Capstru
Capstru
Objective This spreadsheet allows you to compute the optimal capital structure for a non-financial
service firm
Before you start Open preferences in excel, go into calculation options and put a check in the iteration box.
If it is already checked, leave it as is.
Inputs The inputs are primarily in the input sheet. If your company has operating leases,
use the operating lease worksheet to enter your lease or rental commitments.
Units Enter all numbers in the same units (000s, millions or even billions)
Income inputs The key income input is the earnings before long term interest expenses and depreciation
Enter the most updated numbers you have for each (even if they are 12-month trailing
numbers). If the most recent period for which you have data has an operating income that
is abnormal, either because of extraordinary losses/gains or some other occurrence, use
an average operating income over the last few years.
Balance Sheet Enter the book value of total debt. If you have a market value enter that
number. Alternatively, input the average maturity of the debt and I will estimate the
market value of debt.
Market Data Enter the current stock price, the current risk free rate, the equity risk
premium you would like to use to estimate your cost of equity and the current rating for
your firm. If you do not have a rating, there is an option for you at the very bottom of
the spreadsheet to compute a synthetic rating.
Tax Rate Enter a marginal tax rate, if you can find it. Otherwise, use the marginal tax rate of country
Default Spreads This spreadsheet has interest coverage ratios, ratings and default spreads built into it in
the worksheet. You can choose between two tables, one for large and stable
firms, and the other for small or risky firms. If you want you can change the interest
coverage ratios and ratings in these tables.
READING THE OUTPUT
Summary The summary provides a picture of your firm's current cost of capital and debt ratio, and
compares it to your firm's optimal debt ratio and the cost of capital at that level. The
firm value is computed at each debt ratio, based upon how the expected operating income
and the cost of capital. The optimal debt ratio is that ratio at which firm value is
maximized. It might not be the same point at which cost of capital is minimized.
Details The details of the calculation at each debt ratio are below the summary.
References
Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice, Chapter 18
Applied Corporate Finance: Chapter 8
ure for a non-financial
operating leases,
Sure. If your operating income is either negative or very low, relative to your firm value,
you can end up at an optimal debt ratio of 0%. For instance, if you have EBIT of 100 on a
firm value of 10000, a 10% debt ratio would probably push you into a C rating and give
you a very high cost of capital.
Generally, you are right. However, I would suggest that you look at three factors:
- If your optimal is just slightly higher or lower than your current debt ratio, it is possible that you
are closer to the optimal than the stated optimal. Let me explain. Assume that you are at a 24% debt ratio
and the optimal comes out to 30%. The true optimal is really somewhere around 30% since
I am constrained to work in 10% increments of the debt ratio. If the true optimal were
26%, your current debt ratio of 24% is closer to the optimal.
- Rating Differences: One of the costs of rating a company based only on the interest
coverage ratio is that the rating might be very different from the actual rating. Thus, your
current cost of capital is based upon your current rating, and the optimal is based upon
the synthetic ratings, and the two don't match, the current and the optimal cost of capital
can be mismatched. You can get around this by switching to a synthetic rating for computing
the current cost of capital (in the input sheet).
- Existing debt at low rates: I assume in the spreadsheet that existing debt gets refinanced at
the new pre-tax cost of debt at each debt ratio. Consequently, if you have a lot of old debt on
your books at much lower rates, the interest expense that I report will be much higher than
your actual interest expense. This, in turn, can affect your interest coverage ratio and rating.
This, too, you can fix by locking in debt at current rates in the input sheet.
Not necessarily. If you chose to build in indirect bankruptcy costs (an option on the input page),
your operating income also changes as your debt ratio changes. Since the objective ultimately is to
maximize firm value, it is possible that the net effect (lower cost of capital is good but it could be offset
by lower operating income) is resulting in an optimal at a higher debt ratio.
In December 2017, Congress passed a major tax reform that not only lowered the tax rate for US companies but alao imposed limits on inte
deductions for tax purposes. Starting in 2018, interest will be deductible, for tax purposes, only if it is less than 30% of taxable income. How
Congress in its wisdom has defined EBITDA as taxable income until 2022 and EBIT thereafter. I have added an option to the spreadsheet to
to incorporate this limit. If you are working with a company outside the US, just set the option to constrain interest expenses to no and you
ready to go.
