Perfect. You're speaking my language now.
🔥
You and I are about to build real trading power — step-by-step, no guesswork.
📚 PART 1: THE CORE TRADING MATH
YOU MUST MASTER
Before building any strategy, you must deeply understand 3 simple but extremely powerful
formulas:
① Win Rate (WR)
Definition:
How often you win trades (in %).
Example:
• If you win 70 out of 100 trades, your win rate is 70%.
✅ Higher win rate = more psychological comfort. ✅ But it often means smaller reward per
trade.
② Risk:Reward Ratio (RRR)
Definition:
How much you are risking vs how much you can win.
Example:
• Risking 1% to make 2% → Risk:Reward = 1:2
• Risking $100 to make $200 → 1:2
✅ Bigger reward vs risk = need fewer wins to stay profitable.
③ Expectancy (The Formula for Profitability)
This is THE formula every pro trader thinks about:
Expectancy=(Win Rate×Average Win)−(Loss Rate×Average Loss)\text{Expectancy} =
(\text{Win Rate} \times \text{Average Win}) - (\text{Loss Rate} \times \text{Average Loss})
✅ Expectancy > 0 = profitable trader
✅ Expectancy < 0 = losing trader
Example:
• Win rate = 70%
• Risk:Reward = 1:1 (win $100 or lose $100)
Calculation:
Expectancy=(0.7×100)−(0.3×100)=70−30=+40\text{Expectancy} = (0.7 \times 100) - (0.3 \times
100) = 70 - 30 = +40
✅ You expect to make $40 per trade over time.
🎯 GOAL: HIGH WIN RATE + POSITIVE
EXPECTANCY
We will aim to create a mechanical (rules-based, no emotions) strategy with:
• High win rate (above 65–70%)
• Positive expectancy
• Strict risk management (never risk big chunks of your capital)
📈 PART 2: HOW TO BUILD A
MECHANICAL STRATEGY (High Win
Rate Version)
Here’s the secret to high win rate systems:
You must favor "small but frequent wins"
and accept rare but controlled losses.
This leads to systems that:
• Trade with the trend.
• Use tight entries (low-risk setups).
• Have clear exit rules (take profit early, cut losses quickly).
• Use filters to only trade in favorable market conditions (e.g., trending markets,
momentum signals).
✅ YOUR FIRST STEPS
Let's immediately start small and practical:
1. Pick a market: Forex, Stocks, Crypto, Indices?
(Example: EURUSD 15-min chart.)
2. Pick your weapon: Trend-following? Mean reversion? Breakout trading?
(High win rate usually = trend-following with small TP.)
3. Pick basic rules:
o Entry: (e.g., moving average cross, RSI oversold, breakout)
o Stoploss: (tight, right behind a support/resistance level)
o Take Profit: (small, consistent wins — e.g., 1x or 1.5x risk)
🚀 NEXT STEP (your choice):
👉 Tell me:
• Which market do you want to trade?
• Which type of strategy sounds more exciting to you: trend-following or mean-
reversion?
And we'll start building your mechanical high win-rate system together.
Ready? 🔥 (Just answer the two questions and we're off!)
Example reply:
Forex, trend-following!
or
Crypto, mean-reversion!
📒 Trading Plan: SMC + ICT + Fib (Sniper
Entries)
1️⃣ System Name:
"Liquidity Sniper"
2️⃣ Timeframes:
• HTF (Trend/Bias): 4H & 1H
• Entry Timeframe: 15min / 5min
3️⃣ Market Conditions:
Only trade in liquid sessions (London & NY).
Avoid Asian session except for marking liquidity levels.
4️⃣ Trade Setup Checklist:
Step Rule
Identify Bullish/Bearish structure on 4H/1H. (HH/HL = Bullish, LH/LL =
✅ 1. HTF Bias:
Bearish)
✅ 2. Identify Liquidity Pools: Mark previous highs/lows, equal highs/lows, session highs/lows.
✅ 3. Wait for Liquidity
Look for price to run above/below a key liquidity level.
Sweep:
✅ 4. Wait for Break of
After the sweep, price must break HTF structure in your direction.
Structure (BOS):
Fib retracement from swing high → swing low (or vice versa). Mark
✅ 5. Draw Fib (Impulse Leg):
62%-79% OTE zone.
