FRR-ALM Ch3
FRR-ALM Ch3
Chapter 3
Liquidity Risk in the Banking Book
Chapter 3 Outline – Liquidity Risk in the Banking Book (1)
‣ Risk Reporting
‣ Conclusions
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Chapter 3 Focus
‣ The risk that sources of funds will be unable to meet the institution’s needs for outflow
of funds.
Sources of
• Retail deposit inflows
• Wholesale funding
• Cash flows from loans and Uses of funds
investments • Deposit outflows
• Sale of loans and investments • Loan commitments
• Loan and other asset growth
• Mortgage put-backs
• Liquidity Deficit
• The gap between liquid liabilities and liquid assets
• Banking firms are especially likely to face a liquidity deficit because of mortgage lending (non-liquid assets)
and short-term deposits (liquid liabilities)
Repurchase agreements
The short-term components of
long-term assets and liabilities Futures margins
‣ There are two different concepts of liquidity: market liquidity (or asset liquidity)
and funding liquidity.
• Market liquidity is the liquidity inherent in the banks’ assets which exhibit various forms of market
liquidity characteristics.
• Funding liquidity is the liquidity provided by the bank’s liability structure to fund its assets and
maturing liabilities.
The
short-term
components
of long-term
assets and
liabilities
Fractional reserve
banking system
Needs to
sell
otherwise
liquid asset
Reduces Declining
liquidity asset values
Posting
Additional
additional
collateral
collateral –
requirement
liquid asset
‣ A Repo
• Involves the sale of securities with the simultaneous commitment to repurchase those securities at a later
date at the original selling price and pay interest accrued
• Fixed at the outset of the repo
• Extended on a day-to-day basis (“open repo”)
• Uses a security as collateral to obtain a loan
• The loan amount is typically less than the value of the security by a haircut
• Behave like margin loans except that the implicit leverage is much greater
‣ The buyer
• Risk is thus negligible
‣ Bank U has USD 1 million in cash and USD 20 million in loans coming due tomorrow
with an expected default rate of 2%
• The proceeds will be deposited overnight
• The bank owes USD 8 million on a securities purchase that settles in two days, and pays off USD
13 million in commercial paper in three days that is not expected to renew
• This is Bank U’s current liquidity ladder (without overnight lending):
‣ While the static liquidity ladder provides a useful starting point for liquidity analysis,
it is not designed for risk analysis
Example
• If loans default at a higher than expected rate, or depositors withdrew their funds, the bank would show a
worse liquidity outcome than what the model would provide.
‣ Probabilistic models of liquidity need do consider the features of all the assets and
liabilities
‣ Core deposits
• Serve as chief funding source for the bank.
‣ The best liquidity risk models derive liquidity Day 1 of the maturity ladder under alternative scenarios
(USD millions)
risks for each asset and liability based on Normal
Institution- General
Cash inflows business
common risk drivers conditions
specific crisis market crisis
due
‣ Liquidity risk management generally requires a detailed contingency plan with both
contracted and uncontracted liquidity provision.
• Contracted liquidity includes changing asset and liability structures to ensure liquidity is available when
needed. It also includes credit lines set up by the bank to cover surprise liquidity requirements.
• Uncontracted provisions include contingency plans developed by the bank to address liquidity shortfalls.
‣ Under normal circumstances, liquidity can be adequately managed by shifting assets
and liabilities, obtaining interbank loans, and drawing down credit lines. Under stress
conditions, a bank must think aggressively about how it might increase liquidity.
‣ The most common methods to increase liquidity in stress conditions include:
• Issuing securities such as bonds
• Obtaining interbank or government loans
• Obtaining additional credit lines
• Selling or securitizing assets
‣ The cash proceeds of these types of offerings increase bank liquidity unless the cash is
invested in less liquid assets.
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Securitization
‣ When banks create such bond issues they greatly increase the inherent (endogenous)
liquidity of the assets that have been securitized.
• In the absence of securitization a bank could only make the assets liquid by selling them, a process that is
likely to be time consuming and expensive and to require substantial effort.