Important: This spreadsheet includes circular references, by design. Please go into calculation options and check the iteration box
Inputs
Please enter the name of the company you are analyzing Facebook
Please enter the date that you are doing this analysis Jan-19
Financial Information
Earnings before interest expenses, depreciation & amort $19,565.00
Depreciation and Amortization: $2,081.00
Capital Spending: $5,739.00
Interest expense on debt: $10.00
Marginal tax rate to use for pre-tax cost of debt 40.00%
Current Bond Rating on debt (if available): Not rated
Enter the current pre-tax cost of debt for your company 3.22%
Market Information & information on debt
Number of shares outstanding: 2905.8
Market price per share: $190.00
Beta of the stock: 1.0500
Cash and marketable securities = $38,289.00
Book value of debt: $ -
Can you estimate the market value of the interest beari No
If so, enter the market value of "interest bearing" debt:
Do you want me to try and estimate market value of deb No
If yes, enter the weighted average maturity of outstandi 7.92
Do you have any operating leases? Yes
Interest deduction constraints
Are there any restrictions on interest deductions for tax No
If yes, what earnings or operating measure is the restrict EBITDA
Enter the maximum percentage of that measure that is d 30.00%
Indirect bankruptcy costs & ratings constraints (if any)
Do you want to incorporate indirect bankruptcy costs in No
If yes, specify the magnitude of your indirect bankruptcy Medium
General Market Data
Current riskfree rate in the currency of analysis = 2.55%
Risk premium (for use in the CAPM) 5.96%
Country Default spread (for cost of debt) 0.00%
General Data
Which spread/ratio table would you like to use for your 1
Do you want to assume that existing debt is refinanced a Yes (Yes or No)
Do you want the firm's current rating & cost of debt to b Yes (Yes or No)
but alao imposed limits on interst tax
han 30% of taxable income. However,
d an option to the spreadsheet to allow you
interest expenses to no and you should be
Output Summary
Current Optimal
Debt to Capit 0.38% 20.00%
Cost of capita 8.78% 8.25%
Enterprise va $515,899 $564,070
Value per sha $190.00 $206.58
For details, check "Optimal Capital Structure" worksheet
Inputs
Operating lease expense in current year = $269.00
Operating Lease Commitments (From footnote to financials)
Year Commitment ! Year 1 is next year, ….
1 $ 277.00
2 $ 284.00
3 $ 272.00
4 $ 256.00
5 $ 220.00
6 and beyond $ 1,131.00
Pre-tax Cost of Debt = 3.24% ! If you do not have a cost of debt, use the attached ratings estimator
Restated Financials
Operating Income with Operating leases reclassified as debt = $17,521.24
Interest expenses with Operating leases classified as debt = $ 77.58
Depreciation with operating leases classified as debt = $ 2,312.76
unting standards allow them to
g leases into debt and
Inputs for synthetic rating estimation
Enter the type of firm = 1 (Enter 1 if large financial service firm, 2 if smaller financial service firm)
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) = $17,521.24 (Add back only long term interest expense for financial f
Current interest expenses = $77.58 (Use only long term interest expense for financial firms)
Current long term government bond rate = 2.55%
Output
Interest coverage ratio = 225.84
Estimated Bond Rating = Aaa/AAA
Estimated Default Spread = 0.69%
Estimated Cost of Debt = 3.24%
