Population Studies Notes.
Population Studies Notes.
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Population distribution and d
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Population Ordinary level studies outline
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Population and land
Population health
Killer diseases in the tropics
Notes
Enables government to plan like schools to build, when and where, to decide on population policy (pro-natal or anti-natal) to make financial
budget decisions, employment creation as well as planning for health delivery
Town planners need to have population data to help them structure the town
For environmentalist population numbers, habits and activities help to predict, monitor and control environmental impacts
Other groups of people interested in population data include demographers, geographers, political parties, NGO and businesses
To determine demand for goods and services
Sample surveys
Secondary sources (church / school registers
Population census
A census is an official and complete enumeration ( counting) of the entire population with much details as to age, sex, employment, race
etc.
Zimbabwe conducts decennial census ( ie every ten years) for example in 1982, 1992, 2002, 2012
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It is carried out by enumerators ( these are employed official/people who move from house to house collecting information about the
population)
It involves the process of collecting population information as well as it compilation and publishing
In a census the basic unit for compiling information is the household (a place made up of a person/ persons who live and eat together)
Census is done by enumerators who visit each household during the enumeration period interning heads of households and filling in
questionnaires
Census gathers data on age, sex, fertility, mortality, occupation, mortality , education housing type, location, water source, power type,
income, services e.g. radio, TV and internet
Advantages (merits)
It is the most accurate count of a country’s population on which official planning can be based upon
It has a wider coverage of a country’s population as well as other variables such as income, housing, employment and sanitation
Disadvantages (demerits)
It is very expensive
It can/ is only done after a long time interval e.g. 10years in Zimbabwe
It is not fool proof is due to it taking several days, it can result in over or under enumeration due to changes in death, births and
migrations
Double counting and skipping of some household may occur due to little training/ shortage of resources by the enumerators
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There are many reasons why census taking is difficult:
Sample surveys
Is when a group of chosen people in a district/ region have their information collected and then expressed as representative of the
whole population
In a sample survey only a part of the population is covered ie data is gathered only from a subset of the population
The data is then used to estimate attributes for the whole population
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Secondary sources of population data
Secondary data refers to data that was collected by someone other than the user.
Common sources of secondary data for geography include
o censuses information collected by government departments,
o organisational records and data that was originally collected for other research purposes
o registers, books and journals
Vital registry
This involves the registration of vital events such as birth, deaths, migrations and divorces or legal separations
1. Inaccessibility
Some areas are very remote ,mountainous and have no proper roads and this make it difficult for enumerators to move as they collect
information.
Some government do not have enough money to run a population census e.g Ethopia has gone
for years without carring out a population census.
3. Cultural beliefs
Information regarding to infant mortality rate,miscarriages is not easily disclosed to outsiders for cultural reasons.
4. Ignorance
People also have a tendency to hide information on education level, occupation, age.
5. Political instability
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6. Shortage of skilled manpower
7. Illiteracy
8. Resistance from people /lack of cooperation
Economic reasons
Social purposes
Measuring the level and trend in the standard of living of the population
Allocation of resources
To know number of schools, clinics, hospital, universities to build
To know number of dams to construct
To know number of boreholes to sink
To project into future needs for workers
To plan for old age security and pensions
Political purposes
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Or this can be expressed in percentage as
3/1000 ×100/1
=0,3%
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Birth rate for Botswana is 40/1000
=.………………………………...
=………..%
Table 1 shows information about population in selected countries in Africa and Europe (Mid 1990) estimates
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Continent Countries Population per Birth rate per Death rate per Natural increase From table 1, it can be
thousand thousand thousand seen that less
Africa Swaziland 800 46 15 …………..% economically developed
Lesotho 1800 …………. 12 29/1000 countries (LEDCS) have low
Namibia 1500 44 ………….. 32/1000 birth rate and low natural
increase.
Europe Denmark 5100 12 12 ……………
Norway 4200 14 ………….. 3/1000
Finland 5000 ………….. 10 3/1000
Reasons for high birth rate
and high natural increase in less economically developed countries
Low level of education – education helps tointroduce people to new information, methods and new ideas so low level of education
prevents people from accepting change.
Small scale use of family planning methods (low contraceptive usage)
Short education period and this promotes early marriages.