Example
• A bank that has a large number of auto loans would find it prohibitively costly to sell the loans individually to
raise cash. However, if the bank packages the auto loans into a securitized vehicle, obtains a credit rating, and
sells the low-risk tranche of the portfolio, it effectively turns illiquid loans into a security that can be sold,
whether the bank decides to sell the security or not.
‣ In the US, it is common for banks to securitize many of their retail loan assets ̶
mortgages and revolving credit card debt ̶ on a continuous basis, and then hold the
assets in securitized form.
• The bank removes these loans from its balance sheet by selling them into a specially created entity often
called special purpose vehicle or SPV.
• The credit risk of these loans is moved into the SPV and as the SPV issues bonds to finance this purchase,
the credit risk is ultimately moved to the holders of bonds issued by the SPV.
• Makes the retail assets highly liquid and makes a bank’s balance sheet easier to manage because:
• Any lack of capital (for example, due to rapid asset growth or as a consequence of bad debt growth) can be
accommodated by selling the securitization bonds
• Any need to diversify credit risk can be accommodated by selling the bank’s own securitized bonds (which may be
naturally concentrated in a certain geographical location), and buying other bonds which increase diversification
• Any need for cash liquidity can be accommodated by securitizing assets through various bonds. Because these bonds
do not depend on the credit standing of the bank for their value, they are not likely to be affected by any change in
depositor or market sentiment towards the bank.
‣ The Bank for International Settlements published Principles for Sound Liquidity Risk
Management and Supervision in June, 2008.
• The principles underscore the importance of establishing a robust liquidity risk management framework
that is well integrated into the bank-wide risk management process. The primary objective of this guidance
is to raise banks’ resilience to liquidity stress. Among other things, the principles seek to raise standards in
the following areas:
• Governance and the articulation of a firm-wide liquidity risk tolerance;
• Liquidity risk measurement, including the capture of off-balance sheet exposures, securitization activities, and other
contingent liquidity risks that were not well managed during the financial market turmoil;
• Aligning the risk-taking incentives of individual business units with the liquidity risk exposures their activities create
for the bank;
• Stress tests that cover a variety of institution-specific and market-wide scenarios, with a link to the development of
effective contingency funding plans;
• Strong management of intraday liquidity risks and collateral positions;
• Maintenance of a robust cushion of unencumbered, high-quality, liquid assets to be in a position to survive protracted
periods of liquidity stress; and
• Regular public disclosures, both quantitative and qualitative, of a bank's liquidity risk profile and management.
• The principles also strengthen expectations about the role of supervisors, including the need to
intervene in a timely manner to address deficiencies and the importance of communication with other
supervisors and public authorities, both within and across national borders.
‣ FTP is at the center of ALM, as it centralizes interest rate exposures from all business
areas within a bank.
• Helps to establish a margin over cost of funds to the liability gathering activities, as well as a margin to be
charged from the asset gathering activities of the bank.
‣ FTP assures that funding is available for asset gathering business lines at a reasonable
and known cost, while simultaneously assuring that liability gathering business lines can
off-load the liquidity they have gathered at a reasonable and known level of income.
‣ There are several additional benefits from operating a centralized FTP operation:
• By transferring interest rate risk to a central location, business lines' balance sheets are rendered immune
from interest rate risk
• By charging for funds transfers, FTP helps determine the Net Interest Income (NII) for each business unit
• By virtue of its position in the supply chain for funding, FTP is effectively a tool for managing a bank's
liquidity risk
‣ Treasury calculates the weighted average rate of funds raised and uses this rate to
provide funds to all business units.
‣ Knowing their target cost of funds, business units decide which assets to acquire.
‣ This could have unintended effects, in particular a bias towards high-yield lending
opportunities when funding costs are on the rise.
‣ Over the long-run this could increase the overall credit risk in the balance sheet.
‣ The interest rollover cycles determined by Treasury may not be attractive to either
borrowers or depositors.
‣ Business units raise their own funds as needed and only turn to central Treasury to
borrow additional net funds or to park or invest surplus net funds.
