Granite 2
Granite 2
This project objective is to setup Granite Quarrying and processing plant in Harar city. The
plant would process (cut to predefined sizes and polish) raw blocks and produce marble strips/tiles
and slabs. The project would not only focus the construction industry and demand for marble in
the country, but also export market opportunities in to Middle East as well as even Europe market.
There is a great demand for a fully equipped marble processing plant. The new plant could not
only explore the construction industry within the country which is on a boom since past 10 years,
but could also fulfill the orders from other countries. Finished goods include tiles, slabs and strips.
The unit would have 100% capacity after 5 years to process annually around 60,000 m 2 of Gran-
ite, and 45,000 m2 Terrazo tiles.
The total capital cost of the project is Birr 27,471,600 (Twenty seven million four hundred
seventy one thousands and six hundred birr) of which birr 23,120,660 ( twenty three million
one hundred twenty thousands and six hundred sixty birr) will be required for fixed invest-
ments such as machineries, construction and civil works, while the remaining birr 4,350,940
(four million three hundred fifty thousand and nine hundred forty birr )will be for working
capital. The main material for processing and quarrying is consumables which is drilling bits, cut-
ting discs & diamond segments and polishing abrasives & resins which are used in different stages
of production and from the first phase quarrying produce blocks and delivered to processing plant
to further transforming blocks to slabs and polishing. The main input raw materials Granite are
available in abundance in the Harar area. The selected for Granite quarry which is resource avail -
able is around Harawea which is 8 km from harar town, it is asphalt road to Jig-jiga and Berbera
port and the Total reserve or deposit estimated for Granite reserve is 2,750,000 m 3, and for the
production of the above capacity ( 60,000 m2 Granite ) we need 2,400 m 3 of Granite block and the
reserve can yield for more than 1,000 years for a given capacity of production.
The plant would process in two steps quarrying which is extracting block from the host rocks
and then block transported to processing unit which block is cut to predefined sizes and polish,
and produce strips/tiles and slabs. The project would not only focus the construction industry and
demand for marble within the country, but also in the export market as well. Once the facility
starts at its operation, it could export and supply marble steps, strips, tiles, and slabs to Middle
East, Africa and Europe markets
Granite and marble processing is gaining popularity due to increase in its usage in construc-
tion industry. Today almost all the modern architectural designs of houses and plazas include the
final touch of beautiful shades of Granite and marble in exterior as well as interior portions. There
are large deposits of superior quality limestone and granite in the area. There is also the possibility
of getting additional quarry site for variety color production and supply optional colors to the mar-
ket. The current selection of quarrying and processing machines which modern technique applica-
tion reduce the wastage and improve the production capacities and profitability.
The project has the following advantage for the country and economy
Add some value in mining industry of the country as well boosts economy of the harari na-
tional people’s regional state.
The project earns foreign currency to the country amount 3 million US Dollars every year
when operated at full capacity.
The growing housing industry in Ethiopia as well as in the world increases the marketing
demand of the marble & granite.
Enhance the standardization of the products and experience modern production techniques.
Potential of the project. Housing industry in the region is estimated to be growing.
Have back ward linkage to mining industry and technology transfer to the country and for-
ward linkage to the Construction industry and also create employment for 66 citizens
The project target market out let is 80% for export (48,000m 2) and 20% (12,000m2) for local
market. And generate over birr 40 million when operation is at full capacity and the profit to total
sales ratio is 45.5 during the first year and is estimated to grow to 49.6% in the second year of
operation. Likewise, net profit to equity ratio (Return on equity) is found to be 80% within two
years of its commencement. This, therefore, shows that the project is among the very few lucrative
investment opportunities in the country
• “Calcareous material” or, conventionally, “Marble” comprising the whole class of carbonate
rocks anable to sawing and polishing, beyond the limits of the mere lithologic characterization.
• “Siliceous material” or, conventionally, “Granite” including the whole set of eruptive rocks
having granular structure and poly-mineral composition, irrespective of the content of quartz.