Children are considered as economic assets who will assists the parents in tilling the land, herding cattle, fetching water and to
provide security in times of old age
Traditional beliefs – most Africans prefer a boy child than a girl child
Low status of women – most women are unemployed and they are regarded as child bearing machines
Cultural reasons which favour large families
Level of medical technology is low
Reasons for low birth rate and low natural increase in more economically developed countries (MEDCS) e.g. Sweden, UK, France
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Children are considered as an economic liability (burden) or as consumer durables which you can only have if you can afford
them
Emancipation of women (this means giving women freedom to make decision to follow carriers of their choice. Women are
bread winners not children bearers)
Legalisation of abortion
Well developed health are facilities
Reasons for low death rate in developed countries e.g. Sweden France USA
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Infant mortality rate
Is the number of deaths of children under 1 year old per 1000 births.
Infant mortality rate is high in developing countries and low in developed countries e.g. IMR for Kenya is 142/1000, Nigeria
143/1000, Zimbabwe 96/1000 and USA 8/1000, Germany 8/1000 and Canada 7/1000
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Refers to the number of deaths of women who die from pregnancy related causes per 100 000 live births per year.
Developing countries have high maternal mortality rates compared to developed countries.
Life expectancy
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Reasons for high life expectancy in developed countries e.g. Canada, UK, USA
High standard of living (most people have access to food, energy, health services, clean water, high calorie intake as % of needs
etc.)
Easy access to advanced health care facilities fewer environmental diseases.
Better diet/nutrition.
Low doctor to patient ratio (doctor attends to a few people at a time thus giving more individual attention to patients)
Better pension schemes.
Better care for ageing population (many old people’s homes)
More recreational facilities which reduce stress related diseases.
Better sanitation.
Surplus food supply.
Reasons for low life expectancy in less developed countries e.g. Ghana, Zimbabwe, Zambia, Malawi
Low standard of living (most people have no access to balanced diet, energy, health facilities, clean water, low calorie intake as
% of needs etc.
Lack of access to advanced health services.
High occurrence of environmental diseases e.g. In Africa malaria is the major killer, in west Africa measles kill ½ a million
children each year especially children and nursing mothers as they are easily attacked by diseases.
Poor diet/poor nutrition.
Poor pension schemes.
Poor care for ageing population.
Few homes for aged people.
High doctor to patient ratio which means that a doctor attends to a lot of patients at a given time and patients are not given the
necessary attention as the doctor rushes to attend to as many patients as possible (long queue of patients versus one doctor)
Periodic food shortages e.g. Africa faces poor crop production due to drought and this leads to wide spread hunger,
malnutrition and sometimes starvation.
Poor sanitation.
Lack of recreational facilities which enhance stress related diseases.
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Dependency ratio
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Population and resources relationship
Carrying capacity
Issue linked with the carrying capacity of land.
Limits to absorb ever-greater numbers of people.
Population growth has environmental impacts.
Support of family planning, contraception and abortion.
Population problems cannot be addressed through technology beyond the short term.
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Optimum population: The population is such that it can maximise the benefits from the resources available. It is only when we have optimum
population that the quality of life is maximised.
Over population: The resources cannot sustain the current population. As long as there is over population the quality of life will decline through
unemployment, pollution, degradation of the environment. It refers to a situation in which the number of people in an area is higher than the
resources and skills available
Under population: The population cannot fully utilise the resources available. Quality of life can only slowly be improved. An increase in
population would lead to an increase in quality of life.
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Fast population growth can result in over population when increase in food supply will be lower than population growth as shown below
Optimum population
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Occurs when the resources of a country are equal or can support the population of that country.
Under population
Refers to a situation whereby the number of resources in a country will be more than the population.
Median age
Is the age that divides the population into two equal halves (refer to population pyramid which will come later).
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Sex ratio
Population density
Is the number of people per unit area/number of people per square kilometre.
Formula = Number of people in an area
Unit of area km2
In an examination situation, candidates may be asked to identify a country with a low population density or a high population density
from a table e.g.
The table gives figures for the population and area of four countries
The country with the highest population density is B with 58,3 people per square kilometre.
The country with the lowest population density is A with 1, 6 people per km 2.
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Population Density of Zimbabwe
Natural factors
1. Nature of relief
A gentle sloping land is more attractive for setting up a settlement than steep, rugged, hilly areas which are sparsely populated.
