FINANCIAL OPTIONS (Recuperado Automaticamente)
FINANCIAL OPTIONS (Recuperado Automaticamente)
INTRODUCTION TO OPTIONS
Note: the right to buy/sell is the distinction between an option and a future/forward.
The holder of the option does not have to exercise this right.
The underlying asset can be a real asset (may be not only financial asset)
OPTION
There is:
European Call
European Put
American Call
American Put
Buyers of calls;
Sellers of calls;
Buyers of puts;
Sellers of puts.
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But if we choose the European option, we might choose wrong.
European and American options are the same, if the European option has an
expiration date of today.
EXAMPLES OF OPTIONS:
Option to buy 100 shares of Option to sell 100 shares of Option to buy 100 shares of
Microsoft at $30 on 15/Dec/2021. Microsoft at $30 on 15/Dec/2021. Microsoft at $30 until 15/Dec/2021.
Option to buy = Call option Option to sell = Put option Option to sell = Call option
Microsoft shares = underlying asset Microsoft shares = underlying asset Microsoft shares = underlying asset
EXAMPLE 4:
3-month American put option on 100 shares of Intel with strike price of $20.
Gives the right to sell 100 shares of Intel at $20 each and I have three months to do that (in/during three months/at any
date over the next 3 months)
OPTIONS vs FORWARDS/FUTURES
EXAMPLE 1:
Bob negotiates with Deutsche Bank a forward contract to buy 100 shares of Microsoft on 15/Dec/2021, with a forward
price of $30.
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Bob has the long position and Deutsche Bank has the short position.
The call option, because the option to buy at $30 is better than the obligation to buy at $30.
If you were Deutsche Bank, would you want to have the short position in the forward or the call option? Why?
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Even though in both situations Deutsche Bank is obliged to sell, the forward would be preferred, since Bob will only
exercise the option when it’s advantageous to him and, consequently, disadvantageous to Deutsche Bank.
POSITION, PAYOFFS AND PROFIT
OPTIONS POSITIONS:
There are two sides to every contract option contract:
Investor who has taken the long position- has bought the option;
Investor who has taken the short position – has sold the option;
o Receives cash up front;
o But has potential liabilities later;
o His profit or loss is the reverse of that for the purchaser on the option.
OPTIONS PAYOFF:
It is useful characterize a European option in terms of its payoff to the
purchaser of the option.
The initial cost of the option is then not included in the calculation.
The option payoff is the cash flow generated by the option contract at the
expiration date (European option) or at the exercise date (American option).
Notation:
K: strike price
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T: expiration date (measured in years from today), which makes today date
0)
The payoffs are symmetric between long and short positions (add up to
zero), since there are only two parties involved: one party’s profit, is the
other party’s loss.
As today (date 0) , the actual value of the payoff is unknown since S t will
only be known at date T>0.
In theory, the payoff for a long call position can be negative if the
option is exercised when ST < K;
The asset can be bought in the market cheaper (ST) than through the
exercise of the call (K);
But why would the holder of the long position choose to exercise the
option in those circumstances, when we can choose to not exercise?
He isn’t act rationally.
Because the holder of the long position chooses when to exercise the
option, he will choose whatever gives him the biggest payoff:
exercise when ST > K, yielding a payoff of ST-K >0
do not exercise when ST ≤ K yielding a payoff of 0 (instead of a
payoff ST – K < 0 if he exercised the option).
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The maximum between the amounts is 0;
The minimum between K and ST are 0;
PUT PAYOFF
The payoff of a put option, as function of the exercise decision is:
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For the same exercise decision, this is the symmetric of the call option
payoff.
exercise when ST < K (can sell for K via option exercise instead of
selling for ST on the market) , yielding a payoff of K-ST > 0;
do not exercise when ST
do not exercise when ST ≥ K, yielding a payoff of 0.
After factoring in the optimal exercise decision, the payoff the long put is
not the symmetric of the payoff of the long call.
Long PUT
Max (K – ST) there is a negative slope.
There is a negative exercise.
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Short put:
Anyone’s volunteer to have a
position where they have to
put money;
OPTIONS PREMIUM
The options contract is asymmetric:
the payoff of long position is never negative;
the payoff of a short position is never positive;
Therefore, the buyer of an option (long position) has to pay the seller
(short position) a premium, i.e. a price:
this gives the opportunity to someone with a short position obtaining a
profit if the option is not exercised;
Options profits:
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We need to have a payoff big enough to cover however we pay (the
premium)
premium
When the time comes to take the exercise decision for real, an option
should only be exercised if it is ITM:
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ct = the price of a call option at date t
pt = the price of a put option at date t
The option payoff if the expiration date The difference between the option price at date t
was at date t (and so the exercise and its intrinsic value at the same date;
decision had to be taken at date t); if
Comes from the possible future evolution of the
there is no time to maturity;
underlying asset’s price (ST) until the expiration
The exercise decision had to be made date T>t.
immediately.
