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Module 5 notes phy 1st sem
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. Stati typi, Nodde 28, es
ieee eistlond Brfeunttd sles,
> Vee tin ykalistis aso dio Apt tuk branch of otabid tics
And Aided fOr onnlyzting and Grlenpeatig data -
? Co Qloveiperie Stabiitie $-
ae BOupte. Stab tees;
dt BW ubeol-y Aummartie ard discribe Lem.
iy {eal ofa
| Aalaset. “oh b
Ts ckatlstes frelusles meadusion suelr ab
| Vattieue, shendard deviation , mAwomols muelfacy
| :
* He proulaes any to Ogartce and pressedcdata in a
and fofoymalic aril bulb t Lelesctifey pallor sch toe igh
and (ay anon phe dete. ,
© HEU used toda Omsludtons nd make Leeoltitiy, |
the dakar population badd ay, done : shad .
WE elu making estingty _ x
waking prudiions willy te demic, Pee ont |
+ dba ubed 4 male. dettilors Jam. peliChes avd Baad cling
Abpuit population basco tr ‘dample data. |
Inoluslone> Bat, discs nd Srfearottal shalistics Ont
finporbank troll fp aralftg dota fn mang pels)
fneludlea, bibles ad Alt an. :
4) , olusesl ve prowilos a date |
Mole eke tal atc puta took f
predlfilfon’? absut 1 Ladegote fopelabion, Mahal re dail. i
ded.
i i d
gy(Hipp Reticeen. Qadir and Soavibiel Stallion fr a
Aah AR
te helps te organtehaond [dt aliausto mr
cooly tala A prt ard make Ph and,
Cn ra ~
@» iP Di atad.b exjlahy Bu
ha t BF cecunence Gow
ae hl a “st dnp Jebathy Lu,
aie te
(>
%® PORSON DISTRIBUTION -&
rape prchabiliby (19 ty dimall that the feortlion has a
Alpnikftans value for wag dmall mo. occurence (4)
Show the distribudton of walt com be, imal ig.
4 Pelpaory detain?a. m6 :
Peebakud Rls Peewee. xD doid Jo-haue a fephson
A distur Yoondonn ved 7 i ie
ub Portier, if haa @ Probab ibdy Hass te Ov Y ‘tf
ee
SCL) = POR) = De
‘ky
Whew £5 Nudbor af oceeUenAL
22> Culor's Muboe
1 Padoal fusion
D> PortiPue Roat remake avd 2,
Agua ty the
Cxpecled Value X and abrody jt vrdane,
ark
ee | Probl Rize MDabiy s |
on Whoa Coldulott tle ‘
Hi ois fa 4 ; {40.23.4560 6
apa 1 ea candy Be a a
AZ|
|
)
: Rad)
'@ Becaum Te antiga exert tHE 4 Ore ovtfion food SG
Per bod yeans r= 4
-A
a 5. foe
P (kevefow plied ay oe kf [ kl |
: upoyears)= Ne _ 4%—* pt
P(k=0 urd tovo-fiord Lal Ky op |
:
PUk=Lovrltnofiped ie soo yaurs)= ake tent
a k] 4
= — i.
~ 2 = 101268
PU b=? owt tot ain doncyeans) =
Prablion Os Pho mmo, of pastfols Cnrsttvel bot decerd, by
Handory Hadlloacte ower das a Prisbor clfalut beclion. ceil,
= 4, Coltulath £0 Pebability y % PAS
kL
Met tent
a
2 oa -[0-184
oe 8
Lisblema Basted on Poison DaPoution ¢-
y @
©), POT=4) aval xa22
SUM het Ks dal 2 ee Pion dab,
Huw PUY =0) =?
