3-Quarter
Net revenue from Exponential Moving
Sr. no Period operations Smoothening Average
5,799.44
1 Dec-19 5,799.44 5,799.44
2 Mar-20 6,063.40 5,984.21
3 Jun-20 5,835.23 5,879.92
4 Sep-20 6,377.91 6,228.51 5,899.36
5 Dec-20 6,353.13 6,315.75 6,092.18
6 Mar-21 5,991.68 6,088.90 6,188.76
7 Jun-21 5,691.85 5,810.96 6,240.91
8 Sep-21 5,889.93 5,866.24 6,012.22
9 Dec-21 5,989.43 5,952.47 5,857.82
10 Mar-22 5,795.34 5,842.48 5,857.07
11 Jun-22 6,176.84 6,076.53 5,891.57
12 Sep-22 5,673.65 5,794.51 5,987.20
13 Dec-22 6,387.97 6,209.93 5,881.94
14 Mar-23 6,378.67 6,328.05 6,079.49
15 Jun-23 6,790.64 6,651.86 6,146.76
16 Sep-23 7,150.71 7,001.06 6,519.09
17 Dec-23 7,271.23 7,190.18 6,773.34
18 Mar-24 7,580.15 7,463.16 7,070.86
19 Jun-24 7,567.02 7,535.86 7,334.03
20 Sep-24 7,646.21 7,613.11 7,472.80
21 Dec-24 7376.83663157895 7,613.11 7,597.79
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.80056311632
R Square 0.64090130322
Adjusted R Squa 0.62095137562
Standard Error 414.466309324
Observations 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 5518592.1458985 5518592.146 32.1254952
Residual 18 3092081.7881565 171782.3216
Total 19 8610673.934055
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept -38143.6224809 7863.0460958837 -4.8509982 0.00012831
X Variable 1 0.99768386887 0.1760224392434 5.667935708 2.2404E-05
Significance F
2.24038E-05
Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-54663.2693 -21623.9756 -54663.269 -21623.9756
0.627874447 1.367493291 0.62787445 1.367493291
Sr. no Period Net revenue from Exponential 3-Quarter
operations Smoothening Moving
Average
8,038.65
1 Dec-19 8,038.65 8,038.65
2 Mar-20 8,078.03 8,066.22
3 Jun-20 7,467.19 7,646.90
4 Sep-20 8,458.77 8,215.21 7,861.29
5 Dec-20 8,781.84 8,611.85 8,001.33
6 Mar-21 8,431.38 8,485.52 8,235.93
7 Jun-21 9,669.43 9,314.26 8,557.33
8 Sep-21 9,625.93 9,532.43 8,960.88
9 Dec-21 9,814.17 9,729.65 9,242.25
10 Mar-22 9,386.08 9,489.15 9,703.18
11 Jun-22 10,643.97 10,297.52 9,608.73
12 Sep-22 10,952.28 10,755.85 9,948.07
13 Dec-22 11100.14 10,996.85 10,327.44
14 Mar-23 10,725.57 10,806.96 10,898.80
15 Jun-23 11,785.15 11,491.69 10,926.00
16 Sep-23 12192.41 11,982.19 11,203.62
17 Dec-23 12,156.86 12,104.46 11,567.71
18 Mar-24 11982.9 12,019.37 12,044.81
19 Jun-24 12,652.75 12,462.74 12,110.72
20 Sep-24 13,291.39 13,042.79 12,264.17
21 Dec-24 13265.846368421 13,042.79 12,642.35
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.976727686
R Square 0.953996972
Adjusted R Squa 0.951441248
Standard Error 381.9175011
Observations 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 54446780.28 54446780.28 373.2785914 1.748E-13
Residual 18 2625497.598 145860.9777
Total 19 57072277.88
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept -129715.526 7245.546498 -17.90279396 6.460062E-13 -144937.85
X Variable 1 3.133754008 0.162199071 19.32041903 1.747985E-13 2.79298641
nificance F
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-114493.2 -144937.854 -114493.19772
3.47452161 2.79298641 3.47452161065
Sr. no Period Net revenue f Exponential
Smoothening
4,234.55
1 Dec-19 4,234.55 4,234.55
2 Mar-20 4,301.60 4,281.49
3 Jun-20 4,276.89 4,278.27
4 Sep-20 4,972.58 4,764.29
5 Dec-20 5,154.17 5,037.20
6 Mar-21 4,584.88 4,720.58
7 Jun-21 5,470.72 5,245.68
8 Sep-21 5,485.84 5,413.79
9 Dec-21 5,478.86 5,459.34
10 Mar-22 5,223.94 5,294.56
11 Jun-22 5,317.87 5,310.88
12 Sep-22 5,759.28 5,624.76
13 Dec-22 5,730.08 5,698.48
14 Mar-23 5,665.95 5,675.71
15 Jun-23 6,269.38 6,091.28
16 Sep-23 6,589.22 6,439.84
17 Dec-23 6,603.81 6,554.62
18 Mar-24 6,082.37 6,224.04
19 Jun-24 6,624.86 6,504.62
20 Sep-24 6,961.22 6,824.24
