UNIT 5
BIDIMENSIONAL RANDOM VARIABLES
Bachelor’s Degree in Business Administration
University of Valladolid
Outline
5.1. Definition of bidimensional random variable
5.2. Discrete bidimensional random variables
5.3. Continuous bidimensional random variables
5.4. Characteristics of a bidimensional random variable
5.5. Sums of independent random variables
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5.1. Definition of bidimensional random variable
• We study simultaneously two random variables to analyse the possible
relationship between them.
• Random experiment with sample space Ω
• X and Y two random variables defined in such space.
• (X , Y ) is a bidimensional random variable.
▷ (X , Y ) discrete bidimensional random variable if X and Y are
discrete.
▷ (X , Y ) continuous bidimensional random variable if X and Y are
continuous.
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5.2. Discrete bidimensional random variables
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5.2.1. Joint distribution
The joint probability function collects the probabilities of the values of a
discrete bidimensional variable.
p(X = xi , Y = yj ), for i = 1, 2, . . . , j = 1, 2, . . .
We distribute all the probability, 1, among a finite or countably infinite
number of values (points in the plane):
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Properties of the joint probability function:
1. p(X = xi , Y = yj ) ≥ 0, for each value (xi , yj ) of the variable
∞ P
P ∞
2. p(X = xi , Y = yj ) = 1
i=1 j=1
Probability of an event:
P
p[(X , Y ) ∈ B] = p(X = xi , Y = yj )
(xi ,yj )∈B
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5.2.2. Marginal distributions
From the joint probability function of (X , Y ), we can obtain the probability
functions of each of the two variables, which are called marginal probability
functions.
• Marginal probability function of X :
∞
P
p(X = xi ) = p(X = xi , Y = yj )
j=1
• Marginal probability function of Y :
∞
P
p(Y = yj ) = p(X = xi , Y = yj )
i=1
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Joint and marginal distributions:
From the marginal distributions, we can obtain marginal expectations and
variances of each of the variables.
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From the marginal distributions, we can obtain marginal expectations and
variances of each of the variables.
• Marginal expected values:
∞
P ∞
P
E (X ) = xi · p(X = xi ) E (Y ) = yj · p(Y = yj )
i=1 j=1
• Marginal variances:
Var (X ) = E (X 2 ) − [E (X )]2 Var (Y ) = E (Y 2 ) − [E (Y )]2
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E (X ) = 1 · (3/10) + 2 · (6/10) + 3 · (1/10) = 1.8
E (X 2 ) = 12 · (3/10) + 22 · (6/10) + 32 · (1/10) = 3.6
Var (X ) = E (X 2 ) − [E (X )]2 = 3.6 − 1.82 = 0.36
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E (Y ) = 0 · (6/10) + 1 · (3/10) + 2 · (1/10) = 0.5
E (Y 2 ) = 02 · (6/10) + 12 · (3/10) + 22 · (1/10) = 0.7
Var (Y ) = E (Y 2 ) − [E (Y )]2 = 0.7 − 0.52 = 0.45
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5.2.3. Conditional distributions
▷ Conditional probability function of X given (Y = yj ):
p(X =x,Y =yj )
p(X = x|Y = yj ) = p(Y =yj ) , for all x ∈ R
▷ Conditional probability function of Y given (X = xi ):
p(X =xi ,Y =y )
p(Y = y |X = xi ) = p(X =xi ) , for all y ∈ R
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Example 1: Conditional distribution of Y given X = 1
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Example 1: Conditional distribution of Y given X = 1
p(X =1,Y =0) 1/10
p(Y = 0|X = 1) = p(X =1) = 3/10 = 1/3
p(X =1,Y =1) 1/10
p(Y = 1|X = 1) = p(X =1) = 3/10 = 1/3
p(X =1,Y =2) 1/10
p(Y = 2|X = 1) = p(X =1) = 3/10 = 1/3
THE PROBABILITIES SUM 1
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In the same way we obtain the conditional distribution of Y given X = 2:
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And the conditional distribution of Y given X = 3:
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Sometimes we only know that a certain event has occurred, which we can
call event B. In this case, the calculations are performed in the same way:
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For instance, we can calculate the conditional probability that Y = 1 given
X ≥ 2:
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For instance, we can calculate the conditional probability that Y = 1 given
X ≥ 2:
