Presentation
Presentation
MONETARY POLICIES...............................................................................................1
HISTORY.....................................................................................................................1
EXPANSIONARY AND CONTRACTION BY MONETARY POLICY.................4
EXPANSIONARY POLICY.........................................................................................4
CONTRACTIONARY POLICY................................................................................4
DIFFERENT BETWEEN EXPANSIONARY AND CONTRACTIONARY...........5
EXPANSIONARY POLICY.........................................................................................5
TYPES OF EXPANSIONARY POLICY..................................................................5
Expansionary Fiscal Policy......................................................................................5
Expansionary Monetary Policy...............................................................................5
CONTRACTIONARY POLICY.............................................................................7
UNDERSTANDING CONTRACTIONARY POLICIES.......................................7
TOOLS USED FOR CONTRACTIONARY POLICIES........................................7
Monetary Policy........................................................................................................7
Fiscal Policy...............................................................................................................7
THEORIES ON THE IMPACT OF MONEY BY VARIOUS SCHOOL OF
THOUGHT......................................................................................................................9
CONTEMPORARY ECONOMIC THOUGHT............................................................9
CONTEMPORARY HETERODOX ECONOMICS...............................................10
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT REGARDS TO THE IMPACT OF PRICE,
EMPLOYMENT AND OUTPUT................................................................................22
Keynesian Economics..................................................................................................22
Understanding Keynesian Economics...................................................................22
MONETARY POLICIES
Monetary policy is the policy adopted by the monetary authority of a nation to control
either the interest rate payable for very short-term borrowing (borrowing by banks from
each other to meet their short-term needs) or the money supply, often as an attempt to
reduce inflation or the interest rate, to ensure price stability and general trust of the
value and stability of the nation's currency.
Monetary policy is a modification of the supply of money, i.e. "printing" more money,
or decreasing the money supply by changing interest rates or removing excess reserves.
This is in contrast to fiscal policy, which relies on taxation, government spending, and
government borrowing as methods for a government to manage business cycle
phenomena such as recessions.
Further purposes of a monetary policy are usually to contribute to the stability of gross
domestic product, to achieve and maintain low unemployment, and to maintain
predictable exchange rates with other currencies.
Monetary economics can provide insight into crafting optimal monetary policy. In
developed countries, monetary policy is generally formed separately from fiscal policy.
HISTORY
Monetary policy is associated with interest rates and availability of credit. Instruments
of monetary policy have included short-term interest rates and bank reserves through
the monetary base.
For many centuries there were only two forms of monetary policy: altering coinage or
the printing of paper money. Interest rates, while now thought of as part of monetary
authority, were not generally coordinated with the other forms of monetary policy
during this time. Monetary policy was considered as an executive decision, and was
generally implemented by the authority with seigniorage (the power to coin). With the
advent of larger trading networks came the ability to define the currency value in terms
of gold or silver, and the price of the local currency in terms of foreign currencies. This
official price could be enforced by law, even if it varied from the market price.
Paper money originated from promissory notes termed "jiaozi" in 7th century China.
Jiaozi did not replace metallic currency, and were used alongside the copper coins. The
succeeding Yuan Dynasty was the first government to use paper currency as the
predominant circulating medium. In the later course of the dynasty, facing massive
shortages of specie to fund war and maintain their rule, they began printing paper
money without restrictions, resulting in hyperinflation.
With the creation of the Bank of England in 1694, which was granted the authority to
print notes backed by gold, the idea of monetary policy as independent of executive
action [how?] began to be established. The purpose of monetary policy was to maintain
the value of the coinage, print notes which would trade at par to specie, and prevent
1
coins from leaving circulation. The establishment of national banks by industrializing
nations was associated then with the desire to maintain the currency's relationship to the
gold standard, and to trade in a narrow currency band with other gold-backed
currencies. To accomplish this end, national banks as part of the gold standard began
setting the interest rates that they charged both their own borrowers and other banks
which required money for liquidity. The maintenance of a gold standard required
almost monthly adjustments of interest rates.
