Global Report 2020
Global Report 2020
Together we thrive
Contents Context
1. Overview 3
10,000
2. A two-speed recovery 6
3. Business investment 9
4. Future strategy 10
5. International trade 12
BUSINESSES SPANS
39
6. Reshaping supply chains 14 COUNTRIES,
7. Sustainability 16 MARKETS &
TERRITORIES
Survey methodology 18
Navigator 2020 | 2
1. Overview
Agriculture /
Fishing / Forestry 18 42 40
This reflects the nature of COVID-19 are conscious of downside risks, with further
spreading through face-to-face contact, waves of COVID-19 posing the greatest threat
meaning that demand and supply to the business outlook. Mining / Oil /
shocks have varied widely between Power / Metal 20 43 37
different sectors, with economic impacts These differences may persist because of the
depending on the make-up of national strategies companies are able to adopt. For
economies. Almost all businesses most, the pandemic has caused an evolution Automotive 27 45 28
surveyed have been adversely affected, rather than revolution in operations. Around
with only 8% currently seeing current half of companies have made short-term
Wholesale /
profitability ahead of pre-pandemic changes, with others evenly split between Retail Trading 28 49 23
levels. And while the revenue outlook is longer-term and no change.
significantly more pessimistic than last
year, most businesses project revenue Companies facing growth challenges are Services 25 49 27
growth this year. undergoing the greatest scale of change.
Through choice or necessity, these
There are emerging signs of a two-speed challenged companies favour a defensive Construction 22 51 27
recovery. Businesses growing over 5% this cost-cutting approach. And in common
year are making a majority of sales online. with higher-growth firms, they’re seeking
And a narrower group comprising 15% of to resuscitate consumer demand through Manufacturing 23 51 25
companies enjoy revenue growth of over marketing. Higher-growth firms follow a
15%. These leading companies are followed broader approach however – investing for
by a large pack of slower-growth firms. future growth through innovation, product
Then, the proportion of companies expecting development and new markets. Innovation, responsible business practices outcomes. And most firms have adopted
declining sales has doubled since 2019. A few and corporate culture are more significant targets, generally focused on environmental
sectors face particular challenges, such as Business leaders define corporate success factors. Nine in ten firms (86%) anticipate and social factors, rather than corporate
automotive and tourism. And all businesses as extending far beyond shareholder returns. revenue growth from improved sustainability governance.
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1. Overview (continued)
E
M Automotive manufacturing
F
N Power & utilities
G
50
%
O Healthcare & social services
4 Sustainability pays
H
P Telecommunications services
Nine in ten companies expect
I
Q Telecommunications manufacturing
40 sustainability performance to
J
R Fintech
V
29 boost sales
K
S Other services
U
40
L
T
T Education M
5
32 S
U Wood, paper, rubber, plastic manufacturing R N
Regionalisation
39
Q P O
V Other manufacturing Mainland China surpassed the
34 USA as the main foreign market
39 for firms in Asia Pacific, a shift
The pandemic has had an 35
since 2019
38
unequal impact on different 35
38
36
sectors; demand and supply 38 38
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1. Overview (continued)
2021
22% 27% 43% 43% 32% 29%
7%
2022 25% 29% 26% 20% 23%
2021
41% 34% 35% 40% 35% 47%
COVID-19 has
53
Most and least challenged sectors
% Current status of business
challenged almost
all businesses of businesses 50
Oil and Gas
have poorer
Infrastructure
growth
Signs of a two-speed recovery are 40
1 McKinsey: China digital consumer trends 2019 2 51% high-growth firms (annual revenue growth >5%) are >50% online.
Navigator 2020 | 8
3 HSBC Global Research, The booming digital economy, September 2020
3. Business investment
67
with significant anticipated investment the Navigator Resilience report, continues. the long-term.
%
to spur growth. Nine in ten fast growth
companies, those which anticipate revenues
to rise by over 5% this year, are increasing
investment. Yet even for businesses which
expect declining sales in the next year, two Most high-growth companies plan to increase investment
in five (38%) plan to increase overall financial Businesses intending to increase overall investment in the next year
investment.
of businesses
Investment is geared towards boosting
demand and enhancing customer experience. globally intend to
increase financial
89% 61% 38%
Immediate priorities include marketing (47%)
and sales channels (45%).
investment
Investment decisions appear broadly
consistent across sector and company size.
Yet digitally enabled companies selling
online are investing more, with three-
quarters of these firms increasing investment
High-growth Low-growth No-growth
(76%), against 61% of offline business.
