Chapter 04
Chapter 04
Fiscal Balance Figure 4.1a Primary Balance Figure 4.1b Revenue Balance Figure 4.1c
percent of GDP percent of GDP percent of GDP
1.1
0.1
-2.0 -2.0 -1.1
-1.6
-0.8
-5.8 -5.7
-1.9 -4.1
-4.2
-7.9 -7.7 -5.2
-3.2 -3.1 -5.8
H1
H2
H1
H2
Jul-Jun
Jul-Jun
Jul-Jun
Jul-Jun
H1
H2
H1
H2
H1
H2
H1
H2
Jul-Jun
Jul-Jun
1 Fiscal balance is total revenue minus total expenditure; primary balance is fiscal balance adjusted for interest payments; revenue
balance is total revenues minus total current expenditures.
2 The provincial surplus at Rs 154.6 billion in FY23 was considerably lower than the budgeted Rs 750 billion for the year and Rs 351
billion in FY22.
3 In absolute terms, total expenditures stood at Rs 16.2 trillion in FY23, against the budget target of Rs 9.6 trillion and actual
acceleration in revenue growth was led by non- amidst narrow tax base with increased reliance
tax revenue on account of higher petroleum on indirect and withholding taxes. This
development levy (PDL) collection in spite of combined with substantial subsidies and grants,
decline in petroleum sales. Transfer of the SBP which resulted in persistently high fiscal deficit
profits, a major component of the non-tax and mounting debt servicing, are posing
revenues, decreased due to changes in transfer challenges for maintaining debt sustainability.
mechanism of SBP profits after amendments in The steady increase in interest expense is not
the SBP Act. On the other hand, growth in tax sustainable as it may limit fiscal space for
revenue decelerated considerably. Contraction development, and other essential spending for
in dutiable imports, slowdown in economic social protection.
activity, and floods negatively impacted tax
collection, while higher inflation, rising interest The situation warrants efforts to address these
rates, and revenue mobilization measures taken long-standing structural problems in order to
in the Finance Act 2022 and Finance reduce fiscal deficit and generate primary
(Supplementary) Act 2023 propelled tax surplus to lessen the pace of debt accumulation.
collection. Besides broadening of tax base, paring losses of
inefficient Public Sector Enterprises (PSEs),
With slower growth in tax collections, the FBR particularly related to power sector, is much
tax-to-GDP ratio fell to 8.5 percent in FY23
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Fiscal Policy
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of dutiable imports, which dented the import- increase in tax rates in the Finance Act 2022 and
related collections of sales tax, FED, and Finance (Supplementary) Act 2023. For
customs duties. example, increase in income tax rates on salaries,
increase in super tax from four percent to ten
There are four main factors that contributed to percent on high-earning persons; increase in
growth in FBR taxes in FY23. First, high inflation GST from 17 to 18 percent; increase in GST on
that helped indirect taxes to record increase locally manufactured cars and luxury imports to
despite fall in sales. Second, increase in interest 25 percent. Fourth, administrative efforts by
income on investment in government securities, FBR to improve tax compliance and ease of
saving certificates, saving deposits, banks’ doing business (Box 4.1).
profits, and income taxes paid thereof. Third,
Direct taxes led growth in FBR taxes Collection of withholding tax on bank interest
and securities more than doubled in FY23
Direct taxes grew by 43.2 percent in FY23, compared to the previous year. As mentioned
driving almost the entire growth in overall taxes above, this was mainly because of rising interest
(Figure 4.2 & Table 4.3). Domestic rates and increased investment in government
collections constituted a little over 90 percent of securities and other saving instruments.
total direct tax collections, which, in turn, Moreover, withdrawal of tax benefit on
mainly comprised of withholding taxes (61.3 investment in federal government
percent) and voluntary payments (29.6 percent) securities also supported higher collection.
in FY23 (Table 4.4). Earlier, profit on debt of all persons (other than
banking companies) was taxed at a reduced rate
Withholding taxes of 15 percent. As per the Finance Act 2022, this
rate applies only to those persons whose profit
Withholding taxes grew by 30.8 percent in FY23 does not exceed Rs 5 million.7
compared to 24.0 percent increase in the
previous year. The growth was also broad- Collection of withholding tax on contracts
based, with major contribution from taxes on maintained the previous year’s momentum
bank interest and securities, contracts, and
salaries (Table 4.4).6
6 It may be noted here that the tax rate for persons not on Active Taxpayer List (ATL) is usually double the rate for those on ATL.