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From conditional distributions, one can obtain the conditional expecta-
tions and conditional variances:
▷ Conditional expectation and variance of X given (Y = yj ):
∞
P
E (X |Y = yj ) = xi · p(X = xi |Y = yj )
i=1
Var (X |Y = yj ) = E (X 2 |Y = yj ) − [E (X |Y = yj )]2
▷ Conditional expectation and variance of Y given (X = xi ):
∞
P
E (Y |X = xi ) = yj · p(Y = yj |X = xi )
j=1
Var (Y |X = xi ) = E (Y 2 |X = xi ) − [E (Y |X = xi )]2
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E (Y |X = 1) = 0 · p(Y = 0|X = 1) + 1 · p(Y = 1|X = 1)+
+ 2 · p(Y = 2|X = 1) = 0 · 1/3 + 1 · 1/3 + 2 · 1/3 = 1
E (Y |X = 2) = 0 · p(Y = 0|X = 2) + 1 · p(Y = 1|X = 2)+
+ 2 · p(Y = 2|X = 2) = 0 · 2/3 + 1 · 1/3 + 2 · 0 = 1/3
E (Y |X = 3) = 0 · p(Y = 0|X = 3) + 1 · p(Y = 1|X = 3)+
+ 2 · p(Y = 2|X = 3) = 0 · 1 + 1 · 0 + 2 · 0 = 0
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E (Y |X = x) is a function of x:
Doing the same for X conditioning on the different values of Y we obtain:
Similarly, we can obtain the conditional variances Var (X |Y = y ) and
Var (Y |X = x).
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Property of the conditional expectation: law of iterated expectations
E (Y |X = x) is a function of x.
Then, g (X ) = E (Y |X ) is a transformation of X and, therefore, is another
unidimensional random variable.
It can be shown that:
E (E (Y |X )) = E (Y )
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Property of the conditional expectation: law of iterated expectations
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Important remark
The joint probability function can be written as:
p(X = xi , Y = yj ) = p(X = xi ) · p(Y = yj |X = xi ) =
= p(Y = yj ) · p(X = xi |Y = yj )
Therefore, the probability function can be calculated by knowing the marginal
of one variable and the conditional of the other by the first one.
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5.2.4. Independence of random variables
Two equivalent definitions of independence
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5.2.4. Independence of random variables
Two equivalent definitions of independence
First definition: X and Y are independent if
p(X = xi , Y = yj ) = p(X = xi ) · p(Y = yj ), i = 1, 2, . . . , j = 1, 2, . . .
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5.2.4. Independence of random variables
Two equivalent definitions of independence
First definition: X and Y are independent if
p(X = xi , Y = yj ) = p(X = xi ) · p(Y = yj ), i = 1, 2, . . . , j = 1, 2, . . .
Second definition: X and Y are independent if
p(X =xi ,Y =yj )
p(X = xi |Y = yj ) = p(Y =yj ) = p(X = xi )
p(X =xi ,Y =yj )
p(Y = yj |X = xi ) = p(X =xi ) = p(Y = yj )
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Example 1.
Joint and marginal distributions:
18 1
p(X = 1) · p(Y = 0) = (3/10) · (6/10) = 100 ̸= p(X = 1, Y = 0) = 10
Hence, X and Y are not independent.
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Moreover, if (X , Y ) is a discrete bidimensional random variable with X and
Y independent, then the random variables U = g (X ) and V = h(Y ) are
also independent.
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5.3. Continuous bidimensional random variables
(X , Y ) is a continuous bidimensional random variable if the random variables
X and Y are continuous.
Example 3:
X = monthly disposable income
Y = consumption of perishable goods
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5.3.1. Joint distribution
The joint density function: f(X ,Y ) (x, y )
We distribute the entire probability continuously over a subset of R2 .
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Example 3:
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5.3.2. Marginal distributions
If a bidimensional random variable, (X , Y ), is continuous, X and Y are
continuous, and their marginal density functions can be obtained, similarly
to the discrete case, but by integrating the joint density function:
• Marginal density function of X :
• Marginal density function of Y :
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Example 3:
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Example 3:
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Ejemplo 3:
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Ejemplo 3:
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From the marginal distributions, the marginal expected values and vari-
ances of each variable can be obtained.
