Sensitivity analysis
$ in thousands, except per share data
Income Statement
Actual
Year 2025
Date 12/31/2020
Revenue 123,231
Cost of goods sold 67,543
Selling, general & administrative expenses 12,865
Operating profit 42,823
Interest expense, net 6,200
Pretax profit 36,623
Tax expense 10,947
Net income 25,676
Weighted average basic shares outstanding 1,298
Weighted average diluted shares outstandi 1,345
Basic earnings per share $ 19.78
Diluted earnings per share $ 19.09
Revenue growth
Gross profit margin 45%
SG&A as % of revenue 10%
Tax rate 30%
Data Tables
Display 2026 Diluted EPS based on the following range of revenu
$ 21.11
2026 Revenue 21.0%
growth rate 18.0%
ranges -> 15.0%
12.0%
9.0%
Data Table instructions
Data Table Set Up
The output variable goes in the top left corner of the data table
The output variable is referenced from the model
The input variables (in this case revenue growth rate and gross pro
Unlike the output variable, the input variables must not be refere
Running the Data Table
Highlight the data table - in this example cell range D38:I43
With the data table highlighted, under the Data section in the ribbo
A prompt will appear asking for the row input cell and the column
In this case, the first forecast year gross profit (E29) is the row inp
Hit Ok
You will see the Data Table populate. Depending on your Excel s
Projected annual forecast
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025
141,716 162,973 187,419 196,790 206,629
82,195 96,154 112,451 118,074 123,978
12,754 14,668 16,868 17,711 18,597
46,766 52,151 58,100 61,005 64,055
6,200 6,200 6,200 6,200 6,200
40,566 45,951 51,900 54,805 57,855
12,170 13,785 15,570 16,441 17,357
28,396 32,166 36,330 38,363 40,499
1,298 1,298 1,298 1,298 1,298
1,345 1,345 1,345 1,345 1,345
$ 21.88 $ 24.78 $ 27.99 $ 29.56 $ 31.20
$ 21.11 $ 23.92 $ 27.01 $ 28.52 $ 30.11
15% 15% 15% 5% 5%
42% 41% 40% 40% 40%
9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
g range of revenue growth rate and gross profit margin assumptions:
2026 Gross profit margin ranges
34.0% 38.0% 42.0% 46.0% 50.0%
f the data table
ate and gross profit margin ranges) are placed below and to the right of the o
ust not be referenced from the model
ge D38:I43
ection in the ribbon, select What-if analysis and choose Data Table... from t
ll and the column input cell.
29) is the row input cell and the first forecast year's revenue growth rate (E28
g on your Excel settings, you will likely see it populated with the same numbe
ptions:
e right of the output variable.
Table... from the drop down (Shortcut Alt d t)
owth rate (E28) is the column input cell.
he same number (the output variable) throughout. In this case, hit F9 to man
hit F9 to manually calculate the table.