These two classes represent the large majority of ‘dimension stones’, the other materials, such
as slate and limestone, having a much more limited importance in terms of quantity and value of
production.
The world dimension stone industry has expanded since the early 1990s with production
growing by about 7.5% and trade by almost 9% per year. This demonstrates the prosperity of the
sector if compared to the average growth rate of the whole economic system and trade. This
positive trend has been continuous, with the only exception of 1998, confirming the strategic
character of the granite, marble and general dimension stones sector. Such a long lasting tendency
is linked to the natural global expansion of the construction sector, owing to an extraordinary
development of the world population, which passed from 0.75 billion units at the beginning of last
century to the actual 6.2 billion and will reach 9 billion by 2025, according to the forecasts of
United Nation Organization. As a consequence, the construction sector is bound to keep growing,
also benefiting from the world socio-economic development, leading to an increasing demand, in
quantity and quality, for housing and building in general. The very large yet untapped abundance
of world natural reserves of marble and granite, and their outstanding technical features, qualify
such construction materials as an important resource for the construction sector for the years to
come.
Nevertheless other factors equally impacted on the positive dimension stone sector
performance, such as technical development and, last but not least, a political will, now
consolidated in many countries, to promote the sector within the sphere of national and local
strategies. It is interesting to mention that, after the United Nation Organization recommendation
to governments concerning potentialities of the stone sector in supporting social and economic
development, some countries decided to reclassify these materials as first category goods (as was
the case of Bulgaria, Nigeria, Paraguay and more recently India).
The driving force in the sector is trade, involving export of about 25 million tons in 2003,
equivalent to about 460 million square meters of finished products of conventional thickness of cm
2. More than 55% of world consumption concerns materials quarried in different countries from
those of installation. The import-export trade of materials, especially finished products, has grown
geometrically over the last 10 years, and the emerging production countries have seen their
markets expand globally.
However the main four stone countries - China, India, Italy and Spain – still represent about 53
% of the total production, as well as they account for the 64% of the global export figure (data
2003), confirming that the industry concentration is still very strong and that new countries have
to face considerable competition.2. DION TONE USES AND MAIN PRODUCTS
The trends in global utilization of dimension stone materials is characterized by a predominant
application in floors, especially indoor, and, to a lesser extent, for cladding, due to the severe
competition exerted by alternative ceramic products (tiles and vitrified stoneware). Accordingly
there is a good demand for tiles, especially marble for interior flooring owing to its aesthetic
features, whereas granite is chiefly used for exterior cladding and in the funerary art.
Since 1996, world consumption of dimension stone progressed from 25 million tons to 44 million
tons (that is from about 480 million m2 equivalent to over 800 million m2 equivalent) for an
average annual growth of 7.5%.
In the past, besides mere decorative purposes, stone was essentially used in the form of cubic
pieces for heavy self-supporting structures and for monuments. Today it is mainly employed in the
form of slabs of variable surface and thickness, applied to the supporting frame by means of
fastening devices: the stone element behaves as an active part of the system, giving a positive
contribution to the overall structural performance. According to modern building criteria, also
dictated by economic reasons, the design of constructive elements is developed in order to take
advantage of their resistance properties. In particular interest is growing towards the development
of lightweight building elements in which a thin layer of natural stone is associated to honeycomb
metal structures or other reinforcing materials. In such a context, employed materials must meet
very strict specifications, within the frame of internationally recognized rules and standards, so
that building materials can satisfy both their static and aesthetic function.
Concerning the chromatic feature, grey, beige, white and pink represent the large majority of
dimension stone global demand. However a strategic marketing effort has been made to promote
less recurrent colours (red, green, blue) especially in non-European countries.
In Harawwea, the area mapped is wholly occupied with granite plutonic intrusive rock of the
acid family composed of feldspar (orthoclase), quartz, and ferromagnesian minerals, mostly
biotite. Their grain size ranges trom medium to coarse grained. The color of the granite for is fresh
white have pale pinkish greydark grey tones and pink respectively and all are hard, compact and
massive.
Harawwea Granite Deposit
Location
The Harawwea granite deposit is located 8 km South-East of Harrar town, almost on the Harrar –
Jig-Jiga main road.
