Module 2 - Financial Statements
Module 2 - Financial Statements
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Be able to perform a complete ratio analysis of a firm's balance sheet beginning with the
extended Du Pont analysis and using the "tree" format illustrated in the packet
Be able to construct an indirect cash flow statement using the format illustrated in the
packet
Finance theory proposes that the primary goal of the firm is (should be?) to maximize stock price
per share. However, we also know that value, as is measured in the market place, is subject to
change on a daily basis. To objectively proxy for this primary goal, we will use Return on Equity.
ROE = PM X TATO X EM
(Profitability) (Asset Eff.) (Leverage)
Sales
TATO = Total Assets
PROFITABILITY
ASSET EFFICIENCY
Sales Sales
TATO = Total Assets FATO = Fixed Assets
COGS Ending Inv. X 365
INV T/O = Inv. Days =
Ending Inventory COGS
Assets EBIT
Equity Multiplier = Equity TIE = Interest Expense
LIQUIDITY
CA CA- INV
Current Ratio = CL Quick Ratio = Acid Test = CL
Asset Efficiency
Debt Management
The Debt Ratio is the percentage of assets that are financed by debt
(including short-term liabilities).
The Debt to Equity Ration (D/E) is the amount of debt that is employed per
dollar of equity
The Equity Multiplier is the amount of total assets employed per dollar of
equity. The equity multiplier captures the “leverage” effect of combining
debt with equity.
Times Interest Earned (TIE) is the number of times that income available to
pay interest exceeds the interest obligation.
Times Burden Covered (TBC) is the number of times that income available
to service debt exceed the total debt payment (interest and principle)
obligation.
Fixed Charge Coverage (FCC) is the number of times that income available
to service debt and fixed lease payments exceed these combined fixed
payment obligations
Liquidity Management
The Current Ratio is the number of times that current assets (assets
expected to become cash within one year) exceed current liabilities
(obligations to be settled in cash within one year).
Quick Ratio (Acid Test) is the number of times that current assets exclusive
of inventories exceed current liabilities. This ratio is a more stringent test
of liquidity since it does not assume that inventories will necessarily be
sold.
A very useful tool that is often used to remove size effects from financial statements and to gain
insight into the management and credit worthiness of the firm is to prepare common size financial
statements. These statements reveal trends that are often not seen by examining the actual
financial statements. The use of common size statements should be combined with ratio analysis.
A suggested framework is presented on the next page.
To prepare a common size balance sheet, you simply divide all balance sheet entries by
total assets and express each account as a % of total assets. By comparing successive
years (it is helpful to put several years data side by side), one can identify changes in
current assets, liabilities, or fixed assets as a % of total assets.
To prepare a common size income statement, you simply divide all income statement
entries by net sales and express each entry as a % of net sales. By comparing successive
years, one can identify any changes in profit margins, operating expenses, or productions
costs
A FORMAT FOR ANALYSIS
ROE
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ROA-------------- |
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Pr ofit________________Asset Efficiency_________________Debt Management
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PM TATO EM
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GPM FATO D/E
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%Op Exp. Inv. T/O D/A
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%Int. Exp. Inv. Days TIE
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DSO FCC
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Liquidity - - - - - - - - - Pay Days
CR
QR
THE CASH FLOW STATEMENT
One of the most important tools to be used in analyzing the financial statements of a company is
the cash flow statement. Today, there are basically two variations of the cash flow statement that
are used for financial reporting purposes and analysis -- the direct cash flow statement and the
indirect cash flow statement. Additionally, some analysts use a sources and uses statement.
Although there are advantages to the direct statement, the indirect statement is generally more
convenient
Both the direct and indirect cash flow statements used for financial reporting have three
sections -- Cash From Operations, Cash From Investing Activities, and Cash From
Financing Activities. A suggested approach for formulating an Indirect Cash Flow
Statement is on the next page. This approach is good to get you started, but it is not
foolproof or universally correct. Remember that our goal is to analyze the firm and not to
produce documents for reporting purposes. Sometimes, you need to think a bit!
The primary difference between the direct and indirect statement occurs in the Operating
Income section. A direct cash flow statement lists receipt of revenues and disbursement
of expenses on a cash basis. The indirect cash flow statement begins with net income
from the income statement (prepared on an accrual basis), and adjusts net income to derive
cash from operations.
INDIRECT CASH FLOW STATEMENT
Trend Analysis
Use several years of data to identify trends. Put the ratios, common size
statements, and cash flow statements side by side by accounting period (e.g, place
2004, 2005, and 2006 side by side).
Ordered Approach
Look at the cash flow statement first to identify major sources and uses of cash.
Then look at the applicable accounts on common size statements and at the
appropriate ratios to gain insight as to the cause of the changes -- was the change
driven by sales growth? changes in profitability? asset mismanagement? etc.