7 The scope of the reduced rate benefit was curtailed in the Finance Act 2022.
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Fiscal Policy
despite slowdown in economic activity.8 Two collection from salaries. Across the seven slabs
major developments helped in steadying the (previously 12), there was an increase in tax
growth in collection from contracts. One, under liability of salaried individuals with taxable
the Finance Act 2022, the scope of taxable income exceeding Rs 3.6 million (top three
services was expanded to include Real Estate slabs), or closer to the upper limit of the middle
Investment Trust (REIT) management services slab (that is, Rs 2.4 million to 3.5 million), when
and services offered by National Clearing compared to their tax liabilities under last year
Company of Pakistan Limited (NCCPL). Two, slabs. Moreover, salaries of the federal
sale of goods or services under section 153, government employees were also increased in
including rice, edible oils, transport services, air FY23.11
cargo services, courier services, freight
forwarding services, and others, led to higher WHT collections from electricity bills almost
WHT collection amid higher prices.9 For maintained the pace observed in the previous
instance, transport services witnessed 54.6 year, despite a fall in electricity generation, and
percent inflation in FY23, compared to 15.1 hence its supply, during FY23. The improved
percent last year. Similarly, charges of inland collection mainly owes to increase in electricity
courier services spiked by 13.4 percent in FY23, charges that offset the impact of lower electricity
almost double the increase in previous year. 10 generation in FY23.12 Imposition of fixed
income tax on retailers and some service
Withholding tax on salaries was up by 40.7 providers in their electricity bills in the Finance
percent in FY23, compared to 29.3 percent Act 2022 provided further boost.
increase in FY22. Upward revision in
progressive rates for income tax slabs in the The growth in WHT on imports decelerated,
Finance Act 2022 provided the major impetus to despite increase in rate from 2.0 percent to 3.5
8 ‘Contracts’ refers to sale of goods or services, and execution of contracts, as per section 153 of the Income Tax Ordinance 2001.
9 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
10 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
11 BPS-2022 replaced BPS-2017 pay structure, and the pay brackets were revised upwards. In addition, an ad-hoc relief was given
equal to 15 percent of the basic pay, up from 10 percent. Source: Ministry of Finance;
ww.finance.gov.pk/circulars/circular_01072022.pdf
12 Electricity generation was down 9.5 percent in FY23. Source: NEPRA
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percent, largely due to lower import values. 10.0 percent super tax was imposed
Moreover, withholding tax on sale, purchase or retrospectively for FY22 (Table 4.5).
transfer of immoveable property was also ii. Upward revision in tax on income generated
enhanced from 1.0 percent to 2.0 percent. from investment in government securities; this
Additionally, Finance Act 2022 also removed a tax is determined based on banks’ advances-to-
holding period condition, under which taxpayer deposit ratio (ADR) (Figure 4.3).15
did not have to pay the tax if holding period iii. Increase in minimum tax on banks’ income
exceeded four years.13 from 35.0 percent to 39.0 percent in FY23.
13 For purchasers not on the ATL, the tax was increased by 250 percent.
14 Until FY22, super tax had been applied under section 4B, ‘Super tax for rehabilitation of temporary displaced persons’. In FY23, a
new section, 4C (‘Super tax on high-earning persons’), replaced it; it was purported to target the wealthier sections of the country, as
per Finance Act 2022.