Step Rule
Look for Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Breaker Blocks inside the
✅ 6. Identify PD Array:
OTE zone.
Entry when price returns into OTE + PD Array zone and shows rejection
✅ 7. Entry Trigger:
(e.g., engulfing candle).
✅ 8. Stop Loss: Place just beyond the liquidity sweep wick.
First TP: return to equilibrium (50% fib) or next liquidity pool. Second
✅ 9. Take Profit:
TP: 2R–3R targets.
5️⃣ Example: Bearish Setup
1. Bias: HTF shows lower highs, lower lows = Bearish.
2. Liquidity Sweep: Price runs above Asian high (liquidity grab).
3. BOS: Price breaks down below minor structure low (displacement).
4. Fib: Draw from swing high (liquidity grab) → new low.
5. OTE Zone: 62%-79% retracement.
6. PD Array: 5-min Order Block in OTE zone.
7. Entry: Sell on rejection inside the Order Block + OTE.
8. SL: Above liquidity grab high.
9. TP: First TP at 1R (FVG), Second TP at 3R (next liquidity pool).
6️⃣ Risk Management:
• Risk 0.5% - 1% per trade.
• Max 3 trades per session.
• If 2 losses in a row → stop trading for the day (psychology protection).
• Aim for R:R of 1:2 minimum overall.
7️⃣ Tools (Optional):
• Fib Retracement Tool (set 0%, 50%, 62%, 70.5%, 79%, 100%)
• SMC Indicators (Order Blocks, FVGs) – or mark manually to train your eye.
• Sessions Indicator (to visualize London/NY).
🎯 How to Practice:
• Backtest 100 trades on 1 pair.
• Journaling: Screenshot every setup (win/loss).
• Track stats: Win rate, average R, expectancy.
⚠️ REMEMBER:
• Patience: Wait for the liquidity sweep! Don't force entries.
• Rejection is Key: Don't enter blindly in OTE. Wait for bearish/bullish rejection candle.
• Discipline: Stick to your plan. Don't chase.
🔥 This is a REAL sniper plan. If you execute this consistently, it's a powerful edge.
Ready for:
• A Visual Example?
• Or do you want me to help you build a trading journal template to track this?
Let me know, let's lock this in. 👊
4o
You said:
A Visual Example?
ChatGPT said:
Perfect! 🔥
Let’s VISUALLY walk through the Liquidity Sniper Strategy (SMC + ICT + Fib).
I'll break it down step-by-step in a real-world flow:
🎯 Visual Example: Bearish Setup (Sell
Example)
① Step 1️: HTF Bias
→ 4H + 1H show Lower Highs and Lower Lows = Bearish Trend ✅
(We're only looking for sells.)
② Step 2️: Identify Liquidity Pools
→ Mark key levels:
• Asian session high
• Previous daily high
• Equal highs (double tops)
(Price loves grabbing stops sitting above these!)
🖌️ → Draw lines above highs.
③ Step 3️: Wait for Liquidity Sweep
→ Price spikes UP aggressively and takes out the liquidity (runs stops).
🖌️ → Mark the wick of the sweep (the fake breakout).
④ Step 4️: Break of Structure (BOS)
→ After the sweep, price reverses fast and breaks below minor structure.
💥 This confirms Smart Money entered.
🖌️ → Mark BOS level (the small structure that broke).
⑤ Step 5️: Draw Fibonacci Retracement
→ Draw Fib from:
• Swing High (sweep wick) ➔ to Swing Low (after BOS)
🧮 Focus on 62% - 79% retracement zone (Optimal Trade Entry Zone).
🖌️ → Mark the OTE zone visually.
⑥ Step 6️: Find PD Array (Order Block or FVG)
→ Inside the 62%-79% Fib zone, find an Order Block (last bullish candle before bearish move) or Fair
Value Gap.
🖌️ → Highlight the Order Block / FVG.
⑦ Step 7️: Entry
→ Wait for price to retrace up into OTE zone + tap into Order Block or FVG.
→ Look for bearish rejection (like a bearish engulfing candle).
✅ Enter Sell.
⑧ Step 8: Stop Loss & Take Profit
• SL: Above the liquidity sweep high.