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An in-the-money American option must be worth at least as much as
its intrinsic value because the holder has the right to exercise
immediately.
Often it is optimal for the holder of an in-the-money American option
to wait rather than exercise immediately.
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EXAMPLES OF TIME VALUES AND INTRINSIC VALUE (1):
Consider the call option, on 100 shares of Microsoft with a strike price of $30 and expiration on 15/Dec/2021.
Suppose that Microsoft trades today at: (i) $30; (ii)$25; (iii) $35
Exercising the call today would generate a Exercising the option today would generate a payoff of ($20-$30) * 100
payoff of ($30-$30) * 100 = $0 and so is = - $500 and so is OTM:
ATM:
Intrinsic Value is max ($25-$30,0)*100 =$0
Intrinsic Value is max ($30-$30,0)*100 =$0
Should the time value be positive? YES!(although smaller) ) (same
Therefore, the option price comes only from argument case (i)
the time value;
If the price increases above $30 by the Exercising the option today would generate a payoff of ($35-$30) * 100
expiration date, the option will be exercised = $500 and so is ITM:
and generate a positive payoff; Intrinsic Value is max ($35-$30,0)*100 =$500
But if the price decreases below $30 by the Should the time value be positive? YES!
expiration date, the option will not be
exercised and will generate a 0 payoff. Because this time the call is ITM, if the price drops form $35, we lose
money;
So, the expected payoff is positive: we have
a safety net because we are not forced to However, the loss potential is limited to the intrinsic value of $500, if the
exercise the option; price drops below $30 and the option is not exercised;
by the contrary, the gain potential is unlimited, which outweighs the loss
potential
EXAMPLE 1.1
Suppose that Microsoft will pay a dividend of $10 per share tomorrow.
If the option is OTM or ATM, the time value should still be positive:
it’s less likely, but still possible, that the option will be exercised at the expiration date;
And there is nothing to lose (the intrinsic value is 0)
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STOCKS SPLITS
Options are protected against:
Stock splits:
o Occurs when the existing shares are “split” into more shares;
o E.g. each old share is replaced by 5 new shares;
o If nothing happens, a stock split will be better to the stock put;
Reverse stock splits -e.g. each 3 old shares are replaced by 1 new
share;
Because a stock split does not change the assets or the earning ability of a
company, we should not expect it to have any effect on the wealth of the
company’s shareholders.
A 5-to-1 stock split causes the price to drop by 80% (to 20% of the old
price), which would be extremely unfavorable to call holders and extremely
favorable to put holders;
to cancel out the effect of the stock split on option prices, the strike
price is adjusted by the same factor, and the contract size is adjusted
by its inverse;
In this example, the new strike price would be 20% of the original
strike price, and the new contract size would be 5 times the original
contract size;
SETTLEMENT
The payoff of an option can be materialized in one of two ways, depending
on the settlement:
EXAMPLES OF SETTLEMENT
Consider a put option with K=$30 and a contract size of 100 and that ST = $35.
Under physical settlement the long position holder delivers 100 units of the underlying asset and receives $3,000 from
the short position holder.
Under financial settlement the long position holder receives (30-25)*100 = $500 from the short position holder and
doesn’t deliver the underlying asset.
UNDERLYING ASSETS
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In theory, anything can be used as an underlying asset.
But the most common underlying assets are:
Stocks;
Stock indices;
Currencies;
Futures;
Interest rates;
Commodities;
Included foreign currencies and future contracts as well as stock and stock
indices.
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INTRODUCTION
DISCRETE COMPOUNDING
EXAMPLE:
The future value of $100 compounded annually at the rate R=4% for n=2.5 years is:
2.5
100∗(1+0.04 ) =$ 110.30
CONTINUOUS COMPOUNDING
In the limit, when m →∞ interest is compounded continuously
If, instead of the future value, we are interest on the present value, then
we discount $1 instead of compounding it.
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Since discounting is inverse operation of compounding, the present value
of $1 n years from now is:
1 −R∗n
R∗n
=e
e
So, if the $100 are compounded continuously, it’s future value is:
0.04∗2.5
100 e =$ 110.52
m∗n RC
R RC n R
(1+ m ) =e ⟺ RC =m∗ln (1+ m )⟺ R m=m∗(e m −1)
m m
EXAMPLE (cont):
The continuous compounding interest rate that is equivalent to a 4% annually compounded interest rate
is:
0.04
RC =1∗ln (1+ )=3.9221%
1
0.039221∗2.5 2.5
To confirm: 100∗e =$ 110.30=100∗(1+0.04 )
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The market participants are prepared to take advantage or arbitrage
opportunities disappear very quickly (there is no arbitrage
opportunities).