15 It may be noted here that these ADR-linked taxes have been abolished in FY24 budget. Source: FBR SRO 226(I)/2023, dated
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It is important to note here that banks’ profits Super Tax on High Earning Persons for FY23 Table 4.5
Rate for
increased considerably in CY22 in a high interest No. Income under section 4C
FY23
rate environment, which augmented the impact Where income does not exceed Rs.150
1 0%
of aforementioned tax revisions on voluntary million
payments. In CY22, banks’ overall profit-before- Where income exceeds Rs 150 million but
2 1%
does not exceed Rs 200 million
tax grew by 55.8 percent, which is about six Where income exceeds Rs 200 million but
3 2%
times the average growth of previous five years does not exceed Rs 250 million
(CY17-CY21).16 Scheduled banks’ net Where income exceeds Rs 250 million but
4 3%
does not exceed Rs 300 million
investment in government papers, which rose 5 Where income exceeds Rs 300 million 4%
from 50.6 percent of total credit in December Where income exceeds Rs 300 million and
6 10%
2021 to 54.6 percent in December 2022 and 58.4 the business is banking
Where income exceeds Rs 300 million and
percent in June 2023, remained the main source persons are engaged in the business of
of bank profitability.17 airlines, automobiles, beverages, cement,
10% for the
7 chemicals, cigarette & tobacco, fertilizer,
FY22*
iron & steel, LNG terminal, oil marketing,
Growth in indirect taxes remained flat, oil refining, petroleum & gas exploration &
dragged by contraction in import-related taxes production, pharma, sugar & textiles
Note: S. No. 1 to 5 pertain to income from any business--
Indirect tax collection increased by only 0.9 banking or otherwise. S.No. 6 and 7 pertain to banking & a
group of specific businesses, respectively, provided their
percent in FY23, compared to 28.2 percent income levels are exceeding Rs 300 million apiece.
growth in the previous year. This sharp *This tax applies retrospectively for the FY22
deceleration was led by decline in import- Source: Finance Act 2022
related taxes (sales tax, FED, and customs duty).
While PKR depreciation partially offset the
impact of contraction in imports in dollar terms,
Domestic GST Collection Figure 4.4 it was mainly the decline in dutiable imports –
growth in percent 28.9 automobile, cell phones, and other luxury items
30 – that led to lower import-related taxes.18
GST raised to 18 percent 23
Moreover, there was an increase in GST on
20 16.8 imports of non-essential luxury items to 25
percent during H2-FY23.19 Together, these
10 factors limited the fallout of the reduction in
imports on tax collection in FY23.20
0
-8.9 -9.3
Nevertheless, decline in import-related taxes
-9.7
was offset by higher collections of domestic
-10
FY22 FY23 FY22 FY23 FY22 FY23
sales tax and FED. These were supported by
higher inflation translating into higher GST and
H1 H2 Jul-Jun
FED;21 increase in GST from 17 percent to 18
Source: Federal Board of Revenue
pivotal role in tax collection on imports. Import values in PKR fell by only 5.2 percent as depreciation partially offset the decline in
imports in USD.
19 New tax rate applied over 800 tariff lines, including cars (CBU); home appliances (CBU); aerated water and juices; confectionery;
sanitary and bathroom wares; carpets; chandeliers; chocolates; doors and window frames; leather jackets and apparels; articles of
jewelry; and others. Source: FBR SRO No. 297(I)/2023, dated Mar 08, 2023;
www.download1.fbr.gov.pk/SROs/2023382232741774SRO-297-OF-2023.pdf
20 Import-related taxes (sales tax, FED, and customs) fell by 6.7 percent in FY23, as compared 45.7 percent increase in FY22. Source:
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percent in the Finance (Supplementary) Act 2023 notable increase of 41.9 percent in FY23
(Figure 4.4); and increase in GST on locally compared to the previous year. This is
manufactured cars to 25 percent.22 explained by GST on other POL products,
The revenue measures announced in the Finance including furnace oil, HOBC, JP-8, and JP-1.
Act 2022 were already expected to boost GST Additionally, there was a positive revenue
and FED collections in FY23. The major revenue impact of the international crude prices trending
measures included: (i) expansion in the higher in Jul-Jan FY23 than same period last
categories of Tier-1 retailers by adding jewelers year, as well as sharp exchange rate
(except those with shop size less than 300 square depreciation, both of which lifted the base prices
feet); (ii) discontinuation of gas and electricity of the POL products.
