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Holt's Method

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carap71147
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15 views4 pages

Holt's Method

Uploaded by

carap71147
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Period Demand L T

1 50
2 54
3 61
4 69
5 78
6 87
7 100
8 113
9 128
10 143
11 161
12 180

L0=
T0=

Alpha=
Beta=
Forecast Error Abs Error % Error Abs % Error
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics 1 R
Multiple R 0.988231 15
R Square 0.976601 10

Residuals
Adjusted R 0.974001 5
Standard E 6.779053 0
Observatio 11 -5 0 2
-10
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 17262.58 17262.58 375.6365 1.198E-08
Residual 9 413.6 45.95556
Total 10 17676.18

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 19.03636 4.964765 3.834293 0.004001 7.805286 30.26744 7.805286 30.26744
1 12.52727 0.646357 19.38134 1.198E-08 11.06511 13.98943 11.06511 13.98943

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted 50Residuals
Standard Residuals
1 44.09091 9.909091 1.54079
2 56.61818 4.381818 0.68134
3 69.14545 -0.145455 -0.022617
4 81.67273 -3.672727 -0.571082
5 94.2 -7.2 -1.119547
6 106.7273 -6.727273 -1.046041
7 119.2545 -6.254545 -0.972536
8 131.7818 -3.781818 -0.588045
9 144.3091 -1.309091 -0.203554
10 156.8364 4.163636 0.647415
11 169.3636 10.63636 1.653876
1 Residual Plot
15
10
Residuals

5
0
-5 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
-10
1

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