Foreign Policy Analysis

SUBMITTED BY:
Esha Chaudary (024)
Fajar Iqbal (026)
Tahseen Chaudary (074)
SUBMITTED TO:
Ma’am Maliha

BS – IR (7)
SECTION: A

Department of International Relations

Lahore College for Women University, Lahore.
FOREIGN POLICY
“Foreign policy is the establishment and development of relations with other countries in
order to protect national interest by taking appropriate steps at international level”
In a sense, foreign policy is the projection of a country’s internal policies. It dictates how a
country will act with respect to other countries (socially, politically, economically and militarily)
And somewhat to a lesser extent behaviour towards non-state actors. Foreign policy is a strategy
or combination of strategies that are carefully crafted by a country/state for maintaining relations
with other states or non-state actors for the protection and promotion of its national interest.

IMPORTANCE OF ANALYSING FOREIGN POLICY

Analysing foreign policy is fundamental for countries to navigate the complexities of
international relations, safeguard national security, and maintain influence on the global stage.
This process involves assessing the intentions, actions, and strategic objectives of other nations,
allowing states to make informed decisions and respond to global developments. Below is a
detailed overview of why analysing foreign policy is important, along with contemporary
examples:
1. Understanding Global Dynamics and Security
 Analysing foreign policy helps nations anticipate global trends and adapt their strategies
accordingly. For example, China's assertive actions in the South China Sea and its Belt
and Road Initiative (BRI) are strategic moves to extend its influence and secure trade
routes across Asia and beyond. By analysing these developments, the United States and
its allies have adjusted their presence in the Indo-Pacific region, emphasizing freedom of
navigation through naval deployments.
 Similarly, understanding China's economic engagements in Africa and Latin America
allows other nations to gauge shifts in regional alliances and economic dependencies,
which can impact global power dynamics.
2. Forming Strategic Alliances and Economic Partnerships
 Effective foreign policy analysis enables countries to forge alliances and trade
partnerships that strengthen their geopolitical position. Following the United Kingdom's
exit from the European Union (Brexit), the EU has diversified its trade relations, seeking
new agreements with countries like Japan and Canada. This strategic adjustment helps
mitigate potential economic downturns and maintain the EU's influence in global markets
 The United States has also redefined trade partnerships by renegotiating agreements such
as the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), aligning its economic interests while
counterbalancing China's growing economic reach
3. Managing Global Crises and Health Challenges
  The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the importance of analysing foreign policy for
international collaboration. Countries had to quickly understand each other's policies on
vaccine distribution, border management, and economic stimulus measures to coordinate
effective global responses. For instance, the COVAX initiative—aimed at equitable
vaccine distribution—relied on cooperation between countries, shaped by their
understanding of each other's health and diplomatic priorities
 Foreign policy analysis was also critical in the coordination of global travel restrictions
and economic relief packages that aimed to stabilize the global economy amid pandemic-
induced disruptions.
4. Navigating Regional Conflicts and Tensions
 Analysing the foreign policies of countries involved in regional conflicts enables states to
formulate responses that avoid escalation while maintaining their strategic interests. For
example, the responses of the United States and European countries to Russia’s invasion
of Ukraine were shaped by careful analysis of Russia's strategic goals, leading to
sanctions and military aid to Ukraine. This approach aimed to deter further aggression
without escalating the conflict into a broader war
 Analysis of these policies also considers the implications for energy supplies, as Europe’s
reliance on Russian gas required strategic shifts in energy policy and new partnerships
with countries like Qatar and the United States for alternative supplies
5. Promoting National Interests in a Multipolar World
 In an increasingly multipolar world, countries like India have used foreign policy analysis
to pursue a balanced approach. India’s participation in the Quad alliance with the United
States, Japan, and Australia illustrates its strategy to counter China's influence while
maintaining economic ties with Russia, especially in the energy sector
. This non-aligned approach allows India to maximize its strategic flexibility while promoting its
national interests.
 This analysis enables India to navigate a complex geopolitical landscape where it can
engage with diverse power blocs without becoming overly dependent on a single partner.
Conclusion
Foreign policy analysis is a dynamic process that incorporates insights from geopolitics,
historical relations, economic interests, and military strategies. It allows countries to understand
the intentions and actions of others, anticipate global shifts, and adapt to new challenges.
Through this process, policymakers and scholars can better predict potential conflicts, facilitate
cooperation, and craft strategies that ensure both national and global stability.

FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS: ORIGIN AND DEVELOPMENT

Foreign policy analysis (FPA) is a subfield of international relations that examines how states
formulate and implement their foreign policies. It encompasses various theoretical perspectives,
methodologies, and levels of analysis, focusing on decision-making processes, actors, and
contexts influencing foreign policy.
Historical Origins
1. Pre-20th Century Foundations:
* The roots of FPA can be traced back to classical political philosophy, where thinkers like
Thucydides, Machiavelli, and Hobbes explored state behavior and power dynamics.
* Early international relations theories, such as realism, emphasized state interests and power,
laying the groundwork for understanding foreign policy.
2. Post-World War II Developments:
* The aftermath of World War II led to a surge in scholarly interest in foreign policy due to
the complexities of the Cold War.
* The rise of “behavioralism” in the 1950s and 1960s encouraged scholars to use empirical
methods to study decision-making processes.
3. Emergence as a Distinct Field:
* In the late 1960s and 1970s, FPA began to distinguish itself from broader international
relations. Scholars like Hans Morgenthau and Kenneth Waltz focused on state behaviour, while
others, like Richard Neustadt and Graham Allison, emphasized the role of individual leaders and
bureaucracies.
* The concept of "bounded rationality" emerged, challenging the notion of the rational actor
model by incorporating cognitive limitations in decision-making.
Key Theoretical Perspectives

1. Realism

 Overview: Realism is one of the foundational theories of international relations, focusing

on the concept of power and the inherently anarchic nature of the international system.
Realists believe that states act primarily in their national interest, aiming to maximize
security and power. They assume that the global stage is characterized by competition
and conflict.
 Example: The U.S.-China rivalry in the Indo-Pacific region can be seen through a realist
lens. Both nations aim to maximize their influence, with the United States striving to
maintain its dominance while China seeks to challenge it through economic initiatives
like the Belt and Road Initiative and military expansion in the South China Sea. This
reflects the realist notion that states compete for power to ensure their survival and
strategic interests.
  Scholars: Hans Morgenthau and Kenneth Waltz are key figures in realist theory, with
Waltz's "structural realism" emphasizing the influence of the international system’s
structure on state behavior.

2. Liberalism

 Overview: Liberalism emphasizes cooperation, international institutions, and the role of

domestic actors in shaping foreign policy. It posits that despite the anarchic nature of the
international system, states can achieve mutual gains through trade, alliances, and
international organizations.
 Example: The formation and functioning of the European Union (EU) exemplifies liberal
principles. Member states have pooled sovereignty in many areas, promoting peace and
cooperation on economic and political issues. Through institutions like the EU, European
countries work together to address common challenges, such as climate change and
regional security.
 Scholars: Robert Keohane and Joseph Nye have contributed significantly to the liberal
perspective, particularly through their work on complex interdependence, which
highlights the importance of non-state actors and economic ties in shaping foreign policy.

3. Constructivism

 Overview: Constructivism focuses on the role of ideas, norms, and identities in shaping
state behavior. Unlike realism and liberalism, which emphasize material factors,
constructivism explores how state interests and actions are socially constructed through
interactions with other states and international norms.
 Example: The concept of sovereignty and non-intervention is shaped by international
norms and shared understandings. For instance, NATO’s intervention in the Kosovo
crisis in 1999 was partly justified through the constructivist argument of humanitarian
intervention, where the protection of human rights was emphasized over the traditional
notion of state sovereignty. This shift reflects how norms can influence foreign policy
decisions.
 Scholars: Alexander Wendt’s work on “anarchy is what states make of it” is
foundational, arguing that the international system is not inherently conflictual but is
shaped by state interactions and shared understandings.

