Unit 6
Unit 6
Structure
6.0 Objectives
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Steps in Construction of Index Numbers
6.2.1 Selection of Base Period
6.2.2 Choice of a Suitable Average
6.2.3 Selection of Items and their Numbers
6.2.4 Collection of Data
6.3 Method of Construction of Index Number
6.3.1 Relative Methods
6.3.2 Aggregative Methods
6.3.3 Quantity or Volume Index Numbers
6.6 Cost of Living Index Number (CLI) or Consumer Price Index Number (CPI)
6.7 Worked-Out Examples
6.8 Let Us Sum Up
6.9 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
6.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this Unit, you will be able to:
define index numbers; and
Construct and calculate them.
6.1 INTRODUCTION
An “index” in the common sense of the word is an “indicator” and not anything
more than that. “Index numbers” or “indices” are forms of the plural, but they all
mean the same thing.
An index number represents the general level of magnitude of the changes
between two (or more) periods of time or places, in a number of variables taken
as a whole. In this definition, the world “variable” refers to numerical variables
which can be measured in quantity, such as the prices of commodities.
Adapted from IGNOU study material of EEC 13: Elementary Statistical Methods and Survey
Techniques, Unit 10 written by J Roy with modifications by Kaustuva Barik
Summarisation of For example, we may like to compare the price level of an article between 2010
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data and 2020 or between Mumbai and Kolkata. Let us consider the yield of rice in
2015 and in 2020 as 50,000 and 60,000 tons respectively. The year 2015 is taken
as base for comparison of yields that is 2015 = 100. The corresponding figure for
,
2020 will be , × 100 = 120. This is a single-commodity index number in its
simplest form, being just a relative number. In practice, however, we deal usually
with a number of commodities for the construction of an index.
Index numbers are ratios that are usually expressed as percentage in order to
avoid awkward decimals. Thus if one commodity costs Rs. 45 in 2019 and Rs.
150 in 2020 the ratio would be or 3.33. If instead of this, we express the ratio
into a percentage × 3.33, we say that the index is 333, based on 2019, which
is 100.
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Summarisation of 6.2.3 Collection of Data
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data As prices often vary from market to market, they should be collected at regular
intervals from various representative markets. It is desirable to select shops
which are visited by a cross section of customers. The reliability of the index
depends greatly on the accuracy of the quotations given for each constituent item.
1) Relative methods
2) Aggregative methods
i) Lasperyres’ index
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a) Simple Average of Relatives Index Numbers
index = 100 ∑
You should note that the base year weighting preserves continuity, but it loses
“up-to-dateness” in the course of time.
Example 6.1: The table below presents the average fares per railway journey.
Using 2010 average = 100, calculations are made according to base year weights.
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Summarisation of Example 6.2: The table below shows the average fares per railway journey.
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data Using 2010 average = 100, calculation are made according to current year
weights.
𝑃 + 𝑃 + … … … .. 𝑃
= × 100
𝑃 + 𝑃 + … … … .. 𝑃
∑𝑃 ∑𝑃
× 100 = × 100 … (6.4)
∑𝑃 ∑𝑃
where the summation symbol ∑ extends over all the selected commodities
numbering k. On the other hand, in the case of weighted aggregative index we
have,
𝑝 + 𝑝 𝑞 + … … … .. 𝑝 𝑞
General index = × 100
𝑝 𝑞 + 𝑝 𝑞 + … … … .. 𝑝 𝑞
∑𝑝 𝑞
× 100
∑𝑝 𝑞
∑𝑝 𝑞
or simply = × 100 … (6.5)
∑𝑝 𝑞
The weights used should be actual quantities bought or sold, and these are kept
unchanged until such time as the index requires to be revised.
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There are many formulae for weighted aggregative index, but depending on the Index Numbers
type of weights used, we discuss four indices which are commonly used.
a) Laspeyres’ index
If we use base period quantities (q0) as the weights in the general weighed
aggregative index formula (6.5), we get what is known as Laspeyre’s formula
(L).