2. Climate
Dry areas discourage setting up of settlements.
Areas with moderate rains 500-1000 mm are more favourable for establishment of settlements.
Areas which are extremely cold e.g. the poles are sparsely populated.
Areas which are extremely hot e.g. hot deserts are sparsely populated.
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3. Water
People tend to settle in areas which have water sources e.g. rivers.
People need water for various purposes e.g. domestic and industrial purposes.
4. Soils
Areas with fertile soils tend to attract settlements than areas with poor soils.
People need fertile soil for agricultural purposes e.g. the Nile river has a high population density due to fertile alluvial soils.
Economic factors
1. Mining
Mines attract settlements e.g. copper belt in Zambia, Hwange in Matabeland North, Zvishavane to mention a few.
Agriculture
Agricultural schemes such as irrigation projects attract settlement e.g. the Gezira irrigation scheme in Sudan
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2. Industries
Industries attract settlement
People move to industries to look for jobs
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Zimbabwe can be devided into three population distribution areas
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Kalahari sands in western Zimbabwe as well as a frequent drought drives away people
Medium population density areas (21- 40 people per square kilometre )
Includes the middle veld area, areas along railway lines and main commercial farming areas on the high veld
Mining centres, small industrial and commercial towns
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3. High population density areas (41+ people per KM )
This exist mainly in large cities such as Harare , Bulawayo, Mutare and Gweru
Old reserves such as Gwayi, Shangani, Zvimba and Chihota in which people were forced to settle by the colonial land
apportionment act
Population distribution in Africa
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2
Total area of Africa is 20.2million KM
By 2013 Africa’s population was 1.11 billion i.e. 15% of the world’s population
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Therefore average population density is 36.7 people per KM
2
Low population density areas with a population below 10 people per KM
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The desert areas of Sahara, Namib, Kalahari due to their aridity which makes human settlement difficult (lack of water, pastures
and presence of sandy soils)
2
Medium density areas with population density of between 10-50 people per KM include the Zaire basin, west Africa and the
Central plateau due to fertile soils, good rainfall as well plenty forests
High density areas include Cairo, Johannesburg great lacks region of Malawi, Zambian copper belt, Nile valley and several coastal
towns, this due to plent industries, efficient transport in these areas
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Stage 1:
Birth rates and death rates are high so population is low and stable. This would include Amazonian rainforest people and subsistence farmers in
Bangladesh.
Reasons for high death rates include, an unstable political society therefore possible civil unrest. Country could still be in reliant upon a
subsistence economy therefore food supply is very unreliable. Water supply is likely to be unclean. There is very little medical care or social care.
Disease and pests still have a dramatic effect on population.
High birth rates would be a natural consequence of the high death rates. Families have large families to compensate for the large infant mortality
rate and so the children can work to support the families including parents during their old age. Large families become part of the culture and
religion and men are seen as powerful if they have many children. Women's role in society is very much as a mother producing children.
Stage 2:
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Death rates fall but birth rates remain high. Natural increase is greater so population starts to grow rapidly. An example would be Sri Lanka or
Peru.
The death rates have fallen as a consequence of a medical or social breakthrough. For example new hospitals, new vaccinations, or new
legislation to prohibit children from working in factories. Alternatively improvements could be made to water supplies or food, accommodation -
it will usually be a combination of events.
Birth rates remain high as culture and religion still dictates this. There is likely to be very limited access to family planning and women still have a
very submissive role in society.
Stage 3:
Birth rates now fall and death rates continue to fall. Natural increase is still high and population growth rapid. An example would be Chile or
China.
Birth rates will start to fall as there is greater access to family planning. People will also start to appreciate the expense of a large family and opt
for fewer children. The women are getting a better deal from society and has access to the job market so could opt to pursue a career instead of
being a full time mother.
Death rates continue to fall as the country continues to improve medical and social care, sanitation, and living conditions.
Stage 4:
Birth rates and death rates level out. Natural increase is low so population stabilises. Australia would be a good example of a country at the start
of stage 4.
Society is advanced; women can pursue careers and live independent lives. Families opt for smaller families because of the costs involved.
Death rates remain low. There is little scope for further decline.
Stage 5:
Birth rates fall below death rates so natural increase is now negative. Population will start to decrease. Japan and Italy are in this stage.
