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Technical Analysis

Technical analysis

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khansallu8623
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
20 views10 pages

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis

Uploaded by

khansallu8623
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis ek aisa method hai jisme hum past price movements aur
trading volumes ka use karke yeh predict karne ki koshish karte hain ki future me
price kis direction me jaa sakta hai.
Ye analysis charts, indicators, patterns aur signals ke base par hota hai — bina kisi
company ke balance sheet ya news ko analyse kiye.

Professional Style Definition:


"Technical Analysis is the study of market action, primarily through the use
of charts, for the purpose of forecasting future price trends.”

Key Components of Technical Analysis:

Price Charts (Candlestick, Line, Bar)

Candlestick chart sabse popular hai (Open, High, Low, Close show karta hai).

Support & Resistance


Support = Price level jahan buyers active hote hain (price rukta ya bounce karta
hai).
Resistance = Jahan sellers active hote hain (price ruk jata ya girne lagta hai).

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 1
Indicators

Moving Average (MA) – Trend batata hai.


Relative Strength Index (RSI) – Overbought/oversold levels.
MACD, Bollinger Bands, Volume – Momentum aur strength judge karne ke liy

.Patterns
Price Patterns jaise Head & Shoulders, Double Top/Bottom, Flags etc.
Candlestick Patterns jaise Doji, Hammer, Engulfing etc.

Volume Analysis
Price ke saath volume ka movement dekhna important hota hai.
High volume par breakout = Strong confirmation.

Example
Aap dekhtay ho ki Reliance ka stock pichhle 3 mahine se ₹2400 ke aaspaas
support le raha hai aur har baar bounce karta hai.
Aap ₹2400 ke aaspaas buy karte ho, Stop-loss ₹2370 pe lagate ho aur target
₹2500 rakhte ho – yeh hi technical entry setup hai.

Important Note

Technical analysis short-term aur mid-term trading ke liye


perfect tool hai — jaise intraday, swing ya positional trades.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 2
Long-term investing ke liye fundamental analysis important hota
hai

ADVANCE LEVEL

Technical analysis
×××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××

Technical Analysis – Soch aur Strategy ka Game


Socho aap ek samundar me ho. Price waves hain. Aapko tairna nahi aata, par
aapko wave ka flow samajh aa gaya…Bas Technical Analysis wahi hai — aap
market ka behaviour padhte ho, taaki aap us wave ke saath chal sako, uske
khilaaf nahi.

Philosophy
"Price sab kuch batata hai — bas uski bhasha samajhni padti hai."Aur us bhasha
ka naam hai: Charts, Patterns, Indicators aur Volumes

Trading ke andar Technical Analysis ka real role:

Situation Trader's Psychology

Situation
Technical Tool

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 3
Market fast upar ja raha hai “FOMO ho raha hai, chhu gaya to miss ho jaayega”
RSI + Volume dekh – overbought hai kya?Price gir raha hai, par support pe aaya
“Abhi lena chahiye ya aur girega?” Support zone + bullish candle
confirmationPrice sideways hai “Yeh kya bakwas market hai?” Range draw
karo – patience test ho raha haiSudden breakout aaya “Entry maar doon?”
Breakout + Retest + Volume confirmation zaroor dekh
Aisa hota hai aisey socha jata hai nhi

×××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××

3-Point Technical Trading Psychology Model:


1. Structure pe bharosa karo – price kuch nahi chhupata.

2. Trendline, support-resistance draw karo – market ki kahani wahi se samjho.

3. Pattern = Emotion ka reflection

4. Double Top = log profit booking kar rahe hain.

5. Bullish Engulfing = smart money enter kar raha hai.

6. Volume spike = koi bada player aaya ya gaya hai.

Double Top = log profit booking kar rahe hain

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 4
1. Price do baar ek hi high level tak jaata hai,

2. Aur wahan se neeche girta hai,

3. Beech me ek halka dip hota hai (neckline).

Psychology Behind It:

Event Market Mindset Trader's Soch


First Top Strong uptrend – sab kharid rahe hain “Yeh stock to rocket hai!”Dip
after first top Thoda profit booking hota hai “Chalo wait karte hain, phir se
upar jaayega”Second Top Phir se wahi high – lekin naye buyers kam “Arey yeh
to wahi level pe atak gaya”Price fails to break previous high Big players selling
start karte hain “Shayad top ban gaya, nikal lo!”Breakdown below neckline
Confirmed reversal “Trend khatam, ab girawat ka time hai”

Example:
Sochiye Infosys stock ₹1600 tak gaya (Top 1)Phir ₹1520 tak gira (dip/neckline)Phir
dubara ₹1600 gaya – lekin breakout nahi diya (Top 2)
Volume bhi low tha, aur phir se ₹1520 ke neeche break kar gaya.
Iska matlab:
Buyers ne himmat haar di,
Sellers ne control le liya,
Ab stock ₹1450 ya ₹1400 tak ja sakta hai.

