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Probability Key

The document is a detailed mark scheme for a series of questions, providing specific answers, marks, and assessment objectives for each question. It outlines the criteria for awarding marks based on the correctness of answers and the methodology used. Each question includes notes and guidance for evaluators to ensure consistent grading.

Uploaded by

Tety Suryani
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
17 views24 pages

Probability Key

The document is a detailed mark scheme for a series of questions, providing specific answers, marks, and assessment objectives for each question. It outlines the criteria for awarding marks based on the correctness of answers and the methodology used. Each question includes notes and guidance for evaluators to ensure consistent grading.

Uploaded by

Tety Suryani
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 24

- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

1(a) 1

1(b) 22 1

1(c) 2 M1 for
oe
or

or or

or for 8 and 23
identified

2 0.48 oe 2 M1 for
oe

3(a) 1

3(b) 3
oe M2 for
oe

or M1 for
oe

If 0 scored SC1 for


- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

4(a) 3, 5, 28, 14 correctly placed 2 B1 for 28 in the


intersection

4(b) 1 FT their 28 where their


oe
28 < 50

4(c) 2
oe M1 for

4(d) 2 FT their 28
oe
M1 for

5 42 028 2
M1 for oe soi
isw
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

6 4 0.712[1…]
oe
M3 for

oe
or

oe
or M2 for sum of 3 or
more correct product
pairs and no incorrect
pairs
or for

and no other pairs

or M1 for
seen
If 0 scored SC1 for
answer oe

7(a) 2
cao M1 for
oe
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

7(b) 3 M2 for
oe
or

oe

or M1 for either or

or or

If 0 scored, SC1 for


answer oe

8(a) 2 B1 for one correct


oe on all late branches
vertical pair oe and
oe on all not late branches oe

8(b) 2 FT their tree


oe
M1 for

9(a) oe 1

9(b) 28 1

9(c) 1
oe
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

9(d) 3
oe M2 for

or M1 for or

for and seen

If 0 scored SC1 for


answer oe

10 35 1

11 3 M2 for
oe

or M1 for or

If 0 scored, SC1 for


oe

12 0.845 oe 3 M2 for 0.7 × 0.95 + (1


– 0.7) × 0.6 oe
or M1 for one of these
products

13(a) 1
oe
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

13(b) 3 M2 for addition of two of

or M1 for one of the


products seen
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

13(c) 4 M3 for
oe

oe
or

or M2 for the sum of at


least two of
,

seen

or for

or

seen
or M1 for
or

or
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

seen

If 0 scored SC1 for


oe

14 462 1

15(a) 0.22 oe 2 M1 for 0.15 + 0.2 + ? +


0.43 = 1 or better

15(b) 40 1

16 42 2
M1 for

17(a)(i) 1

17(a)(ii) 1.62 or 1.623… nfww 4 M1 for 1.35, 1.45, 1.55,


1.65, 1.75 1.85 soi
M1 for Σ fx
M1 dep for their Σ fx ÷
120

17(b)(i) 1
oe
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

17(b)(ii) 4 M3 for
oe

or M2 for
isw

or M1 for

After 0 scored, SC1 for


answer
or
oe

17(c)(i) 55, 79, 106, 120 2 B1 for 2 or 3 correct

17(c)(ii) Correct diagram 3 B1 for correct horizontal


plots
B1FT for correct vertical
plots
B1FT dep on at least B1
for reasonable increasing
curve or polygon through
their 6 points
If 0 scored SC1 for 5 out
of 6 points correctly
plotted
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

17(d)(i) 1.62 to 1.63 1

17(d)(ii) 1.57 to 1.58 2 B1 for 48 soi

18(a) 41.4 4 M1 for 10, 30, 42.5, 47.5,


55, 70
M1 for where x lies
in or on the boundary of
each interval.

M1 dep for dep on


second M1

18(b)(i) 112, 170 1

18(b)(ii) Correct diagram 3 B1 for correct horizontal


plot
B1FT for correct vertical
plots
B1FT dep on at least B1
earned for reasonable
increasing curve or
polygon through their 6
points
If 0 scored SC1FT for 5
out of 6 points plotted
correctly

18(b)(iii)A 48 1
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

18(b)(iii)B 160 2 M1 for 40 seen

18(c) 2
oe M1 for
oe

19(a) 0.1 1

19(b)(i) 0.2 oe 2 B1 for 0.2


0.6, 0.3, 0.1 oe B1 for 0.6, 0.3, 0.1

19(b)(ii) 0.48 oe 2 FT their 0.6 from tree


diagram
M1 for 0.8 × their 0.6

19(b)(iii) 0.28 oe 3 M2 for 0.2 + 0.8 × 0.1


oe
or M1 for 0.2 or 0.8 ×
0.1 or 0.8 × (0.6 +
0.3)

