negatin
Date
Page
Probability Distrbution
A Random Variable has Following exponential pra
density Function
f0-kelzl,Detemine the Value of k
|and coresponding distributjon funcon
Sol: f(x)= k ez
f()- ke (o, o) -Lo,o
ke (-o,o)
For Constant
fcx)dz =4
e dx = 1
K 1.
-1
K
-4
2
clksSMAte
Date
pistoibution Fun cion F Page
Case1: 2 ies between (- 0, 0)
Fx()=
1 edz
2
1
2
2 2
2 lies betweer (o, o)
1 e dx t
2 2
cSSMAte.
Date
Page
2
1-e+1
-4 ( 2 - ) = 1 -le (o,)
2
Ix ()= 1 (-o,0)
-|-Le (o,o)
2A CR.RX has Value between e=2 and. -5
has pdF qiven by
P)- k(1+2) Fnd px<4)
Sol: F() =k(142)
fa) de =1
5 k/27 -1.
K= 2
(I+2) = 4
5
alassMAte
Date
Page
5)PX<4)
4
2
4
4 + I6
2
12 4
2
24
px<4)= l6
27-()
GuppoSe that in certan Yeqion the dalu rain ast
Te CRV with pdf
PPCx) 3 (2Z-x)
4
Othe wise.
Find
)P(rainfal is not moYe than )
i) P Tvecter than 15)
35) p (Between o5 24-5).
Date ssMAte
Page
So:
Po)= 3 (22-x)
4
4 2
43
= 1
2
-xlz)dz
2
=3 22 x3
esh 4 3
=3 (2x4
4 -2x225
2
3.375
3
=3
-3.375
3
8|4- 1.125)
dsssnste
Date
Page.
3 5 10.5625
4 24 32
PO.5<x< 1.5)
1-5
O.5
2xx3
-0.|25
4
ax2.25 -3.315)-(21025
3
=3
4 16
Guppose that a paiY of dice Is throwh & let the
5el
R-VX denote the um of points, obtain prob
n
mass unction & cuomulative distributian
what 1s the prob. that the product df the FaEK
12.
(1,), (,2) (1,3) (,4) (l, 6) (,6)
(2,) (2,2) (2,3) (2;4) (25) (2,6)
S= (3,2) (3,2) (3) (3,5) (e,6
(4,) (42) C4,3) C4.4) (4,5) (4,6)
(5,1) (6,2) (5,3) (5;4) (5,5) (o,6)
(61) (G,2) (6,9) (64) (G,5) (,)
C.RVIteval PYobability ASsMate
Date
Total Page
i>Gurm of pointS
34 68910 1 2
4 4
p(x) 2
36B6
|52) 2630 33 35 Bb
36 36 36363636 3636 36 36
Cummuatiye’ 1+2
L243oh
O36 36
iyProduct of Fases ultiplication)
- (2,6), (,4) (4,3), (G,2)
P
A bag Centains # Yed &3 blaC balls& ansthe
bag Contains 4 ved 35 black bals.O ne bal
is tranSFered from 1st bag to Seond bag
then a ball iG draon ror Second baq T the
bajl happens to be yed- tnd he prob that
a black bal 1 transfeyed
Bag4
R=7 R-4
B=3 B=5
Total=1O
alkssMAte
Date
Page
P1Red
Red From Bag 1) =
AR1 Red From Baq 2)
10CA
Combine brob. x5 =3 =0.25
Possibilty-2
b 4 B\ack Fro Bag 1) =91 =3
P Red From Bag 2) - C4 =4
Combine prob.=3
Ex.An Urn Contains 40 white and 3 black balls. Anothey
un Contains3white 55 black balls. Tuo loall s
ave drauwn at rond on Prom 4st wn & placed in
cecond UYn Now one ball ts taken from the
later, what is he probability that it 1s a
white Ball?