Access
The selected quarry for Granite block mining is lying with in the new road from Harar - Jig
Jiga and it is 8 kms from harar town and the village called harawwea, found under Sofi Waredas
of Harar.
Geology
The area mapped, 50,000m2, is wholly occupied with granite plutonic intrusive rock of the acid
family composed of feldspar (orthoclase), quartz, and ferromagnesian minerals,mostly biotite.
The Harawwea granite, on the surface attacked by weathering along the joints and cracks
formed large cuboidal blocks which rest on granite. This rounded convexity' of weathered granite
which is common all over the area, can be observed in any size from block to rounded knolls and
even elongated cliffs: Badly weathered basaltic rock, probably dyke rock, has been observed in
western Valley. Inclusions of country rock or mineral segregation or preferred orientation of
minerals have not been observed.
1, local market
The local dimensional stone survey conducted by the local producers, manufacturing, importers
and the import data which acquired from custom office.
The first parts of survey is considering processing companies like ALEK Granite and terrazzo,
National mining company, which are the only producers of the granite to the local market and also
Sofomer marble, Ferdose marble, Ethio marble, Ali marble and Abdallah marble the above
companies are some of the processing industries that supply marble and granite to local market.
The second part of survey is the importers and the local dealers which are selling as a retailers
and which mostly having the direct know how and contact with the vast majority of the
consumers.
Among the importers the lion share import and sells of granite and marble was conducted by
Renaissance marble and granite company which even have edge cutter machineries and they
import bigger slab and further cut according to customer orders and need.
The retailers which mostly located in the meskel flower areas and also in areas which are
boosting construction movements like CMC and LEbu areas.
The output of this marketing survey can be summarized as follows.
a, price
The average selling price of Granite, marble and limestone is for processing company; granite
is selling at 1,200 brr per m 2 and 1,350 per m2 for 2cm and 3 cm thickness slab respectively. And
the marble was selling at 900 brr per m2 and 1,100 per m2 for 2 cm and 3 cm thickness slab
respectively. And for those the retailers are selling the granite and marbles by adding margins of
100-200 brr and for limestone the average selling price is around 1,000 brr, the imported marble
and granite was selling in two ways, the given standard size and the given thickness with per m2
value, this mostly in steps and risers of 150 cm linear with width of 34cm and the steps with 3 cm
thickness and risers of 2 cm thickness is selling at average of 1,200 brr per pcs, and with the
second type of average 1,600 brr per m2.
b, Delivery time
Most processing of marble will deliver within 1 months and importers can deliver if they have in
stocks and the retailers mostly takes 15 days to deliver. But for granite Alek granite can deliver not
less than 3 months and NMC(National mining Company) can deliver not less than 6 months, also
this delivery time for NMC depends on the orders on the hand and the projects on the subsidiary
companies like MIDROC etc. and sometimes it might take even 10 to 12 months to deliver.
Owing to the booming of construction industry in Ethiopia, the demand for granite has risen
sharply. Previously the demand for granite was mainly met through domestic producers. However,
despite growing opportunities for granite querying and processing businesses due to rapidly
expanding construction sector that has raised the demand for granite, the expansion in local
production and supply of granite is believed to be left far behind the expansion in its demand.
However, lack of official statistics in the volume of domestic granite quarrying has made this
analysis a bit difficult, but the above import data will help more on demand analysis that for the
last years the local market demand of granite and marble will be satisfied by importing of the gap,
based on the above conclusion the gap imported in the year 2014 from different countries are
206,179,620.4( two hundreds and six millions one hundred and seventy nine thousands and six
hundred twenty brr and forty cents in C.I.F cost) and 34,142,141.19 ( thirty four million one
hundreds forty two brr and eighteen cents C.I.F cost) are imported respectively and this shows
there is a very large gap to satisfy the local market demands.