‣ Leads to significant duplication of effort.
• In a modern bank there would likely have to be a funding department for each of the retail, commercial,
corporate, and investment banking divisions.
• Retail might need a separate funding department for its credit card business.
• Central Treasury function would still be needed to provide net top-up funding to, or take surplus liquidity
from each business unit.
‣ Treasury earns a spread between the two FTP rates and in the process becomes a net
contributor to a bank's profitability.
• It is not advisable to allow Treasury the full scope to maximize profits or to play to its own self-interest.
• A more conservative approach would look at Treasury's income contribution as a way of quantifying and
managing the bank's overall NII.
‣ The Treasury is not only a central utility, but a vital market place for pricing costs of
funds and deposit returns, separately and transparently, for the whole bank.
‣ Treasury develops optimal transfer pricing curves, which effectively must match external
market yield curves to avoid building arbitrage risk into the bank's business activities.
• It must avoid pricing instruments at a level that would allow external counterparties to buy an instrument
from one business unit and sell a linked instrument back to another business unit for an overall profit to the
external counterparty and loss to the bank.
‣ JPM’s liquidity
risk management
“JPM’s liquidity risk management is centralized in the treasury function. The ALCO (asset-liability committee) is
is centralized in responsible for the execution of the liquidity policy and the contingency funding plan. In sum, the group’s
the treasury responsibility is to measure, monitor, report, and manage liquidity risk. The Annual Report says:
function In the context of the Firm’s liquidity management, Treasury is responsible for:
• Measuring, managing, monitoring, and reporting the Firm’s current and projected liquidity sources and
• The ALCO (asset- uses;
liability committee) • Understanding the liquidity characteristics of the Firm’s assets and liabilities;
is responsible for • Defining and monitoring firm wide and legal-entity liquidity strategies, policies, guidelines, and contingency
funding plans;
the execution of • Liquidity stress testing under a variety of adverse scenarios
the liquidity policy • Managing funding mix and deployment of excess short-term cash;
• Defining and implementing funds transfer pricing (“FTP”) across all lines of business and regions; and
• Defining and addressing the impact of regulatory changes on funding and liquidity.
The Firm has a liquidity risk governance framework to review, approve, and monitor the implementation
of liquidity risk policies at the firm wide, regional, and line of business levels.”
‣ “The Firm funds its global balance sheet through diverse sources of funding including a
stable deposit franchise as well as secured and unsecured funding in the capital markets.”
• Sources of funds include the stable portion of deposits, the stable portion of liability balances, and a variety
of short- and long-term instruments. The latter category includes purchased federal funds, commercial
paper, bank notes, long-term debt and trust-preferred capital debt securities.
• Flexibility in funding is afforded by JPMorgan Chase’s reserves of unencumbered and liquid securities. These
securities can be loaned in the repo market or sold in the asset securitization markets.
‣ Credit rating changes can have an enormous impact on liquidity, but for JPMorgan
Chase in 2017, the sensitivity to ratings changes was relatively low.
• “The cost and availability of financing are influenced by credit ratings. Reductions in these ratings could
have an adverse effect on the firm’s access to liquidity sources, increase the cost of funds, trigger
additional collateral or funding requirements, and decrease the number of investors and counterparties
willing to lend to the firm.”
Definition Application
All of the calculations must be repeated for each of the currencies, defined as 5%
or more, the bank actively funds itself in.
‣ Total expected cash outflows minus total expected cash inflows in the specified stress
scenario for the subsequent 30 calendar days
‣ Level 2A and 2B assets combined may not account for more than 40% of the total
stock of HQLAs
‣ Level 2A assets – minimum 15% haircut
• Marketable securities of sovereigns, central banks, non-central government PSEs, or multilateral
development banks
• Assigned a 20% RW in Basel II Standardised Approach
• Trade in large, deep and active repo or cash markets
• Not bank (FI) obligations
• Corporate debt and covered bonds
• Have a credit rating of at least AA-
• Trade in large, deep and active repo or cash markets characterised by a low level of concentration
• Corporate bond or covered bonds not issued by a bank (FI)
• Proven record as a reliable source of liquidity in the markets even during stressed market conditions
‣ The HQLAs consist of the sum of Level 1, 2A, and 2B assets minus the maximum of
three possible variables:
• L2A + L2B – (2/3 of L1);
• L2B – (17.65% of L1+L2A); or
• Zero.