utilities for retailers not registered with FBR’s
real-time sales reporting system aimed at Non-Tax Revenue
enhancing compliance of retailers, as well as
other sales tax agents, with digitalization After recording declines in the preceding two
protocols of FBR; additionally, a penalty system years, NTR increased by 41.8 percent in FY23
was also enforced for the non-compliant Tier-1 (Table 4.6). Almost the entire growth came on
retailers;23 and (iii) increase in FED on cigarettes the back of sharp increase in collection form
and air travel in club, business and first class in petroleum development levy (PDL), which
the Finance Act 2022 and Finance reached Rs 579.9 billion in FY23. In FY22, the
(Supplementary) Act 2023. levy was kept either zero or much below the
budget target (Figure 4.5), as the government
In the light of these developments, domestic attempted to provide relief to masses in the face
sales tax and FED rose despite subdued of rising international oil prices. However,
economic activity and zero GST on POL starting from July 2022, the levies on petrol and
products (MS and diesel) and crude.24 Domestic hi-speed diesel were re-imposed, and gradually
GST collection from POL products still posted a increased to the budgeted target of Rs 50 per
liter apiece. This provided boost to PDL
Trend of PDL Figure 4.5 Trend of Transfer of SBP's Surplus Profits Figure 4.6
HSD Petrol PDL target rate
billion Rupees
60 Rupees per liter 371
0 0 0 0 0
Jan-22
Jan-23
Nov-21
May-22
Nov-22
May-23
Sep-21
Sep-22
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-23
Mar-22
Mar-23
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sources: Pakistan State Oil, and Oil and Gas Regulatory FY21 FY22 FY23
Authority Source: Ministry of Finance
22 Source: FBR SRO No. 297(I)/2023, dated Mar 08, 2023; www.download1.fbr.gov.pk/SROs/2023382232741774SRO-297-OF-
2023.pdf
23 Penalty of a half million rupees for first default; Rs 1.0 million for second default after 15 days of order for first default; Rs 2.0
million for third default after 15 days of order for second default; Rs 3.0 million for fourth default after 15 days of order for third
default; regardless of these penalties, premises of retailers might be sealed as well.
24 GST on these products was removed in March 2022 through FBR SRO 321(I)/2022, with effect from February 2022.
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Fiscal Policy
collection, particularly in the second half, even the government within 30 days of making the
compensating for falling POL sales.25 As a annual financial statements public by the SBP.27
result, the government overshot the revised It may be noted here that there was a transfer of
target of Rs 542 billion.26 Rs 371 billion in Q2-FY23 in arrears from Q4-
FY22.28 On the other hand, provincial non-tax
On the other hand, SBP profit transfers were revenue also grew by 29.3 percent in FY23,
significantly lower in FY23 due to change in compared to decline of 14.6 percent in FY22,
transfer mechanism in light of the amendments mainly on account of charges collected from
to the SBP Act (Figure 4.6). As per the new transfer of property, and administration charges
rules, the surplus profits are to be transferred to and fees.
25
Sales of petrol and diesel fell by 16.8 percent and 28.5 percent, respectively, in FY23 from the year ago. Sources: Ministry of
Finance and Oil Companies Advisory Council
26 The government was initially falling short of the budget target of Rs 855 billion during FY23, which could be ascribed to
gradual—instead of one-off—increase in PDL to budget target of Rs 50 per liter, as well as lower POL sales.
27 Source: SBP Act 2022 (Amended); https://www.sbp.org.pk/about/act/SBP-Act.pdf
28 The changes in Act will see transfer of first full year surplus profits of SBP in first half of FY24.
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Fiscal Policy
increased in FY23, against a decline observed in remained the major contributor to still elevated
the previous fiscal year (Table 4.7). growth in current expenditures, accounting for
54 percent of the federal current expenditures
Federal Current Expenditures during FY23 (Figure 4.8). Meanwhile, defence,
pensions and running of civil government also
Growth in federal current expenditure witnessed higher spending during FY23.
decelerated slightly to 28.6 percent in FY23 from
33.1 percent in FY22. The deceleration was Steep rise in interest expenses
primarily due to lower subsidies and grants.