2, Export market
This market survey gives an overview of the opportunities and threats that potential region for
export should be analyze before making a decision to export to the global market. It reviews the
following aspects:
Despite the recession during the 2008/2009 crisis one could say, stone is not merely a material
with a long life span. It is a sure investment in times of economic uncertainty – at least the branch
seems to know how to negotiate the times of crisis. This is particularly interesting considering that
all the companies involved are small or medium-sized enterprises. There is no natural-stone-
„Industry“ with companies employing a staff of 1000 or more anywhere in the world.
Montani concentrated his flash-back on figures compiled in the last decade: net production of
natural stone was up by 7% per year, international trade by more than 10% on average. ‘‘
MENA-Region, that is Middle East and Northern Africa, are looking at a specialized
product for natural stone. The MENA-Region is promising in a number of ways, the area is
currently experiencing an unequalled building boom all of which can be classified as luxury
projects. „Owing to the sweltering-hot climate, of the GCC, building without these materials (i.e.
granite, marble and ceramic) would be unthinkable.
Perhaps most visible is gulf countires are striving to create a reputation for first class luxury
tourism. The ever-present: the shopping centers and luxury dwelling complexes, e.g. Palm
Jumeirah Island are nothing short of spectacular. The target groups are the wealthy from all over
the world especially from the newly industrialized Asian countries.
Let us take a closer look at the GCC States. The Gulf Cooperation Council includes Kuwait,
Bahrain, Saudi-Arabia, Qatar, Oman, and the United Arab Emirates whose cooperation dates back
to 1981 and who in 2008 signed a Common Market Agreement.
For the exporter price, the initial production costs can be divided into: fixed capital (land and
building, machinery, rent), working capital (labor, raw materials, utility costs, other contingency
costs) and government taxes (royalties to exploit the quarry). Then, value is added within the trade
channel from the logistics and services provided in this supply chain. These functions range from
distribution and repackaging to sawing and processing activities.
The margins for the exporter and the other intermediaries in the trade channel are difficult to
determine, because they are influenced by many factors, such as:
2. The size of the order (the larger the order, the smaller the margin);
3. The quality and exclusivity of the product (exclusive products allow for high margins);
4. Availability of the product and value Added deriving from the processing operations such as
cutting, sawing, polishing, carving etc… (a custom-made kitchen countertop will have a higher
margin than a standard tile).
5. The number of intermediaries in the trade channel;
As an example, most of the polished granite tiles from India in the size of
(40 x free length x 1.5) are sold by the manufacturer in the price range of 25-35 euro/m 2, FOB.
Then the following margins usually apply through the trade channel:
Another important price development is the rising transportation costs of some like China.
The Chinese export economy is growing fast and this effect has an impact on container
transport. The cost of shipment has recently risen because of a shortage of space on the container
ships. And labor cost in china is somewhat risen due to the competition in the demand for and if
the above costs will rise then the production cost will also rise which affect the selling price to the
global market specially in Europe and MENA countries and makes our product more competent in
terms of price.
Despite the higher and rising current retail price of granite in both local & Export market,
considering sufficient margin for distributors and transportation cost, a factory-gate price for local
market will be of birr 750 per m2 for polished granite is recommended for the envisaged plant,
and for export market the current F.O.B price will be 25 USD/ m 2 will be considered and take for
this cost analysis purpose.
i. Slab cutting
The squared blocks prepared from the quarry will be transported to the location of block cutting
machine using Gantry crane or forklift. The block cutting machines in this option have two
different types. One multi-blade bridge cutter and two single blade vertical & horizontal cutter and
will split the squared block in to slabs in the required thickness of 1.5cm, 2cm or 3cm.
ii. Polishing
The slabs will feed to semi Automatic polishing machine or manual polishing and the granite
slabs will be polished using abrasives and resin polishing wheels to bring out the beauty of the
color and pattern in the granite. The granite slabs are then produced in bundles and stored in
temporary storage area till the edge cutting machine is ready to process.
iii. Edge cutting
Once the granite slabs are polished and are ready for distribution, it will be further cut and
ornament as per the customers’ size & specifications using table cutting machines and finally the
product will be packed and be ready to transport and delivered either export market or central
Addis Ababa market according to every customer’s order.