• Marginal expected value and variance of X :
• Marginal expected value and variance of Y :
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Example 3:
From the density function of X , we can obtain its expected value and vari-
ance:
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Example 3:
From the density function of X , we can obtain its expected value and vari-
ance:
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Example 3:
From the density function of Y , we can obtain its expected value and vari-
ance:
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Example 3:
From the density function of Y , we can obtain its expected value and vari-
ance:
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5.3.3. Conditional distributions
Let (X , Y ) be a continuous random variable and let y be a value such that
fY (y ) ̸= 0. The conditional density function of X given the event
(Y = y) is the function
In the same way, given a value, x, such that fX (x) ̸= 0, the conditional
density function of Y given the event (X = x) is the function
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Example 3:
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Example 3:
Only defined for x > 0 (for fX (x) > 0), in which case, is defined as:
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Particular cases:
If x = 4:
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Particular cases:
If x = 4:
Conditional probabilities calculation:
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Using the corresponding conditional density functions, we can calculate con-
ditional expected values and variances:
Specifically, the moments of Y conditioned on the event (X = x) are cal-
culated as:
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Example 3:
Using the respective conditional density functions, one can obtain the aver-
age consumption and variance for different levels of disposable income:
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What is the expected consumption of perishable goods for a family with an
income of 2500 euros?
For X = 2.5:
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Property of the conditional expected value: law of iterated expecta-
tions
E (Y |X = x) is a function of x. Hence, g (X ) = E (Y |X ) is a transformation
of the random variable X and thus another one-dimensional random variable.
We can then calculate its expected value, and it can be shown that
E (E (Y |X )) = E (Y )
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Property of the conditional expected value: law of iterated expecta-
tions
E (Y |X = x) is a function of x. Hence, g (X ) = E (Y |X ) is a transformation
of the random variable X and thus another one-dimensional random variable.
We can then calculate its expected value, and it can be shown that
E (E (Y |X )) = E (Y )
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Important note:
The joint density function can be written as:
Hence, we can calculate the joint density function knowing the marginal of
a variable and the conditional of the other variable given this one.
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5.3.4. Independence of random variables
Two equivalent definitions of independence
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5.3.4. Independence of random variables
Two equivalent definitions of independence
First definition: X and Y are independent if
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5.3.4. Independence of random variables
Two equivalent definitions of independence
First definition: X and Y are independent if
Second definition: X and Y are independent if
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5.4. Characteristics of a bidimensional random
variable
From the joint distribution, one can obtain expected values of functions
of a bidimensional variable:
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5.4. Characteristics of a bidimensional random
variable
From the joint distribution, one can obtain expected values of functions
of a bidimensional variable:
Properties of the expected value:
1.- Linearity: E (a · X + b · Y + c) = a · E (X ) + b · E (Y ) + c
In general, E (a1 · X1 + · · · + an · Xn + c) = a1 · E (X1 ) + . . . an · E (Xn ) + c
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5.4. Characteristics of a bidimensional random
variable
From the joint distribution, one can obtain expected values of functions
of a bidimensional variable:
Properties of the expected value:
1.- Linearity: E (a · X + b · Y + c) = a · E (X ) + b · E (Y ) + c
In general, E (a1 · X1 + · · · + an · Xn + c) = a1 · E (X1 ) + . . . an · E (Xn ) + c
2.- E (X + Y ) = E (X ) + E (Y )
In general, E (X1 + · · · + Xn ) = E (X1 ) + · · · + E (Xn )
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5.4. Characteristics of a bidimensional random
variable
From the joint distribution, one can obtain expected values of functions
of a bidimensional variable:
Properties of the expected value:
1.- Linearity: E (a · X + b · Y + c) = a · E (X ) + b · E (Y ) + c
In general, E (a1 · X1 + · · · + an · Xn + c) = a1 · E (X1 ) + . . . an · E (Xn ) + c
2.- E (X + Y ) = E (X ) + E (Y )
In general, E (X1 + · · · + Xn ) = E (X1 ) + · · · + E (Xn )
3.- If X and Y are independent ⇒ E (X · Y ) = E (X ) · E (Y )
The reciprocal result is not true!