Birth rates fall further as people are waiting longer to have families. Parents are aware of the cost of children so have one or two so they can still
have a good house, holidays - a good standard of living. Women have full access to the job market and family planning is universally accepted and
available.
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Key Terms Regarding Migration
Migration is the movement of people from one administrative area to another, whether regional or international, usually involving a permanent
change of residence for at least one year. (UN)
Circulations are temporary, reciprocal flows of people over any spatial scale without any substantial long-term period of change in residence.
Mobility refers to both migration and circulation as an overall term..
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migration
Is defined as the movement of people from one place to another which involves as permanent change of residence which
should last a year according to UN
Circulation or temporary migration refers to short term repetitive movement e.g. movement by nomadic pastoralists or
commuting from work
Migration is divided into international and internal migration. International migration involves movement of people from one
country to another e.g. Zimbabwe to UK
Internal migration involves movement of people from one place to another within the same country e.g. Gweru to Kwekwe.
Harare to Bulawayo, Zvishavane to Gokwe etc
Causes of migration
Migration is caused by push and pull factors
Push factors are factors which force people to move away from one place to another
PUSH
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Internal migration
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Rural to urban migration
Effects of rural to urban migration with reference to receiving area (which is the urban area)
Shortage of accommodation
Shortage of education facilities
Shortage of water
Shortage of medical facilities
Shortage of transport
Shortage of employment opportunities
Results in poor health and poor sanitation (leads to spread of dieases such as T.B , cholera)
Overcrowding results in busting and blocking of sewer pipes as is the case of Mtapa and Mlambo high density suburbs in Gweru and
Mbare in Harare
Puts strain on fire and ambulance services
Results in traffic congestion/traffic jam and this causes frustration and delays
(congestion occur during the rash hours e.g. morning and evening)
Results in urban growth which leads to urban sprawl.(urban sprawl refers to outward growth or expansion of a town and as the town
expands outwards it consumes land which is meant for agriculture)
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Effects or rural to urban migration with reference of donating area (source area which is the rural area)
Leads to rural depopulation as people migrate to urban areas
Leads to underdevelopment because of the reduction in young labour force. Able bodie people will have left to urban areas and rural
areas will be left with people who are too young and old to work
Results in shortage of labour
Results in a fall in agricultural production- most men will have gone to urban areas and women will be left behind to do the tilling of
land
Break up in marriages
Underutilization of available e.g. education facilities , medical facilities, and infrastructure
Leads to an imbalance in sex ratio (more females than males)
Results in breakdown in rural way of life
Results in family fragmentation
Introductionof growth points in rural area to offer employment opportunities, provide goods and services
Government to build better schools in rural areas
Government to build better hospitals and clinics to provide health services in the rural areas
Government to embark on rural electrification and piped water to improve rural quality of life
Encourage banks and donors to give rural people loans so that they can start income generating projects such as poultry and bee
keeping
Starting upof irrigation schemes in rural areas to improve food supply and cash incomes
Need for government to start rural housing programmes to provide decent housing
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Political interference result when struggle for political power hinders development
In Zimbabwe this is mainly done by landless farmers who migrate in serch of farming land. For example resettlement programmes have
caused migration of over 4million people from communal areas to for white commercial farms
Rural to rural migration also occur due to marriage as the wife migrates to join husband
Overpopulation
Frequent drought in an area
Conflicts and wars
Being labelled a witch or sale out
Need for fertile land
Shortage of farming land
Intermarriages
Environmental disaster eg severe soil erosion
Population structure
Population structure means the 'make up' or composition of a population according to: Age, Gender, Marital Status, Language, Religion,
Occupation
it shows how the population is divided between males and females of different age groups
The left side of each pyramid shows the number of men in each age group,
the right side shows the number of women in each age group
Population structure can be shown as a population pyramid, see diagram below:
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Features of a population pyramid.
