of the goal. When facing the deceptive
kicks, only three of the seven goalkeepers were able to save more than one kick
(out of 10) and these players also made the highest number of total saves. Analysis
of individual response capabilities revealed that these goalkeepers had the fastest
baseline movement times for diving to different parts of the goal. This advantage
enabled them to initiate dives slightly later, which, in turn, enabled them to ben-
efit from later-occurring visual information. As deceptive movements logically
precede those conveying one’s true intentions, this strategy might have enabled
these goalkeepers to ignore early deceptive actions more effectively.
Auditory deception
Almost all of the studies to date have focussed on visual information; however,
there is evidence that performers are attuned to auditory information that dif-
ferentiates genuine from deceptive actions. Camponogara, Rodger, Craig, and
Cesari (2017) conducted two experiments in which basketball players and nov-
ices judged which direction an attacking player would take the ball from ste-
reo audio recordings. The trials included recordings from both non-deceptive
and deceptive actions and analysis focussed on differences in the timing and
peak intensity of the sound of each bounce in the left and right sound channels.
When participants made a full-body response, as if to intercept the attacker, both
basketball players and non-players made very few judgement errors (4%) on non-
deceptive trials. For deceptive actions, non-players made initial movement errors
on 68% of trials, whereas players were fooled on 38% of trials. This finding was
accompanied by differences in movement initiation times, with basketball players
responding faster to non-deceptive actions than deceptive actions. The authors
Deception in sport 105
were stronger predictors of penalty kick direction than the local variables. A
particularly noteworthy finding was that the variables that differed most between
the genuine and deceptive kicks (approach angle, shoulder angle, and head angle)
became stronger and more reliable predictors of kick direction when expressed
as a compound variable. By implication, efforts to convey a false intention may
be most effective when opponents attend to specific cues in isolation rather than
multiple cues in a more holistic manner.
An excellent example of analysing the kinematics of deceptive actions while
also addressing how this relates to performer responses is the series of studies by
Brault, Bideau, Craig, and Kulpa (2010). Brault and colleagues used kinematic
analysis to identify differences between sidesteps and non-deceptive changes in
direction, and to determine the characteristics of more effective and less effec-
tive sidesteps. Their analysis focussed on head yaw, lower and upper trunk roll,
medio-lateral displacement of the outer foot, and COM displacement from the
first point of reorientation to the second point of reorientation (in deceptive ac-
tions). They reported that, relative to non-deceptive actions, sidesteps contained
exaggerated head yaw, upper trunk yaw, upper trunk roll, and outer foot dis-
placement, and reduced COM displacement and lower trunk yaw. More effective
sidesteps were characterised by greater COM displacement and less pronounced
outer foot displacement. In a follow-up study, Brault et al. (2012) used logistic
regression analyses to determine how sensitive players are to the different sources
of information. The experts were more attuned to the ‘honest’ COM displace-
ment signal, whereas non-players were more attuned to deceptive signals. More
specifically, each group’s responses were predicted by the tau of each of these
variables, reflecting the magnitude of displacement and rate of closure relative to
the point of reorientation. Calculating COM requires knowledge of the position
of the whole body, so these results provide tentative evidence that the advantage
held by high- over less-skilled players may lie in their greater sensitivity to global
information.
In an effort to gain further insight into the information used by performers,
researchers have used eye-tracking equipment to monitor visual gaze as they re-
spond to video stimuli. Mori and Shimada (2013) compared visual gaze in rugby
players and novices as they judged direction change from time-occluded video
clips. Skilled rugby players spent a much greater proportion of time viewing the
approaching player’s chest area, whereas novices spent much more time viewing
the player’s hips and legs. Although caution is needed when making inferences
about visual attention from point of gaze, the differences were clear and suggest
a potential difference in the sources used by each group.
