0 ratings0% found this document useful (0 votes) 41 views18 pagesBusiness Forecasting
Note for business analysis forecast in mba for srm university in distance education
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content,
claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
Asstqoount elt |
Buctness forecasting ; |
Names Mahesh Kuma P
Rew Nez Daumsesoloard
Seamaster * Pustness Boalt es Uh
1. Compare the Ae crea vnc on Stay
Constent B¥er bese
Exomp|e ca
Coane Ape meee alee es,
Produc See ieee enrs, 20 the
SENS Cen
ae
sts ken Wy foerete Oo Eicoeen ve 3overbiwe 5 Lhe P10 clew trend.
Fer trskence, the caval of a Peper
Smack phere medel T=.) thers o> Upwo-d
fhe over +. S\ance 3
SeSenaliby AAS N
Seasonaltky ee dhe vepecbeny Pabbews
of ae aod al ae oes the Ae ee
often etectoled wtih ~ Spe foe peers
des Sud, ot ali
Soe oy
Risa)
| ae
ere ae
y, joverner?
TT time
| Seso nl
Potte-o
MM
xe
mt weeles , Peebles
Cyle
Jv
Tle
rr wth
a Scoteno| potter
TimeExample e
Mently bee Cycern seler doko reoey exbebil
gewserelbs 5 with bt Tgher Salen dion
“the Sumner enentth tend Lever cole, peng
Hue tober. tht pebtem ompeotle Coben ,
Eas \- = oft AL Component Eo sre ne
exten
Colic Pater s 2
Coyeleshe pa oe long = terre Ord ulob
potte-as disk en = . feed fee eae
Sei ray ae pecinces| 5 “speck jel weaplew
timbers
_ Exemple *
Exenemic Cyler, Such o8 ee
ond buck places of the but tnat oyele,
Com cxbehsh ents. pate e, there
fotbwn S are mee exbded toon
Storerebity and Jonck foil
Faved dem Pras
20HH Rerdemnecs (Imagelatty we Resell):
Rendennest report berlin Urpad: bil. ,
Crete, baht Beth. Talleertel nes ot
be obboheded Lette dant, sesnah,,
mr uyelte Pobhen 4, Th openly tu
Metse ee ceded Sete lee okt
Example *
Flickuclion s 20 a) Sie eee Paste. tet
Cerro be eplatoed by te wall mel
fend >» feosore thy
eee er re, cas
be constdbereal Of oe
ha rden Hm fonen be
Cateafomabse
Leng Ae en
(er)[5 ratbiple Linen Recjression 2
Melbepl Lenenv Ren euzon Erete leds
el relbed ctf atures (hele eee
Retebiihtp bebe a depdert Vasble
a
ccd rolbeple cdeperdlele well.
En sour coke, Wie ee
ts the
L Pemanbon of People fo cor boo,
pales bave pale a ae eee
Cmdepclerk vecoble a. be. Persebea.
ef Pe-ple. whe Smee aol Sthece
ot fonpla he ie oF
ieee lee
[Hawt Disense 2 BL 4B, tmlting +
aoe + Bekeny te.
Bo ts the tokerapt tere,
B,, Ba ave the con Pteutnt ouetebed
wtteh Tmo letnn Seely
€ fee ae F¢
the aoe! Flt loan meapenelen
ne Mud Peace ates toe Phe cooks
Cc Po » Py e ) Het rot ae
Sm of hepa be Acfhere
+: age hel velue of
Me de pencleck wmetotle.
gteps 6
4, i Pade ecllecion’ Xfevve aads .
Ss ioe +e note of pp
3
oa peopl call ihe, fete BS pupae (C2
| Boo bees.
| a Data A Blige :
Cop been ox pepe meng ——
[cee pables, Ro elle Fe ptm
mL bgle Lenten Pegwentin enn bcs
oe) dermal ae \ Giabe foes are
ull acliccale pits coe ppcueecwe recast
powd- Soogot Peewee debe
Wee” Blais coe|. . 6
nbecprelabien 3
r "Tet the Coopprent Cpe, pi). Be)
. tredion
ceed te break lt
cbtre coe Ppren t
EP 5 olde a
| of the cvolabtens hip. A rae
fod? ember a pesthive Pelabionsh
breqabeve roedpterd enlienber @ pegabive
peladeasle p :
_ | Brelubéon t
Pletal Disscst the overall feb gp the model
| tnttag “rabedesaenttaene CE
| delernirebton) bo ooder sheod bers =U
Ha tidepeillege Vateble eaplar
the Vartabler & the Apel veces
Wy pobhests Terbeog :
Perform bypobhests Leos op “the,
Coe ieee bs bo debermtne tf they are
SEH tan bly defperat ges Zero .
That, eae. ee eae Pople
Cais eo eons eb Hee ae ofthe a
‘Shebishe ca\ly- slat Peele. Balak eaship,ae eleee ob eee incon tho b nay es
Ape other.
