Saima Javaid
Saima Javaid
ISSN(e): 2222-6737
ISSN(p): 2305-2147
DOI: 10.18488/journal.aefr.2018.81.38.51
Vol. 8, No. 1, 38-51
© 2018 AESS Publications. All Rights Reserved.
URL: www.aessweb.com
(+ Corresponding author)
ABSTRACT
Article History The Present study examines all the internal and external determinants contributing the
Received: 2 October 2017 profitability of 9 Islamic Banks in the region of Saudi Arabia over a period of 2000-
Revised: 17 November 2017
Accepted: 26 November 2017 2013, that is a period of 14 years. During this period the region of Saudi Arabia has
Published: 5 December 2017 witnessed structural changes as it enters into WTO membership. Also, the period is
sufficient enough to see to effects such major changes happened in the region over the
Keywords financial intermediaries. Using the unbalanced panel data and robust fixed effect model
Islamic banks of regressions, the paper examines the impact of bank specific, industry specific and
Saudi Arabia macro-economic variables on profitability. Results indicate that bank characteristics,
Panel data
Bank-Specific variables industry characteristics, and macroeconomic variables are significant in determining
Industry-Specific variables Islamic banks’ profitability. Our empirical findings indicate that the coefficient of the
Macro-economic variables.
capital adequacy is positive and highly significant, with both the measures of
profitability, reflecting the sound financial condition of Saudi banks. On the other hand,
JEL Classification: the positive and significant leverage ratio implies that the Saudi Islamic banks are
G21, C23
relying heavily debt financing, suggesting that Saudi Islamic banks are more risky in
nature, though profitable to a certain extent, but these might be badly hit in times of
recession in the economy. Thus, diversified portfolio is necessary to maintain stability
in the future and to reduce the risk and uncertainty. The findings relating the industry
specific variables, we find that banking sector in Saudi Arabia is highly competitive.
The study further emphasizes optimal policies to bank management that helps the
policy makers, bank managers and executives in improving the overall efficiency and
maintaining the sound profitability in the Islamic banks in Saudi Arabia.
Contribution/ Originality: This study contributes in the existing literature of single country analysis of
Islamic banks, especially in context of Saudi Arabia, where the literature is very limited. Also, Saudi Arabia enters
into WTO membership during the sample period and thus it tries to capture the effects of such major structural
changes.
1. INTRODUCTION
The strong correlation of banking system stability with the economic growth and development of any country
has only recently been appreciated. A glance at the recent economic history reveals that weaknesses in the financial
systems were the root cause of the economic woes of most of the economies. The supervisory authorities around the
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
world are striving to ensure safety and soundness of their respective financial systems so that they can play an
active role in the economic development of their countries (Afzal and Mirza, 2012).
The banks are the institutions that channel the oil funds to companies and families and therefore are strong
determinants in the allocation of capital, financial stability and the competitiveness and development of
manufacturing and services (Beck et al., 2003; George Assaf et al., 2011).
The Saudi banking sector has undergone substantial changes over the last decade. Banks have expanded their
operations and have taken advantage of scale and scope economies as well as product diversification. The driving
force behind these changes has been the recent gradual liberalization of financial sector, globalization of financial
markets, changes in technology, product innovation and the growth of business activities by Islamic countries in the
West (El-Gamal, 2006; George Assaf et al., 2011).
Saudi Arabian commercial banks that are operating in the competitive environment are likely to be more
efficient in near future in the region. The Saudi banking industry has enjoyed a steady growth and stability during
the last decade. Stress tests conducted recently also demonstrate that Saudi banks are sound and well-equipped to
withstand any shocks (Almazari, 2014). Yet there is need to find out the determinants affecting such performance
from micro- level to macro level, that is, covering the bank specific, industry specific and macro-economic specific
variables over a longer period of horizon.
Saudi Arabia being the largest oil producing economy in the whole world has witnessed a strong and efficient
banking sector not at all affected by the recent financial crisis. This aspect made the whole world to explore the
Islamic banking system, prescribed by the Law of Sharia. And its importance is well accepted and much of the
research has been made in this context so far. But as there is a limited research made especially in context of Saudi
Arabia, so the present research attempts to fill in the gap of literature.