PUt=4) = 2
P&=2)=7FCk)= P (=k) = te
Gde18-~ pl¥s0) => oo je
——— Cyfitn)
| P(x20) = ue = od = 0-048
PX) 27 ket ae
Gior6-
1
rods Het = £xC028) = 0, 30
=2) & k=2, Amt
PO=2) > yr —-* te ¥lo-048)
A He = 46 X(0-018)_ 9,
24 2 at
Patan Ow a pox tfoular Alot, Volto eruption oacurs
400 years ov owtiape. Caltrlatirthe prota
te oi 4 Ond 2 Volta Aaeplioiy | te deo eo Bae,
the falbton, Model 14 ‘trent
otal
Formule Plk)= P(xsk)= ae
kson Medel. =? i
Leaedi- pryae Yes AU Caso G4
tases? forkee Cienyr>= 4 for every son years (¥ ma
POE” PFI) > Pyso)= 1 y0et
e-
OFF
a = 01360
e 24g
% [pto= ose |
Lodi for kek
PWO= POI 7 Pret) = He aot Ostnee 9 at)
tho ee
HIK)z 4 2 ogg
ote
fk) = P Ox k)=2 P(x=2) = Net get
2) aBoblunds Suppose a cerdiin Hare liacase accursed |
cwerage Sima Lw 2 peopel * 400,000 thal Ah fhe Pobabddy
that Ana wandomly choot groub a 5000 eeple Wave
WELL be no tases A Atscese?
Seen el HB= POI = Bak
a L
“Tee Probability of homily no Cadys of Che dincads 165
+ (k= boc = P10) = vb
ig 01
keo
yd means> he |00,000,
FES KS= 100
= igo ~dop
= 100 -400 th
A
Hie Seon 1
Murer toe Pobahill of haha wo cases ah cthy Ahacase
Jno pump of so usp soopaatr 3
Problenr t8-AA (allover fete ar, average Bealls
| minute. oshats £4 the Li te Da tmaloly
| chosen 2-ralecte Sileual , the cald conker wll sent,
SCallee feeitue abliast
Soluctons Lut ¥ Le theno-F calls, be Call ,
dn Q d-minute rhrwal . % : Ceeley Aecslig
“Tho Khas a Prism © disbttutiry tue moans
4 NFex3 =6 2 feel
TIM Probabildy % nececitre alttast 5 alls £45 |
| P(xes) = do P(ax5) = * Pero trteprana spies
ae a oFNO Pormuta for foiaton ishTbaLin=> — Cet)
PHk)= plrek) = xe
kf
{
Px=e et 96
6,0
Coe.
= £ = 0-695
L zi 60.
4
6 = 6X00028 =O 149
(
ae 6»
PO=2)= eS? = ©26 _ E* B py oc2S=0 0444
ab “a
pucsy er. 8°
aL
pora= 8A" om Sot
4 Ff
6 3 v0.05 = 008tt
— 6 roo = 0:1342
Hwee POC D=S) = 4-[b-oorsy +0149) +G.0un4) + loons) 6-01
P(x20) £ PO1) 4 P(X=2) 4+ POY=3) + POR
Herren, rhe probabilfy of cette alliast 5 Us ty
aeminut filowel 2° OHH.
eS)heblem F¢ “fhe Wiese ber Mh Ceslomerwhooutir Plaga
Atove per org fellovud a Pinson AGH bilten ust, |
a Meow Of. what Lrfue probabil 4 that oF ractly
2 Cartons wiley ote, the Lime tna
Selutions - Us fq 1 Febsson
pebab tts Mans feunction =
ea
Fle) = PCr=a) = BD
r
Cin fe 2
da4F
teen hows?
Yo, HR) PU) = 42 ot
<9
x
e
Wren) 2 ONES
Flenee, phe Probability that of ereethy 2 Cte)
ull eorter typ, bose, in 4 given hour, 25 04460
——
| oe
|Telly the be tabidity fs Ptlon reat Cp ioy
ILhe, Probability Jor obsercty og peaton, elacayca-n be eat mehel
fom cle nating Of; pevwtfele dlaroy and Lhe appitalion, of
foimon Adectif toy.
Lhe hunber Of Petters Cry) Gan be mrotolod bey abe eo.
Le t/a?
