OLS:
OLS Regression Results
==============================================================================
Dep. Variable: cs_rate R-squared: 0.746
Model: OLS Adj. R-squared: 0.718
Method: Least Squares F-statistic: 26.41
Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2025 Prob (F-statistic): 0.000612
Time: 21:15:18 Log-Likelihood: -30.272
No. Observations: 11 AIC: 64.54
Df Residuals: 9 BIC: 65.34
Df Model: 1
Covariance Type: nonrobust
==============================================================================
coef std err t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
const -4109.7636 807.137 -5.092 0.001 -5935.635 -2283.892
year 2.0545 0.400 5.139 0.001 1.150 2.959
==============================================================================
Omnibus: 0.047 Durbin-Watson: 1.745
Prob(Omnibus): 0.977 Jarque-Bera (JB): 0.170
Skew: -0.102 Prob(JB): 0.919
Kurtosis: 2.427 Cond. No. 1.29e+06
==============================================================================
Notes:
[1] Standard Errors assume that the covariance matrix of the errors is correctly
specified.
[2] The condition number is large, 1.29e+06. This might indicate that there are
strong multicollinearity or other numerical problems.
Logit:
Logit Regression Results
==============================================================================
Dep. Variable: cs No. Observations: 1100
Model: Logit Df Residuals: 1098
Method: MLE Df Model: 1
Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2025 Pseudo R-squ.: 0.01348
Time: 21:15:18 Log-Likelihood: -722.52
converged: True LL-Null: -732.40
Covariance Type: nonrobust LLR p-value: 8.825e-06
==============================================================================
coef std err z P>|z| [0.025 0.975]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
const -177.9506 40.285 -4.417 0.000 -256.908 -98.993
year 0.0879 0.020 4.406 0.000 0.049 0.127
==============================================================================