4. Cognitive and Psychological Approaches:

* These approaches examine how cognitive biases, perceptions, and emotions influence
decision-makers. The works of scholars like Robert Jervis highlight the impact of misperceptions
on foreign policy outcomes.
5. Domestic Politics:
 * Scholars like Charles Hermann and David Rothkopf emphasize the influence of domestic
factors—political institutions, interest groups, and public opinion—on foreign policy
formulation.
Methodological Approaches
FPA employs a range of methodologies:
1. Qualitative Methods:
* Case studies and historical analyses are used to understand specific foreign policy decisions,
often exploring the context and motivations behind them.
2. Quantitative Methods:
* Some scholars use statistical analyses to identify patterns and correlations in foreign policy
behavior across different states and contexts.
3. Comparative Politics:
* FPA often overlaps with comparative politics, examining how different political systems
affect foreign policy outcomes.
Key Scholars and Works
1. Graham Allison:
* Known for the "Models of Foreign Policy Decision-Making," which outlines different
decision-making processes, including the rational actor model and organizational behavior
model.
2. Richard Neustadt:
* His work, "Presidential Power," emphasizes the importance of persuasion and negotiation in
the formulation of U.S. foreign policy.
3. Robert Jervis:
* Jervis's insights into the cognitive aspects of decision-making have been foundational in
understanding how leaders interpret information and make decisions.
4. Charles Hermann:
* His research focuses on the relationship between domestic politics and foreign policy,
particularly how political context shapes decisions.
Contemporary Developments
FPA continues to evolve, adapting to new global challenges such as terrorism, climate change,
and transnational issues. The rise of non-state actors and global governance frameworks has also
reshaped traditional notions of state-centric foreign policy analysis.
Conclusion
Foreign policy analysis has developed into a rich and diverse field that encompasses various
theoretical perspectives and methodologies. Its origins are deeply rooted in classical political
thought, but it has grown significantly since the mid-20th century, responding to the
complexities of an interconnected world. As global challenges continue to evolve, FPA will
likely adapt, integrating new theories and approaches to better understand the dynamics of
international relations.

DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN POLICIES

Domestic policy
Domestic policy refers to the set of decisions, laws, and actions taken by a government that are
focused on issues within a country's borders. It involves the regulation and administration of
internal matters such as education, healthcare, taxation, law enforcement, infrastructure,
economic policies, social welfare, and public safety.
Anderson defines domestic policy as "a course of action taken by governmental authorities to
address issues and problems within a nation-state."
~James E. Anderson

Foreign policy
Foreign policy refers to the strategies and decisions a government makes in its interactions with
other countries and international organizations. It involves the management of diplomatic,
economic, military, and cultural relations to achieve national objectives on the global stage. The
main goals of foreign policy typically include maintaining national security, promoting economic
interests, fostering diplomatic relations, protecting citizens abroad, and advancing ideological or
humanitarian values.
"Foreign policy begins where domestic policy ends."
~Henry Kissinger

Key differences between domestic and foreign policies

Aspect Domestic policy Foreign policy

Deals with internal matters and Focuses on a country's relations and

Definition issues within a country's borders. interactions with other states and international
organizations.
 Aims to improve citizens' quality Aims to protect national interests, ensure
Goals of life, maintain order, and security, and influence global affairs.
promote national growth.

Limited to internal issues such as Broad, involving diplomacy, trade, military,

Scope education, healthcare, economy, and international agreements.
and law enforcement.

Healthcare reforms, tax policies, Diplomatic agreements, trade deals, defense

Examples education laws, infrastructure alliances, foreign aid programs.
development.

INTERSECTIONS BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN POLICIES

Domestic politics play a crucial role in shaping a country's foreign policy by influencing various
factors such as political institutions, public opinion, economic conditions, and social movements.
Political institutions, including the structure of government and the legislative process, determine
how decisions are made and which policies are prioritized. Public opinion can significantly sway
policymakers, as elected officials often seek to align foreign policy decisions with the
preferences of their constituents. Additionally, economic conditions, such as recession or growth,
can affect a nation’s approach to international relations, particularly in areas like trade and
investment. Social movements can also push for changes in foreign policy by raising awareness
of global issues and advocating for specific actions.