The gold standard is a system by which the price of the national currency is fixed vis-a-
vis the value of gold, and is kept constant by the government's promise to buy or sell
gold at a fixed price in terms of the base currency. The gold standard might be regarded
as a special case of "fixed exchange rate" policy, or as a special type of commodity
price level targeting.
Nowadays this type of monetary policy is no longer used by any country.
During the period 1870–1920, the industrialized nations established central banking
systems, with one of the last being the Federal Reserve in 1913. By this time the role of
the central bank as the "lender of last resort" was established. It was also increasingly
understood that interest rates had an effect on the entire economy, in no small part
because of appreciation for the marginal revolution in economics, which demonstrated
that people would change their decisions based on changes in their economic trade-offs.
Monetarist economists long contended that the money-supply growth could affect the
macro economy. These included Milton Friedman who early in his career advocated
that government budget deficits during recessions be financed in equal amount by
money creation to help to stimulate aggregate demand for production. Later he
advocated simply increasing the monetary supply at a low, constant rate, as the best
way of maintaining low inflation and stable production growth. However, when U.S.
Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker tried this policy, starting in October 1979, it
was found to be impractical, because of the unstable relationship between monetary
aggregates and other macroeconomic variables. Even Milton Friedman later
acknowledged that direct money supplying was less successful than he had hoped.
Therefore, monetary decisions presently take into account a wider range of factors, such
as:
Short-term interest rates;
Long-term interest rates;
Velocity of money through the economy;
Exchange rates;
Credit quality;
2
Bonds and equities (debt and corporate ownership);
Government versus private sector spending and savings;
International capital flows of money on large scales;
Financial derivatives such as options, swaps, and futures contracts.
3
EXPANSIONARY AND CONTRACTION BY MONETARY POLICY
EXPANSIONARY POLICY
Occurs when a monetary authority uses its procedures to stimulate the economy. An
expansionary policy maintains short-term interest rates at a lower than usual rate or
increases the total supply of money in the economy more rapidly than usual. It is
traditionally used to try to reduce unemployment during a recession by decreasing
interest rates in the hope that less expensive credit will entice businesses into borrowing
more money and thereby expanding. This would increase aggregate demand (the
overall demand for all goods and services in an economy), which would increase short-
term growth as measured by increase of gross domestic product (GDP). Expansionary
monetary policy, by increasing the amount of currency in circulation, usually
diminishes the value of the currency relative to other currencies (the exchange rate), in
which case foreign purchasers will be able to purchase more with their currency in the
country with the devalued currency.
CONTRACTIONARY POLICY
Maintains short-term interest rates greater than usual, slows the rate of growth of the
money supply, or even decreases it to slow short-term economic growth and lessen
inflation. Contractionary policy can result in increased unemployment and depressed
borrowing and spending by consumers and businesses, which can eventually result in
an economic recession if implemented too vigorously.
4
DIFFERENT BETWEEN EXPANSIONARY AND CONTRACTIONARY
EXPANSIONARY POLICY
For example, when the benchmark federal funds rate is lowered, the cost of borrowing
from the central bank decreases, giving banks greater access to cash that can be lent in
the market. When reserve requirements decline, it allows banks to lend a higher
proportion of their capital to consumers and businesses. When the central bank
purchases debt instruments, it injects capital directly into the economy.
5
When interest rates are lowered, the availability of credit is increased. This leads to an
increase in consumer spending, driving economic growth. After all, the end goal of
expansionary policy is to heat up the economy. The primary effect (or intended effect)
of expansionary policy is to make people acquire and spend more money.
This effect also translates into business activity. Expansionary policy can also
stimulate business investment by making it cheaper to borrow money for capital
expenditures, leading to increased job creation and economic growth. For this reason,
it's common for jobs to have more job openings or job creations during expansionary
policy since capital is easier to come by.