(and so there is no more time left for the price of the underlying asset
to change before the exercise decision has to be taken)
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6. The dividends that are expected to be paid
∂ ct ∂C t ∂ pt ∂ Pt
>0 >0 <0 <0
∂ St ∂ St ∂ St ∂ St
If a call option is exercised at some future time, the payoff will be the
amount by which the stock price exceeds the strike price.
Factors
affecting the
option price: K
∂ ct ∂ Ct ∂ pt ∂ Pt
<0 <0 >0 >0
∂K ∂K ∂K ∂ St
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The higher the strike price:
the higher the price at which we can buy the asset in a call option –
the call option becomes less valuable (which is bad);
The higher the price at which we can sell the asset in a put option –
the put option becomes more valuable (which is good)
∂ ct ∂ Ct ∂ pt ∂ Pt
=? >0 =? >0
∂T ∂T ∂T ∂ St
But the effect of the time to expiration on the price of European options
is uncertain:
on the one hand, a longer time to expiration makes bug changes in
the price of the underlying asset more likely
because losses are limited but gains are unlimited, the expected
result from those big changes is positive for both types of options,
but, on the other hand, a longer time to expiration:
o may be the difference between a dividend being paid during
the life of the option (which hurts call options) or not,
o decreases the present value of the strike (which hurts put
options)
in general the time value of European options is positive, but if this
second set of factors is strong enough, the time value can end up
being negative
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Factors affecting the option price: r (risk free interest rate)
∂ ct ∂ Ct ∂ pt ∂ Pt
>0 >0 <0 <0
∂r ∂r ∂r ∂ St
We are assuming that interest rates change while all other variables stay
the same.
In practice, when interest rates rise (fall), stock prices tend to fall
(rise)
Combining the effects of the interest rate increase and a stock price
decrease:
Decrease the value of a call option;
Increase the value of a put option;
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Factors affecting the option price: σ (volatility)
The volatility of a stock price is a measure of how uncertain we are about
future stock price movements,
∂ ct ∂ Ct ∂ pt ∂ Pt
>0 >0 >0 >0
∂σ ∂σ ∂σ ∂σ
Only the dividends paid during the life of the option matter.
The distribution of dividends decreases the value of the underlying
asset.
This is unfavorable for a call option and favorable for a put option.
Any reasonable option pricing model has to generate prices that remain
within these bounds.
ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY
DEFINTION:
An arbitrage opportunity:
Is the possibility of obtaining a risk-free profit with a zero
investment;
Can be seen as a free lunch, since you can get something (at least in
probability) for nothing;
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Is a consequence of mispricing which cannot subsist for long in the
market;
o Why? Because people are going to “eat” the lunch;
o Since the strategy to take advantage of the arbitrage opportunity
does not require any money to set up, it can be infinitely scaled;
o This means we could become a billionaire in a second;
o Unfortunately that doesn’t happen because when you try to exploit
it, you correct the mispricing that originated it.
UPPER BOUND
An American or European call option gives the holder the right to buy one
share of a stock for a certain price.
No matter what happens, the option can never be worth more than the
stock.
C 0 ≤ S0
Intuition: The right to buy the asset (call option) cannot be worth more
than the asset itself.
Because in some cases, there isn’t certain that we gone get the assets;
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For an option that is greater than 0:
If the K= 0 the scenario St < K is impossible;
The price of the asset upwards – because we are buying the asset
The overall cashflow is greater than 0
Corollary:
c 0 ≤C 0 ≤ S 0
The price of the European is the lower boundary of the price of an American.
LOWER BOUND
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Lower bound on European call price
Because the worst that can happen to a call option is that it expires
worthless, its value cannot be negative.
−rT
c 0 ≥ max(S0 −K e )
−rT
S0 −K e = lower bound for the price of a European call option
Intuition:
The call cannot have a negative value, since its payoff is
nonnegative (c 0 ≥ 0¿ ;
And the call cannot be worth less than a forward with forward price K
−rT
(S0 −K e ) because of its added flexibility (it gives the right to buy
and not the obligation to buy);
The value of a (long) forward contract (position) that has a forward price:
If we enter in a forward contract now, we should pay 0, because the price is
set in a balance way;
The price is set on the contract;
Next week, we have the forward contract, but if we have the forward
contract, we have a forward price different;
−rT
Arbitrage opportunity if c 0 < S0 −K e
−rT
And if S0 −K e we short
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−rT
Ke = the amount of money
−rT
C 0 ≥ c 0 ≥ max(S0 −K e , 0) INTRINSIC VALUE
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Lower bound on American put price
P0 ≥ max(K −S 0 ,0)
This condition must apply because the option can be exercised at any time.