Urn Une
W=3
B= 3
T- 13 T=
P(2 white balls are transfeved) =
73 26
clAssMate
Date
Page
P(1 white ball 1s rom
Ron Baqe= 0.5
Combine probabability 15 x 5
26
b PCw, 1B)
P(1 white, 1Blacke Baa t) = °C1 x SC -1
3C1 -\0X3
13ce
p(1w. From Bag 2) = ACii 4
4
Combine probability = y 4
30 X
78lo3
P (2 Black)
P(aB fron Bag 4)= 3Ca
7%
P (4 w From Bag g) =3
Combine prob.=3
78 260
equived probability 5 | =7
260 65
O.26
in Pro bability P union beco mes Addí+ronclAssMAte
and intersection becon es mwtiplation Date
Page
Gtate& prove Baue's theovem. A/A3 A
A
Gtatem ent :
et A1.Ae, A , . A i be the paritons
ofOF Set AgB be any another cet on A euch
hat P (B) to thon:
P (Ai/B) Pi P;
P1 Pt+ Pe P4+PiPi
Proof Let P (A)= P1 PCA2)= P P(Ai) -Pi
Cnd P(B/Ai)- P P(B/Ae) -p P(8/A1)
We Know)
P(Ai/B = P(Ai O9)
P(B)
: p(B/Ai) = P (BAA)
P(A)
Multiply P(A), we hae
p(BAA1) = P(Ai) x (B /Ai)
Put (P (BAA)) in egh 0
P(Ai le)= PAi) x PCB/A)
PCB)
B- (BnA)V (BAA)U... (PAA)
classmate
Date
Paqe
P(B)- P (BAA+ P(BO A2) + +p(BOAi)
-P(A)xp(B/M) t PAa) P(l Aa)ttPA)PBR
From
Assumptih
le(Ai/) -
PAPA'+Pa'+PiP
’kamples on Bayes Thorem
Ext n a factoy 4 Machines AI Ae, Ae, A4 Produces
35/ \o yo 25 7. & 3O of the Item s Yespe.
ctivelyThe l of defecive item Produced by
thern 1s 3 57 47. &2/
27. Yespectively An
1tém is selected at random . what js the prob
that
1) the item 19 produced by machine A4?
2) 1t 1s defetive
A Ai A2 Ag Aq
Produce35 30')
defedive 47. 2
P1 = Podof A1 -O.36P dePectve oP A1 - 0.03
Pa prod of A = o. 1 1P2'= defective ofA2 = 0.05
Pz -Pod" of Ag = 0.25 Pa'= dePecive in A3= 004
P4 =Prod' of Aa = 0.30P4 dePe ctive in A4 -0-02
(26. O. (26 O126 O.|26
O-00540-01 O.0)o5
Pt+R Pa PaPePaPs+-+
P4Pa PaPe 4 PaP2 Pa Pi
mahnes P(defedive
4 ofany by 1.
mentton) not(machine
is ective def 1s Tt
21
-O-47
4
006 005+O.01
+O- 105+
O. O.0
006 O.
(0.20X002) (0.25X0-04)+ 0.05)+ +(0.1X 0.03)(0.35X
O.30X
02 0.
PiPL'e4P
+P4P4
P4! Pa
Madine
A4
Pa'tP4P4 Pa'Po
+ Pa+P P
theoem PiPi P
machi
A4ne produced
by Bayes Kormuloa
1s
ltem The
Page
Date
casSAate
alssnte
Date
Page
txayFor a certam Communi cation
that O iG Vecejved qs o
channel
S 0
the
prob.
while tho
Prob that 1 is Yeceived as 1 0.95 I 4ho
Prob. of transmitting o' 1S 0.45 ind
i> Probatbility of ! is recej ved
ity 1 wqs transoitted qiven that 1 was vece'Nied
it> Prob. that ewov has ocCwed
p(Ro/Ta) =0:9
To Ro
PRoT)
PéRsT)
P(RA/To)
P(To) - 0.45
P(T)= 0.55:
p(Ro/To) = o.2
p (RiTo)= o.8- 1 =0.2
P(RA Ti) - 0. 96
P (RolTË) = O.95 -1 = 0.05
a) P(4 1s YecelVed)
= P(Ri/Ti)xpT) + P(Ri To
= O.gbx o. 5b xP(To)
O.G125
tO.2X0. 45
alAssMate
Date
Page
OPO js ecejved)
- P(Ro/T) xP(T1) + P(Ro/To) xP(To)
O.O5X O-55 +
1 was transmi tted gjven than 1 Nag vece[ved
P(T: RI) = P(R1/T)xP(T)
PCRi)
(O. 6125
P/Ri) =
PYob that eyroy has Occwed oto)S
-P(Ri/o)p(To) + P(Ro /T) xP(T)1
=
O. 4175