∑
𝐿 = ∑
× 100 … (6.6)
It can be seen that this index has fixed base year quantity as weights (𝑞 ) and is
equivalent to arithmetic mean of price relatives given at formula (6.2). Thus, we
can also write (6.6) as
∑ ×
𝐿 = ∑
× 100
b) Paasche’s index
If we use current year quantities (𝑞 ) as weights in the general aggregative index
formula(6.5), we get what get what is known as Paasche’s formula(P).
∑
𝑃 = ∑
× 100 … (6.7)
Where 𝑞 (actually 𝑞𝑛1 , 𝑞𝑛2 , … . . 𝑞𝑛𝑘 )are the quantities bought or sold in the
current period.
c) Fisher’s Ideal Index
An index number obtained as geometric mean (i.e., square root of the product) of
indices obtained by Laspeyres’ and Paasche’s formulae, satisfies certain
important properties (to be discussed later), is known as the Fisher’s ideal
formula.
∑ 𝑝𝑛 𝑞0 ∑ 𝑝𝑛 𝑞𝑛
𝐹 = √𝐿 × 𝑃 = ∑ 𝑝0 𝑞0
×∑ × 100 … (6.8)
𝑝0 𝑞𝑛
d) Edgeworth-Marshall Index
If the mean of the base period and the current period quantities is used as weight,
i.e.,
𝑤 = (𝑞0 + 𝑞𝑛 ), we get a compromise formula of ‘Edgeworth-Marshall index’.
∑ 𝑝 (𝑞 + 𝑞 )/2
𝐼 = × 100
∑ 𝑝 (𝑞 + 𝑞 )/2
∑ ( )
= ∑
× 100 … (6.9)
( )
We take some hypothetical data and calculate the above indices from it (see
Table 6.1).
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Summarisation of Table 6.1: Illustrative Calculation of Laspeyres’
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data Edgeworth-Marshall]s and Fisher’s Indices
(𝑝 𝑞 ) (𝑝 𝑞 ) (𝑝 𝑞 ) (𝑝 𝑞 )
Price Quantity Price Quantity
(𝑝 ) (𝑞 ) (𝑝 ) (𝑞 )
104.72 = 105
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
2) Paasche’s price index = × 100 = × 100 =
𝑃0 𝑞𝑛
110.97 = 111
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 +∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
3) Edgewroth-Marshall’s price index = ∑ ×
𝑃0 𝑞0 +∑ 𝑃0 𝑞𝑛
100 = × 100 =
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
4) Fisher’s ideal index = ∑ 𝑃0 𝑞0 ∑ 𝑃0 𝑞𝑛
× 100 =
[(𝐿) × (𝑃)] =
(104.72 × 110.97) = 107.8 =
108
Note that for the same price change, different formulae provide different values.
Moreover, when prices are increasing, Laspeyres’ index gives the lowest value
while Paasche’s index gives the highest value. Therefore, it is often said that
Laspeyres’ index is an under-estimate while Paasche’s index is an over-estimate
of true price change.
6.3.3 Quantity or Volume Index Numbers
We can get a quantity or volume index number, which measures and permits
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comparison of quantities of goods, from corresponding price index number Index Numbers
formulae simply by replacing p. by q and q and q by p.
1) Quantity relative = × 100
∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃0 ∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃𝑛
7) Fisher’s ideal index = ∑ 𝑞0 𝑃0 ∑ 𝑞0 𝑃𝑛
× 100
∑ 𝑞𝑛 (𝑃0 +𝑃𝑛 )
8) Edgeworth-Marshall’s index = ∑ 𝑞0 (𝑃0 +𝑃𝑛 )
× 100
3) The following are the prices of six different commodities for 2020 and 2021.
Compute the price index by (a) aggregative method, and (b) average of
price relatives method by using arithmetic mean.
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Summarisation of
Commodities Price in 2020 (Rs.) Price in 2021 (Rs.)