Intuition:
the put cannot have a negative value, since its payoff is
nonnegative;
And the American put cannot be worth less than its intrinsic
value, otherwise we can buy the put option for P 0 and exercise it
immediately, obtaining its intrinsic value K-S 0;
Intuition:
The American put option cannot be worth more than its maximum payoff K,
which is obtained when S0 =0.
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Intuition:
The additional exercise opportunities of an American option cannot have a
negative value.
−rT
p0 ≥ max(K e −S 0 ,0)
Intuition:
The put cannot have a negative value, since its payoff is nonnegative;
And the put cannot be worth less than a short position in a forward
with forward price K because of its added flexibility (it gives the right
to sell and not the obligation to sell).
Arbitrage opportunity
If p0 < K e−rT −S 0
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Upper and lower bound on call option prices
The expressions in blue are the bounds when information about the option
price that constitute the tighter bounds are not available.
Upper and lower bounds on call option prices
REASONS
1. Insurance that it provides:
A call option, when held instead of the stock itself, in effect insures
the holder against the stock price falling below the strike price.
Once the option has been exercised and the K has been exchanged
for the stock price, this insurance vanishes.
Because American call option are never exercised early when there are no
dividends, they are equivalent to European call options, so that C=c:
−rT
LOWER BOUND: max ( K e −S0 , 0)
UPPER BOUND: S0
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The IV line is always below the lower
bound:
This forces the price of a
option always be higher than
the intrinsic value;
So the time value is never
below.
A put option, when held in conjunction with the stock, insures the holder
against the stock price falling below a certain level.
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A put option is different from a call option
It may be optimal for an investor to forgo this insurance and exercise early
in order to realize the strike price immediately.
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American put price
S0
Provided that r>0, it is always optimal to exercise an American put
immediately when the stock price is sufficiently low.
When early exercise is optimal, the value of the option is K-S 0.
The curve representing the value of the put therefore merges into the
put’s intrinsic value, K-S0.
Because there are some circumstances when it is desirable to exercise
an American put option early, it follows that an American put option is
always worth more than the corresponding European put option;
And because an American put is sometimes worth its intrinsic value, a
European put option must sometimes be worth less than its intrinsic
value.
The curve representing the relationship between the put price and the stock
price for a European option must be below the corresponding curve for an
American option.
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Point B – at which the price of the option is equal to its intrinsic value, must
represent a higher value of the stock price than point A, because the curve
B is below curve A.
The price of European calls and puts with the same characteristics (same
underlying asset, strike price and expiration date) obeys the following
relationship:
−rT
c0+ K e = p 0+ S 0
PUT-CALL PARITY
Long call + deposit = long put + long asset
Considering 2 portfolios:
Show that these portfolios generate the same payoff in all possible
scenarios:
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Since the payoff of the two portfolio is the same in every scenario, they
have to be worth the same:
−rT
c0+ K e = p 0+ S 0
−rT
Long put=long call+ short asset +risk −free deposit of K e
−rT −rT
c0+ K e = p 0+ S 0 ⟺ p0 =c 0−S0 + K e
−rT
Long asset =long call +short put+risk −free deposit of K e
−rT −rT
c0+ K e = p 0+ S 0 ⟺ S 0=c 0−S0 + K e
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If we remove those dividends from today’s price, the dividend-adjusted
price is:
'
S0 =S 0−PV (D)
'
Everything that we saw until now stands with S0 =S 0−PV (D) instead of S0.
Assuming that the dividend is paid at only one date τ , in which case
−rT
PV ( D )=D e …
…the put-call parity becomes:
−rT −rT
c0+ K e = p 0+ S 0−D e
EARLY EXERCISE
If an American option isOTM at expiration , anyone whoexercised
it before expiration would regret having done so
EXAMPLE:
Consider:
If the option expires ITM, exercising early or at expiration is always equivalent: you end up owning the asset, and
paying $25 for it (the strike);
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The payoff may be different, but it only represents how much you saved by buying the asset through option
exercise instead of at the market price of the moment; it does not represent a cash amount you receive (for that
we have to sell the asset immediately after exercise, but that isn’t the goal here);
EARLY EXERCISE OF AMERICAN CALLS
If the underlying asset does not pay If the underlying asset pays dividends
dividends until expiration, the early exercise until expiration, then it may be
of an American call is never optimal: optimal to exercise the American call
immediately before an ex-dividend
C 0=c 0 date.