intent in sport have proved robust across a number of different tasks, and it is
clear that this ability is based, at least in part, on the ability to ‘read’ dynamic
body cues. However, it is unclear whether it is caused solely by visual exper-
tise gained through seeing and responding to deceptive actions or whether
expertise in performing these actions is a contributing factor. This question is
particularly relevant to the common coding theory, which posits that percep-
tion and action share common representations (Prinz, 1997). At the neuroan-
atomical level, it has been reported that ‘mirror neurons’ in the brain respond
to the observation and production of the same action (Di Pellegrino, Fadiga,
Fogassi, Gallese, & Rizzolatti, 1992; Rizzolatti, Fadiga, Gallese, & Fogassi,
1996). The common coding theory predicts that the degree of overlap between
perceptual and motor representations will determine the extent to which per-
ception may be enhanced by motor expertise. It follows that humans should be
perceptually more attuned to actions that match their own motor experience
and skills (Cañal-Bruland, van der Kamp, & van Kesteren, 2010; Wöllner &
Cañal-Bruland, 2010).
Neuropsychological evidence for the contribution of motor expertise in
judgements of deceptive actions comes from studies that have used f MRI to as-
sess activity in different regions of the brain as participants perform judgement
tasks. Bishop et al. (2013) compared the activity of low-, intermediate-, and
high-skilled anticipators as they judged video clips of football players m aking
non-deceptive and deceptive (step-over) changes in direction. The analysis
revealed greater activation of the mirror neuron system in high-skilled partic-
ipants, with this effect being more pronounced on trials that contained decep-
tive action. Sebanz and Shiffrar (2009) suggested that the mechanisms involved
in predicting their own actions might have helped expert basketball players
infer intentions in the players they observed. This reflected conclusions drawn
from studies of non-deceptive actions. Aglioti, Cesari, Romani, and Urgesi
(2008) found that expert basketball players were more successful at judging the
success of shots compared to coaches or journalists with similar visual expe-
rience. Furthermore, they found a highly specific difference such that motor
activation of expert players’ hand at the point of release was greater for ‘out’
than ‘in’ shots.
To determine the contributions of perceptual and motor expertise to judge-
ments of deceptive intent, Cañal-Bruland and Schmidt (2009) compared the
ability of skilled goalkeepers, skilled outfield players, and novice players to differ-
entiate genuine (ball released) and fake (ball retained) handball penalty throws.
They found that skilled goalkeepers and outfield players did not differ, with
both groups being better than novices at discriminating between genuine and
deceptive throws. Cañal-Bruland and Schmidt (2009) noted that the advantage
of goalkeepers and outfield players over novices could not be attributed solely to
motor expertise. Nonetheless, the fact that outfield players performed as well as
goalkeepers is noteworthy and consistent with motor expertise facilitating per-
formance on the task (see also Cañal-Bruland et al., 2010).
108 Robin C. Jackson and Rouwen Cañal-Bruland
Situational probabilities
Barton, Jackson, and Bishop (2013) manipulated the situational probability infor-
mation available to football players as they judged which way a player would dribble
the ball. Before each trial, the probability of the player taking the ball to the left/
right (expressed as a percentage) was shown on the screen as 50-50, 67-33, or 83-17.
The researchers reported that the ‘cost’ to response accuracy when action outcome
was incongruent with expectations was greater than the ‘benefit’ when it was con-
gruent with expectations. This difference became greater as the probability values
became more extreme, and was greater on deceptive than non-deceptive trials.
Navia, van der Kamp, and Ruiz (2013) gave goalkeepers situational probability
information before facing four blocks of 12 penalty kicks taken by two skilled foot-
ball players. In non-probability and equal-probability conditions, there was a 50-50
chance of the kick being directed to the left or right side of the goalkeeper. In the
high probability condition, goalkeepers were informed that there was either an 80-
20 or a 20-80 chance of the ball being directed to the left and right. The researchers
found that the goalkeepers made fewer saves (16%) and dives to the correct side
(31%) when kicks were directed to the low-probability side than when they were
directed to the high-probability side (24% saves; 72% correct direction). These
studies indicate that performers might be able to exploit the situational knowledge
of their opponent by acting in a manner that is incongruent with their expectations.