Substantial increase in interest payments, The mark-up payments surged by 83.2 percent
in FY23, compared to 15.7 percent increase in the
Quarterly Current Federal Spending Figure 4.8
Interest expenditure Non-interest expenditure Interest Payments as Percent of Major Fiscal Table 4.8
billion Rupees Accounts
5,000 Average
FY22 FY23
FY17-FY21
4,000 Fiscal balance 71.6 60.5 89.4
Total tax revenues 46.6 47.1 74.6
3,000 Total expenditure 23.7 23.9 49.6
Current expenditures 28.4 27.6 53.7
2,000 Defence 180.9 225.4 367.8
Pension 527.2 587.3 875.1
1,000 Running of civil govt. 424.4 582.1 919.7
Subsidies 927.2 208.1 539.8
0 Grants 377.3 278.7 545.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Development expenditures 154.2 192.0 654.9
FY22 FY23 Source: Ministry of Finance
Source: Ministry of Finance
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Fiscal Policy
6000
7 2
4000
5 1
2000
0
0 3
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY21 FY22 FY23
Source: Ministry of Finance Source: Ministry of Finance
previous year. In absolute terms, interest and the resumption of markup payments to
payments rose to Rs 5.8 trillion (Figure 4.9a); bilateral creditors after expiration of Debt
about 70 percent of tax revenues and 93 percent Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI).30
of the fiscal deficit in FY23 (Table 4.8). Unlike in
FY22, when interest payments remained Subsidies and grants, despite steep fall, remain
relatively muted until March 2022 and then rose substantial
in last the quarter, these rose steadily
throughout FY23 (Figure 4.9b). Though interest Total subsidies decreased to Rs 1.1 trillion (1.3
payments on both the domestic and foreign debt percent of GDP) in FY23 from Rs 1.5 trillion (2.3
rose sharply, mark-up on domestic debt percent of GDP) in the previous year (Figure
constituted around 87 percent of the total 4.10).31 Almost 67 percent of the subsidies in
expense. FY23 were meant for power sector, mainly
The actual markup payments exceeded the Federal Subsidies and Grants: Figure 4.10
budgeted target of Rs 3.9 trillion for FY23 by Actual vs Targets
48.7 percent.29 Increased borrowing, mostly via FY22-Actual FY23-Budgeted FY23-Actual
short-term T-bills and floating rate PIBs, 1600 billion Rupees
resulted in higher mark-up payments on 1,529.6
domestic debt in FY23. In addition, higher debt 1200
servicing reinforced financing requirement to 1,239.3
pay off high priced loans. Moreover, the rising 1,080.3 1,174.5
share of floating rate instruments in the 800
1,070.0
outstanding debt further increased the buildup
664.0
of interest payments. 400
settlement of circular debt. Against this, power sector received Rs 870 billion during FY23. This large deviation from the target was
mainly due to higher accumulation of circular debt and payments made under fiscal package.
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Fiscal Policy
Disbursement of Federal Subsidies Figure 4.11 Similar to subsidies, total grants were recorded
FY22 FY23
billion Rupees at Rs 1,070.0 billion in FY23, lower by 13.7
Fertilizer 41 percent from Rs 1,239.3 billion in FY22 (Figure
15
4.12). Benazir Income Support Program (BISP)
Gas-dom. consumers Petroleum &
27 remained a major recipient of federal grants,
169 gas sector
Industrial sector 43 followed by contingent liabilities, other grants
Exchange losses-PSO and grants to HEC.
36
Wapda/Pepco 18
20 In FY23, the BISP received Rs 408 billion against
Tariff differ.-tubewell 5
9 Power
the budgeted amount of Rs 360 billion. Through
Tariff differ.-AJK sector BISP, emergency cash assistance of Rs 70 billion
131
66 was disbursed to 2.72 million families affected
K-Electric 267 due to floods during 2022.34 Under this cash
345
IPPs 93 assistance program, the government provided
403 emergency assistance of Rs 25,000 per family.35
Inter disco tariff differ. 213
Moreover, the BISP program also covered the
0 200 400 600
Source: Ministry of Finance ongoing schemes carried under Unconditional
Cash Transfer (UCT) and Conditional Cash
including tariff differential payments related to Transfer (CCT) programs.
AJK, agriculture tube wells, receivables to
DISCOs, K-Electric and WAPDA/PEPCO Under the Benazir Kafalat, which is a major
(Figure 4.11).32 UCT program,36 the government provided cash
assistance of Rs 7,000 per family to around 7.7
After power, a substantial amount of subsidies million families in first half of FY23, which was
was provided on petroleum products; which
comprised subsidies to industrial sector, Disbursement of Federal Grants Figure 4.12
domestic consumers and payment to PSO on billion Rupees
account of exchange losses. The industrial NDRMF 40
sector remained the major recipient of
T.T. charges-remit. 35
petroleum and gas subsidies, which include
subsidized LNG and electricity and extension of Railways 47.5
industrial support package (ISP).33
Gilgit Baltistan 47
crisis and inflation on the poor, particularly women, through provision of cash assistance to eligible families.