Intuition: Intuition:
delaying the exercise decreases the present 36
Delaying the exercise past an ex-
value of the (strike) price paid by the asset dividend date will make the call
(delaying is good); holder miss the opportunity to
there is always possibility of the call being collect the dividend, which may not
EARLY EXERCISE OF AMERICAN PUTS
If an American put is deep ITM, early exercise is optimal.
Intuition:
Delaying the exercise decreases the present value of the price
received by the asset (delaying is bad);
but there is always the possibility of the put being OTM at expiration,
in which case the put holder would regret his decision to exercise
early (delaying is good);
when the option is deeply ITM, there is little chance that it will end
OTM and so the first effect dominates (and the option should be
exercised early).
3. TRADING STRATEGIES
OPTIONS STRATEGIES
What can be achieved when an option is traded in conjunction
with other assets?
We already analyzed the payoff and profit profiles form the 4 basic option
positions: long call, short call, long put and short put.
All of them exhibit a kink at the strike price:
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this is what allows us to obtain very interesting payoff profiles by
combining different option positions on the same underlying asset.
We will only cover strategies where all options have the same expiration
date:
o but there are strategies where options have different expiration dates
(known as calendar spreads)
Long asset:
S0
ST
Short asset:
A straight line with a negative slope (-45º).
S0
Long call: ST
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K ST
Short call:
For ST < K an horizontal straight line (0º) and for S T ≥
K a straight line with negative slope (-45º).
K ST
Long put:
For ST < K a straight line with negative slope (-45º)
and for ST ≥ K an horizontal straight line (0º)
K ST
Short put:
For ST < K a straight line with positive slope (+45º)
and for ST ≥ K an horizontal straight line (0º).
K ST
The payoff profile corresponds to the number that is multiplying the variable
ST.
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There are a number of different trading strategies involving a
single option on a stock and the stock itself:
MAKING A STRATEGY:
1. If we make a strategy with a short asset position (1 unit) we don’t
have any strikes (there are no options) and there is only one straight
line segment.
Then we translate the 0,1 and -1 to straight lines with 0º, +45º and
-45º slopes, respectively, from which we can sketch the profit profile of
the strategy.
We know find not just 0, and ± 1, but also ± 2 ,±3 and so on. The slope
90 n
of the straight line is ( )º where n is the 0, ± 1, ±2 ,±3 and so on.
|n|+1
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Dashed line:
Shows the relations between profit and the
stock price for the individual securities
constituting the portfolio;
Solid line:
Shows the relationship between profit and
the stock price for the whole portfolio.
The profit have the same general shape
as the profit for short put, long put,
long call and short call.
S0 = stock price
A long position in a European put combined with a c = price of a European call
long position in the stock price is equivalent to a
K =strike price of both call and put
long European call position + a certain amount
r = risk-free interest rate
−rT
(K e + D) of cash. T= time to maturity of both call and put
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A long position in a stock combined with a short position in a European call
is equivalent to a short European put position + a certain amount ( K e−rT + D)
of cash.
HEDGING STRATEGIES
Protective put
(Long position in a put combined with long position in a stock):
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The cost of the protection is the price (premium) paid for the
put;
When the protection is not used (put is not exercised) the profit is
lower than that of a naked (unprotected) long asset position because
of the protection cost;
More protection requires a put with a higher strike (higher
worst-case selling price), which is more expensive;
This means a smaller worst-case loss at the expense of lower profits if
things go well and the protection is not used.
Graph with
different straights:
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EXAMPLE:
An investor bought 100 shares of Microsoft some time ago( not today) at $25.
Meanwhile, the Microsoft stock price increased to $30 (= S0 ) so at the moment the investor has a potential profit of
$5 a shares.
The investor believes that the stock price will continue to increase in the next 3 months but wants to protect his
current potential profit of $5.
The investor can take (should buy) a long put position over 100 Microsoft shares with expiration in 3 months, and
strike K=$30:
by doing that he guarantees a minimum selling price of $30 for his shares;
but he has to pay the price of protection.
Assuming this option costs $3 (per unit of underlying asset), the profit profile in 3 months per unit of the
underlying asset is:
this is not an arbitrage opportunity because this is the result of the favorable price movement before the
long put was bought (the investor starts from a profit of $5 and not from $0);
the price movement could just as easily have been negative!
the investor can only guarantee a $2 profit instead of $5 because of the cost of protection ($3)
Protective call:
(Short position in a stock combined with long position in a call)
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Break-even point: −ST + S 0−c 0 =0 ⟺ S T =S 0+ c 0
Minimum profit: −K + S0 −c 0
The long call position locks the worst-case price at which we can
buy back the asset, without limiting the upside potential of a short
asset position (unlike a long forward position would do);
The cost of the protection is not used (call is not exercised) the
profit is lower than a naked (unprotected) short asset position
because of the protection cost.