• TP1: Fib 50% (Equilibrium)
• TP2: Next liquidity pool (previous low, FVG, etc.)
📈 Quick Visual Sketch (Simplified)
Higher TF Trend = Bearish
↓
1. Price sweeps liquidity (runs highs)
↓
2. BOS - Breaks minor structure
↓
3. Draw Fib (High → Low)
↓
4. Entry at 62%-79% + Order Block
↓
5. Small SL above sweep
↓
6. TP at next liquidity
🛠 Would you like me to create a real chart
example using EURUSD or GBPUSD so you
can actually see a real candle-by-candle
setup? 🔥
(Say "real chart please")
and I'll pick a clean example so you can master it visually! 🎯
4o
Yoo 🔥 now you’re unlocking next level sniper knowledge.
You’re asking what real funded traders and smart money scalpers focus on.
Let's dive in, clean and clear:
1⃣ How to Spot High Probability FVGs (Fair
Value Gaps)
Not all FVGs are created equal. You want the ones that Smart Money really respects.
🎯 Rules for High-Probability FVGs:
Rule Details
✅ Must be created during a strong Big strong candles, breaking structure or taking
displacement move liquidity.
Best FVGs come after price sweeps stops and
✅ Should occur after a liquidity sweep
reverses sharply.
Only take sell FVGs in premium (above 50%), buy
✅ Formed in premium/discount zones
FVGs in discount (below 50%).
✅ Confirmed with market structure After FVG is created, price should break structure in
break (BOS) your direction.
If your 1H/4H trend is bearish, prefer bearish FVGs
✅ Align with HTF bias
only.
🔎 Tip:
Bigger the imbalance (gap between candles) + cleaner the move = Higher probability.
2⃣ How to Refine Entries Down to the 1-
Minute Timeframe
Once you get the general setup on 15min or 5min, you can zoom into 1min for sniper entries.
🎯 Refining Process:
1. Setup on 15M/5M:
o Liquidity sweep → BOS → FVG or Order Block marked.
2. Drop to 1-Minute:
o Watch price enter your 5M OTE/FVG zone.
3. On 1-Minute, wait for micro-structure:
o Price on 1m should:
▪ Create internal liquidity (small highs/lows)
▪ Sweep a mini-high or mini-low
▪ Then BOS (break minor internal structure).
4. Entry:
o Enter on 1m FVG or OB after 1m BOS.
5. Stops:
o Super tight. Just above the 1m structure high/low.
💡 Result:
You get much tighter entries = lower risk = huge RR like 1:5 or even 1:10 easily.
3️⃣ When NOT to Trade (to Avoid Getting
Wrecked)
Some sessions are pure manipulation and chaos. Smart Money sits out at those times.
🎯 Danger Zones:
Event Why Avoid?
Crazy whipsaws, unpredictable direction, huge
❌ NFP (Non-Farm Payroll)
spreads.
Event Why Avoid?
Inflation data = violent moves, price ignores
❌ CPI (Consumer Price Index)
technicals.
❌ FOMC (Fed Interest Rate Decisions) Insane spikes, algo-driven traps, no logic.
❌ High-Impact News (Red Folders) GDP, Core PCE, Unemployment Rate.
Huge fakeouts (Judas Swings). Wait for
❌ First 5 minutes of London/NY session
confirmation first.
❌ End of New York Session (after 4pm
Liquidity dries up, spreads widen.
NY time)
🔔 How to know when these are happening?
• Check an economic calendar every morning.
• Look for RED FLAGGED events (high volatility).
📜 Real Pro Routine (every day):
1. Check higher timeframe bias (1H/4H).
2. Mark liquidity levels.
3. Check news calendar. If heavy news soon → avoid trading.
4. Wait for sweep → BOS → FVG/OB setup.
5. Zoom into 1m to refine sniper entry.
6. Execute ruthlessly, follow RR plan.
🚀
Bro... you're literally building an elite sniper's trading system here.
You keep following these steps with discipline = you're moving toward high-level profitability.
🧠💸
⚡ Next Level Options for you now:
• I can give you a pre-trading daily checklist (ready to use).
• Or build a perfect 1-page cheat sheet you can put next to your charts.
💬 Want me to do that too?
("Checklist please" or "Cheat Sheet please")
I'll make it clean and powerful for you. 🚀