Entry Strategy:
Sell Entry:

Jab price neckline ke neeche close kare


Stop-loss: Second top ke just upar
Target: Neckline se top ka difference = target

Example:
Top: ₹1600
Neckline: ₹1520
Difference = ₹80
Target = ₹1520 - ₹80 = ₹1440

Punch line.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 5
Smart Trader’s Observation:
“Double Top wahi log nahi dekh paate jo har upar jaate stock ko gold samajh lete
hain.”Professional trader dekhta hai volume, momentum aur hesitation — aur
samajh jaata hai ki “Bulls thak gaye hain!”
____________

E lite summary
Double Top = buyers ki thakan + sellers ki entry
Visual clue hota hai trend reversal ka
Best kaam karta hai uptrend ke baad
Volume confirmation is MUST

××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××
Bullish Engulfing = smart money enter kar raha hai.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 6
Bullish Engulfing ka matlab sirf "candle badi hai" nahi hota — ye ek deep
psychological + institutional signal hai. Samajhne ke liye hume retail vs smart
money, market structure, aur price psychology ke level par isse todna hoga.

"Bullish Engulfing" – High-Level Smart Money Breakdown

1. Context is Everything (Candle se pehle ka scene matters)। Bullish Engulfing


sirf candle nahi hoti — wo ek battlefield ka result hota hai.

2. The Psychological Warfare Inside the Candle>Engulfing Candle = Smart


Money ka Signature Move.Let’s decode it deeply:

Behavior What's really happening

Red candle (first) Retail ne sell kiya, panic mein. Stop-losses activate hue.

Green candle (second) Institutions ne heavy buy orders execute kiye — panic
me mil rahi cheap supply ko absorb kar liya.

Body Size Bigger the green candle, stronger the intent. Wo market ko
dikhana chahte hain: "We are here.”

Previous Lows Purani candle ke neeche SL hit hua = retail out, smart
money in.

Ye ek liquidity transfer hai:


> "Retail traders ke haathon se stock, smart money ke haathon me gaya.”

3. Science: Market as an Energy System

Price movement = energy shift.Bullish Engulfing = sudden power shift from


sellers → buyers.

Red Candle = downforce (potential energy built).

Green Engulfing Candle = kinetic release of buying pressure.

It’s not just a reversal, it’s a power takeover.

4. Institutional Logic

Hedge Funds ya Banks aise sochte hain:


> “Retail already sold out, news bhi negative hai, liquidity bhi mil rahi hai — ye
best zone hai heavy entry ka.”

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 7
They don’t care about RSI or MACD.They want maximum liquidity with
minimum resistance.Bullish Engulfing unke liye ye kehta hai:

“Buy now before the public realizes what's happening.”

5. Neuro-Financial Psychology (Human Mind vs Smart Money)

Retail Psychology Smart Money


Psychology

Fear, panic, cut losses Patience, control, liquidity seekIndicators follow karta
hai Price behavior follow karta haiBreakout buy karta hai Breakdown par
buy karta hai (contrarian)

Bullish Engulfing = Retail ka fear + Institution ka confidence ka collision

6. Bullet Summary (Elite Trader Mindset)

"Bullish Engulfing is not a pattern. It’s a declaration of war by smart money:We


absorbed your panic, we trapped your shorts,Now we’ll ride your stop-losses
to fuel our profit.”

×××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××

. Volume spike = koi bada player aaya ya gaya hai.

Volume Spike ka Matlab kya hota hai?

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 8
1. Jab kisi asset (crypto, stock, forex) me achanak se volume bohot zyada
badhta hai, to iska matlab hota hai:

2. Kisi bade player (whale, institution, FII, DII) ne entry ya exit liya hai.

3. Retail volume se itna spike aana mushkil hota hai.

2. Volume spike ke 2 major signal:

a) Volume spike + Price up = Strong Buying


Yani bada player enter kar raha hai.

Market me bullish trend aa sakta hai.


Example: Bitcoin ka price upar ja raha hai aur volume bhi high ho gaya — whale
accumulation ho raha hai.

b) Volume spike + Price down = Strong Selling

Yani bada player exit kar raha hai.


Panic selling ya breakdown ho sakta hai.
Example: Stock ya crypto dump ho raha ho aur volume spike kare — whale nikal
gaya.

3. False Volume Spike se kaise bachein?


1. Timeframe check karo — 15 min, 1h, 4h me spike consistent hai kya

2. Order book ya depth data dekho (crypto me milta hai).

3. Sirf volume spike pe trade na karo, balki price action + RSI/MACD jese
indicators ka support lo.

4.

×××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××

Example (Real-Life Story Style):

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 9
एक trader ne Reliance ka chart dekha — price ₹2500 pe aaya, jo pehle bhi 3 baar
support tha.Is baar Bullish Hammer candle bani, volume bhi high tha.Usne socha:
“Log abhi bhi dar rahe hain, lekin price dar nahi raha. Main price ke saath
hoon.”Usne ₹2510 pe buy kiya, ₹2480 stop-loss, ₹2600 target.Trade jeet gaya –
not because of prediction, but because of preparation.

×××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××××

Conclusion in Elite Style:

> "Technical Analysis koi jadoo nahi hai — ye ek trader ka microscope hai, jisse
wo market ke dimaag ko padhta hai."Charts, patterns aur indicators — sab
market ki heartbeat sunane wale tools hain.Jo trader inhe feel kar leta hai, wahi
professional banta hai.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 10

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