‣ A bank holds 150 Adjusted Level 1, 43 Adjusted Level 2A, and 17 Adjusted Level 2B
assets. Using the formula, the result is:
• 150 + 43 + 17 – Max{[(43 + 17) – (2/3 × 150)], [17 – ((15/85) × (150+43))], 0}. This becomes
• 150 + 43 + 17 − Max(−40, −17, 0), or
• 150 + 43 + 17 − 0 = 210.
‣ This is effectively the maximum allowed net cash outflow for a bank for the next 30
days. This is not too bad, since all assets count in this case. L2A and L2B assets could
be higher, but only 40% of the sum is eligible in the calculation.
‣ If L1 = 17, L2A = 43 and L2B = 150, the calculation looks like this:
• 17 + 43 + 150 – Max{[(43 +150) – (2/3 × 17)], [150 – ((15/85) × (17 + 43))], 0}, or
• 17 + 43 + 150 – Max(181.67, 139.41, 0), or
• 17 + 43 + 150 – 181.66 = 28.34.
‣ If this bank has USD 100 million cash inflow and USD 100 million cash outflow over the
next 30 days, the HQLA's are just barely enough to allow the bank to continue
operating, with a ratio of (28.34/(100 − 75% × 100)) = 113.36%. Just 13.36% more
cash outflows than inflows and the ratio goes down to 100%.
Definition Application
Net Stable Available amount of stable funding • A longer-term (one-year) “structural” ratio
≥100%
Funding based on a bank’s funding for its expected
Ratio Required amount of stable funding portfolio
Stable funding = those types and amounts of equity and liability funding expected to be a reliable source
over a one-year horizon (i.e. funding likely to remain for a year in a difficult period for the bank)
Available Stable Funding (ASF) factors Required Stable Funding (RSF) factors
100% – capital, preferred stock, secured and unsecured borrowings and 0% – cash, central bank reserves, securities with maturity less than 1 year
liabilities with maturities more than 1 year
5% – debt issued/guaranteed by sovereigns with 0% RW, undrawn
95% – stable retail and small business demand and term deposits with amount of committed credit and liquidity facilities
maturities less than 1 year – “core deposits”
50% – loans to non-FI corporates, sovereigns, PSEs with maturities less
90% - Less stable non-maturity (demand) deposits and/or term deposits than 1 year
with residual maturities of less than one year provided by retail and
small business customers 65% – unencumbered residential mortgages with 35% RW with maturities
less than 1 year
50% – unsecured wholesale funding, non-maturity and term deposits
with maturities less than 1 year provided by non-FI corporates, 85% – other loans to retail and small business with maturities less than 1
sovereigns, etc. year
0% – liabilities (including FIs) and equities not addressed explicitly 100% – all other assets not explicitly noted
‣ The BCBS Monitoring tools for intraday liquidity management (2013) document sets out
a number of issues to monitor and manage in order to achieve good intraday liquidity
management. These are:
• Detailed design of the intraday liquidity monitoring tools
• Intraday liquidity stress scenarios
• Scope of application of the tools
Source: Monitoring tools for intraday liquidity management, bcbs248.pdf, BCBS, April 2013
‣ Both LCR and NSFR should be used on an ongoing basis to help monitor and control
liquidity risk
• Requirements to be met continuously
‣ Risk Reporting
• At a minimum, banks should prepare liquidity ladders, probabilistic analysis, and stress tests of their liquidity requirements.
• In addition, in the US the FDIC recommends reports related to cash flow gaps, asset and funding concentration, critical
assumptions used in credit projections, key early warning or risk indicators, funding availability, status of contingent
funding sources, and collateral uses.
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