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Covariance:
σXY = Cov (X , Y ) = E [(X − E (X ))(Y − E (Y ))]
Interpretation: measure of linear association between X e Y
• σXY > 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ large values of Y
• σXY < 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ small values of Y
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Covariance:
σXY = Cov (X , Y ) = E [(X − E (X ))(Y − E (Y ))]
Interpretation: measure of linear association between X e Y
• σXY > 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ large values of Y
• σXY < 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ small values of Y
Properties of the covariance:
P1. Cov (X , Y ) = E (X · Y ) − E (X ) · E (Y )
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Covariance:
σXY = Cov (X , Y ) = E [(X − E (X ))(Y − E (Y ))]
Interpretation: measure of linear association between X e Y
• σXY > 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ large values of Y
• σXY < 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ small values of Y
Properties of the covariance:
P1. Cov (X , Y ) = E (X · Y ) − E (X ) · E (Y )
P2. Cov (X , X ) = Var (X )
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Covariance:
σXY = Cov (X , Y ) = E [(X − E (X ))(Y − E (Y ))]
Interpretation: measure of linear association between X e Y
• σXY > 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ large values of Y
• σXY < 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ small values of Y
Properties of the covariance:
P1. Cov (X , Y ) = E (X · Y ) − E (X ) · E (Y )
P2. Cov (X , X ) = Var (X )
P3. Cov (X , Y ) = Cov (Y , X )
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Covariance:
σXY = Cov (X , Y ) = E [(X − E (X ))(Y − E (Y ))]
Interpretation: measure of linear association between X e Y
• σXY > 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ large values of Y
• σXY < 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ small values of Y
Properties of the covariance:
P1. Cov (X , Y ) = E (X · Y ) − E (X ) · E (Y )
P2. Cov (X , X ) = Var (X )
P3. Cov (X , Y ) = Cov (Y , X )
P4. If X and Y are independent ⇒ Cov (X , Y ) = 0
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Covariance:
σXY = Cov (X , Y ) = E [(X − E (X ))(Y − E (Y ))]
Interpretation: measure of linear association between X e Y
• σXY > 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ large values of Y
• σXY < 0 ⇒ large values of X ↔ small values of Y
Properties of the covariance:
P1. Cov (X , Y ) = E (X · Y ) − E (X ) · E (Y )
P2. Cov (X , X ) = Var (X )
P3. Cov (X , Y ) = Cov (Y , X )
P4. If X and Y are independent ⇒ Cov (X , Y ) = 0
P5. Cov (a + b · X , c + d · Y ) = bd · Cov (X , Y ) ⇒ The covariance varies
under changes of scale.
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Linear correlation coefficient:
Cov (X ,Y )
ρXY = σX ·σY
• sign(ρXY ) = sign(σXY )
• −1 ≤ ρXY ≤ 1
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Linear correlation coefficient:
Cov (X ,Y )
ρXY = σX ·σY
• sign(ρXY ) = sign(σXY )
• −1 ≤ ρXY ≤ 1
Properties of the linear correlation coefficient:
P1. If X and Y are independent ⇒ ρXY = 0 (the contrary is not necessarily
true)
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Linear correlation coefficient:
Cov (X ,Y )
ρXY = σX ·σY
• sign(ρXY ) = sign(σXY )
• −1 ≤ ρXY ≤ 1
Properties of the linear correlation coefficient:
P1. If X and Y are independent ⇒ ρXY = 0 (the contrary is not necessarily
true)
P2. ρ(a + b · X , c + d · Y ) = ρ(X , Y ) whenever sign(b) = sign(d)
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Linear correlation coefficient:
Cov (X ,Y )
ρXY = σX ·σY
• sign(ρXY ) = sign(σXY )
• −1 ≤ ρXY ≤ 1
Properties of the linear correlation coefficient:
P1. If X and Y are independent ⇒ ρXY = 0 (the contrary is not necessarily
true)
P2. ρ(a + b · X , c + d · Y ) = ρ(X , Y ) whenever sign(b) = sign(d)
Hence, ρXY is invariant under changes of scale
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Linear correlation coefficient:
Cov (X ,Y )
ρXY = σX ·σY
• sign(ρXY ) = sign(σXY )
• −1 ≤ ρXY ≤ 1
Properties of the linear correlation coefficient:
P1. If X and Y are independent ⇒ ρXY = 0 (the contrary is not necessarily
true)
P2. ρ(a + b · X , c + d · Y ) = ρ(X , Y ) whenever sign(b) = sign(d)
Hence, ρXY is invariant under changes of scale
ρXY measures sign and intensity of the linear relationship between X and
Y
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Example 1 (discrete variables):
We know: E (X ) = 1.8; Var (X ) = 0.36; E (Y ) = 0.5; Var (Y ) = 0.45
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Example 1 (discrete variables):
We know: E (X ) = 1.8; Var (X ) = 0.36; E (Y ) = 0.5; Var (Y ) = 0.45
To calculate the covariance, we calculate previously E (X · Y ):
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Example 1 (discrete variables):
Then, we calculate the covariance:
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Example 1 (discrete variables):
Then, we calculate the covariance:
We can calculate the linear correlation coefficient:
This value indicates a weak negative linear relationship between the vari-
ables
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Example 3 (continuous variables):
We know: E (X ) = 2; Var (X ) = 2; E (Y ) = 1; Var (Y ) = 1
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Example 3 (continuous variables):
We know: E (X ) = 2; Var (X ) = 2; E (Y ) = 1; Var (Y ) = 1
To calculate the covariance, we calculate previously E (X · Y ):
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Example 3 (continuous variables):
Then, we calculate the covariance:
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Example 3 (continuous variables):
Then, we calculate the covariance:
We can calculate the linear correlation coefficient:
This value indicates a certain positive linear relationship between the
variables.