More protection requires a call with lower strike, which is
more expensive;
This means a smaller worst-case loss at the expense of lower profits if
things go well and the protection is not used.
EXAMPLE:
An investor has an expectation that the Microsoft price will fall over the next year.
Therefore, he wants to open, today, a short position in Microsoft, currently trading for $30.
The investor can add to his short asset position a long call position over Microsoft shares with expiration in 1 year:
the strike price should be chosen according to the level of protection desired;
the smaller the strike, the higher the protection in case of things going wrong, but the higher its 45
cost.
Assuming the investor chooses a call with K=35 costing $2.5, the profit profile in 1 year (per unit of the
Writing a covered put:
(Short position in a put combined with short position in a stock)
Combines: short put short asset (symmetric of protective put)
Goal: hedge a short put position against decreases in the price of the
underlying asset or hedge a short asset position against small increases in
the price of the underlying asset.
Maximum profit: −K + S0 −c 0
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the advantage (compared to the protective call) is that this
protection does not cost extra money (you actually get paid to
set up the protection);
the disadvantage is that it does not limit losses (only attenuates
them) while limiting the upside potential;
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From the perspective of protecting the short call position:
with a short call position we are exposed to losses if the price of the
underlying asset stays above the option’s strike price at the
expiration date:
o in that case we will be forced to sell the asset for a price below
its market price;
o when we buy the asset at its market price to sell it when the
short call is exercised, we will suffer a loss;
in this context, buying the asset today guarantees the price at which
we buy the asset, and we expect to have to sell due to the exercise
of the call (because we already bought it);
Long
range forward(bull spread):
Combines: long asset, long put K1 and short call K2, with K2>K1
(Same as protective put + short call with a higher strike or writing a covered
call + long put with a lower strike)
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Goal: hedge a long asset position against price decreases
Payoff and profit: (0/1/0):
If the stock price does well and its greater than the higher strike
price, the payoff is the difference between the two strike prices: K 2−K 1
If the stock price on the expiration date lies between the two strike
prices, the payoff is ST −K 1
If the stock price on the expiration date is below the lower strike
price the payoff is 0.
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By “combining” the two strategies, we can lower the cost of
protection of a protective put, although at the expense of limiting the
upside potential;
The profit is calculated by subtracting the initial investment from the payoff.
Even though the investor believes the Microsoft stock price will increase, he does not believe that it can go above
$40 over the next 3 months.
The investor can, in addition to his strategy take a shor call position over 100 Microsoft shares with expiration in 3
months, and strike K=$40; 50
By selling the call he reduces the costs of hedging strategy, at trading off the ability to benefit from a stock price
increase over $40 (which he does not think is possible anyway);
Short range forward:
Combines: short asset, long call K2 and short put K1, with K2 > K1
(same as protective call + short put with lower strike or writing a covered
put + long call with a higher strike)
Goal: hedge a short asset position against price increases
Minimum profit: −K 2 + S0 −c 0+ p 0
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the protective call costs money, limiting losses without limiting
the upside potential;
the writing a covered put does costs money (we actually receive
a cash-flow initially) but limits the upside potential while not
limiting losses.
Suppose an investor takes a long position in the asset today, when its spot price is 50€, and wants to maintain it
over the next 3 months.
Fearing a sharp decline in the asset’s price, the investors wants to limit his losses to 10% of his investment (without
taking into account the cost of protection).
The investor also thinks that os is unlikely that the asset’s price will increase by more than 20% over the next 3
months.
(i) identify the 2 strategies adequate to protect his long asset position, and their costs
(ii) Compute the minimum and maximum profit of these strategies, identifying the circumstances where they
occur;
This investor can hedge his risk using one of the following strategies:
(the option positions are over the same number of units of the underlying asset as the long asset position)
Protective put:
o Take a long put position with a strike of 50 * (1 – 10%) = 45;
o Strategy costs: $1.632
o Losses are limited while the unlimited upside potential is maintained.
o Take a long put position with a strike or 45 and a short call position with a strik of 50*(1+20%)=60
o Strategy cost: 1.632-1.522 = $0.110
o Both losses and profit are limited, but since the investor doesn’t think it is likely that the asset price
increases by more than 20%, he can give up of the potential to profit from the price increase aboce
20% to reduce the cost of protection.
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EXAMPLE: HEDGING A LONG ASSET POSITION (cont)
Break-even point: ST =51.632 (the profit on the long asset position exactly offsets the cost of protection which is $1.632)
(This is wrong because we can’t have a strategy with profits “sobreposta” with other.