The Waste produced in granite quarrying & processing are granite bolders, sludge and slabs which
is very smaller size that will not feet to sell as tiles. And this waste are properly handled and stored
for further terrazzo production.
1.2, Plant Capacity
The plant can produce daily 200m 2 and 150m2 of Granite slab and Terrazzo tiles respectively, in
the above setup of machineries. It is therefore recommended that the envisaged plant will have an
annual production capacity of 60,000 m2 Granite slab and 45,000 m2 terrazzo tiles. The plant will
operate single shift of 8 hours a day, and for 300 days a year.
1.3, Production Program
The envisaged production program is given in Table 1.1, below. The schedule is worked out in
consideration of the time required for gradual build-up in labor productivity and fine-tuning of
machineries. Production is assumed to start at 50% of plant capacity in the first year of operation
and reaches full-gear in the 5th year of operation since the export sales target for granite slabs will
be the 80% of product and the remaining 20% of granite slabs and all of terrazzo tiles will be sold
for local market.
table, for the planned annual capacity of 60,000m 2 of granite slabs, and Terrazzo tiles of
45,000m2 total cost machinery and equipment required is estimated at Birr 12,938,460 ( twelve
million nine hundred thirty eight thousands four hundred sixty birr ) of which 457,007 USD
( four hundred fifty seven thousand and seven US dollar ) is required in foreign currency while
the remaining Birr 2,305,000 ( two million three hundred five thousand birr ) of inland and
bank charge cost is required in local currency.
Table 3.2, MACHINERY REQUIREMENT for Granite processing COSTS
2 Horizontal & vertical bridge stone cutting machine 2 40,000 80,000 1,840,000
At the Granite quarrying, and processing need different infrastructure like building areas for
different purpose like processing, workshop area storages and office facilities and electric power
supply need 1,000 KW for three operations, granite quarrying, granite processing and terrazzo
processing lines and also the water is need for the overall system, the road construction is very
crucial to operate and transport both raw materials and output products. Accordingly, the total
Infrastructure cost is expected to be birr 10,182,200.00 (ten million one handred eitghty two
thansands and two handred birr) in operational phase.
4.1, Land, Building and Civil Works
The envisaged project has two sites, the Granite processing site and the limestone processing
site. The granite processing site is located in the granite resource area at the distance of 8km from
Harar city. The granite processing site is expected to be located In Harawea area and is expected to
be 10,000m2. The latter will be acquired as soon as the operation modality is defined.
Out of the two sites, since the limestone processing site is already secured and already use to
process limestone in very limited capacity.
The lease price in Harari region for industrial sites do not sets till now but mostly average price
surrounding area for industrial zone is around 8 birr per m2 in a yearly base and also the
compensation cost sometimes take into consideration as a first lease payment and it could be
around 200,000 birr value will be appropriate.
The processing site is expected to have 10,000m 2 of which the built up area will be 1,200 m 2
for main processing area used for block cutting, polishing and edge cutting steps including two
temporary storage areas for slabs further processed and feed to machines and final packaging area
and this built up area erected in pre-fabricated steel structure with a given foundation designs and
works by the suppliers and the workshop for both processing and quarries will be in this
processing site and the technicians can go if they are needed in limestone areas and the size of
workshop shade will be 100m2 and also the store for consumables and other items which further
uses by processing and quarries will be 150m 2 the dining rooms and office area 180m 2 is also
needed. So the Total cost of Birr 4,477,200.00 is required for construction and civil work.
Table 4.1, Building and civil work cost
Table 4.3,
Water supply required for granite quarry, processing and terrazzo production.
Road construction needed from the main road to the processing site and also from processing to
the quarry area including the car parking inside processing site and the site clearance work also
include under this category. And estimated road construction cost for the above work is around
600,000.00 birr.
The basic raw materials and input (consumables) required in these operations are various types
of consumables needed for the stone quarrying and processing. For the envisaged project the
quarrying and slab production will be carried out near the quarry site. The block is handled and
transported from quarry to processing area by derrick crane and stored in block storage area till the
block will feed to the block slicing or cutting machine using the forklift or overhead crane.
