Tuqa Ammar
Tuqa Ammar
Tanta university
Business Administration Dept.
Prepared by
Tuqa Abd Al-Majeed Yassin Ammar
Under Supervision of
Prof. Dr.
2022
Abstract
The aim of this study is to test the relationship between liquidity and
profitability to determine the effect of liquidity on profitability. A purposive
sample of 30 listed companies on the Egyptian Stock Exchange was selected based
on data availability at the end of fiscal year for the period (2018-2020), Data was
analyzed using E-views software and running a Panel data regression. Results
revealed that there is a positive significant relationship between liquidity measured
by current assets and profitability measured by return on assets (ROA).
ii
Oral examination and approval committee
iii
Acknowledgement
Although this research is completed by one individual it takes the support of
many to complete the process and I acknowledge them for all the support they
have provided to me in this rewarding journey.
I deeply value and appreciate the efforts of the two members of discussion
committee, Prof. Dr. Mohamed Saad Shahen and Dr. Bassam Samir
Barouma who approved to participate in this discussion. I am sure that they
will enrich this discussion.
I also must acknowledge my family for the support they have provided for
me during this study at the expense of my companionship to which they were
entitle.
iv
Dedication
This study is wholeheartedly dedicated to my beloved parents, who
have been a source of inspiration and gave us strength when we thought
of giving up, who continually provide their moral, spiritual, emotional,
and financial support.
v
Table of contents
- Abstract ii
- Oral examination and approval committee iii
- Acknowledgement iv
- Dedication v
- List of Tables viii
- List of Appendices ix
vi
3-8. Measures of
profitability……………………………………………………...20
4-1. Research
hypothesis…………………………………………………………..22
4-2. Research variables and measures…………………………………………….22
4-3. Research population and sample selection…………………………………..22
4-4. Research Limitation………………………………………………………….23
4-5. Data collection……………………………………………………………….23
4-6. Data analysis…………………………………………………………………23
References………………………………………………………………………...29
Appendices………………………………………………………………………..33
vii
List of tables
viii
List of Appendices
ix
Chapter One
Research introduction
1-1. Background
Liquidity management is a concept that is receiving serious attention all over
the world especially with the current financial situations and the state of the world
economy. The concern of business owners and managers all over the world is to
devise a strategy of managing their day-to-day operations in order to meet their
obligations as they fall due and increase profitability and shareholder’s wealth.
Liquidity management is considered from the perspective of working capital
management as most of the indices used for measuring corporate liquidity is a
function of the components of working capital (Eljelly, 2014).
Liquidity is a precondition to ensure that firms are able to meet its short-term
obligations. The liquidity position in a company is measured based on the 'current
ratio' and the 'quick ratio'. The current ratio establishes the relationship between
current assets and current liabilities. Normally, a high current ratio is considered to
be an indicator of the firm's ability to promptly meet its short term liabilities (Berk,
2009).
Liquidity is a prerequisite for a firm as it shows its ability for meeting its
short-term obligations. Quick ratio and current ratio are considered to be the
common measures of liquidity position of a company. Current ratio sets the
association between short term assets and short term liabilities. Generally, when
current ratio is high it can be said that the firm’s ability to pay back its short term
obligations is good, whereas quick ratio sets the correlation between current
liabilities and current assets. When assets are liquid it means that they can be
converted into cash quickly without loss. Low current ratio means that a company
1
cannot pay its obligations on time to creditors, services and goods suppliers
(Owolabi, et al., 2011).
Liquidity and profitability are two very important and vital aspects of
corporate business life. No firm can survive without liquidity. A firm not making
profit may be considered as sick but, one having no liquidity may soon meet its
downfall and ultimately die. Liquidity management has thus, become a basic and
broad aspect of judging the performance of a corporate entity (Bardia 2017).
Based on the above, this study attempts to examine the impact of Liquidity
on profitability of a sample of 30 companies listed in Egyptian Stock exchange.
2
different types of measures. Number of scholars has analyzed the impact of
liquidity on profitability using traditional measures for measuring firm’s liquidity.
Some studies were consistent with each other in their findings, and some were
contradicted.
Based on the above, this research attempts to determine the relationship
between liquidity and profitability by answering this important question:
“What is the impact of liquidity on profitability of companies listed on
the Egyptian stock exchange?”
The importance of this study stems from being an update on the impact of
liquidity on profitability of a number of listed companies in the Egyptian stock
exchange, therefore it is a modest addition to the body of knowledge.
1-4.2. Practical importance
This study determines the effects of having an adequate liquidity within
companies, thus providing guidance to companies on how to employ liquid assets
effectively given the enormous problems these companies face in case of having
insufficient cash to finance their daily operations.