Facebook
January 1, 2019 Drivers of the optimal debt ratio
Capital Structure Financial Market Income Statement Marginal tax rate =
Current MV of Equity = $552,102 Current Beta for Stock 1.05 Current EBITDA = $19,834 EBITDA/ Enterprise valu
Market Value of interest-bearing debt = $0 Current Bond Rating = Not rated Current Depreciation = $2,313 EBIT/ Enterprise value =
# of Shares Outstanding = 2905.8 Summary of Inputs Current Tax Rate = 40.00% Unlevered beta =
Debt Value of Operating leases = $2,086 Long Term Government 2.55% Current Capital Spendin $5,739
Equity Risk Premium = 5.96% Pre-tax cost of debt = 3.22% Current Interest Expense $78
We use the following default spreads in our analysis. Change them in the input sheet if necessary: Ratings comparison at current debt ratio
Rating Coverage g and lt Spread Drop in EBI Current Interest coverage ratio = 225.84
AAA 8.5 100000 0.69% 0.00% Rating based upon coverage = Aaa/AAA
AA 6.5 8.499999 0.85% 0.00% Interest rate based upon coverage = 3.24%
A+ 5.5 6.499999 1.07% 0.00% Current rating for company = Not rated
A 4.25 5.499999 1.18% 0.00% Current interest rate on debt = 3.22%
A- 3 4.249999 1.33% -2.00% Drop in operating income based on current 0.00%
BBB 2.5 2.999999 1.71% -10.00%
BB 2 2.2499999 2.77% -20.00%
B+ 1.75 1.999999 4.05% -20.00%
B 1.5 1.749999 4.86% -20.00%
B- 1.25 1.499999 5.94% -25.00%
CAPITAL STRUCTURE 18
Pre-tax Int. cov ∞ 9.76 4.07 0.88 0.51 0.40 0.34 0.29 0.20 0.18
Funds/Debt ∞ 0.21 0.09 0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.09 -0.09
Likely Rating Aaa/AAA Aaa/AAA A3/A- Caa/CCC C2/C C2/C C2/C C2/C D2/D D2/D
Pre-tax cost of debt 3.24% 3.24% 3.88% 12.01% 15.64% 15.64% 15.64% 15.64% 19.99% 19.99%
Tax rate for debt (deduction constrai 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00%
Tax rate for debt tax benefits (Intere 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 35.10% 20.21% 16.17% 13.48% 11.55% 7.91% 7.03%
Tax rate to use in after-tax cost of d 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 35.10% 20.21% 16.17% 13.48% 11.55% 7.91% 7.03%
COST OF CAPITAL CALCULATIONS
D/(D+E) 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00%
D/E 0.00% 11.11% 25.00% 42.86% 66.67% 100.00% 150.00% 233.33% 400.00% 900.00%
$ Debt $0 $55,419 $110,838 $166,256 $221,675 $277,094 $332,513 $387,932 $443,350 $498,769
Cost of equity 8.79% 9.21% 9.73% 10.53% 12.11% 14.03% 16.90% 21.68% 31.79% 61.04%
Cost of debt 1.94% 1.94% 2.33% 7.79% 12.48% 13.11% 13.53% 13.83% 18.41% 18.58%
Cost of Capital 8.79% 8.48% 8.25% 9.71% 12.26% 13.57% 14.88% 16.19% 21.09% 22.83%
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Value (perpetual growth) $514,934 $541,868 $564,070 $449,062 $331,108 $291,775 $260,795 $235,762 $173,453 $158,537
CAPITAL STRUCTURE 20
$500,000
$400,000
$300,000
$200,000
$100,000
$0
Debt Ratio
Debt Ratio Beta Cost of EquityBond Rating
Interest rate on debtTax RateCost of Debt (after-tax)WACC
0% 1.0476 8.79% Aaa/AAA 3.24% 40.00% 1.94% 8.79%
10% 1.1175 9.21% Aaa/AAA 3.24% 40.00% 1.94% 8.48%
20% 1.2048 9.73% A3/A- 3.88% 40.00% 2.33% 8.25%
30% 1.3390 10.53% Caa/CCC 12.01% 35.10% 7.79% 9.71%
40% 1.6049 12.11% C2/C 15.64% 20.21% 12.48% 12.26%
50% 1.9258 14.03% C2/C 15.64% 16.17% 13.11% 13.57%
60% 2.4073 16.90% C2/C 15.64% 13.48% 13.53% 14.88%
70% 3.2097 21.68% C2/C 15.64% 11.55% 13.83% 16.19%
80% 4.9067 31.79% D2/D 19.99% 7.91% 18.41% 21.09%
90% 9.8135 61.04% D2/D 19.99% 7.03% 18.58% 22.83%