−5.110
(Corresponding to =−10.22 % of the amount invested in the asset
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Maximum profit is: 9.89 when ST ≥ 60
9.89
(Corresponding to =19.78 % of the amount invested in the asset
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Break-even point: ST =50.11 (the profit on the long asset position exactly offsets the cost of protection which is $1+0.110)
Since the long range forward has a smaller cost than the protective put, the former will always be preferred to the latter
unless the price of the underlying asset is high (somewhere in the third segment, S T ≥ 60
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Therefore, the investor is better off with a protective put only if the price of the underlying
SPECULATIVE STRATEGIES
1. Long call:
unlimited upside potential, with losses limited to the call price;
adequate in situations where high volatility is also expected (we want
to benefit from large price increases, but safeguard against sharp
price decreases);
2. Short put:
Profit limited to the put price, and unlimited downside potential;
Adequate in scenarios of low volatility ( we expect only a small price
increase, and both large price increases and decreases are unlikely);
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LONG CALL STRATEGIES:
However, long calls with higher strikes are cheaper, and so for the same
investment we can buy more calls if they have higher strikes;
More long calls with higher strikes makes the bet more aggressive
compared to fewer calls with lower strikes since the probability of turning a
profit is smaller while the upside potential is considerably
The more we invest in a long call strategy, the stronger the bet we
are placing.
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The higher the strike of the short put:
the larger the maximum profit (the option os more expensive);
the largest the losses in case our expectation is wrong;
the lower the probability of obtaining a profit (the break-even point is
higher)
But since puts with lower strikes are cheaper, to achieve the same
maximum profit (value of premiums collected) we have to short more puts;
More short puts with lower strikes makes the bet more aggressive than
fewer short puts with higher strikes because the downside potential is
considerably larger while the probability of obtaining a profit (and also the
maximum profit) is larger.
Naturally, the more we receive in premiums from shorting the options, the
stronger the bet.
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Combines: long call K1 and short call K2, with K2 > K1 (can also be done by
substituting both calls with puts);
Goal: speculate on an increase in the price of the underlying asset.
Strategy:
The investor has a call option with a strike price equal to K 1 and has chosen
to give up some upside potential by selling a call option with strike price K 2
(K2 > K1).
In return, for giving up the upside potential, the investor gets the price of
the option with strike price K2.
If the stock price does well and is greater than the higher strike price,
the payoff is the difference between the two strike prices ( K2 – K1).
If the stock price on the expiration date lies between the two strike
prices, the payoff is ST – K1.
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If the stock price on the expiration date is below the lower price, the
payoff is zero.
Minimum profit: −c 10 +c 20
1 2
Maximum profit: K 2−K 1 −c 0+ c 0
Short put:
The extra long put with a lower strike we have in the vertical bullish
spread with puts increases the strategy cost but limits its downside
potential;
Because a call price always decreases as the strike price increases, the
value of the option sold is always less than the value of the option bought.
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When creates from a call requires an initial investment.
Bull spreads can also be created by buying a European put with a low
strike price and selling a European put with a high strike price.
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Comparison between long call, short put and vertical bullish
spread:
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o Adequate in scenarios of low volatility;
o Similar to speculating on the price increase with a short
put;
Long put:
o “Unlimited” upside potential with limited downside
potential;
o Adequate in scenarios of high volatility;
o Similar to speculating on the price increase with a long
call.
o
Vertical bearish spread with calls or puts
Combines: short call K1 and long call K2, with K2 > K1 (can also be
done by substituting both calls with puts;
It’s the symmetric of the vertical bullish spread;
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Maximum profit: c 10−c 20
COMBINATIONS:
Is an option trading strategy that involves taking a position in both calls and
puts on the same stock.
LONG STRADDLE
Combines: long put and long call with the same strike K
(Usually the closest to the spot price S 0);
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Break-even points:
{
S T −K− p0−c 0=0 {
K−ST − p0−c 0=0 ⇔ ST =K −p 0−c 0
S T =K + p 0+ c 0
If the stock price is close to this strike price at expiration of the options, the
straddle leads to a loss.
However, if there is a sufficiently large move in either direction. a significant
profit will result.
LONG STRANGLE:
Combines: long put K1 and long call K2 with K2 > K1
(Usually K2 > S0 > K1);
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Payoff and profit (-1/0/1):
Break-even points:
{K 1−ST − p0−c 0=0
S T −K 2− p0−c 0=0 {S =K 1− p0 −c 0=0
⇔ T
ST =K 2 + p0 +c 0
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LONG STRIP AND LONG STRAP
Strip = long position in one European call and two European puts with the
same strike price and expiration date.
The investor is betting that there will be a big stock price move;
And considers a decrease in the stock price to be more likely than an
increase.
Strap = long position in two European calls and one European put with the
same strike price and expiration date.
The investor betting that there will be a big stock price move.