Accordingly, the annual consumables and raw materials needed to process and produce slab of
60,000 m2 of finished granite slab and 45,000 m2 of terrazzo tiles per annum is indicated in table
4.1,4.2,4.3, as follows.
Table 5.1Annual Granite quarry consumables
The overall operation of the business will be organized in to two special management teams, the
production planning and marketing management and production operation management.
The production operation of both processing and quarries will be headed in one highly skilled
production manager and under this head there are four operation supervisor for each operations
and the responsibility of the operation supervisor is 1, production output quantity and quality 2,
the usability of the resource for a given target production.
The production planning department is organized as managing the planning as market demands
and request, the marketing team will be organized under this umbrella so as to ensure efficiency
and effectiveness in production planning and its execution. The planning and management team
was operating the marketing sales, and production planning.
The production operation will be handled with all the necessary manpower. The manpower,
classified according to the production nature and contains, 5 teams;
i, Central Office.
This operation unit may be resides in Addis Ababa and focus on production planning,
marketing and sells, human resource and procurement duties are engaged in this operation team.
Table 6.1, Central Office Manpower Requirement
Monthly ANNUAL
Qty Total Monthly
M.P. CENTRAL OFFICE Salary SALARY
1 G/ Manager 1 15,000 15,000 180,000
2 Production Planner 1 12,000 12,000 144,000
3 Financial manager 1 12,000 12,000 144,000
4 HR and procurement/Purchasing head 1 10,000 10,000 120,000
5 Accountants 2 6,000 12,000 144,000
6 Purchaser 2 5,000 10,000 120,000
7 Cashiers Head 1 4,500 4,500 54,000
8 Cashiers 2 3,500 7,000 84,000
9 Sales and marketing 2 4,000 8,000 96,000
TOTAL C. Office M.P. 13 90,500 1,086,000
Therefore, according to this the annual manpower cost for the central managing and market,
quarry, processing and terrazzo production is birr 4,518,000.00 ( four million five hundred
eighteen thousands).
Incentive assumed in this table is the pension (17%) and different transport and other
allowance based on the company policy and Total incentive assumed is 25% of the Salary.
8. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
The financial analysis of the granite quarrying, processing and terrazzo production operation is
based on the data presented in the previous chapters and the following assumptions:-
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr
27,471,600 (Twenty seven million four hundred seventy one thousands and six hundred birr)
of which birr 23,120,660 ( twenty three million one hundred twenty thousands and six
hundred sixty birr) will be required for fixed investments such as machineries, construction and
civil works, while the remaining birr 4,350,940 (four million three hundred fifty thousand and
nine hundred forty birr ) will be working capital, pre-production expenditure, training and
commissioning cost.
The major breakdown of the total initial investment cost is shown in Table 7.1.
Table 7.1 INITIAL INVESTMENT COST ( ‘000 Birr)
No Cost Items Total Cost
1 Infrastructure development 10,182.2
2 Plant, Machinery and Equipment?? 12,938.46
3 Pre-production Expenditure* 350.00
4 Working Capital 3,450.94
5 Training and commissioning 550
Total Initial Investment 27,471.6
7.3, TAXES
In Ethiopian manufacturing and mining sectors there are different taxes will applicable like, in
mining sectors, mining of construction materials will be 5 % of the product sales and according to
this project our first product in quarrying is production of blocks and the production and there is
known trends in country for granite and marble block sales price in cubic meter(m 3) and for the
given type we assume the sales price of the granite block is 3,000 birr per m 3 then we need to 8
m3 to produce the 200 m2 of slab in a day and 2,400m 3 to producing 60,000m2 of slab annually.
For terrazzo tiles production it is the secondary products and will not apply the loyalty tax.
The Total loyalty tax at full capacity production will be 315,000 birr.