The Saudi banking system is quite unique compared to the traditional banking system. It is under strict
regulation imposed by SAMA (Saudi Monetary Agency) and has several distinguished characteristics. Saudi banks,
for instance, provide a combination of conventional banking and Islamic banking. They are also funded by low cost
demand deposits, and have difficulties to diversify credit risk due the overwhelming dependence on oil. Empirical
research on bank efficiency in the Arabic peninsula is still limited as opposed to other regions such Europe and the
USA. Some of the few studies include Essayyad and Madani (2003); George Assaf et al. (2011).
The study attempts to explore the performance and efficiency of the banking sector in Saudi Arabia and the role
of Islamic banking in the efficiency and profitability, during the period 2000-2013, by employing different measures
to study various bank specific variables, industry specific as well as macro-economic variables.
2. REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Most of the studies have been made reflecting the contrast between Conventional banks and Islamic banks
(Ashraf and Zia-Ur-Rehman, 2011; Jaffar and Manarvi, 2011; Hanif et al., 2012; Siraj and Pillai, 2012; Usman and
Khan, 2012). Another study conducted by Zeitun (2012) investigates some influential factors (foreign ownership,
banks-specific variables, and macroeconomic factors) on Islamic and conventional banks in Gulf Cooperation
Council (GCC) countries, during the period 2002-2009, using a cross-sectional time-series (panel data). The results
show that bank’s equity is important in explaining and increasing conventional banks profitability only. The cost-
to-income had a negative and significant impact on Islamic and conventional banks performance. Additionally, the
estimated effect of size provides evidence of economies of scale in Islamic banking using the ROE, while it is not
significant for conventional banks. Foreign ownership, however, does not improve Islamic and conventional banks
performance. Furthermore, bank’s age and banking development have no effect on bank performance. Finally, GDP
is positively correlated to bank’s profitability, while inflation is negatively correlated to bank’s profitability.
A comprehensive study conducted by Almazari and Almumani (2012) organized to study the linkage between
profitability efficiency measured by return on assets (ROA) and operating income-bank size as dependent variable
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
and bank assets-size, asset management (Utility), operational efficiency as independent variable to assess the
financial data of the five Saudi national banks for the financial periods (2006-2010). In addition, the selected banks
will be analyzed quantitatively to find the differences among these banks and they will be ranked based on their
financial efficiency. Similar to our present study, they examined predictors to find out it is impact on the
profitability efficiency of the Saudi national banks. However, there is a different in the methodology adopted and
also the period. Their regression analysis results indicate that there exist a significant impact of operational
efficiency, asset management, and total assets bank size on profitability efficiency represented by ROA. Also, they
conduct the correlation analysis between variables of the study which indicated that there is affect correlation
relationships among the variables. Furthermore, Multiple Regression was used to test the effect of independent
variables on operating income (OI) and it was found that independent variables do not affect profitability efficiency
represented by operating income (OI). However, the present study can be differentiated as we took different
profitability and efficiency measures such as ROA and ROE as our dependent variable and the independent
variables are also different as we took bank-specific variables as well as macro-economic variables.
However, Masood et al. (2009) attempted to analyze the determinants of banks’ profitability in the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia over the period 1999-2007. They used Augmented Dickey Fuller test, Johansen’s co-integration test
and Granger causality test to investigate the co-integration and causal relationship between return of assets (ROA)
and return of equity (ROE) and argued that variables are co-integrated.
Haron (2004) examined internal and external factors influencing Islamic banks' profitability and had found a
high correlation between internal factors (liquidity, total expenditures, funds invested in Islamic securities, the
percentage of the profit-sharing ratio between the bank and the borrower of funds) and the total income's level
received by the Islamic banks. He found almost the same impacts regarding external factors like size of the bank,
interest rates and market share.
Bamakhramah (1992) studied the major features of banking structure in Saudi Arabia and attempts at
measuring particularly resource (deposits) concentration, and other features such as new bank entry barriers, bank
branching and product differentiation and then utilizes the statistical tools of correlation and multiple regression to
estimate the relationship between the main features of banking structure and the major indicators of bank
performance, significant among which is profitability.