Navigator 2020 | 9
4. Future strategy
3% 49%
Most companies have not fundamentally
changed strategy. Yet approaches differ
between growth companies investing Have Have undergone
for the future, and challenged business transformed short-term changes Cutting costs
Navigator 2020 | 10
Human-centric leadership 36
Agility/capacity for change 47
Technical innovation 49
C
Higher-growth businesses are more likely to
%
physical distance,
D
invest in improved product or service quality, I Diversified workforce at all levels
four in five businesses
27
E
customer experience, and expansion into new J Great place to work 39 felt closer to their
F
markets. The effect may therefore be long- G
customers, employees
K Recognises value of failure
J H
I
lasting as companies emerging strongest and suppliers.
from the pandemic invest for long-term L Meritocratic 31
growth. 38 Collaboration looks
set to continue. Two
in five businesses
There are signs of an evolution in thinking 36 37 (39%) believe
among business leaders. Responsibility,
resilience and reputation are viewed as 36 36 collaboration, rather
than competition, will
more important to long-term success characterise successful
than returns to shareholders. Only 17% of entrepreneurial
firms view shareholder returns as defining businesses.
future success. Innovation is the defining Collaboration is rated
characteristic identified by almost half of “The one thing that has become evident is that above shareholder
businesses (49%). This broader conception
digital transformation is not a choice. It is not returns as defining
future success.
of the drivers of corporate performance
appears consistent with rising expectations something that you should leave to the junior
for companies to act in accordance with engineer with a bit of a budget to play with.”
consumer values. Hitachi Solutions, Germany
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5. International trade
COVID-19 hit global trade volumes Looking to the future: expansion markets
Europe is the most attractive region looking ahead 3-5 years (36%).
less severely than feared given the USA is the single most attractive market (13%), followed by Canada,
USA Europe
Germany France
4 WTO: Trade shows signs of rebound from COVID-19, recovery still uncertain, October 2020 Navigator 2020 | 12
5. International trade (continued)
%
The global trade map is not being radically China surpassing the USA as the main foreign Trade outlook remains positive
redrawn by COVID-19 or protectionism. Most market for regional firms. Percentage of companies with a positive view Winning
companies do not plan to withdraw from an
international market within the next two years. Around two-thirds of companies (64%) believe
of trade prospects over the next 1-2 years
strategies
Rather, they are looking within their region for protectionism is growing, broadly consistent
expansion. with recent years. Almost all companies 89
87 88
fear negative consequences, including firms
The growth in regional trade is strongest in that operate only domestically. And these 81
South America, where more than three in five concerns run deeper than difficulties sourcing 78 79 Businesses fear
77
(63%) are currently trading with Central/South raw materials, supplier partnerships, or negative impacts from
America, up six percentage points on 2019. reaching customers overseas. 72 71 growing protectionism.
This pattern is replicated in Asia Pacific, with 67 This perception is
regional trade up by four percentage points Trade fosters innovation and the exchange of strongest among
in a year, amid a marked shift with mainland ideas. Two in five firms see broader horizons US and Mexican
and new sources of insight (37%) as a benefit, companies, rising
Percentage of businesses that think helping them enhance products and services around 10 percentage
protectionism is on the increase (35%), which ultimately benefits consumer points over four years.
choice (34%). Businesses believe international This may reflect the
61 63 65 64 trade promotes positive social outcomes domestic political
through boosting local economies (30%) environment and the
and supporting the development of local desire to end trade
infrastructure (24%). reliance of critical
2017 2018 2019 2020 goods on single foreign
suppliers in the wake of
COVID-19.
“If you want to grow [internationally] you have to bring new
ideas and new products and new innovation… We now In response, companies
are seeking to boost
have a joint venture with a Chinese customer in robotics and competitiveness (35%),
digitalisation… this company has been able to grow very partner with local firms
2020
2020
2020
2020
2020
2019
2019
2019
2019
2019
(32%), and utilise online
fast… to be highly price competitive… to take back some e-commerce platforms
market share.” Global Asia
Pacific
Europe North
America
South
America
(29%).
Danieli Group, steel production, an Italian company operating in mainland China
Navigator 2020 | 13
6. Reshaping supply chains
Research suggests supply chains will Suppliers are too distant from target
face disruptions lasting a month or customers or from our business 33
longer every four years.5
Firms view these disruptions as the biggest Suppliers which are not sufficiently agile 23
internal factor hindering growth (19%). More
than nine in ten (93%) have concerns relating
Financial resources / time spent on
to their supply chain. These concerns are
managing the supply chain 23
consistent across industries. In response,
93
businesses are making changes to how they
%
select suppliers and manage their supply chain. Deteriorating / variable quality of suppliers 23
In terms of suppliers, July’s Navigator
Resilience showed more businesses were Lack of transparency on
supplier (and their suppliers) 20
diversifying rather than restricting suppliers.