The following table will summarize the loyalty tax in the five year.
utilization is expected to be 50 % of the installed capacity which is of 200 m 2 per day and annual
production of granite slab at full capacity will be 60,000m 2. Accordingly, assuming 80% the
granite slab will be sold for export market and remaining 20% of granite will be sold for local
market and the product to be sold as finished product at factory gate price of USD 25 for export
market and birr 750/m2 for local sale, the following sales income is expected during the full
capacity utilization of production.
Table 7.4, Estimated sales Granite slab & terrazzo (at full capacity operation).
Sales and revenue estimations
No Granite sales quantity U. Price Total Sales
Daily Annual Daily Annual
1 export sales 80% 160 48,000 25 1,200,000
Export sales in Birr 512.5 82,000 24,600,000
2 Local Sales 20% 40 12,000 750 30,000 9,000,000
3 Terrazzo sales 150 45,000 150 22,500 6,750,000
TOTAL Granite sales 134,500 40,350,000
Table 7.5, Estimated Total sales of Granite and terrazzo in five years of production
Projected Income Statement
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 TOTAL in 5 years
20,175 26,227.5 30,262.5 34,297.5 40,350 151,312.5
7.6, RATIOS
In financial analysis financial ratios and efficiency ratios are used as an index or yardstick for
evaluating the financial position of a firm. It is also an indicator for the strength and weakness of
the firm or a project. Using the year-end balance sheet figures and other relevant data, the most
important ratios such as return on sales which is computed by dividing net income by revenue and
return on total investment (net profit divided by total investment) has been carried out for the
initial year, in which the project is assumed to be operational after a year at 50% of its capacity.
The return on sales ratio is 45.5% for the first year production that means in the second years of
investment and 49.6 % in the second years of investment) and become over 54 % when the
factory operated at full capacity. This shows that the project is among the very few lucrative
investment opportunities in the country.
operation. This amount gradually increases to about Birr 64 million by the end of the 5 th year.
This shows that the business will be able to meet its commitments without any difficulty if any,
and it can undertake future expansion program from its own internal source.
Table 7.7, Projected Cash Flow Statement (Option Two)
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Cash Inflow
Bank Loan 19,230.12
Equity Capital 8,241.48
Net Income 9,178.00 13,013.00 15,570.00 18,127.00 21,962.00
Add Total Depreciation 3,605.91 3,605.91 3,605.91 3,605.91 3,605.91
Total Cash Inflow 27,471.60 12,784.00 16,619.00 19,176.00 21,733.00 25,568.00
Cash Out Flows
Total Initial Investment 27,471.60
Principal Loan Repayments 3,846.03 3,846.03 3,846.03 3,846.03 3,846.03
Interest payment 2,403.77 2,403.77 2,403.77 2,403.77 2,403.77
Dividend
Total Cash Outflows 27,471.60 6,249.80 6,249.80 6,249.80 6,249.80 6,249.80
Net Cash Flows 0.00 6,534.20 10,369.20 12,926.20 15,483.20 19,318.20
Cumulative Cash Flows - 6,534.20 16,903.40 29,829.60 45,312.80 64,631.00
0 1 1 1 1 1
- - - - - -
0.8 5,423.3 0.8 0.7 5,03 0.7 4,835.
1 5,684.75 5227.36
6534.2 0.87 3 9 0 7 1.33 4 31
10,369. 6,01 0.5 5,80 0.5 549 0.5 5,2 0.4 5,08
2
2 0.58 4.14 6 6.75 3 5.68 1 88.29 9 0.91
12,926. 6,46 0.4 5,94 0.4 5,55 0.3 5,0 0.3 4,78
3
2 0.50 3.10 6 6.05 3 8.27 9 41.22 7 2.69
15,483. 6,81 0.3 6,03 0.3 5,26 0.3 4,6 0.2 3,09
4
2 0.44 2.61 9 8.45 4 4.29 0 44.96 0 6.64
19,318. 7,34 0.2 5,21 0.2 4,25 0.2 4,4 0.1 2,89
5
2 0.38 0.92 7 5.91 2 0.00 3 43.19 5 7.73
32,31 28,43 25,79 24,4 20,6
NPV
5.52 0.55 5.60 49.00 93.28
IRR = 34%