Calculate the % sales growth from the previous year for each year. The need for
cash is often driven by growth.
Off-balance-sheet Financing
Look beyond definitions of ratios to gain true insight into a company's financial
position. As an example, many companies use "off-balance-sheet" financing in
the form of long-term operating leases. One firm might borrow money on a long
term basis and purchase fixed assets while another firm chooses into long-term
leases. In either case, the firm has the use of a fixed asset and is obligated to make
fixed payments over some period of time. In the debt case, the firm show s greater
use of debt, while in the leasing case, the firm will appear to be less levered. As a
solution to this problem, value a lease as if it were debt (use your financial
calculator and a guess at the cost of debt to get the present value of the stream of
lease payments) and then recalculate the ratios.
Small Firms
Small firms may pose unusual situations. First, many small firms' financial
statements are compiled, not audited. The accountant does not assure the
correctness of compiled statements. Be aware of "misplaced" accounts (ie.,
short-term liabilities listed as long-term). Second, the distinction between divi-
dends and wages for the closely held company is often blurred. Consider what
would be a reasonable salary. Many small firms are subchapter S. This means that
the income of the firm is declared as income on the owner's personal income tax
return. Thus, dividends often reflect cash required to pay the firm's taxes.
Focus of Financial Analysis
When analyzing a firm's financial statements, remember that your goal is to gain
insight into the financial management of the firm -- not to be an accountant or
strictly adhere to rote ratio definitions (although you should be sure and know those
definitions). Thus, think about what you are trying to measure and ask yourself
the question "Does the ratio capture what I want to measure?" If so, use the ratio.
If not, do not be afraid to think about the situation and modify your approach. eg.
the lease situation mentioned above
In analyzing any company, one is generally interested in how much the company has invested in
new fixed assets over the period of analysis and the amount of non-cash expense that the company
has incurred in the form of depreciation. Unfortunately, different reporting practices often dictate
that we have to do some work in order to obtain this information.
Depreciation Expense
The additional amount of fixed assets that a firm depreciates over the course of the
year. This is found on the income statement, although we can calculate from the
change in the balance sheet accounts.
Accumulated Depreciation
The total amount that we have depreciated fixed assets over time. In other words,
the sum of all depreciation expenses over the number of years that we have owned
the assets. This is found on the balance sheet.
2007 2006
Note: The new investment is simply the change in net fixed assets plus the depreciation expense.
New Investment = Delta GFA = Delta NFA + Dep. Exp. = 6,000 + 4,000 = 10,000.
But, from the income statement we know that depreciation expense is 4,000.
Therefore, we can back into new investment as follows.
2007 2006
In this case, depreciation expense is not explicitly listed on the income statement (ie. it is lumped
together with other expenses in an account called operating expenses). We are stuck, so do the best
you can. Since NFA increased, we know that the company purchased new assets.
We know that we are understating investment by the amount of the correct depreciation and that
we are understating depreciation by the same amount. Thus, the cash flow statement will still
balance, but the Operations section will be understated and the Investment section will be
overstated.
2007 2006
Again, depreciation expense is unavailable. In this case, net fixed assets decreased slightly.
Although a variety of events could have happened, it seems likely that the decrease is due to
depreciation and that there was no new investment in fixed assets.
Suppose that during 2007, the company writes off an asset at 15,000 that is completely
depreciated.
2007 2006
When a company writes off an asset, the accountant removes the asset from the books. Thus, we
must reduce GFA by 15,000. Correspondingly, we must remove the depreciation that has
accrued on this assets from the books. Thus, we must reduce Acc. Dep. by 15,000 since the asset
was fully depreciated. Note that since the asset was fully depreciated, the Net Fixed Assets
account is unaffected.
A problem arises in estimating new investment and depreciation, however, since the write-off
masks what really happened over the course of the year. Take the above case. GFA and Acc.
Dep. have decreased. To get at the truth, we must reconstruct how the balance sheet would have
looked had the write-off not occurred. This means we have to "undo" the write-off by adding the
15,000 back to GFA and Acc. Dep.
2007 2006
* 85% cost of material (COGS) and 15% direct installation labor (paid directly to sub contractors).
Inventory is valued at material cost only.
Murcheson Carpet Company, Inc.
Common Size Balance Sheet
October 31, 2005, 2004, and 2003
2005 2004
Cash Flow From Operations
Net Income $41,167 $59,595
Depreciation 4,885 7,858
Change in Accounts Receivable (20,108) 1,988
Change in Inventory (3,226) 25,425
Change in Prepaid Expense (859) (927)
Change in Accounts Payable (3,605) 6,282
Change in Accrued Liabilities (949) 273
Cash Flow From Operations 17,305 100,494
*Plug to balance the cash flows. A service vehicle was sold and written off, and a new vehicle
was purchased, masking the observed relationship in gross fixed assets.