21 Dec-24 6913.55657895 6,886.76
3-Quarter Moving
Average
4,271.01
4,517.02
4,801.21
4,903.88
5,069.92
5,180.48
5,478.47
5,396.21
5,340.22
5,433.70
5,602.41
5,718.44
5,888.47
6,174.85
6,487.47
6,425.13
6,437.01
6,556.15
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9999993733506
R Square 0.9999987467015
Adjusted R Square 0.9999986770738
Standard Error 0.6213615900294
Observations 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 5545060 5545060 14362083.35
Residual 18 6.94962406 0.386090226
Total 19 5545066.95
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept 43708.827067669 0.30997922 141005.6687 7.576511E-83
X Variable 1 91.315037593985 0.02409537 3789.733942 1.415031E-54
Significance F
1.415030951E-54
Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
43708.175825496 43709.4783 43708.17583 43709.4783
91.264415102267 91.3656601 91.2644151 91.3656601
Sr. no Period Net revenue 3-Quarter
Exponential Moving
Smoothening Average
501.30
1 Dec-19 501.30 501.30
2 Mar-20 482.40 488.07
3 Jun-20 520.70 510.91
4 Sep-20 560.00 545.27 501.47
5 Dec-20 456.10 482.85 521.03
6 Mar-21 491.60 488.98 512.27
7 Jun-21 382.70 414.58 502.57
8 Sep-21 364.80 379.73 443.47
9 Dec-21 473.00 445.02 413.03
10 Mar-22 517.70 495.90 406.83
11 Jun-22 441.70 457.96 451.83
12 Sep-22 489.50 480.04 477.47
13 Dec-22 555.00 532.51 482.97
14 Mar-23 506.70 514.44 495.40
15 Jun-23 513.20 513.57 517.07
16 Sep-23 518.70 517.16 524.97
17 Dec-23 562.80 549.11 512.87
18 Mar-24 532.60 537.55 531.57
19 Jun-24 510.60 518.69 538.03
20 Sep-24 525.40 523.39 535.33
21 Dec-24 525.5436842 524.90 522.87
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.382303380125
R Square 0.146155874455
Adjusted R Sq 0.098720089702
Standard Erro 49.996940318
Observations 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 7701.88519831 7701.88519831 3.081131159
Residual 18 44994.4927409 2499.69404116
Total 19 52696.3779392
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept -1171.57407324 950.385868483 -1.23273515746 0.233533207
X Variable 1 0.037268775462 0.02123195722 1.75531511674 0.09620949
Significance F
0.096209489510757
Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-3168.26069106541 825.1125445948 -3168.26069107 825.112544595
-0.00733791141385 0.081875462337 -0.00733791141 0.08187546234
Sr. no Period 3-Quarter
Exponential
Net revenue from operations Smoothening Moving
Average
2,664.09
1 Dec-19 2,664.09 2,664.09
2 Mar-20 2,439.12 2,506.61
3 Jun-20 2,695.08 2,638.54
4 Sep-20 2,990.07 2,884.61 2,599.43
5 Dec-20 2,779.10 2,810.75 2,708.09
6 Mar-21 2,515.96 2,604.40 2,821.42
7 Jun-21 3,314.12 3,101.20 2,761.71
8 Sep-21 2,798.76 2,889.49 2,869.73
9 Dec-21 2,663.20 2,731.09 2,876.28
10 Mar-22 2,503.67 2,571.90 2,925.36
11 Jun-22 2,684.19 2,650.50 2,655.21
12 Sep-22 2,828.96 2,775.42 2,617.02
13 Dec-22 2,861.11 2,835.40 2,672.27
14 Mar-23 2,744.56 2,771.81 2,791.42
15 Jun-23 3,495.64 3,278.49 2,811.54
16 Sep-23 3,560.23 3,475.71 3,033.77
17 Dec-23 4,115.75 3,923.74 3,266.81
18 Mar-24 3,331.72 3,509.33 3,723.87
19 Jun-24 4,084.00 3,911.60 3,669.23
20 Sep-24 3,931.73 3,925.69 3,843.82
21 Dec-24 3765.66147368421 3,813.67 3,782.48
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.754664
R Square 0.569518
Adjusted R 0.545602
Standard E 360.1511
Observatio 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 3088830 3088830 23.81356 0.00012
Residual 18 2334759 129708.8
Total 19 5423589
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 2334.445 167.3015 13.95352 4.296E-11 1982.957 2685.932 1982.957 2685.932
X Variable 68.15319 13.96606 4.879914 0.00012 38.81158 97.4948 38.81158 97.4948