A comprehensive study made by George Assaf et al. (2011) analyzed the technical efficiency of Saudi banks with
a two- stage DEA bootstrap model. They found that Saudi banks consistently improved their efficiency since 2004.
They also found that Saudi banks with foreign capital have to improve their technical efficiency. This result is in
contradiction with the general notion that foreign capital brings managerial skills. Similarly, Akhtar (2010)
estimate the data envelopment analysis (DEA) efficiency scores and Malmquist productivity indices (MPI) of banks
in Saudi Arabia over a period of 2000 to 2006. The results on MPI reflect an improvement in average productivity
of banks. However, the major increase in productivity gains emerged through technological change relative to the
efficiency change. The author found that banks across the Kingdom appear to have succeeded in catching up with
the best practices, even though the average scores on technical efficiency (TE) stood beyond optimal levels.
Similarly, Al-Faraj et al. (2006) investigated the performance of the Saudi commercial banking industry using
DEA to evaluate the technical efficiency of Saudi banks for the year 2002 and compared with world mean efficiency
scores. Their study revealed that the mean efficiency score of Saudi commercial banks compares very well with the
world mean efficiency scores. They recommends that Saudi banks should continue their efforts of adapting new
technologies and providing more services in order to sustain competitive advantages as Saudi Arabia continues to
deregulate the banking industry (Almazari and Almumani, 2012).
Murthy (2007) examined the impact of bank-specific factors on the profitability of 78 banks listed on GCC
stock exchanges during the period 2002 to 2006. He used return on average equity as a proxy of bank profitability
while the explanatory variables are liquidity to deposit ratio a proxy for liquidity management, net interest margin
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
as a proxy for interest rate risk management, equity to total assets as a proxy for capital management, loan loss
provisions to proxy credit risk management, and cost to income ratio to proxy cost management. Murthy provided
evidence that the bank size represented by assets is statistically significant indicator of profitability in the GCC
banks. He argues that this might be a reason why banks in the GCC region are overcapitalized (AL-Omar and AL-
Mutairi, 2008).
Other studies on Arabic banks include Turk-Ariss (2009;2010); Al-Muharrami et al. (2006) and Essayyad and
Madani (2003) who investigated the concentration, efficiency, and the profitability of commercial banks operating in
Saudi Arabia. They found that the banking system was highly concentrated and lacked sound competitive
environment. However their results only covered the period 1989–2001, i.e., before the major structural changes
have been adopted as a consequence of the membership of Saudi Arabia in the WTO (George Assaf et al., 2011).
3. SAMPLE CRITERION
The study took the unbalanced panel data of 10 Islamic banks in Saudi Arabian region, viz., Riyad Bank; AlAhli
Bank; Bank Al Jazira; The Saudi Investment Bank; Saudi Hollandi Bank; Banque Saudi Fransi; SABB; Arab National
Bank; Samba Financial Group; and Al Rajhi Bank. The sample period covers from the year 2000 to 2013 (both years
inclusive, that is, a period of 14 years). To the best of our knowledge, no study took such a long period into
consideration. During this period, the region of Saudi Arabia has witnessed structural changes as it enters into
WTO membership. Also, the period is sufficient enough to see to effects such major changes happened in the region
over the financial intermediaries.
However, there are eleven Islamic banks in this region, but we have to drop two banks (Bank Albilad and
Alinma bank) as they started during the year 2004 and 2006 respectively, and as these are newly established during
the period taken into consideration and these might fail to capture the real effects over their respective profitability.
Besides, their data is available from 2006 and 2008 respectively.
The bank specific factors (internal factors) as well as industry specific factors have been taken from their
respective annual financial statements from the database Gulfbase.com. And macro-economic data have been taken
from World Bank data.
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
Capital Adequacy
Capital ratios indicate the robustness of financial institutions to withstand shocks. These ratios identify any
existing problems. Adverse trends in these ratios may increase risk exposure and capital adequacy problems. We
have used CAR as Equity/Total Assets ratio to measure capital adequacy (Hassan and Bashir, 2003). In other
words, this measure of equity, relative to total assets, reflects the bank’s capital strength or solvency (Golin and
Delhaise, 2013). Higher the ratio, more stable and efficient the bank is. While the relationship of this variable to
profitability may vary across the stages of the business cycle (Berger, 1995) we expect it will have an overall
positive relationship to profitability (Growe et al., 2014).