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data
A 40 50
B 50 60
C 20 30
D 50 70
E 80 80
F 100 110
………………………………………………………………………………....…
…………………………………………………………………………....………
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
4) Calculate Fisher’s Ideal Index Number from the following group of items.
Base Year Current Year
Item No. Price Quantity Price Quantity
(in Rs.) (in Kg.) (in Rs.) (in Kg.)
1 4 1.0 3 4
2 8 1.5 7 5
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
5) Calculate Laspeyres’ and Paasche’s Index Number from the following data.
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………………
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Index Numbers
6.4 MERITS OF THE VARIOUS AGGREGATIVE
MEASURES
The different index numbers serve different purposes and, therefore, the
appropriateness of a particular index number depends on the purpose at hadn.
The Laspeyres’ index calculation is simpler, since this uses the base period
quantities as weighs which are not difficult to get and the denominator needs
calculating only once. But in this index a rise in pries tends to overstated, since
it does not take into account corresponding falls in demand or changes in output.
Indices such as Paasche’s on the other hand, use current period quantities as
weights which are difficult o get and the weights need to be constructed afresh
for every year. Moreover, Paasche’s index tends to understate the rise in prices
because it uses current weights. The Laspeyres’ index is probably more
commonly used, since it is convenient to employ fixed weights. But with the
passage of time the weights are rendered out of date. For example, in 1995 the
number of mobile phones in Odisha was nil. In 2020 there are more mobile
phones than the number of land line connections. The Paasche’s index uses the
preferable current weights, but since-up-to-date information on quantity of goods
produced or consumed or marketed or distributed are not readily obtained, the
Laspeyres’ index has a great advantage.
Symbolically,
I0n × I0n = 1
where I0n = index number for period n with the base period 0.
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Summarisation of There are five methods which do satisfy the time reversal test. These are:
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data 1) Simple geometric mean of price relative
2) Aggregative indices with fixed weights
3) Edgeworth-Marshall formula
4) Weighted geometric mean of price relatives if fixed weights are used
5) Fisher’s ideal index
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
Fisher’s ideal index F = ∑ 𝑃0 𝑞0
× ∑ 𝑃0 𝑞𝑛
Now, for example, Laspeyres’ index for prices and quantities are given
respectively by
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 ∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃0
Ip = ∑ and Iq = ∑
𝑃0 𝑞𝑛 𝑞0 𝑃0
∑(𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 ) ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0
Ip.Iq = ∑(𝑃0 𝑞0 )2
= Iv
On the other hand, Fisher’s ideal index satisfies this test, as shown below.
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
Ip = ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0
×∑
𝑃0 𝑞𝑛
∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃0 ∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃𝑛
Iq = ∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃0
×∑
𝑞0 𝑃𝑛
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛 ∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃0 ∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃𝑛
Ip.Iq = ∑ 𝑃0 𝑞0
×∑ ×∑ ×∑
𝑃0 𝑞𝑛 𝑞0 𝑃0 𝑞0 𝑃𝑛
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛 ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛 ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
= ∑ 𝑃0 𝑞0
×∑ =∑ = Iv
𝑞0 𝑃0 𝑃0 𝑞0
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To understand this principle further, we take the following example. Index Numbers
If the price and quantity per unit of an item changed in 2020, as compared to
2010, from Rs. 16 to Rs. 32 and from 100 units to 200 units respectively, then the
price and quantity in 2020 would both be 200% or 2.00 times the price and
quantity in 2010. The values (product of price and quantity) would be Rs. 1600 in
2010 and Rs. 6400 in 2020, so that the value ratio is 6400/1600 = 4.00 Thus, we
verify that 2.00 × 2.00 = 4.00, that is, the product of price ratio and quantity ratio
is equal to the value ratio.
Example 6.3 we show with the following data that the Fisher’s ideal index
satisfies the factor reversal test:
Let us calculate the following from the data given in the above table.
