Chap 1
Chap 1
Statement Analysis
1
CHAPTER
Business Analysis
Industry Analysis
Industry analysis could be done using the framework (Michael Poster’s Five
Competitive Forces) including bargaining power with consumers and suppliers
and that actively compete among themselves and face threats from new
entrants and substitute products
1-7
Strategic Analysis
Strategy analysis is the evaluation of both a company’s
business decisions and its success at establishing a
competitive advantage
Business Environment
The output of & Strategy Analysis
prospective
analysis is a Accounting Analysis
set of
expected
future payoffs Financial Analysis
used to
estimate
company
value Intrinsic Value
Valuation
Valuation is a main objective of many
types of business calculate
analysis.intrinsic value
Liquidity Solvency
Ability to meet short- Ability to meet long-
term obligations term obligations
Focus: Focus:
• Current Financial • Long-term financial
conditions conditions
• Current cash flows • Long-term cash flows
• Liquidity of assets • Extended profitability
Equity Analysis
underprice
Operating Activities
Revenues and expenses from providing
goods and services
Planning
Investing Financing
Current: Operating Current:
• Cash • Notes Payable
• Sales
Accounts Receivable • Accounts Payable
• Cost of Goods Sold
•
Noncurrent: Noncurrent:
• Interest Expense
• Balance Sheet
• Income Statement
• Statement of Shareholders’ Equity
• Statement of Cash Flows
Kodak
Dec 31, 2001 (In millions, except per share data)
Liabilities and
Shareholders’ Equity
Assets
Current Assets CAN BE converted into money within 1 year Current Liabilities
Payables $ 3,276
Cash and cash equivalents $ 448
Short-term borrowings 1,378
Receivables 2,337
Accrued income taxes 544
Inventories 1,137
Current maturities of LTD 156
Deferred income tax charges 521
Total current liabilities 5,354
Other 240
Total current assets 4,683
Other Liabilities
Properties
Long-term borrowings 1,666
Land, buildings and equipment at cost 12,982
Post-employment liabilities 2,728
Less: Accumulated depreciation 7,323 720
Other long-term liabilities
Net properties 5,659
Total liabilities 10,468
Other Assets
Goodwill (net of accumulated
amortization of $920) 948 Shareholders' Equity
Other non-current assets tangible + intangible
2,072
Common stock, par value $2.50 per share,
Total Assets $ 13,362 950,000,000 shares authorized; issued
391,292,760 shares 978
Additional paid in capital 849
An accountant’s snapshot of Retained earnings 7,431
Accumulated other comprehensive loss (597)
the firm’s accounting value at 8,661
Treasury stock, as cost, 100,363,059 shares 5,767
a specific point in time Total shareholders' equity 2,894
Total liabilities and equity $ 13,362
Balance Sheet
Kodak Financing
Sales $13,234
Cost of goods sold 8,670
Gross profit 4,564
Selling, general and administrative expenses 2,627
Research and development costs 779
Goodwill amortization 154
Restructuring costs and asset impairments 659
EARNINGS FROM OPERATIONS 345
Income Statement
Balance Sheet Balance Sheet
for Year Ended Dec. 31, 2001 Dec. 31, 2001
Dec. 31, 2000
Sales $13,234
Expenses (13,158) Assets
Assets
Net Earnings $ 76 Cash $ 448
Cash $ 246
Other Comprehensive Income (115) Non-Cash Assets 12,914
Non-Cash Assets 13,966
Comprehensive Income $ (39) Total Assets $13,362
Total Assets $14,212
(Point in time)
Treasury Stock, Dec. 31, 1997 $ 5,808
Treasury Stock Issued 82
Treasury Stock Repurchased (41)
Treasury Stock, Dec. 31, 1998 $ 5,767
Management Report
• The purposes of this report are to reinforce:
1. senior management's responsibilities for the company’s
financial and internal control system and
2. the shared roles of management, directors, and the auditor in
preparing financial statements.
1-44
Auditor report
• An external auditor is an independent
certified public accountant hired by
management to provide an opinion on
whether or not the company’s financial
statements are prepared in conformity
with generally accepted accounting
principles.
5-39
Analysis Tools
Yr1 Yr2 Yr3
Comparative Analysis (horizontal analysis)
5-41
Analysis Tools
Year-to-Year Change Analysis
Change Change
2001 2000
(in mil.) %
Sales $ 13,234 $13,994 $ (760) (5.4)%
Cost of goods sold 8,670 8,375 295 3.5
Gross profit $ 4,564 $ 5,619 $ (1,055) (18.8)
Operating Expenses:
Selling, general and admin. 2,781 2,665 116 4.4
Research and development 779 784 (5) (0.6)
Restructuring costs 659 (44) 703 -
Earnings from operations $ 345 $2,214 $(1,869) (84.4)
Interest Expense and other 237 82 155 189.0
Other income (charges) - - - -
Earnings before income taxes $ 108 $ 2,132 $ (2,024) (94.9)
Provision for income taxes 32 725 (693) (95.6)
Net earnings $ 76 $ 1,407 $ (1,331) (94.6)
Analysis Tools
Year-to-Year Change Analysis
5-44
Analysis Tools
Index-Number Trend Analysis
Financial statement analysis can benefit from knowing what proportion of a group or
subgroup is made up of a particular account.
Analysis tools
Common-Size Analysis (vertical analysis)
How to prepare a common-size financial statement.