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Typical pyramids
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Developed Countries’ Population Pyramid
• Narrow base with many women having less than two children
• Women are marrying later
• Contraception is universal in countries such as Britain
• Excellent medical care and high standards of living mean the infant death rate is low - most children liveto
middle and old age
Developing
Countries’
Population
Pyramid
• The
wide
base
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indic
ates
a
high
prop
ortio
n of
child
ren
• Larg
e
fami
lies
refle
ct
the
low
stat
us of
wo
men
,
earl
y
marr
iage
s,
lack
of
educ
atio
n
and
little
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fami
ly
plan
ning
avail
able
• The
stee
p
side
s
sho
w
that
the
deat
h
rate
is
high
for
both
the
you
ng
and
adul
ts
• Life
expe
ctan
cy is
also
low
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with
few
peo
ple
reac
hing
old
age
• High
deat
h
rate
s
refle
ct
the
lack
of
med
icati
on,
clea
n
wat
er
and
regu
lar
food
supp
lies
• Pop
ulati
ons
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are
gro
wing
rapi
dly
and
in
the
case
of
Nige
ria
are
expe
cted
to
dou
ble
in
25
year
s
•
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Population pyramids can also be used for
• be used to help predict changes in the population and plan for the future.
• They can be used to predict the proportion of elderly people in the population who will need health care,
or the number of young people who will be economically active in the future.
• to suggest which stage of the Demographic Transition Model a country is in.
• show strange developments in the population structure caused by wars, population booms and migration
movements.
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Criticism of the DTM
• The model is an over-generalization of the industrialized European experience;
• Model is too rigid in assuming all countries proceed from stage 1-4; it ignores variables and exceptions (eg.
War, political turmoil);
• Industrialization is difficult to achieve for LEDC’s in a trading system that protects the industries of MEDC’s;
• The model assumes that reductions in fertility are a function of increased wealth and industrialization–
other factors such as the status of women and other social development are ignored
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MEDC/LEDC Occupational Structures
Primary Secondary Tertiary
High. Large numbers
are employed in
Low. Automation is increasingly replacing human
Very low. Machines have largely replaced human education, health,
MEDC labour in factories. Globalisation is leading to a
labour on the farms. administration and
shift of manufacturing jobs to the NICs.
the knowledge
economy
Low. Tariff barriers imposed by the trading blocs Large service sector.
Large primary sector (farming). Exports are usually such as the EU prevent the export of cheap Many employed in
LEDC
primary commodities. manufactured products. The domestic market is the informal
very small. economy.
Small but growing
Secondary sector is large and growing tertiary sector to
NIC Shrinking primary (farming) sector.
(transnationals). serve the needs of
the transnationals
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Ageing Population (MEDCs)
- A larger proportion of ageing people can add - cost of providing pensions, health care and - abolish state pensions
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experience to the workforce - raise retirement age
- a growing 'grey' market for leisure and health - locate retirement 'colonies' in LEDCs
products - increase taxes
- construction boom in favoured retirement - sell homes of the elderly to pay for retirement
locations such as the Costa del Sol (Spain). care
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Population policies
A countries government can attempt to influence the population of its country through population policies.
A definition could then read that a population policy is a deliberate attempt by a Government to influence the population of a country.
A country will form and initiate a population policy if it believes it to be in the best interest of the country and its people.
Country: China.
Reasons for initiating policy: To control and maintain an explosive population in order to pursue economic policies of development
Faced with the problems of providing for an ever growing population China first tried to discourage births by promoting the slogan
"Later, longer, fewer" –
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later marriages,
longer wait before children,
fewer children.
This failed to have any major influence so in 1979 adopted the infamous one child policy
The Policy: As the country is very closely controlled by the Government they were able to initiate a strict policy.
Before getting married a couple will be tutored and tested on family planning.
Before having a child they have to apply for a certificate from their factory.
Few certificates were issued annually.
If the factory meets certain targets of population control then every worker will get a wage increase
couples signed a form promising to have just one child
For having one child couples were given bonuses at work, receive priority for housing, a school and University place for the child and higher
pensions on retirement.
If the family then have an additional child all benefits are removed.
It is also likely to provoke isolation from their peers as it is not seen as being for the good of the country.
The scheme was monitored by factory workers that act as snoops reporting anyone who looks pregnant or 'broody'.
The scheme has however been criticised for the following reasons:
For encouraging to have an abortion.
For creating high dependency ratios of the elderly.
encouragedbfemale infanticide as parents want male child.
The custom in China is that when a couple marry they go to live with the males' parents. This means that they will look after them in old age. If
your child is a girl you will not have anyone to look after you in old age.
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In LEDCs infant mortality rate high due to
Inadequate health care for poor women during pregnancy and their infants
Drug addiction among pregnant women
High birth rate among teenagers
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