Asset Quality
Monitoring asset quality indicators is important since risks to the solvency of financial institutions often derive
from impairment of assets. Asset quality depends on the quality of credit evaluation, monitoring and collection
within each bank, and could be improved by collateralizing the loans, having adequate provisions against potential
losses, or avoiding asset concentration on one geographical or economic sector. Meanwhile, any analysis of asset
quality needs to take into account indicators of the likelihood of borrowers to repay their loans (Hassan and Bashir,
2003). Therefore we took the ratio of provision to loan losses to total loans (PLLTLR) as a measure to determine
the asset quality. Lower the ratio, higher will be the quality of assets.
Liquidity
Liquidity ratios indicate the ability of the bank to meet short-term financial obligations on time and hence avoid
financial distress (Ross et al., 2005; Al-Hares et al., 2013). We measure liquidity ratios by taking cash and bank
balances to total assets (CTAR) and the total loans to deposits ratio (LDR) (Al-Hares et al., 2013). However, it is
well documented in the literature that more cash implies lower profitability (Molyneux and Thornton, 1992).
Management Quality
It is critical to determine the management quality as it affects the profitability and efficiency. We took the ratio
of operating expenses to deposits (OEDR) for determining the quality of management. Lower the ratio, more
efficient and profitable the banks are.
Operating Efficiency
Operating efficiency ratio (OER) or cost to revenue ratio is measured by taking the ratio of total operating
expense to total operating income. This ratio indicates how efficiently firm uses its assets, revenues and minimizing
the expenses. In other words, it shows how well firm could reduce the expenses and improves productivity
(Widagdo and Ika, 2008).
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
Leverage
Leverage ratio (LR) or Debt equity ratio is calculated by taking the ratio of debt to equity capital. This ratio
shows how firm finances its operation with debt relative to the use of equity (Widagdo and Ika, 2008).
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
Model 1
ROAit = α + β1 (LNTAit) + β2 (CARit) + β3 (PLLTLRit) + β4 (CTARit) + β5 (LDRit) + β6 (OEDRit) + β7 (OERit) + β8
(LRit) + β9 (HHILt) + β10 (HHIDt) + β11 (INFt) + β12 (GROWTHt) + β13 (M2/GDPt) + έ
Model 2
ROEit = α + β1 (LNTAit) + β2 (CARit) + β3 (PLLTLRit) + β4 (CTARit) + β5 (LDRit) + β6 (OEDRit) + β7 (OERit) + β8
(LRit) + β9 (HHILt) + β10 (HHIDt) + β11 (INFt) + β12 (GROWTHt) + β13 (M2/GDPt) + έ
where i refers to an individual bank; t refers to year; ROA and ROE refers the two dependent variables; LNTA
refers to size; CAR refers to Capital Adequacy Ratio; PLLTAR measures Asset Quality; CTAR and LDR are
liquidity measures; OEDR measures the management quality; OER measures the Operating Efficiency; LR refers to
Leverage; HHIL and HHID are two concentration and power measures; INF, GROWTH and M2/GDP are three
macro-economic indicators and έ refers to the Error term.
Model 1 and 2 are estimated through fixed effects regression model taking each bank’s ROA and ROE as the
dependent variable respectively. The opportunity to use a fixed effects rather than a random effects model has been
tested with the Hausman test.
Table 1 shows the descriptive statistics of all variables (both dependent and independent). The dependent
variables, ROA and ROE have mean value equal to 2.3745 and 1.89597 respectively, and have standard deviation
equals to 0.14368 and 0.082690 respectively.
Pertaining to bank specific variables (Refer to table 1), Size has the mean average equals to 18.012 and standard
deviation equals to 0.8209. Whereas, Capital adequacy has the mean value 12.566 and standard deviation equals to
2.9913. Also, Asset quality has a mean value of 0.6980 and standard deviation is 2.901. While the Liquidity
measures (CTAR and LDR) have mean equal to 15.5662 and 0.6923, with standard deviation equals to 6.7150 and
0.1992 respectively. On the other hand, Management quality has an average mean value of 2.0625 and standard
deviation of 1.6063. Operating efficiency has an average mean of 37.322 and standard deviation of 30.191. Also,
Leverage has mean value equals to 7.369 and standard deviation equals to 1.857.