For a common-size income statement, divide each
entry in the income statement by sales. 100%)
For a common-size balance sheet, divide each entry in
the balance sheet by total assets.
Operating expenses
are only 10.8% of
sales.
Income taxes are
4.1% of the firm’s
sales.
paying
Exercise
1-55
Exercise
2006 2005
Sales 100.0% 100.0%
Cost of goods sold 66.0 52.4
Gross profit 34.0% 47.6%
Operating expenses 21.0 19.4
Net income 13.0% 28.2%
Exercise
• Express the Mixon Company’s balance sheets in common-size
percents. (Round to the nearest one-tenth of a percent.)
1-57
Exercise
Mixon Company
Common-Size Comparative Balance Sheet
December 31, 2004-2006
12
Liquidity ratios
Liquidity ratios address a basic question: How liquid is
the firm?
15
Liquidity ratios: Current ratio
The overall liquidity of a firm is analysed by computing the
current ratio and quick (acid-test) ratio.
What is the quick ratio for H.J. Boswell Ltd for 2015?
-> giảm quá nhiều => maybe kết luận cty đang giữ
Quick ratio = 0.58 times quá nhiều inven
Peer-group quick ratio = 0.94 times
The firm has only $0.58 in current assets (less inventory) to cover $1 in
current liabilities.
17
Liquidity ratios: Individual asset ratios
We can also measure the liquidity of the firm by
examining the liquidity of accounts receivable and
inventories to see how long it takes the firm to convert
its accounts receivables and inventories into cash.
high invent: high carrying cost, no money to invest in other investmnets , no return
Capital structure (solvency) ratios
Capital structure refers to the way a firm finances its
assets, using a combination of debt and equity.
22
Capital structure ratios (cont.)
Debt ratio measures the proportion of the firm’s assets that are financed by
borrowing or debt financing.
total debt
23
Capital structure ratios (cont.)
An alternative to the debt ratio is the debt to equity ratio, which compares
total liabilities to total equity.
What is the debt to equity ratio for H. J. Boswell Ltd for 2015?
24
Capital structure ratios (cont.)
Interest coverage ratio (times interest earned) measures the ability of
the firm to service its debt or repay the interest on debt.
ebit trả cho int
What will be the interest coverage ratio for H. J. Boswell for 2015?
26
Asset management efficiency ratios (cont.)
Fixed asset turnover ratio: measures a firm’s efficiency in
utilising its non-current assets (such as property, plant and equipment).
27
Liquidity ratios: Accounts receivable turnover
ratio
Accounts receivable turnover ratio measures how many times receivables are
“rolled over” during a year.
Example:
Accounts receivable turnover = 16.67 times
Peer-group receivable turnover = 14.6 times
The firm’s accounts receivable were turning over 16.67 times per year,
compared to 14.6 times of the peer group
=> The firm’s accounts receivable is more liquid than peer group’ receivable.
19
Liquidity ratios: Inventory turnover ratio
Inventory turnover ratio measures how many times the company turns over its
inventory during the year. Shorter inventory cycles lead to greater liquidity since the
items in inventory are converted to cash more quickly.
What will be the inventory turnover ratio for 2015 for H.J. Boswell Ltd?
The firm turned over its inventory 5.36 times per year, compared with 7.0 times
=> its inventory is more slowly than the average peer group firms or is less liquid.
20
Asset management efficiency ratios (cont.)
The following table summarises the efficiency of H.J.
Boswell Ltd’s management in utilising its assets to
generate sales.
Notice the assessment has been made by comparing H.J.
Boswell’s ratios have been to a benchmark (remember a
ratio by itself has no meaning – it is the comparison that
provides the meaning)
Profitability ratios
Profitability ratios address a very fundamental question: Has
the firm earned adequate returns on its investments?
30
Return on invested capital
The return earned on a firm’s investments also depends on how much
money the firm has invested in assets in order to generate those revenues
and profits.
Return on assets ratio (ROA) is the summary measure of operating
profitability. It takes into account the management’s success in controlling
expenses and its efficient use of assets.
Return on common equity (ROE) ratio measures the accounting return on the
ordinary shareholders’ investment.
ROE = NI / TE decompose
What will be the PE ratio for 2015 for H.J. Boswell Ltd if we assume the
firm’s share was selling for $32 per share at a time when the firm reported
its net income?
P/E ratio = $32 ÷ $2.275 = 14.07
The investors were willing to pay $14.07 for every dollar of earnings per
share that the firm generated. Why might that be? The P/E ratio will be higher for
companies expected to have better earnings growth
prospects and less risk.
39
Market value ratios
A market-to-book ratio
greater than 1 indicates
that the market value of
the firm’s shares is greater
than the book value or the
accumulated investment in
the firm’s equity and vice
versa.
40
Selecting a performance benchmark
There are two types of benchmarks that are commonly
used:
Trend analysis – compares a firm’s financial statements
over time (time-series comparisons)
Peer group comparisons – compares the subject firm’s
financial statements with that of “peer” firms.
41
Trend analysis
Comparing a firm’s recent financial ratios with its past
financial ratios provides insight into whether the firm
is improving or deteriorating over time.
42
Peer firm comparison
Peer groups often consist of firms from the same
industry. Industry average financial ratios can be
obtained from a number of financial databases and
internet sources (such as Yahoo finance and Google
finance).
43
The limitations of ratio analysis
Equity Valuation