Because consumers have more money and companies are hiring more, expansionary
policy results in an increase in demand for goods and services. This often leads to more
favorable manufacturing information, especially for firms that also invest in expansion
using low cost of capital. This also creates a more balanced system of trades as
companies undergoing expansionary policy may be cheaper to export.
In a more recent example, declining oil prices from 2014 through the second quarter of
2016 caused many economies to slow down. Canada was hit especially hard in the first
half of 2016, with almost one-third of its entire economy based in the energy sector.
This caused bank profits to decline, making Canadian banks vulnerable to failure.
To combat these low oil prices, Canada enacted an expansionary monetary policy by
reducing interest rates within the country. The expansionary policy was targeted to
boost economic growth domestically. However, the policy also meant a decrease in net
interest margins for Canadian banks, squeezing bank profits.
6
CONTRACTIONARY POLICY
A contractionary policy is a monetary measure to reduce government spending or the
rate of monetary expansion by a central bank. It is a macroeconomic tool used to
combat rising inflation.
The main contractionary policies employed by the United States government include
raising interest rates, increasing bank reserve requirements, and selling government
securities.
While the initial effect of the contractionary policy is to reduce nominal gross domestic
product (GDP), which is defined as the gross domestic product (GDP) evaluated at
current market prices, it often ultimately results in sustainable economic growth and
smoother business cycles.
Monetary Policy
Fiscal Policy
Increasing taxes reduces the money supply and decreases the purchasing power
of consumers. It may also slow down unsustainable production or lower the
value of assets.
Reducing government spending in areas such as subsidies, welfare programs,
contracts for public works, or the number of government employees.
7
CONTRACTIONARY POLICY VS. EXPANSIONARY POLICY
A contractionary policy attempts to slow the economy by reducing the money supply
and fending off inflation.
Within the macroeconomic mainstream in the United States, distinctions can be made
between saltwater economists and the more laissez-faire ideas of freshwater
economists. However, there is broad agreement on the importance of general
equilibrium, the methodology related to models used for certain purposes (e.g.
statistical models for forecasting, structural models for counterfactual analysis, etc.),
and the importance of partial equilibrium models for analyzing specific factors
important to the economy (e.g. banking).
Some influential approaches of the past, such as the historical school of economics and
institutional economics, have become defunct or have declined in influence, and are
now considered heterodox approaches. Other longstanding heterodox schools of
economic thought include Austrian economics and Marxian economics. Some more
recent developments in economic thought such as feminist economics and ecological
economics adapt and critique mainstream approaches with an emphasis on particular
issues rather than developing as independent schools.
8
THEORIES ON THE IMPACT OF MONEY BY VARIOUS SCHOOL OF
THOUGHT
CONTEMPORARY ECONOMIC THOUGHT
Economists believe that incentives and costs play a pervasive role in shaping decision
making. An immediate example of this is the consumer theory of individual demand,
which isolates how prices (as costs) and income affect quantity demanded. Modern
mainstream economics has foundations in neoclassical economics, which began to
develop in the late 19th century. Mainstream economics also acknowledges the
existence of market failure and insights from Keynesian economics, most
contemporaneously in the macroeconomic new neoclassical synthesis. It uses models
of economic growth for analyzing long-run variables affecting national income. It
employs game theory for modeling market or non-market behavior. Some important
insights on collective behavior (for example, emergence of organizations) have been
incorporated through the new institutional economics. A definition that captures much
of modern economics is that of Lionel Robbins in a 1932 essay: "the science which
studies human behaviour as a relationship between ends and scarce means which have
alternative uses." Scarcity means that available resources are insufficient to satisfy all
wants and needs. Absent scarcity and alternative uses of available resources, there is
no economic problem. The subject thus defined involves the study of choice, as
affected by incentives and resources.
9
Neo-Keynesians), in which economists of differing schools would disagree on whether
a given work was even a legitimate contribution to the field.