19(c) 0.32 oe 3 M2 for 0.8 × 0.2 + 0.2 ×


0.8 oe
M1 for one of these
products

20(a)(i) 2 B1 for one correct pair


- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

20(a)(ii) 2 FT their tree diagram


oe
M1 for

20(a)(iii) 3
oe M2 for

or M1 for or

20(b) 3
oe M2 for
oe

or M1 for

20(c) 2
oe M1 for

21 3 M2 for
oe

or M1 for

or
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

22 2
oe M1 for oe

23(a) 1
oe

23(b) 2 B1 for 2 or 3 correct out


of 4 regions

24(a) 2
oe B1 for or provided
fraction is less than 1

24(b) 46 1

25(a) 1

25(b)(i) 1 FT their (a) dep on (a)


being an expression in r
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

25(b)(ii) M1 for 3 FT their (b)(i)


or better nfww

M1 for Strict FT their expansion


to a quadratic then
equating to 0.4 and then
collecting to 3 terms on
‘one side’
OR
OR
oe Strict FT their expansion
to a quadratic = 0.4 all
multiplied by 10

A1 for no errors or omissions


seen
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

25(b)(iii) B2 for 3 or B2 for e.g.


5r(2r – 1) – 9(2r – 1) and
then 5r – 9 = 0
and 2r – 1 = 0
or B1 for
5r(2r – 1) –9(2r – 1)[= 0]
or
2r(5r – 9) –1(5r – 9)[= 0]
or
(5r + a)(2r + b) [= 0]
where a, b are integers
and ab = +9
or 2a + 5b = – 23
If 0 scored, SC1 for
B1 for
5r – 9 and 2r – 1 seen
but not in factorised
form

25(b)(iv) 1
0.8 or oe

26(a) B1 for range = 7 6


B1 for mode = 21
B2 for median = 22.5 M1 for evidence of
middle value
M1 for use of Σ x ÷ 14
B2 for mean = 22.7 or 22.71…

26(b) 1
oe
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

27 4 M3 for
oe

or M2 for

or

or M1 for
seen

or seen

If 0 scored, SC1 for

oe

28(a) 2 B1 for either numerator


or denominator correct
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

28(b)(i) 4
B1 for FT their (a)(i) =

M1 for Removes all algebraic


fractions
FT their equation if in
comparable form

M1 for Correctly expands all


brackets
FT their equation if in
comparable form

A1 for
With no errors or
omissions seen and one
further stage seen after
final M1

28(b)(ii) M2 for 3 M1 for


or

or for
where either ab = –21 or
4b + a = –25
If 0 scored, SC1 for
4x + 3 and x – 7 seen but
not in factorised form

B1 for 7 and
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

28(b)(iii) 7 1 FT their positive


solution

29 3 M2 for
oe
oe

or M1 for oe

If 0 scored, SC1 for


oe

30 4 M3 for
oe

oe
or M2 for
oe

or oe

or M1 for

or

If 0 scored, SC1 for


oe
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

31 1
oe

32(a) 111.25 4 M1 for midpoints soi


(25, 75, 112.5, 137.5,
175)
M1 for ∑ fx with x in
correct interval including
both boundaries
M1 (dep on 2nd M1) for
∑ fx ÷ 20

32(b) 2 7 11 17 2 B1 for three correct

32(c) 1
oe

33(a) 2
oe M1 for oe

33(b) 14.1 or 14.07… 3 M2 for


oe

or M1 for
oe

34(a) 14 1
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

34(b) 16 1

34(c) 3
oe M2 for

or M1 for seen

34(d) Correct shading 1

35(a) 1
oe

or and
or 0.6 and 0.25
or 60% and 25%
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

35(b) 3
oe M2 for
oe
or
oe

or M1 for or

oe
(but not as part of a larger
product)

36 3
oe M2 for
oe
or
oe

or M1 for or

or for a correct tree


showing all 25 outcomes
with the 11 correct
outcomes identified
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

37(a) 2
oe M1 for oe

If 0 scored, SC1 for


answer oe

37(b) 0 1
Accept

38(a)(i) M2
oe B1 for oe seen

38(a)(ii) 4 M3 for
oe

oe
or

oe
or M2 for the sum of two
products of different
flavours isw
or M1 for one correct
product of different
flavours isw
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

38(b) 3 M2 for
oe

oe
or for
oe
or

oe

or M1 for
oe seen

39 3
oe M2 for oe

or oe

or M1 for or

or
oe
- Mark Scheme /

Question Answer Marks AO Element Notes Guidance

40(a) 2
oe M1 for or
better

40(b) 3
oe 3FT
correctly evaluated
M2 for

oe

or M1 for or

[Total: 207]

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