N= Noe] —@
Mee Ve fo —33 aS
CAS be be yen the i
he Pecbabilty that Cord Proton willl eos Ln aryca,
Ue, eyportioeatal btared Jor Proton, decay wes-tendor taker
“because, of Be dmpUaiong of the rand’ Uniifitelion,
Ue Lowrr bound farce Aipeltme 2s now prafecled Zo by ow
2 os of foe
7 *N called ab “cueay Contlant: “ands d0 dmall hones the,
teporenticl Con be Seepridiedid by the fret tw stems aibie
eepornttial derues s~
| Jee nae | 4emelne nacind) HEP
—
> Cromble t Para, punall kdnnple, the, ebsowvilion foto
docay £3 Lefinttasfnal, buck Aupbote wt conbidorthe volume oF
“The no df protory un sthetir wl us Atported,
Boston Univedihy Ao be $5 10%? Rooboms: For ome yeast, of sbdoualin,
Abe nor of epfected Proton Deen is bhen >
N= Np- Noa
i (oO N-Np =—Nort
aia = a”
means osee Mo-Nye (4-5 x10 patent) x (1 fear) Hyon |
“th teabios, ° byork ts covered by |
<1 About £0%b pf thy atoq amend LE ols .
a ae we take {ual te be te norntinal
| photo —detictar 4
felony of dotecttim tury Hut ebteruiliny of. prbton Leeay
ven por yoor based On 40° qos Lif inne caw be epfredlesl:
7 Further io tonditlng proton eta haut hoo doen, |
\- ‘Thera, Potroonr df provides a conmentente mitars for
| Maing Lhe EmplicaLiony of, Fe cubtance of PUBL, Observations.
PIE n=S, observa per Year Us the means, then thre |
Potvin Aisbiduton jvc RUS ud that che probably
for Le ebsewalion, 4 dscag >
bw =e pid = Be? (diary =3 omdkeo)
kl ol
(ete ie
Lod Je probated, Uifbrane of Ad Year Ts ov Lane:
en At eg HR a
mA“NORMAL DISTREBUTDON & BELL CURVES & ge)
es,
>In Ghali , he Mosel diiibudigncs clso Called Gaussian
disbibutton” and A iu phe wort Algniiteads, Coilfnous bsobabildi,
dithibuditn 4
> Sometimy this cbistridubon, aldo Called “BELL CURVE and
Ahis dEDiibution comes wit a purfeetty dgmaneDuical tafe
Symunebs teed Mnabe % biptbuttin froleates that tw didbution
audvertin be Hutdled in tn vatollle do produce tivo
eoual hala:
> "Worymmebric shape ocerrs cohen one hall 6f He obswalins
en tacle dle 6 EDL Cwe.
ny atghash pot onthe ovwe (COtHe dsp pte ball,
‘pe b probable event in a dort data
Mode and Mealien Srtlhis Gta), nytily all
Ce sdoaees or dMDrBrudec onan
poss AY deuseunsatl Alebing CLU WY On Cathy
ond.
eee,
¥
You callin Ae boll. cu debcrbed. by iit Standotd pein
oy- _ lll
+ NORMAL DES TRDBUTTON FokMULA *t Pegs) |
[te Pubability duntity {uation Of normal @o Gaussian bOsttabsttin
[tH alvew by ¢
| ——S
Soo= et) |
lhe, > Vrvable
4p Aw
Qeulalion
Sh Send duulation J anode of bod
(Standart Denton ?5) pied mhsonbonc son valuasadig wii
nd. Cfven. by Empletial Forres aot denichon op
> te wilt of Boll awe Z alescret 48 fui,
HGardedpeubation, (SDP). es
5 “ho Sharrdarcd deulatton 2 @ meaturenent
a quantify the veld ability of date dishosslnv,, Sn a Act
Sf. given uabuioh around the pita»
plans [he Supp to all date pints tates
Phe wc WELL be found ob Doe LGphust fouct
| on Bell Curve
+ Peal Ufpbonpla of Komal OUAthiion ss
Qinpt > teetegat of pode low, enh
@ aig Ase s- fin sling of ler al a good enemnbb
9, normal bfabtbaliin
@ Tavig Alon. @ DA Scores © Mecduwmsd Err0r..