Liquidity management and profitability are two important concepts in every
company regardless of its business model. In order for a company to ensure that it
is a going concern sound liquidity management and profit realization are in
3
indispensable, as a result this study will be a practical framework on how to use
liquid assets efficiently to increase the profitability of companies under
investigation.
Creditors analyze liquidity ratios when deciding whether or not they should
extend credit to a company. They want to be sure that the company they lend to has
the ability to pay them back. Any hint of financial instability may disqualify a
company from obtaining loans.
For investors, they will analyze a company using liquidity ratios to ensure that
a company is financially healthy and worthy of their investment. Working capital
issues will put restraints on the rest of the business as well.
4
Chapter 2
Previous empirical studies
The importance of liquidity is not new in the literature of finance. Many
researchers have been studying liquidity and its impact on firms’ profitability using
different types of measures. Number of scholars has analyzed the impact of
liquidity on profitability using traditional measures for measuring firm’s liquidity.
Some studies were consisted with each other in their findings, and some were
contradicted.
On one hand, (Elangkumaran & Karthika, 2013; Khidmat & Rehman, 2014;
Mushtaq, et al., 2015; Saleem & Rehman, 2011) conducted their studies in
different sectors with different sample size for the purpose of finding out the
relationship between liquidity and profitability, all of them measured liquidity by
liquidity ratios whereas profitability by different measures.
5
Niresh (2012) aimed to understand the cause and effect of the relationship
between profitability and liquidity, his study showed that there is mixed (positive
and negative) relationship between the independent and dependent variables used
in the study; current ratio has negative association with net profit and return on
capital employed ratio and positive association with return on equity. Quick ratio
has a positive correlation with net profit and return on equity and has a negative
correlation with return on capital employed.
Bibi & Amjad (2017) decided to explore the relationship between liquidity
and companies’ profitability and finding out the impact of all components of
liquidity on profitability in Karachi Stock Exchange using cash gap in days and
current ratio for measuring liquidity. In their research, they showed that traditional
measures have a significant positive correlation with profitability measures
whereas modern indices of liquidity have a significant negative correlation with
profitability.
Yameen, et al., (2019) also conducted their study to investigate the impact of
liquidity on the profitability of pharmaceutical companies listed on Bombay Stock
Exchange (BSE). Data are extracted from ProwessIQ database. The analysis is
done using a balanced panel data of 82 pharmaceutical companies for the period of
10 years from 2008 to 2017. Findings reveal that current liquidity ratio and quick
ratio have a positive and significant impact on the profitability of pharmaceutical
6
companies measured by return on assets, while control variables leverage, firms’
size, and age have a negative impact on the profitability of pharmaceutical
companies. The study used recent literature to explore the gap in the existing
literature.
The study of Priya, K. & Nimalathasan, B. (2013) aimed at finding the effect
of changes in liquidity levels on profitability of manufacturing companies in Sri
Lanka. The study covered listed manufacturing companies in Sri Lanka over a
period of past 5 years from 2008 to 2012. Correlation and regression analysis were
used in the analysis and findings suggest that there is a significant relationship
exists between liquidity and profitability among the listed manufacturing
companies in Sri Lanka. Suggested that Inventory Sales Period (ISP), Current
Ratio (CR) and are significantly correlated with Return on Asset (ROA), Operating
Cash Flow Ratio (OCFR)are significantly correlated with Return on Equity (ROE)
5 percent level of significance.
Lartey, V. et al., (2013) sought to find out the relationship between the
liquidity and the profitability of banks listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange. Seven
out of the nine listed banks were involved in the study. The financial reports of the
seven listed banks were studied and relevant liquidity and profitability ratios were
computed. The trend in liquidity and profitability were determined by the use of
time series analysis. The main liquidity ratio was regressed on the profitability
ratio. It was found that for the period 2005-2010, both the liquidity and the
profitability of the listed banks were declining. Again, it was also found that there
was a very weak positive relationship between the liquidity and the profitability of
the listed banks in Ghana.
The above analysis of the previous studies revealed that findings are mixed,
that is some of studies proved that there is positive relationship and impact
8
between liquidity and profitability, while other studies concluded that there is a
negative relationship between liquidity and profitability. Other studies showed a
weak relationship between liquidity and profitability.
9
Chapter 3
Theoretical Framework
3-1. Definition of Liquidity
The liquidity of an organization is considered as most important element for
it to pay its current liabilities. It includes payment of duties and the other financial
expenses which are considered as short term. There is an inverse relationship
between profitability and liquidity ratio. If we want to increase profitability, then
we have to sacrifice liquidity. At the same time increased liquidity will be on the
cost of profitability (Rochet, 2008).