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Fiscal Policy
later increased to Rs 8,750 with an inflation government had announced 15 percent ad-hoc
adjustment of 25 percent with effect from relief allowance for all federal employees and
January 01, 2023. The coverage of UCT Kafalat employees of autonomous/ semi-autonomous
program was also extended to 9 million families bodies and corporations. In addition,
based on the live National Socioeconomic government also made upward revisions in
Registry (NSER) database. The major CCT salary scale of BPS-1 to BPS-21 civil servants.38
program, i.e. ‘Benazir Taleemi Wazaif’ scheme, Moreover, a special allowance was granted to
disbursed Rs 23.4 billion during FY23 to the civil employees in grades BPS 1 to BPS 16.39
children of BISP beneficiaries.37 Other than Similarly to increase in salary, pension was also
BISP, the government also carried out non- increased by 15 percent to Rs 666.3 billion in
budgeted Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund FY23, which also resulted in higher current
(PPAF) program. One of the major schemes expenditures.40
under the program was Interest-Free Loan (IFL)
Program, which provides funding to the Federal Development Expenditures
microenterprises of poor and marginalized
households. The federal development expenditures increased
sharply by 33.1 percent in FY23, against a
Increase in salaries and pensions decline of 16.4 percent in FY22, mainly reflecting
higher disbursements under federal PSDP. In
Expenditures on both pension and running of terms of GDP, the PSDP saw a slight increase to
the civil government recorded a significant 0.9 in FY23 percent from 0.8 percent last year.
increase during FY23. The major impetus came
from relief measures for serving and retired Federal development spending has consistently
employees announced in FY22. In July 2022, the fell short of the budgeted amount during the last
few years, owing to growing fiscal imbalances
Federal PSDP: Actual vs. Budgeted Figure 4.13 and rising subsidies, grants and interest
Budgeted Actual payments.41 In contrast to FY22,
percent of GDP when the targeted PSDP was higher than the
3.0
2.8
previous two years, the government envisaged a
2.4
2.5 lower target for FY23 (Figure 4.13).
2.1 2.1
2.0
1.7
1.6 1.7 During the first half of FY23, the federal PSDP
1.5 1.3 1.3
1.4 releases were lower than the previous year, in
1.2
line with the strategy of releasing 10 percent of
1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 the allocation in Q1, 20 percent in Q2, 30 percent
in Q3, and 40 percent in Q4. Further, the
0.5
ongoing PSDP projects also faced some
0.0 operational bottlenecks including difficulties in
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 opening of Letter of Credits (LCs) for import of
Source: Ministry of Finance
37 According to BISP, Benazir Taleemi Wazaif Scheme was initially introduced in five districts in November 2012; the coverage was
expanded gradually, and in 2020 all districts of the country were covered. Under this scheme, the children of BISP families are
provided with quarterly stipend (varies with sex, age and education level) with the condition of enrolment in school with 70 percent
attendance. As of June 2023, 12.0 million children have been enrolled in the scheme and Rs 63.3 billion has been disbursed.
38 Office Memorandum F. No. 1(2) lmp/2022-283, dated July 01, 2022, Regulations Wing, Finance Division
39 Office Memorandum F. No. 9(7) R-1/2014-62/2023, dated Feb 14, 2023, Regulations Wing, Finance Division
40 Office Memorandum No. F.4 (1) Reg.6/2022-486, dated July 01, 2022, Regulations Wing, Finance Division
41 The PFM reforms comprises: (i) budget management; (ii) development projects, maintenance and use of public assets; (iii) control
of public finance consolidated fund and public account; (iv) treasury management; (v) special purpose funds; (vi) accounting and
reporting; (vii) public entities; (viii) non tax-revenue; and (ix) ease and authority to make rules
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Province-wise analysis reveals that Punjab lower provincial share in federal revenues, and
contributed the most in overall contraction in decline in provincial own revenue.