This trend continues with more firms
diversifying (28%) than reducing (20%). This
gap widens for higher-growth businesses
have concerns Suppliers not meeting our
sustainability requirements 20
and companies that perceive protectionism
rising. Automotive and manufacturing firms,
relating to their
Suppliers not matching our
particularly in the computer and electronics supply chain digitisation requirements 19
sector, are diversifying most through adding
new suppliers.
No concerns 7
5 McKinsey Global Institute: Risk, resilience, and rebalancing in global value chains, August 2020 Navigator 2020 | 14
6. Reshaping supply chains (continued)
Mapping supply
19% 17% 20%
25% 22% chains right down
to component level
can ensure no single
Asia Pacific South Middle East & North Europe point of failure. Supply
America North Africa America chains can maintain
efficiency while
adding geographic
diversification that can
This diversification is a strategy to deal with the immediate priority (48%). Companies based on sustainability practices (24%) and be flexibly deployed.
external uncertainty, enhancing control and that identify as thriving are making greater increased transparency deep into the next tier Transparency,
reducing risk. And consistent with increasing changes to their supply chain, particularly in of suppliers' supply chain (26%). digitisation, resilience
trade flows within regions (Section 5), for two- digital adoption. and incorporating
fifths of firms, focusing on suppliers in their Businesses are prioritising resilience across ESG factors will set
home region will be their immediate priority for Supply chains shape sustainability outcomes. their supply chain. To achieve this firms companies apart.
2021 (40%). The most significant short-term Large corporates place considerably are enhancing control, reducing cost and
change is choosing suppliers based on their greater emphasis on this. One in five firms increasing speed. And as volatility
country’s control of COVID-19 (32%). hold concerns around suppliers' lack of increases, trade finance
transparency and ability to meet sustainability can bridge spikes in
On supply chain management, half of requirements. Over the past year, around the need for working
businesses see digital and technology as a quarter of firms have selected suppliers capital.
Navigator 2020 | 15
7. Sustainability
86
by between 5% and 10%; and one in six (17%)
%
expect increased growth in excess of 10%.
Navigator 2020 | 16
7. Sustainability (continued)
% 30%
Net zero emissions environmental and social outcomes since opportunities, boosting
76 in own operations
2019, but targets for governance issues are Have annual targets in place growth.
across supply chain
unchanged and far less prevalent.
Today’s lower
75
Water use Companies expect the benefits of improved borrowing costs create
75
sustainability performance to extend beyond
the bottom line. Expected benefits include
17% an opportunity for ESG
investments which will
Net zero emissions in No plans
employee wellbeing (37%) and recruiting pay off tomorrow. And
75 own operations
talent (28%), with attracting investment sustainable financing
72
72
Diversity at board level
(30%) another sign of the financial benefits
that accrue alongside enhancing corporate
7% solutions, cited by 30%
of firms as an enabler,
72 Does not apply
reputation (32%). can help unlock these
Adopting UN Sustainable opportunities.
Development Goals Framework
“Consumers are digging deeper and spending more time
Employee travel / air miles analysing whether a product’s claims are actually truthful,
Gender pay gap
and if not they are harder on brands than in the past.”
NielsenIQ, a consumer intelligence business based in Singapore
6 The proportions mentioned here are indicative averages across a pre-defined set of commonly accepted ESG targets. * Selected responses Navigator 2020 | 17
Survey methodology For further information about the research please contact:
The Navigator survey is conducted on behalf
of HSBC by Kantar. It is compiled from Kate Woodyatt
responses by decision-makers at 10,368 HSBC Global Communications
businesses, ranging from small and mid- [email protected]
market firms to large corporations, across a Or click on www.business.hsbc.com/navigator
broad range of sectors.
Note: There may be a slight discrepancy between the sum of individual items
The respondents hold influence over their and the total as shown in the tables due to rounding.
company’s strategic direction and represent a
broad range of roles: including c-suite, finance, Whilst every effort has been made in the preparation of this report to ensure
procurement, sales and marketing. accuracy of the statistical and other content, the publishers and data suppliers
cannot accept liability in respect of errors or omissions or for any losses or
A total of 39 markets were surveyed between consequential losses arising from such errors or omissions. The information
11 September and 7 October 2020. provided in this report is not intended as investment advice and investors should
Europe: Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.
Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Russia,
Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK
Asia Pacific: Australia, Bangladesh,
mainland China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia,
Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines,
Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan,
Thailand, Vietnam
Middle East & North Africa:
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, UAE
North America: Canada, Mexico, USA
South America: Argentina, Brazil
Rest of Africa: South Africa
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