Coosa
Iso Constder pobedée| confounding
tele -ongieg bie Ev
tobe 0H hs ae Aeseotas Lok are ve
fodedes\ f the cnedee: Dajte or
mddciecl evolace was Ine neecled bo
apr a
cocbiicied ¢kardled| Ceomr| tebbichce pr
2) 2 ae a ——t
Smeletng Rabe | ©.cobb Biste | o.40¢
|
beeing Robe -0-c00q | oe elle JO-%59
| @.0°Ff |©.006
coal o.iaae
| an’ i a
Ds eluents gt Sue amraemeee be
astolts etek, stgpehecost predict of
| trencls Aeeeeces ‘lees o.4of, Oe
Seles Lehecony rete cs a o babeelveeM sean eteee |
Predccbes of Leak Aescote (p- vel
es _ e-==1er
The con thank eatte malel es loabac, thes! ae
dhe CockGaian ds Lek ae
preclicled bene Sl aA. pla the inte aiies oneetees
94 cubeeter plet ff) Fone: 4 4 Seater plot Ce
tarball lenge fe ( Nogglaba” “Pant DD
Ataleplett “ata Cognit), Chom Carat),
auoplet (can eet arnaie = C Fon met
Produabnen ae
Explene’ fon 2
1. Package s
The Code cheeks Op He necestorg
Poseage 1 “gypplok 2” and “foreserk > ome
treboVled. “20 L1G th msballs “Frere
wrtog Torkel, Padeoge 0 land loose hem
| 2 eae
2 Time Serves plet Co eel ee
the mute plok cd Purckion ts red, to
pueda Lemme Serter plok et the
\canae “clate . The ' mata Porecne ber
Spec4res the mae, toble eb the aeA. Subsertes pl-+ :
-
9 subsertet plet Cemnge’) +
59 Lrkle C“Subseter plek of coredta. trot
Pedake. “) ll
this code qeoerok ¢ ow Rbserter plob Using
2 34 Col Sexier plot e) te ve eee, potterns
eatthte cock fenton . The * aqtitle "
Pindion odde SERS ete Ree
2g ok al plot 3
an Seotonplet C tanner Der
59 betle fhe seers) plet op c digs
or predusben “y
thes fe Ce ea eanis. ostanealh piel pz
\ 414 Secter plok cy). thes plek bel
Visuslize the Sesto es) patiecrs ee
die lemme SearPer .
| thew a-e ‘thea pec e uo
T ime sock protdas Bat
N\ Uzaocblhe
ee
bakkers utkhin eb. STi decmpessbion of He alebn +
_ tede:
StL weal ¢. shl Compas, s.utzndbes =" pertodte”?
Pelt Ctl. rent)
Explarckieon 2
STL. deconges
Punchior be de compare the
ibe three (EP Components ;
Aro > Remate dex or Paced al ) ;
sheon Code Usecthe able’
leme cerfe+ eta
\ y
G Comme )
eoseals
ib <- stlC Canget » sustodovs = pefalee”)
4. dns gee ees to net
olbws the Rootonch Componer Cee eee
pogine. aincae tnpocbest tohen
worth debe Lot alebebs Chonan
bE wes
aderk ©
dlealiog
oder cna pattere ¢ ;
Plet (stl-reenll’)
the plobt cmekion t Oret to
Visualize the clecompe ieee Com poner
Porels (2
Te} a
rd ie ie ertatonl heme sextet dela.
The trend Component eel bs cf
Bottom - The < \ nn
Le.
*Code’
gas eplbe sak Cesonnc)
44 Decomposition
SEATS DECoMpositioN
440._cresul “<- clecompose Ceaneyon)
Pleb-Cinaks-onaght)
Plot Cxa4_verth)
SEATS DECompe sition ©
ihe, @s\eicnee: he eeee a Cen ane
Perform o Ose aaial Ahccompeit ton abi. hfroe Sexted
Usera, He Seats C stqnel Exbedios fo ARIMA
arias Se=tes ere heene en eeueoet er iis
Pow bt eulerly vsefel fee hardleg tine
| Sertet Aoka utth Complex feateroleby ond
tr regulon Con ponents
X41 DP Econ
SITIONS
the > dleccmpaell Oy ulroa, bs eeed 2,
loot fe Ale Compost ton sp the: Lime cePer
tobe bs Componerbs oseog fre X14
eae eee fsx Ken Ecce eee =f
dime Seles decesposckion, ood ob's Port
of +t. Lese GRE speeecereree5. Complre. heostve Crevatie that tovelver
Varfout tome Sertet canaligsbs steps €
A. Caleulete Aremge eae of a Neght’s
Recemodeters
heme Serer objeck
Jotel merbbly lesen s
oceuptah » You can
Assumton You here
ke deta vosth the
mod Ipbe\ aoe n Palle
Colewlake MWe areege cok pec oftaht :
Avecge-cosk- per_ptght <- re ee
[, “Tetel month, Taletog 5] | ts-dobe Cl,
Tete Roors pigs oeeepied I
B. exktmnbe rcthly ep esing epénel &
t ecbencbe. <-epfoncl Che dates Bp“)
cpr
C. Teme seer plobs =
Libory Cagp lo)
Hoologaed heme Sertew es plet
ag plc Ch-deba pores (x= bee (te-date),
Ve betel rmadtily polesng)) + goer —LencU) +
labs (hebles "tobel Honbly TerleingH Leg tronsfocmed teme Sefer plot
-dobe
lok ( ts -data, at (x2 bewe (ts dale),
“ _ Jog ( toto! Menkbl, toleings))) + Geen leoe Uy
\e (bbe a Log. bran ¢berrmed Lal
lo Sally “Tosteson”)
as Reeyreti ton pred 6 CU RARIITA: Pi oe
every Chern cbcb)
goede | 2- auke. artma Lleg LLe-dobe, it
L, “ tebel Deobhly takcng WD) pina = be-dake E, cpl)
coe iene)
Thte tede veer tHe auberarema Puncktan
Geo the foe crk prlag te aclemdinth
Selek Prima model Boal Seaee 1-
brostemed Lobel monthly teleeng ehh
CPL ase Regrenee.
Eo Res ceabe al aie ee eeicmaam
fore cosb- hes seo <-12 i
fine tasty - Cpt sified mma. A.
Bape ID we fore Cos hont zen)
Poe cork log-beleres <-frecet Creda,
Xv ey= focceh- cet Fmenn, bo freeads hatser)
Porecos — prtce —fece Yoon f. oe c
few coct leg —toles :