An increase in the stock price is considered to be more likely than a
decrease.
Combines:
2 long puts and 1 long call with the same strike (long strip)
1 long put and 2 long calls with the same strike (long strap)
Goal:
Speculate on high volatility tilted to price increase (strap) or to a price
decrease (strip)
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Payoff and profit (long strip) (-2/1):
{ {
2 K −2 p 0−c 0
2 K −2 S T −2 p0 −c 0=0 ST =
Break-even points: ⇔ 2
S T −K −2 p 0−c 0=0
ST =K +2 p 0 +c 0
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SHORT BUTTERFLY SPREAD:
A butterfly spread involves positions in options with three different strike
prices.
Requires a small investment initially.
Combines: 1 short call with strike K1, 2 long calls with strike K2 and 1 short
call with strike K3, K3 > K2 > K1;
(Usually K2 is chosen to be close to S0; we can substitute all calls with puts)
Break-even points:
Minimum profit:
Maximum profit:
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The lower K1 and the larger K3, the larger the upside potential and the
larger the downside potential (because the strategy is more
expensive)
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SPECULATING ON LOW VOLATILITY
To speculate on low volatility in the price of the underlying asset we use the
symmetric strategies:
Short straddle, short strangle, short trip or short strap:
o Limited upside potential with unlimited downside potential
Na investor has na expectation that the volatility of a given asset will be low in the next month.
To profit from this expectation, the investor is considering two speculative strategies:
(i) long butterfly spread with calls, using strikes of 50€, 55€ and 60€;
Compare the profit profile of each of these strategies, considering the following prices for options with expiration in
1 month:
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EXAMPLE 1 – SPECULATING ON LOW VOLATILITY (cont):
To know when the short straddle is more profitable than the long butterfly spread, we have to compare their profits
segment by segment:
In the second and third segments, the profit of the long butterfly spread is clearly less than that of the short straddle;
In the first segment, the long butterfly spread is more profitable if:
In the fourth segment the long butterfly spread is more profitable if:
Therefore, the long butterfly spread is more profitable than the short straddle when S T < 45.1 and ST > 64.9
4. BINOMINAL OPTION PRICING MODEL
OPTION PRICING
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Binomial tree = diagram representing different possible paths that might
be followed by the stock price over the life of an option.
The price of the option has to be the price of the replicating portfolio ,
otherwise there is an arbitrage opportunity.
but if we are sure that the option will expire ITM, its payoff will
depend on ST, and so the replicating portfolio has to include a
position in the underlying asset.
Problem:
Before expiration, we are not exactly sure of whether the option will expire
OTM or ITM:
as expiration ITM becomes more likely, we have to increase the
size of the position in the underlying asset (either long or short)
and reduce the size of that position as expiration OTM becomes
more likely.
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The likelihood of the option expiring ITM or OTM (and thus how much the
replicating portfolio should be exposed to the underlying asset) depends on
the underlying asset at that point in time and its future evolution from
the until the expiration date.
EXAMPLE:
it does not pay dividends (at least until the option expires);
spot price S0 =$20
price in 3 months’ time is either ST=$22 or ST =$18
likelihood of each scenario: irrelevant!
Binomial tree representation of the possible future evolution of the underlying asset’s price:
EXAMPLE (cont):
Using that information, we just need to compute the price of the option at t=0:
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If the stock price moves up to $22, the value of the portfolio is:
22 x 0,25 – 1 = 4.5
If the stock price moves down to $18, the value of the portfolio is:
18 x 0.25 = 4.5
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The value of the portfolio is always the same.
GENERALIZATION:
(generalize the no-arbitrage argument)
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or decreases by a factor d<1
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( =0.9∈the previous example)
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The option last for time T and that during the life of the option the stock
price can either:
move up from S0 new level, S0u (u<1) or
o % increase = u-1
o Payoff: cu
So,
c i+1 , j+1−ci +1 , j +1
∆ i , j=
S i+1 , j+1−Si +1 , j+1
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Delta is the ratio of the change in the option price to the change in the stock
price as we move between the nodes at time T.
This can further simplified (using S 1,1 = S0u and S1,0 = S0d ):
The only assumption needed for the equation is that there are no
arbitrage opportunities in the market.
RISK-NEUTRAL VALUATION
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When valuing a derivative, we can make the assumption that investors are
risk-neutral:
Do not increase the expected return they require from an investment
to compensate for increased risk.
A risk-neutral world has two features that simplify the pricing of derivatives:
1. The expected return on a stock is the risk-free rate;
2. The discount rate used for the expected payoff on an option is the
risk-free rate.
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therefore, all assets should earn (and so their cash-flows should be
discounted at) the same rate of return, the risk-free interest rate r;
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