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
Price Ratio: Ip = ∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0
×∑ = ×
𝑃0 𝑞𝑛
∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃0 ∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃𝑛
Quantity Ratio: Ip = ∑ 𝑞𝑛 𝑃0
×∑ = ×
𝑞0 𝑃𝑛
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
Value Ratio: Iv = ∑ =
𝑃0 𝑞0
Ip.Iq = × × × = × =
141
Summarisation of 6.5.3 Chain Index Number and Circular Test
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data Two types of base periods are used for the construction of index numbers,
namely, (a) fixed base, (b) chain base. Most commonly used indices use fixed
base method. This method cannot take into account any changes in price or
quantity in any other year. It fails to include new commodities gaining
importance at a later date or exclude commodities losing significance in course of
time. These problems can be overcome by chain index numbers.
Using a suitable index number formula (say, Laspeyres’ index), link indices,
defined as follows, are first calculated: Link index = Index number with previous
period as base. The chain index is obtained by multiplying link indices
progressively. Thus, the chain index number Ion for period n with base period 0 is
given by
I01 = I01
……………………………..
…………………………….
Example 6.4 The calculation of chain index numbers is illustrated with reference
to the following data:
Year Link index Chain index (Base 2010 =100)
Thus, the chain index numbers for the years 2011 to 2013 with 2010 as the base
are 80, 96 and 72 respectively.
Circular Test: The circular test is an extension of time reversal test over a
number of years. It states that the chain index for the year 2013, calculated above,
starting from the base year 2010 will be same as the index number directly
calculated with fixed base period of 2010. In symbols,
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I01= I12 × ……..× I(n-1)n ×= In-0) = 1. (Notice that I0n = Index Numbers
With base period 0, we can trace the above formula from 1 to 3 years:
∑ 𝑃1 𝑞 ∑ 𝑃2 𝑞 ∑ 𝑃3 𝑞 ∑ 𝑃0 𝑞
× × × =1
∑ 𝑃0 𝑞 ∑ 𝑃1 𝑞 ∑ 𝑃2 𝑞 ∑ 𝑃3 𝑞
Fisher’s ideal index does not satisfy this test. It has been proved that no index
satisfies both the factor reversal and the circular test.
A 20 16 28 35 21
B 25 30 24 36 45
C 20 25 30 24 30
…………………………………………………………………………...…
…………………………………………………………………………...…
…………………………………………………………………………...…
…………………………………………………………………………...…
……………………………………………………………………………..
…………………………………………………………..…....................…
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Summarisation of 2) Construct Fisher’s ideal Index number from the following data and
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data show that it satisfies Factor and Time Reversal Tests.
Base Year Current Year
Commodities Price Expenditure Price Expenditure
Per unit (Rs.) per unit (Rs.)
A 2 40 5 75
B 4 16 8 40
C 1 10 2 24
D 5 25 10 60
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
1) Food
3) Clothing
4) House rent
5) Miscellaneous
The common method for obtaining the consumption basket is to conduct a family
living survey among the population group for which the index is to be
constructed. Prices of selected items are also collected from various retail
markets used by consumers in question. It may be noted that each of the above
broad groups contains several sub groups. Thus, ‘food’ includes cereals, pulses,
oils, meat, fish, egg, spices, vegetables, fruits, non-alcoholic beverages, etc.
‘Miscellaneous’ includes such items as medical care, education, transport,
recreation, gifts and many others. When more than one price quotation is
collected for a single commodity, a simple average is taken. Index number is
constructed for each of the five groups using weighted average of the price
group; the weighs used are proportional to the expenditure on the consumed item
buy an average family. Next, the overall index (CLI) is computed as an weighted
144
average of group indices, the weights being again the proportional expenditure on Index Numbers
The CLI or consumer price index (CPI) numbers have significant practical
implications and extensive public use. Its use as a wage regulator is the most
important. The dearness allowance (DA) of employees is primarily determined
by this index. When wages or incomes are divided by corresponding CLI, the
effect of changes in prices (inflation) is eliminated. This is known as the process
of deflation, which is used to find ‘real wages’ or ‘real income’ As mentioned
earlier the reciprocal of CLI gives us the purchasing power of money.