In the late 19th century, a number of heterodox schools contended with the
neoclassical school that arose following the marginal revolution. Most survive to the
present day as self-consciously dissident schools, but with greatly diminished size and
influence relative to mainstream economics. The most significant are Institutional
economics, Marxian economics and the Austrian School.
i feminist economics criticizes the valuation of labor and argues female labor is
systemically undervalued;
iii post-keynesian economics disagrees with the notion of the long-term neutrality
of demand, arguing that there is no natural tendency for a competitive market
economy to reach full employment.
Modern macro- and microeconomics are young sciences. But many in the past have
thought on topics ranging from value to production relations. These forays into
economic thought contribute to the modern understanding, ranging from ancient Greek
conceptions of the role of the household and its choices to mercantilism and its
emphasis on the hoarding of precious metals.
10
Ancient economic thought
Chanakya (Kautilya)
Xenophon
Aristotle
Wang Anshi
Islamic economics
Islamic economics is the practice of economics in accordance with Islamic law. The
origins can be traced back to the Caliphate, where an early market economy and some
of the earliest forms of merchant capitalism took root between the 8th–12th centuries,
which some refer to as "Islamic capitalism".
Islamic economics seeks to enforce Islamic regulations not only on personal issues, but
to implement broader economic goals and policies of an Islamic society, based on
uplifting the deprived masses. It was founded on free and unhindered circulation of
wealth so as to handsomely reach even the lowest echelons of society. One
distinguishing feature is the tax on wealth (in the form of both Zakat and Jizya), and
bans levying taxes on all kinds of trade and transactions
(Income/Sales/Excise/Import/Export duties etc.). Another distinguishing feature is
prohibition of interest in the form of excess charged while trading in money. Its
pronouncement on use of paper currency also stands out. Though promissory notes are
recognized, they must be fully backed by reserves. Fractional-reserve banking is
disallowed as a form of breach of trust.
This school has seen a revived interest in development and understanding since the
later part of the 20th century.
11
Muhammad
Abu Yusuf
Al-Farabi (Alpharabius)
Ibn Miskawayh
Al-Ghazali (Algazel)
Ibn Taymiyyah
Al-Mawardi
Ibn Khaldun
Al-Maqrizi
Scholasticism
Nicole Oresme
Thomas Aquinas
School of Salamanca
Leonardus Lessius
12
Mercantilism
Economic policy in Europe during the late Middle Ages and early Renaissance treated
economic activity as a good which was to be taxed to raise revenues for the nobility
and the church. Economic exchanges were regulated by feudal rights, such as the right
to collect a toll or hold a fair, as well as guild restrictions and religious restrictions on
lending. Economic policy, such as it was, was designed to encourage trade through a
particular area. Because of the importance of social class, sumptuary laws were
enacted, regulating dress and housing, including allowable styles, materials and
frequency of purchase for different classes. Niccolò Machiavelli in his book The
Prince was one of the first authors to theorize economic policy in the form of advice.
He did so by stating that princes and republics should limit their expenditures and
prevent either the wealthy or the populace from despoiling the other. In this way a state
would be seen as "generous" because it was not a heavy burden on its citizens.
Gerard de Malynes
Edward Misselden
Thomas Mun
Jean Bodin
Josiah Child
William Petty
John Locke
Charles Davenant
Dudley North
Ferdinando Galiani
James Denham-Steuart
Physiocrats
The Physiocrats were 18th century French economists who emphasized the importance
of productive work, and particularly agriculture, to an economy's wealth. Their early
support of free trade and deregulation influenced Adam Smith and the classical
economists.
13
Anne Robert Jacques Turgot
François Quesnay
Richard Cantillon
Classical economics, also called classical political economy, was the original form of
mainstream economics of the 18th and 19th centuries. Classical economics focuses on
the tendency of markets to move to equilibrium and on objective theories of value.
Neo-classical economics differs from classical economics primarily in being utilitarian
in its value theory and using marginal theory as the basis of its models and equations.