Liquidity defines the ability, and the ease with which current assets other
than cash and cash equivalent could be converted into cash. Liquid assets are
mostly current assets, which can quickly be converted to cash when the need
comes in order to meet financial and debt obligations (Okaro and Nwacoby, 2016)
This theory was developed by Harold G, Moulton in 1915. This theory states
that, for an asset to be perfectly shiftable, it must be directly transferable without
any capital loss when there is a need for liquidity. This is specifically used for
short term market investments, like treasury bills and bills of exchange which can
be directly sold whenever there is a need to raise funds by banks. But in general
12
circumstances when all banks require liquidity, the shiftability theory need all
banks to acquire such assets which can be shifted on to the central bank which is
the lender of the last resort. This theory maintains that banks could effectively
protect themselves against massive deposit withdrawals by holding, as a form of
liquidity reserve, credit instruments for which there existed a ready secondary
market. Included in this liquidity reserve were commercial paper, prime bankers
acceptances and, most importantly as it turned out, treasury bills. Under normal
conditions all these instruments met the tests of marketability because of their short
terms to maturity.
Adam Smith was among the scholars that propounded the theory of real bills
doctrine or the commercial loan theory. He propounded this theory in 1776 in his
book entitled “Wealth of Nations”. The commercial loan or the real bills doctrine
theory states that a commercial bank should forward only short-term self-
liquidating productive loans to business organizations. Loans meant to finance the
production, and evolution of goods through the successive phases of production,
storage, transportation, and distribution are considered as self-liquidating loans.
This theory also states that whenever commercial banks make short term self-
liquidating productive loans, the central bank should lend to the banks on the
security of such short-term loans. This principle assures the appropriate degree of
liquidity for each bank and appropriate money supply for the whole economy.
13
from the “static state” model of Clark. So departures between an ideally
competitive environment and actual economies yield the causes of profit.
Schumpeter identifies the single notion of innovation as paramount, so that
changes based upon innovation are the cause of profit. Gradual changes in
population and capital would easily be anticipated by the market and hence present
no opportunity for the entrepreneur.
14
issues will put restraints on the rest of the business as well. A company needs to be
able to pay its short-term bills with some leeway. Low liquidity ratios raise a red
flag, but “the higher, the better” is only true to a certain extent. At some point,
investors will question why a company’s liquidity ratios are so high. Yes, a
company with a liquidity ratio of 8.5 will be able to confidently pay its short-term
bills, but investors may deem such a ratio excessive. An abnormally high ratio
means the company holds a large amount of liquid assets.
Liquidity risk is the risk that a business will not have sufficient cash to meet
its financial commitments in a timely manner. Without proper cash flow
management and sound liquidity risk management, a business will face a liquidity
crisis and ultimately become insolvent. As businesses go about the process of
measuring and managing liquidity risk, they need to be on alert for common
sources of that risk. Those sources include:
(i) Lack of Cash Flow Management
Cash flow management gives a business good visibility into potential
liquidity challenges and opportunities. Cash is king, and cash flow is the bloodline
of all businesses. Without proper management of cash flow, a business will
increase its exposure to unnecessary liquidity risks. Moreover, a business without
healthy and well-managed cash flow will face an uphill battle to remain profitable,
secure favorable financing terms, attract potential inventors and be viable in the
long run.
(ii) Inability to Obtain Financing
16
Liquidity can be quantitatively measured by several indicators, one of them
is discussing liquidity by concerning working capital first, as working capital is
crucial in measuring liquidity. Working capital can simply means the cash one
company needs to support its daily operation.
However the most commonly used ratios to measure liquidity are current
ratio and quick ratio (Nyabate, 2015; Chinweoda, et al., 2020; Niresh, 2012):
The researcher will use the most common measures of liquidity in this
research which are current ratio and quick ratio.
Profitability has many uses, from being a performance measure for the
economic effectiveness of the facility to being a standard for making some general
18
decisions, and therefore it is a tool in the decision maker's hand to measure the
impact of indebtedness and lending on profitability. It is an important indicator of
the success of the company's business, and the main concern of all stakeholders
such as creditors, investors, owners, and management. (Gitman, & Zutter, 2012)
19
1) The amount of profit is mainly related to the amount of results and revenues
generated by sales or commercial activities practiced by the facility, so when
sales increase, profitability can increase and vice versa.