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Variance of “sums” of variables:
P6. Var (a · X + b · Y + c) = a2 · Var (X ) + b 2 · Var (Y ) + 2 · ab · Cov (X , Y )
Particular case:
Var (X + Y ) = Var (X ) + Var (Y ) + 2 · Cov (X , Y )
Particular case:
Var (X − Y ) = Var (X ) + Var (Y ) − 2 · Cov (X , Y )
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Variance of “sums” of variables:
P6. Var (a · X + b · Y + c) = a2 · Var (X ) + b 2 · Var (Y ) + 2 · ab · Cov (X , Y )
Particular case:
Var (X + Y ) = Var (X ) + Var (Y ) + 2 · Cov (X , Y )
Particular case:
Var (X − Y ) = Var (X ) + Var (Y ) − 2 · Cov (X , Y )
P67. If X and Y are independent:
⇒ Var (X + Y ) = Var (X ) + Var (Y )
⇒ Var (X − Y ) = Var (X ) + Var (Y )
In general, if X1 , . . . , Xn are independent:
Var (X1 + · · · + Xn ) = Var (X1 ) + · · · + Var (Xn )
Var (a1 · X1 + · · · + an Xn ) = (a1 )2 · Var (X1 ) + · · · + (an )2 · Var (Xn )
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5.5. Sums of independent random variables
• Bernoulli
X1 , . . . , Xn n Bernoulli independent random variables, with the same
probability of success, p
X1 + · · · + Xn → B(n, p)
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5.5. Sums of independent random variables
• Bernoulli
X1 , . . . , Xn n Bernoulli independent random variables, with the same
probability of success, p
X1 + · · · + Xn → B(n, p)
• Binomial
X1 , . . . , Xk independent random variables with distribution B(ni , p),
i = 1, . . . , k
X1 + · · · + Xk → B(n1 + · · · + nk , p)
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5.5. Sums of independent random variables
• Bernoulli
X1 , . . . , Xn n Bernoulli independent random variables, with the same
probability of success, p
X1 + · · · + Xn → B(n, p)
• Binomial
X1 , . . . , Xk independent random variables with distribution B(ni , p),
i = 1, . . . , k
X1 + · · · + Xk → B(n1 + · · · + nk , p)
• Poisson
X1 , . . . , Xn independent random variables with distribution P(λi ), i =
1, . . . , n
X1 + · · · + Xn → P(λ1 + · · · + λn )
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• Geometric
X1 , . . . , Xr independent random variables with Geometric distribution
G (p)
X1 + · · · + Xr → BN(r , p)
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• Geometric
X1 , . . . , Xr independent random variables with Geometric distribution
G (p)
X1 + · · · + Xr → BN(r , p)
• Negative Binomial
X1 , . . . , Xn independent random variables with distribution BN(ri , p),
i = 1, . . . , n
X1 + · · · + Xn → BN(r1 + · · · + rn , p)
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• Normal
X1 , . . . , Xn independent random variables with distribution N(µi , σi ),
i = 1, . . . , n
q
X1 + · · · + Xn → N(µ1 + · · · + µn , σ12 + · · · + σn2 )
q
a1 ·X1 +· · ·+an ·Xn → N(a1 ·µ1 +· · ·+an ·µn , a12 · σ12 + · · · + an2 · σn2 )
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References
▷ NEWBOLD, P., CARLSON, W., and THORNE, B. (2022): Statistics
for Business and Economics, 10th Global Edition. Ed. Pearson. Chap-
ters 4 and 5
▷ ROSS, S. (2023): A First Course in Probability, 10th Global Edition.
Ed. Pearson. Chapters 6 and 7
Unit 5. Bidimensional Random Variables 65 / 65