Marxian economics also descends from classical theory. Anders Chydenius (1729–
1803) was the leading classical liberal of Nordic history. Chydenius, who was a
Finnish priest and member of parliament, published a book called The National Gain in
1765, in which he proposes ideas of freedom of trade and industry and explores the
relationship between economy and society and lays out the principles of liberalism, all
of this eleven years before Adam Smith published a similar and more comprehensive
book, The Wealth of Nations. According to Chydenius, democracy, equality and a
respect for human rights were the only way towards progress and happiness for the
whole of society.
Adam Smith
Francis Hutcheson
Bernard de Mandeville
David Hume
Henry George
Thomas Malthus
James Mill
Francis Place
David Ricardo
Henry Thornton
14
James Maitland, 8th Earl of Lauderdale
Jeremy Bentham
Karl Marx
John Rae
Thomas Tooke
Robert Torrens
American School
The American School owes its origin to the writings and economic policies of
Alexander Hamilton, the first Treasury Secretary of the United States. It emphasized
high tariffs on imports to help develop the fledgling American manufacturing base and
to finance infrastructure projects, as well as National Banking, Public Credit, and
government investment into advanced scientific and technological research and
development. Friedrich List, one of the most famous proponents of the economic
system, named it the National System, and was the main impetus behind the
development of the German Zollverein and the economic policies of Germany under
Chancellor Otto Von Bismarck beginning in 1879.
Alexander Hamilton
Henry Clay
Mathew Carey
Abraham Lincoln
Friedrich List
15
Otto Von Bismarck
Arthur Griffith
William McKinley
The French Liberal School (also called the "Optimist School" or "Orthodox School") is
a 19th-century school of economic thought that was centered on the Collège de France
and the Institut de France. The Journal des Économistes was instrumental in
promulgating the ideas of the School. The School voraciously defended free trade and
laissez-faire capitalism. They were primary opponents of collectivist, interventionist
and protectionist ideas. This made the French School a forerunner of the modern
Austrian School.
Frédéric Bastiat
Maurice Block
Gustave de Molinari
Yves Guyot
Jean-Baptiste Say
Léon Say
Wilhelm Roscher
Werner Sombart
Max Weber
Joseph Schumpeter
Karl Polanyi
Although not nearly as famous as its German counterpart, there was also an English
Historical School, whose figures included William Whewell, Richard Jones, Thomas
Edward Cliffe Leslie, Walter Bagehot, Thorold Rogers, Arnold Toynbee, William
Cunningham, and William Ashley. It was this school that heavily critiqued the
deductive approach of the classical economists, especially the writings of David
Ricardo. This school revered the inductive process and called for the merging of
historical fact with those of the present period.
17
Edmund Burke
Richard Jones
Walter Bagehot
Thorold Rogers
William J. Ashley
William Cunningham
Clément Juglar
Charles Gide
Albert Aftalion
Émile Levasseur
François Simiand
Utopian economics
William Godwin
Charles Fourier
Robert Owen
Saint-Simon
Josiah Warren
Georgist economics
Raymond Crotty
18
Ottmar Edenhofer
Fred Foldvary
Mason Gaffney
Henry George
Wolf Ladejinsky
Philippe Legrain
Donald Shoup
Nicolaus Tideman
Ricardian socialism
Ricardian socialism is a branch of early 19th century classical economic thought based
on the theory that labor is the source of all wealth and exchange value, and rent, profit
and interest represent distortions to a free market. The pre-Marxian theories of
capitalist exploitation they developed are widely regarded as having been heavily
influenced by the works of David Ricardo, and favoured collective ownership of the
means of production.