3) Tax rate imposed on profits: higher taxes mean deducting large premiums, and
this leads to a reduction in the remaining net profit
20
ROA Refers to a financial ratio that indicates how profitable a company is in
relation to its total assets. Corporate management, analysts, and investors can use
ROA to determine how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate a profit, a
higher ROA means a company is more efficient and productive at managing its
balance sheet to generate profits while a lower ROA indicates there is room for
improvement. (Belhag, N. 2017; Ebrahim, A. & Ali, S. 2020)
21
Chapter 4
Research Methodology
4-1. Research Hypothesis
Current Assets
Current ratio (CR) = Current Liabilities
Net Income
Return on assets (ROA) = Total ssets
+ Ve
Liquidity Profitability
H1
4-3. Research population and sample selection
22
4-4. Research Limitation
The data that were used in this research are return on assets (ROA) and the
liquidity measured by current ratio for 30 firms included in the sample. These data
have been obtained from the annual financial statements of firms listed in the
Egyptian stock exchange on a yearly basis.
4-6.Data analysis
To analyze the data set and test the research hypothesis, a random effect
model was used for the panel data using E-Views software to estimate the
following regression equation:
Where,
Current Assets
Liquidity ratio which is measured by Current Liabilities
23
Chapter 5
Research results
Before initiating in analyzing the research results, the researcher will use
Correlated Random effects-Hausman test to determine the right model between the
fixed and random effects model based on the following hypotheses:
Null hypothesis (H0): Random effects model is appropriate
Alternative hypothesis (HA): Fixed effects model is appropriate
Choosing the appropriate model among the 2 models will be based on this
Decision Criterion:
-Reject H0 if probability value is less than 5%,
-Accept H0 if probability value is greater than 5%.
Table (5-1)
The results of Correlated Random effects-Hausman test
Since the probability value here is 0.1073, which is greater than 5% thereby we
accept null hypothesis and conclude that the random effects model is the
appropriate model for testing research variables.
24
25
Table (5-2)
The results of random effects model using fixed assets turnover and roe
Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Weighted Statistics
Unweighted Statistics
26
These results are consistent with other studies (Owolabi et al. 2011; Khidmat,
2014; Elangkumaran & Karthika, 2013; Saleem & Rehman, 2011, Mushtaq et al.
2015), which proved a positive relationship between liquidity and profitability.
On the other hand, maintaining too big share of current assets may be
disadvantageous for the company profitability. This is especially true about the
excess cash in relation to expected expenses and this part of products or material
inventory which does not participate in the current turnover, and thus do not
contribute to generating profit and are only some kind of security for unexpected
events, such as sudden boost of demand or problems with supplies (Bolek, &
Wiliński, 2011).
27
Chapter 6
Conclusions and Recommendations
6.1. Conclusion
The results of the research showed that there is a positive relationship and a
positive effect of liquidity and companies’ profitability, measured by return on
assets. This positive and significant effect of liquidity on ROA is consistent with
the other results (Owolabi et al. 2011; Khidmat, 2014; Elangkumaran & Karthika,
2013; Saleem & Rehman, 2011, Mushtaq et al. 2015), this is because Current
assets are useful for firms to withstand and survive in a financial distress situation.
Additionally, business expansion programs require enough cash assets to maintain
day-to-day operations alongside the long-term external financing.
28
6.2. Recommendations
It would also be interesting to extend this study to other sectors taking into
account a longer period of analysis to capture a more comprehensive causal effects
of liquidity on profitability.
29
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30
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List of Appendices
Appendix (1)
Results of statistical analysis
Correlated Random effects-Hausman test
Chi-Sq.
Test Summary Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Effects Specification
34
Random effect results
Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Weighted Statistics
Unweighted Statistics
35
Appendix (2): Names of companies included in the sample
اسم الشركة رقم
مجموعة عامر جروب القابضة -1
ابن سينا فارما -2
بالم هيلز -3
اعمار مصر -4
اكرو مصر للشدات والسقاالت المعدنية -5
التوفيق للتأجير التمويلي -6
الشركة المتحدة لالسكان -7
العربية لالسمنت -8
العربية لاللمونيوم -9
العز الدخيلة للحديد والصلب -10
المنصورة للدواجن -11
النصر لتصنيع الحاصالت الزراعية -12
ام ام جروب للصناعة والتجارة العالمية -13
أي بي ام للهندسة -14
الشركة المصرية الدولية للصناعات الدوائية (ايبيكو) -15
شركة الصناعات الهندسية المعمارية لإلنشاء والتعمير (إيكون) -16
بورتو جروب -17
بيراميزا للفنادق والقري السياحية -18
ثروة كابيتال القابضة لالستثمار -19
دلتا للطباعة والتغليف -20
شركة رایة لخدمات مراكز االتصاالت -21
شركة ريكاب لالستثمارات المالية -22
شركة الكابالت الكهربائية -23
36
عبور الند للصناعات الغذائية -24
العز للسيراميك والبورسلين (الجوهرة) -25
ليسيكو مصر -26
مارسيليا المصرية الخليجية لالستثمار العقاري -27
مجموعة طلعت مصطفي -28
مدينة اإلنتاج اإلعالمي -29
مصر لالسمنت 30
37