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Forecasting FS - 1

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abaynehgedion
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
35 views14 pages

Forecasting FS - 1

handout

Uploaded by

abaynehgedion
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Timeline Values Forecast Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound

2020 252,030
3,500,000
2021 299,700
2022 369,400 3,000,000
2023 1,389,218
2024 1,598,565 2,500,000
2025 1,755,532 1,755,532 1,755,532 1,755,532
2,000,000
2026 2,291,454 1,718,833 2,864,075
2027 2,666,860 2,076,477 3,257,243
1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
2020
3,500,000

3,000,000

2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Values Forecast
Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
Timeline Values Forecast Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
2020 252,030
2021 299,700
2022 369,400
2023 1,389,218 3,500,000
2024 1,598,565
2025 1,755,532 3,000,000
2026 1,844,960
2,500,000
2027 1,974,012 1,974,012 1,974,012 1,974,012
2028 2,548,109 2,064,596 2,000,000 3,031,622
2029 2,835,014 2,351,499 3,318,529
1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Values
Lower Confidence Bound
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Values Forecast
Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
Mohamed Company
Income Statement Forecating and pro
December 31 2022
Income Statement 2020 2021
Total Revenue 1,040,530 1,266,500
Cost of Goods Sold 788,500 966,800
Gross Profit 252,030 299,700

Depreciation and Amortization 67,550 84,900


General and Administrative Expense 84,149 96,180
Other Expenses 17,150 17,236
Total operating Expense 168,849 198,316

EBIT 83,181 101,384


Interest Expense - -
EBIT 83,181 101,384
Taxes 26,617.92 32,442.88
Net Income 56,563.08 68,941.12

Metrics and Assumptions


revenue Growth 22%
Gross Profit Margin 24.22% 23.66%
Dep and Amort 6.49% 6.70%
G&A(%of Sales 8.09% 7.59%
Tax rate 32% 32%
Mohamed Company
ement Forecating and projection
December 31 2022
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
1,516,000 1,829,939.18 2,104,430.05 2,314,873.06 2,430,616.71 2,600,759.88
1,146,600 440,720.75 505,864.97 559,340.89 585,656.44 626,748.37
369,400 1,389,218 1,598,565 1,755,532 1,844,960 1,974,012

98,450 120,101.72 138,616.92 151,578.87 159,595.15 170,791.80


118,030 120,101.72 138,616.92 151,578.87 159,595.15 170,791.80
17,688 17,688 17,688 17,688 17,688 17,688
234,168 257,891 294,922 320,846 336,878 359,272

135,232 1,131,327 1,303,643 1,434,686 1,508,082 1,614,740


- - - - - -
135,232 1,131,327 1,303,643 1,434,686 1,508,082 1,614,740
43,274.24 362,024.64 417,165.84 459,099.66 482,586.23 516,716.77
91,957.76 769,302.35 886,477.41 975,586.78 1,025,495.74 1,098,023.15 64%

20% 21% 15% 10% 5% 7%


24.37% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
6.49% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
7.79% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32%
2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Revenue Projection
2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Row 8 Row 9
Mohamed Company
Income Statement Forecating and proje
December 31 2022
Income Statement 2020 2021
Total Revenue 1,040,530 1,266,500
Cost of Goods Sold 788,500 966,800
Gross Profit 252,030 299,700

Depreciation and Amortization 67,550 84,900


General and Administrative Expense 84,149 96,180
Other Expenses 17,150 17,236
Total operating Expense 168,849 198,316

EBIT 83,181 101,384


Interest Expense - -
EBIT 83,181 101,384
Taxes 26,617.92 32,442.88
Net Income 56,563.08 68,941.12