: —E
Norra oleh buone NiORNAL DIS TRDBUTION PROBLEM ge)
| Rebteme Cabtatate, the probability density ferelry ef ntial
Afatedbetein, wslag cthe. followieg data. “ =3,tetand « >2)
| Solution Givens Sone
Mean) auet
Cetin
| normal dinted buihios >MOnITE- CARLO He 29
‘t MONTE CARLO METHOD % AC
The Monte Quo method ts a, tuthnhyue thal. rules hander, lamba
dn dole, +papolems. ee , on enh
Fes Example $~ BgbPndvon ofthe value of mathumahtal constant
TU abing Mardom nuyrrbors,
7 Monte conte method ya/ 7 ben
“patton a Wid? teads to fpltons a. patitleabah-
CO dk defies a demain of jotslble opts -
CC Guat dnpudd Janrd vim a pirobabl
Ainufhcon our te aed, i “4
(2 Pfam a avterunilatetic Compuctshion on input -
(4) Appregait we seu lt,
Exctimeting st value, using Month-Carto Stimulation 8,
Combis a. Aquat uiitirdtals tf lengtie 2A.
Aieon 64 the Chucle. = Seley TA
dhon the natio Las
Ralf tom cate Mas of Spain fi
| AK Stile = x
4 Ssqiuve, a a NY]
AX Sede
Sopuwe * ecDraws mang Ratt Kandimly sluctd, norte npaatesS ess?
Pee = Boats blind te ch
Squeaks nuijoin die Aquane
Alrer ar 4X Sefele
Sa yove
TVs AX Sefete ps fot weBlbunicthe Cirle
Saguae felt itimithenqunrg
3 Ab More and more pafett jure the Ayorl hab bun
diavon, the appuotimdtion, Will oecere -bettve and better.
SOuulations—
T= 4 Rolnd withthe Chole,
fof ~ vutlet the Aglare,
{
Tl = 4e2,_... 45 SBA 4% 664.
£ AL B45
TW 2000, S44 BldCoe wa tivo fnportaut’ conttdonations 3 ~
© S$ Aw pects ae nat Luatferralip atthe biti ther He
| Abptextmilonuil be poor -
© Save ase many parts 0, % the appuertnation Li goal
placed ay
poor +4 only a fou peunts ate Kandomly fla
the wholt dquasy. On average, thy ap pier fakin
slr $00.04 as more fonts at flaceel.
© ste Mande Canto mubhod, Simulation ts a mathemati
Lethrbgue Brak pruclicts porsible avchornes of |
Uneribauin event» :
B) Combuttr brcgtiam subs thcs mothocl, 2 emalyze
baked Ow a chatee of actor
“ Seatiitin Ls am Tipohbant 40l4 because iA Alps to surety
| HAL auntal And! ond pattnus . Ln a plan data act.”
> Setuteet an be bel 56 Analysing dateand dba a
DF Sk Com be hed : f
sid p keels ead jae
Jee eee —— Seae Na Geel
Babie chin e
Melfi Middle Vale
Mode! “The Value had, mast oflen (1120)
Fat 4 “naan, 28
Meant i aw im
en wee tthe ar Blog by the
x - Te tepeae =\¢
a pt slic? eg olddata
Vutec. QB-F =24
Standard Qeulelidre— 95. ir bie wae ahi hth mrad
vabiictien sot values.
inoee id Lndieats he BAe Noles — do be tse, doting,
A la 8 fafa ok 14 las on ied oer
wilde Hange-
E:" ccm ilaieal tear, |
[= Fes
> theVadauee raweaun hak drdicrbs tov nach
dake dtattr around dhe Mean,
Oufjoroner tation Duadptiver and. chperuckiol Stati
Oesauptive Sefcrerttal.
© Orgarigert, & Aurmi Oui Scope olauba 4D
decker using nuuburd hs make an Li ao
@ one hidars 5 % ake
tes ~Bar Gecipts © ies ppobabrrlaty to detonate
Hiplaprams PieCheslt fe by rn he Con. be thal
The tonlusions we mate
ae epbrect.
a 4