Turning to industry independent variables (Refer to table 1), Banking Concentration and power (HHIL and
HHID) have the average mean equals to 14.64159 and 14.24392 and standard deviation equals to 0.1039 and 0.1307
respectively. As both the measures of concentration and power (HHIL and HHID) falls with the group less than
100, so this indicates highly competitive banking industry.
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
Macro-economic variables (see table 1), all the three indicators, viz. Inflation, Growth and Money supply, have
the average mean value of 2.7485, 163.0966 and 42.5228 respectively; whereas their respective standard deviation
are 3.013643, 41.3668, 4.3197.
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
In table 2 and 3, R2 is equal to 79.56% and 77.55% respectively, therefore, the model is best fitted (as R2˃ 60%).
The above model has been checked to detect the problem of multicollinearity and for this Pearson’s correlation
analysis of the independent variables has been done. And we have dropped one variable from our analysis TRTAR
(Total Revenue to Total Assets ratio) to fix the problem of multicollinearity in the above models. F-stat is
significant at 1% level for both models, which implies that all the independent variables (Bank-specific, Industry
specific and Macro-economic) are jointly influence our dependent variables.
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
more risky in nature, though profitable to a certain extent but these might be badly hit in times of recession in the
economy.
HHIL is significant and positive indicating that Islamic financial products dominate the Saudi market. As
consistent with the literature, it is true that Islamic banks control some 62% of total assets (George Assaf et al.,
2011). We found that market concentration and power is significant at 5% level with ROE (see table 3).
We have found that inflation is negatively related to profitability similar to a number of studies (Sufian and
Chong, 2008; Ali et al., 2011; Khrawish, 2011; Francis, 2013; Ongore and Kusa, 2013; Rachdi, 2013; Ayaydin and
Karakaya, 2014) and that Saudi Arabia being developing country is having negative association with profitability, is
also well witnessed by earlier literature (Demirgüç-Kunt and Huizinga, 1999; Alexiou and Sofoklis, 2009).
However, inflation is insignificant to both measures of profitability.
We have found significant negative association between Growth and profitability (Staikouras and Wood, 2004;
Liu and Wilson, 2010; Khrawish, 2011; Al-Jafari and Alchami, 2014; Ayaydin and Karakaya, 2014). The negative
association was interpreted as reflecting increased ease of entry and consequent competition and reduced
profitability with GDP growth. Also, we have found money supply (M2/GDP) is also significantly negative at 5%
level with both profitability measures.
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Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2017, 8(1): 38-51
would lead them towards superior investment strategies, advanced managerial techniques, and provision of better
quality and extended services to their clients. This would enable them to reach efficiency frontiers while keeping
productivity growth intact. Also, countries like Saudi Arabia need to diversify their sources of GDP both nationally
and internationally. This would enable them to avoid the effects of swings stemming from the changes in oil prices
and quotas (Akhtar, 2010). Thus, there is a need to have more well developed financial market (just like U.K, U.S.
and other developed economies) in order to induce the positive effects of the macro-economic variables over the
profitability and efficiency of the banking sector in Saudi Arabia.
Banks further economic growth by providing instruments for diversifying risk and enhancing liquidity (Levine,
2005). However, it is well witnessed by research that the countries in which financial institutions are more
developed, capital is allocated to industries based upon their growth potential (Wurgler, 2000). When they
experience financial distress, economic growth is impeded (Kroszner et al., 2007; Growe et al., 2014).
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Appendix-A.
Independent Variables Definition of Ratios Expected Sign
LNTA Ln(Total Assets) ±
CAR Equity/Total Assets +
PLLTAR Provisions to Loan losses/Total Assets +
CTAR Cash and balances/Total Assets -
LDR Loan/Deposit +
OEDR Operating Expenses/Deposit +
OER Operating Expenses/Assets -
LR Debt/Equity +
HHIL HHI on Loans ?
HHID HHI on Deposits ?
INF The Annual Inflation Rate ±
GROWTH GDP per capita ±
M2/ GDP M2/ GDP ±
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