Leaders and decision-makers are instrumental in formulating foreign policy, as their

perspectives, ideologies, and priorities shape how a nation engages with the world. The personal
beliefs of leaders can lead to significant shifts in policy direction, influencing diplomatic
relations and international commitments.

For example, changes in domestic policies, such as those related to trade, immigration, and
energy, can have profound implications for foreign relations. A shift towards protectionist trade
policies may lead to strained relationships with trading partners, while changes in immigration
laws can affect bilateral relations with countries of origin. Similarly, energy policies that
prioritize renewable resources can shape alliances with countries involved in energy production
and environmental efforts.
 Political Public Opinion Economic
Leadership and and Public Consideration
ideology Pressure

Domestic Factors that

influence Foreign Policy

National Security Culture and Social International

and Defense Factors Commitments and
alliances

EXCHANGE BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN POLICIES:

The exchange between domestic and foreign policy often revolves around how a country's
internal decisions influence its international behavior, and vice versa. A good case study to
illustrate this interplay is the U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War (1955-1975). This event
shows how foreign policy objectives shaped domestic politics and how domestic pressures
influenced foreign actions.

CASE STUDY: U.S. INVOLVEMENT IN THE VIETNAM WAR

Foreign Policy Context:

During the Cold War, the U.S. foreign policy was heavily influenced by the Containment
Doctrine, aimed at preventing the spread of communism worldwide. Vietnam, a nation in
Southeast Asia, was seen as a crucial battleground for this policy. U.S. policymakers, influenced
by the Domino Theory (the idea that if one country fell to communism, neighboring countries
would follow), committed to supporting South Vietnam against the communist North
Vietnamese forces.

This decision was driven by the broader foreign policy goal of limiting Soviet and Chinese
influence in Asia, as well as projecting U.S. military power and leadership in the Western-
aligned world.
How Domestic Policy Influenced Foreign Policy:

As opposition to the war grew domestically, it became politically unsustainable to continue the
conflict at the same scale. Public pressure, the rise of anti-war politicians, and growing
awareness of the human and financial costs led President Richard Nixon to adopt the policy of
Vietnamization—gradually reducing U.S. troop presence and shifting combat responsibilities to
South Vietnamese forces.

By 1973, under domestic political pressure, the U.S. signed the Paris Peace Accords, effectively
ending direct American involvement in Vietnam. In 1975, with the fall of Saigon, North Vietnam
unified the country under communist rule.

Conclusion:

In an increasingly globalized world, the relationship between domestic and foreign policy is
becoming even more significant. Globalization has led to the blurring of lines between internal
and external issues, as transnational challenges—such as climate change, economic
interdependence, migration, and cybersecurity —affect both domestic and foreign spheres
simultaneously. Governments must now consider the impact of their international actions on
domestic populations more than ever before, as global events are instantly transmitted and
scrutinized by an interconnected global audience.

Additionally, non-state actors, international organizations, and multinational corporations

increasingly influence foreign policy, meaning that the role of domestic politics is expanding
beyond traditional state actors. Policymakers will need to account for domestic constituencies
while navigating complex global networks, considering the impacts of policies across borders in
real time.

Thus, future foreign policy analysis must adopt a more integrated approach, recognizing that
domestic concerns—such as public opinion, economic needs, and political movements—are
inseparable from global strategies. This interconnectedness will shape the future of diplomacy,
international cooperation, and conflict resolution, as domestic and global factors continue to
influence one another in increasingly complex ways.

REFERENCES

policy? from https://education.cfr.org/learn/reading/what-relationship-between-domestic-and-

foreign-policy

York Online. (n.d.). What is foreign policy? from https://online.york.ac.uk/what-is-foreign-

policy/
Best Diplomats. (n.d.). Domestic factors that influence foreign policy.from
https://bestdiplomats.org/domestic-factors-that-influence-foreign-policy/

 U.S. National Archives. (n.d.). Vietnam War timeline: Offers a concise summary of key events
in the war and their impacts on both U.S. foreign and domestic policy. U.S. National Archives.
https://www.archives.gov/research/vietnam-war

 Bueno de Mesquita, B., & Smith, A. (2007). Domestic politics and foreign policy. Annual
Review of Political Science, 10(1), 317–343.
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.10.080605.135204