Murcheson Carpet Company, Inc.
Ratio Analysis
F or the Years Ended October 31, 2005 and 2004
Pr ofitability Measur es
Debt Management
1. First, note that sales were basically stable from 2003 to 2004 (up 1.5%), but declined about
10.5% from 2004 to 2005. It is worth noting that the economy was moving into a
recession in the latter half of 2005, but we also want to be on the alert for policy changes.
2. Cash Flow Statement: Net income provides the single largest source of cash in each of the
two years. The other substantial sources of cash are inventory in 2004 and a loan form
shareholders (the owner) in 2005. The major uses of cash are dividends (each year) and
accounts receivable in 2005.
Implications: Income appears to be a very important source of financing, so profitability
should be closely analyzed. The large use of cash to fund accounts receivable should also
be explored. Finally, it is interesting that the owners pay themselves large dividends
while making a loan back to the company. This could suggest a temporary liquidity need,
perhaps arising from accounts receivable.
3. Common Size Balance Sheet: The large use of cash for receivables is verified by an
increase in receivables from 23% to over 33% of assets. A large reduction in inventory
from 2003-2004 is also evident, providing the source of cash that was identified on the cash
flow statement. Cash seems to be very variable from year to year. Note, however, that
current assets represent 0-90% of assets while current liabilities represent only 14-18% (if
we exclude the loan from the owner). There is no long-term debt. Finally, there is a
significant reduction in retained earnings as a percentage of assets form 2004-2005.
Implications: Once again, the increase in receivables suggests that collections should be
explored. The company is very liquid and follows a very conservative working capital
policy -- most of the current liabilities are financed by owners’ equity. There appears to
be a substantial amount of unused debt capacity. The fluctuating cash is not a problem.
4. Common Size Income Statement: Net Profit Margin appears to be healthy, ranging from
7-9%. Note that Gross Profit Margin actually appears to be on an increasing trend.
Operating expenses increase notably form 2004-2005, but the increase is due to an increase
in Officers Salaries (who are the owners). Other expenses have declined.
Implications: The company seems to be very profitable. One wonders if the decline in
sales from 2004-2005 is related to the increase in Gross Profit Margin -- have prices
increased or costs decreased. Operating expenses seem to be reasonable, and perhaps
even declining.
5. Income Statement: Income declined from $59,595 to $41,167 (2004-2005). The major
source of the decline is a $14,000 increase in officers salaries. Dividends decreased by
almost $16,000 from 2004-2005. Note that the company (as a subchapter S)pays not
taxes. Taxes are paid by the owners.
Implications: As a subchapter S corporation, it does not really matter (except for “red
flagging” the IRS in extreme situations) if the owners take compensation as salary or
dividends. The increase in salary was more than offset by a decrease in dividends. Profit
would be at 2003 levels if the salaries had remained constant and profit margins would
have actually increased.
6. Ratios: ROE is very high ranging from 43-55% (note that theses are pre-tax, but who
among us would not take it?) Inventory ranges from about 1-1½ months of sales on hand.
Receivables were collected in about ½ month in 2003 and 2004. The 2005 number has
increased to about one month, still a reasonable collection period (30 days, same as cash?).
Implications: The company seems to be doing very well. The one question the still
remains is the increase in receivables from 2004-2005. Even the 2005 receivables do not
seem way out of line, however.
7. Over all Impr essions: The company seems to be a very profitable, reasonably well-run,
“Mom and Pop” organization. It is very conservatively financed (about 85% equity) and
the owners seem to recognize this as they are removing equity from the company through
large dividend payments. This strategy would suggest that the business is mature and not
poised for high growth. In fact, the increase in gross profit margin coupled with the
decrease in sales suggest that the owners may be looking to make more income on less
sales. The only minor issue that seems worth pursuing is the recent increase in receivables
coupled with a loan from the shareholders. Since we are looking at a point in time and this
is a small company, one or two orders could be making this difference. It might be worth
following up on the receivables and the shareholder loan with the owners to gain more
insight.
Prologue
The receivables increase was due to one rather large order from a local municipality
that had just been billed prior to the end of the fiscal year. The large dividends
were to (i) cover tax obligations and (ii) reduce the exposure of equity to litigation
risk (the owners’ personal assets are protected from litigation against the firm).
The dividends had to be paid prior to the end of the fiscal year. The loan from the
shareholders was to provide temporary liquidity until the municipality paid its bill.
The loan was repaid in about one month. The owners were attempting
(successfully) to increase profitability, even if it meant a decline in sales, as long as
they maintained a minimum income level.