Other researchers have shown that contextual deception can occur by indi-
rectly manipulating expectations through a sequence of action outcomes, and that
skilled performers may be particularly susceptible to this effect. The immediacy of
this effect was neatly demonstrated in a study of baseball pitch sequences in which
experienced batters responded to simulated pitches (Gray, 2002). Analysis of the
swing kinematics revealed that the timing error for a fast pitch was significantly
greater when it followed three slow pitches than when it followed three fast pitches.
The difference reflected a two-state Markovian model predicting the expectations
Deception in sport 109
of the batter in the two conditions. The model also proved successful in predicting
timing error for pitch counts associated with different batter expectations. For ex-
ample, timing error was lower when the batter was ahead in the count. The acute
effect of incongruent expectations was also shown by Loffing, Stern, and Hagemann
(2015), who presented blocks of six volleyball attack sequences to skilled players
and novices, each of which ended with a smash or lob shot occluded 360 ms before
hand-ball contact. The target trial was the fifth trial in each block, which was either
congruent or incongruent with the sequence established in the four preceding shots.
For each block, the first four shots were comprised of four lob shots, four smashes, or
alternating lob and smash shots. The analysis revealed a clear effect of congruence in
the skilled players but not in novices. Specifically, response accuracy was lower and
response time slower when the fifth shot was incongruent with the preceding se-
quence. Response accuracy on incongruent trials was lower than what was achieved
in the first trial of each block.
In terms of the process underlying contextual deception, there is evidence that
prior expectations prime a congruent response, resulting in slower or less accurate
responses when an action is unexpected. Radlo, Janelle, Barba, and Frehlich (2001)
compared intermediate and advanced baseball players’ responses to a series of 400
pitches, each of which was preceded by a valid pre-cue, an invalid pre-cue, or no
pre-cue. In keeping with Posner’s (1980) spatial cueing paradigm, response accu-
racy was lower when the pre-cue was invalid (81%) than when it was valid (94%)
or no cue was presented (92%). Response time following a valid pre-cue was also
faster than for an invalid cue. Wright and Jackson (2014) showed that dynamic full
video or point-light stimuli could also prime responses to static stimuli. Participants
observed brief video clips of football players changing direction to the left or right
then responded to a target stimulus that appeared on the left or right side of the
screen. Participants responded more quickly when the stimulus location was con-
gruent with the direction the player went. This effect was reversed when the player
feigned moving one way (using a step-over) before going in the opposite direc-
tion. In non-deceptive moves, the congruence effect increased with later-occluded
video clips, while the reverse effect decreased as the deceptive actions unfolded.
decline when the previous trial contained an incongruent head orientation. Kunde
et al. (2011) used a number of manipulations to target different stages of information
processing, including changing the orientation of the response keys, reducing the
luminance and contrast of the image, and manipulating stimulus-response congru-
ence. They concluded that the origin of the congruence effect resided in the per-
ceptual encoding stage of processing rather than response selection. As the authors
acknowledged, these experiments used static images so one must be cautious in
making inferences about dynamic stimuli; however, they illustrate how techniques
from cognitive psychology can be applied to unpick the nature of information pro-
cessing during task performance (see Güldenpenning, Kunde, & Weigelt, 2017).
accuracy declines from chance level. In addition, measures of the timing, am-
plitude, and force of responses may provide more sensitive measures of whether,
and the degree to which, performers are deceived (Figure 6.3). Combining these
approaches with kinematic analyses that show which variables, or combinations
of variables, predict different outcomes will enable detailed specification of the
information that causes deception (e.g. Lopes et al., 2014).
Contextual deception
In regard to deception, action outcomes that are incongruent with an opponent’s
expectations negatively impact response accuracy or response time. The way in
Deception in sport 113
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