Metrics and Assumptions


revenue Growth 22%
Cost of Goods Solds 76% 76%
Gross Profit Margin 24.22% 23.66%
Dep and Amort(% Sales) 6.49% 6.70%
G&A(%of Sales 8.09% 7.59%
Tax rate 32% 32%
Mohamed Company
ement Forecating and projection
December 31 2022
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
1,516,000 1,829,939.18 2,104,430.05 2,314,873.06 2,430,616.71 2,600,759.88
1,146,600 1,389,218.43 1,262,658.03 1,620,411.14 1,628,513.20 1,976,577.51
369,400 440,721 841,772 694,462 802,104 624,182

98,450 120,101.72 138,616.92 151,578.87 159,595.15 170,791.80


118,030 143,143.37 162,757.18 180,112.16 189,077.49 201,937.46
17,688 17,688 17,688 17,688 17,688 17,688
234,168 280,933 319,062 349,379 366,361 390,417

135,232 159,788 522,710 345,083 435,743 233,765


-
135,232 159,788 522,710 345,083 435,743 233,765
43,274.24 51,132.05 167,267.18 110,426.52 139,437.72 74,804.84
91,957.76 108,655.61 355,442.75 234,656.37 296,305.15 158,960.28 12%

452 3%

20% 21% 15% 10% 5% 7%


76% 76% 60% 70% 67% 76%
24.37% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
6.49% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
7.79% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
32% 32% 32% 32% 32% Gross32%
Profit
900,000
800,000
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
-
1 2 3 4 5
2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000

Revenue Growth
1,000,000
3,000,000.00

500,000 2,500,000.00

2,000,000.00
-
1 2 3 4 5
1,500,000.00 6 7 8

1,000,000.00

500,000.00

-
Revenue Projection
1 2 3 4 5

2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000
ofit
1,000,000

500,000

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Row 8 Row 9

3 4 5
wth

4 5
Mohamed Company
Income Statement Forecating and projection
December 31 2022
Income Statement 2020 2021 2022
Total Revenue 1,040,530 1,266,500 1,516,000
Cost of Goods Sold 788,500 966,800 1,146,600
Gross Profit 252,030 299,700 369,400

Depreciation and Amortization 67,550 84,900 98,450


General and Administrative Expense 84,149 96,180 118,030
Other Expenses 17,150 17,236 17,688
Total operating Expense 168,849 198,316 234,168

EBIT 83,181 101,384 135,232


Interest Expense - - -
EBT 83,181 101,384 135,232
Taxes 24,954.30 30,415.20 40,569.60
Net Income(Loss) 58,226.70 70,968.80 94,662.40

Metrics and Assumptions


revenue Growth 22% 20%
Gross Profit Margin(%of Sales) 24.22% 23.66% 24.37%
Dep and Amort(%of Sales) 6.49% 6.70% 6.49%
G&A(%of Sales) 8.09% 7.59% 7.79%
Tax rate 30% 30% 30%
CGS(% of Sales) 76% 76% 76%
pany
ng and projection
2022
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
1,829,939 2,104,430 2,356,962 2,828,354 3,111,189
1,097,963.51 1,262,658.03 1,414,177.00 1,697,012.39 1,866,713.63
393,644 419,573 447,047 476,400 507,686

120,101.72 138,616.92 154,334.85 185,710.72 204,311.68


85,886.02 97,654.31 110,032.15 132,010.47 144,942.03
118,093.29 125,871.99 134,114.14 142,920.12 152,305.68
324,081.03 362,143.21 398,481.14 460,641.31 501,559.39

69,563.26 57,430.08 48,565.98 15,759.08 6,126.20


- - - - Sales reveNUE
-
69,563.26 57,430.08 48,565.98 15,759.08 6,126.20
20,868.98 17,229.02 14,569.79 4,727.72 1,837.86 1,82
3,111,189 9,93
48,694.28 40,201.05 33,996.19 11,031.36 4,288.34 9

2,104,430

2,356,962
21% 15% 12% 20% 2,828,354 10%
24.08% 24.04% 24.16% 24.09% 24.10%
6.56% 6.59% 6.55% 6.57% 6.57%
7.82% 7.73% 7.78% 7.78% 7.76%
30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
1,82
9,93
9

2,104,430

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