John Gray
Charles Hall
Thomas Hodgskin
William Thompson
Marxian economics
Marxian economics descended from the work of Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels. This
school focuses on the labor theory of value and what Marx considered to be the
exploitation of labour by capital. Thus, in Marxian economics, the labour theory of
value is a method for measuring the exploitation of labour in a capitalist society rather
than simply a theory of price
David Harvey
19
Eduard Bernstein
Grigory Feldman
Rosa Luxemburg
Richard D. Wolff
Rudolf Hilferding
Karl Kautsky
Karl Marx
Nikolai Bukharin
Nobuo Okishio
Paul Sweezy
Samir Amin
Vladimir Lenin
Yevgeni Preobrazhensky
Anarchist economics
Collectivist anarchists advocate workers cooperatives and salaries based on the amount
of time contributed to production.
Charles Fourier
Pierre-Joseph Proudhon
Peter Kropotkin
20
Mikhail Bakunin
Distributism
Distributism is an economic philosophy that was originally formulated in the late 19th
century and early 20th century by Catholic thinkers to reflect the teachings of Pope
Leo XIII's encyclical Rerum Novarum and Pope Pius's XI encyclical Quadragesimo
Anno. It seeks to pursue a third way between capitalism and socialism, desiring to
order society according to Christian principles of justice while still preserving private
property.
G. K. Chesterton
Hilaire Belloc
Institutional economics
Gunnar Myrdal
Thorstein Veblen
Robert A. Brady
Romesh Dutt
Geoffrey Hodgson
Ha-Joon Chang
21
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT REGARDS TO THE IMPACT OF PRICE,
EMPLOYMENT AND OUTPUT
Keynesian Economics
Keynesian economics is a macroeconomic theory of total spending in the economy and
its effects on output, employment, and inflation. It was developed by British economist
John Maynard Keynes during the 1930s in an attempt to understand the Great
Depression.
The central belief of Keynesian economics is that government intervention can stabilize
the economy. Keynes’ theory was the first to sharply separate the study of economic
behavior and individual incentives from the study of broad aggregate variables and
constructs.
Based on his theory, Keynes advocated for increased government expenditures and
lower taxes to stimulate demand and pull the global economy out of the Depression.
Subsequently, Keynesian economics was used to refer to the concept that optimal
economic performance could be achieved—and economic slumps could be prevented—
by influencing aggregate demand through economic intervention by the government.
Keynesian economists believe that such intervention can achieve full employment and
price stability.
22
Similarly, poor business conditions may cause companies to reduce capital investment
rather than take advantage of lower prices to invest in new plants and equipment. This
also would have the effect of reducing overall expenditures and employment.
Keynes argued that employers will not add employees to produce goods that cannot be
sold because demand for their products is weak.
Keynesian Economics and the Great Depression
Keynesian economics is sometimes referred to as “depression economics,” as Keynes’
General Theory was written during a time of deep depression—not only in his native
United Kingdom, but worldwide. The famous 1936 book was informed by Keynes’
understanding of events arising during the Great Depression, which Keynes believed
could not be explained by classical economic theory as he portrayed it in his book.
Other economists had argued that, in the wake of any widespread downturn in the
economy, businesses and investors taking advantage of lower input prices in pursuit of
their own self-interest would return output and prices to a state of equilibrium, unless
otherwise prevented from doing so. Keynes believed that the Great Depression seemed
to counter this theory.
Output was low, and unemployment remained high during this time. The Great
Depression inspired Keynes to think differently about the nature of the economy. From
these theories, he established real-world applications that could have implications for a
society in economic crisis.
Keynes rejected the idea that the economy would return to a natural state of
equilibrium. Instead, he argued that, once an economic downturn sets in, for whatever
reason, the fear and gloom that it engenders among businesses and investors will tend to
become self-fulfilling and can lead to a sustained period of depressed economic activity
and unemployment.
In response to this, Keynes advocated a countercyclical fiscal policy in which, during
periods of economic woe, the government should undertake deficit spending to make up
for the decline in investment and boost consumer spending to stabilize aggregate
demand.
Keynes was highly critical of the British government at the time. The government
greatly increased welfare spending and raised taxes to balance the national books.
Keynes said that this would not encourage people to spend their money, thereby leaving
the economy unstimulated and unable to recover and return to a successful state.
23