provincial surplus, whereas Balochistan posted
a deficit during FY23. On the contrary, Sindh Provincial own revenue collection grew by 10.1
and KP generated higher surplus during FY23 percent in FY23, against 12.5 percent increase in
compared to last year (Figure 4.14). The FY22. The deceleration in provincial own
reduction in provincial surplus mainly came revenue came from tax revenues, which
from slower growth in revenues, coupled with recorded a growth of 6.1 percent to Rs 649.6
higher current expenditures (Table 4.10 and billion in FY23 compared to Rs 612.4 billion last
Figure 4.15). year. Among different sources of taxes, sales tax
on services contributed the most, followed by
Provincial Revenues other taxes and stamp duties. Within provinces,
around 46 percent of the taxes were collected by
Growth in provincial revenues decelerated to Punjab, 44 percent by Sindh and 6.4 percent and
13.1 percent in FY23 from 25.7 percent in in the 4.0 percent by KP and Balochistan respectively
previous year. The deceleration is explained by (Figure 4.16).
Provincial Revenues and Expenditures Figure 4.15 Major Sources of Provincial Own Figure 4.16
Total revenue Total expenditure Revenues
Hydroelectricity profits Motor vehicles tax
60 growth in percent Stamp duties Federal loans & transfers
Sales tax on services
50
375 billion Rupees
40 250
30 125
0
20
-125
10
FY22
FY23
FY22
FY23
FY22
FY23
FY22
FY23
0
FY21 FY22 FY23 Punjab Sindh KP Balochistan
Source: Ministry of Finance Source: Ministry of Finance
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Fiscal Policy
Segregation of Provincial Expenditures Figure 4.17 Priorities in Development Spending in Figure 4.18
Current expenditure Development expenditure FY23 (percent share in provincial
development expenditure)
billion Rupees
2,000 Punjab Sindh KP Balochistan
The moderation in growth of provincial own tax grants and loans were diverted to finance the
collection during FY23 may be attributed to food related activities in Sindh.
different tax relief measures announced in
respective budgets of provinces. For instance, Provincial Expenditures
extension of the reduced sales tax rate on
services for more than 30 sectors and The growth in provincial expenditures also
registration and token tax exemption on electric decelerated to 18.6 percent during FY23, from
vehicles in Punjab. Moreover, no new taxes 27.0 percent in FY22. The deceleration was due
were announced by Sindh in its FY23 budget, to slower growth in development expenditures,
whereas special moratorium was placed on while current expenditures grew sharply
collection of cotton fee, professional tax and (Figure 4.17).
entertainment duty. Sindh also exempted
export-oriented sector from Sindh Infrastructure The current expenditures rose by 20.6 percent in
Development Cess, reduced rate of levy for FY23, compared to 12.5 percent in FY22, majorly
services provided by cable TV operators, and driven by increased expenditures on executive
lowered the Sindh Sales Tax from 13 percent to 8 & legislative organizations, financial and fiscal
percent for commission charges. KP also affairs including salaries and pension
provided relief on various taxes and fee in FY23, expenditures of respective provinces. The
which include 20 percent exemption in excise increase in salaries and pension was due to
duty on first time registration of motor vehicles, special ad-hoc relief and disparity allowance to
and zero tax on land with full exemption from employees announced by different provinces in
capital value tax (CVT) and registration fee. their FY23 budgets. Public order and safety
affairs, was other major head that recorded 13.3
Provincial non-tax revenues registered a growth percent increase in FY23. The increase was
of 29.3 percent in FY23, against a decline of 14.6 mainly driven by a 15.5 percent more allocation
percent in the previous year. The growth to police department compared to previous
mainly came on account of other non-tax year.
sources, including receipts of forests
department. In contrast, the major non-tax Provincial development spending increased by
sources, transfer of hydroelectricity profits to only 2.0 percent in FY23, compared to 58.0
KP, which remained lower at Rs 4.9 billion in percent increase recorded in FY22. Khyber
FY23 compared to Rs 21.0 billion during last Pakhtunkhwa witnessed a major decline,
year. This was because most of the federal whereas Punjab and Sindh also contained the
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Fiscal Policy
Fiscal Policy
pace of development spending. Within the transport sector specifically in Punjab, KP and
development spending, major thrust came from Balochistan. In Sindh, the provincial resources
economic affairs, as funds were diverted to were diverted to social protection and
finance the ongoing projects in construction and agriculture and allied sectors (Figure 4.18).
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