Example 6.5: Construction of an index for food
Item Prices Weights
Pn P0 P = (Pn × P0) w P×w
Rice 50 40 125.0 30 3750.0
Wheat 45 30 150.0 20 3000.0
Pulses 60 40 150.0 10 1500.0
Sugar 40 20 200.0 5 1000.0
Oil 75 60 125.0 15 1875.0
Potato 60 50 120.0 15 1800.0
Fish 200 150 133.3 5 666.5
Total 100 13591.5
∑ ×( ) ∑
Index (food) = ∑
× 100 = ∑
× 100
.
= = 135.915 = 135.92
145
Summarisation of Check your progress 3
Bivariate and Multi-
variate Data 1) Calculate a number which will indicate the percentage change in volume
of traffic from October 2019 to October 2020, when account is taken of
the relative values of the different types of traffic.
Type of traffic Tons(‘000) Receipts(Rs.’000)
Oct. 2019 Oct. 2020 Oct. 2019
Merchandise 1246 1206 776
Fuel 4794 4229 562
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
………………………………………………….................………..……
2) Compute Paasche’s price index number for 2020 with 2015 as the base
from the following data:
Commodity Unit Price(Rs.) per unit Quantities sold
2015 2020 2015 2020
A kg. 4 5 95 120
B kg. 60 70 118 13
C kg. 35 40 50 70
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………...
3) From the following data, compute the Laspeyres’ price index number for
2021 with 2019 as base:
Item Price(Rs.) Total Value(Rs.)
2019 2021 2019
A 12.50 14.00 112.50
B 10.50 12.00 126.00
C 15.00 14.00 105.00
D 9.40 11.20 47.00
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…………………………………………………………………………… Index Numbers
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
147
Summarisation of ∑ / .
Bivariate and Multi- =∑ × 100 = × 100 = 213.84
/ .
variate Data
b) Method of Price Relative
Index number for 2020 (base 2010 =100)
∑ ×
=
= 952 5 = 190.4
Example 6.8: Calculate price index numbers from the following information,
using (a) weighted aggregative formula, and (b) weighted arithmetic mean of
price relatives:
Item Unit Price per unit(Rs.)
Base year Current year Weight
A quintal 85 115 19
B kg. 15 15 25
C dozen 45 61 40
D litre 55 100 20
E Lb 17 23 21
Example 6.9: Given below are the data on prices of some consumer goods and
the weights attached to the various commodities. Calculate price index numbers
148
for the year 2021 (base 2020 = 100), using (a) simple average, and (b) weighted Index Numbers
average of price relatives.
Price (Rs.)
Commodity Unit 2020 2021 Weights
Wheat Kg. 0.05 0.75 2
Milk Litre 0.60 0.75 5
Egg Dozen 2.00 2.40 4
Sugar Kg. 1.80 2.10 8
Shoes Pair 8.00 10.00 1
Calculations for price relative index.
∑ ×
a) Simple average of price relative index = = = 127.4
∑
b) Weighted average of price relative index = ∑
= = 123.3
Example 6.10: On the basis of the following data, calculate the wholesale price
index number for the five groups combined (Base: 2015-16 = 100).
Group Weight Index no. for
the week ending 31.01.2021
Food 50 241
149
Summarisation of
Bivariate and Multi- Group weight (w) Group Index(I) I×w
variate Data
Example 6.11: Annual production (in million tons) of four commodities are
given below:
Commodity Production Weight
2015 2019 2020
Calculate quantity index numbers for the years 2019 and 2020 with 2015 as base
year, using (a) simple arithmetic mean, and (b) weighted arithmetic mean of the
relatives.
Quantity relatives for 2019 with base year 2015 (=100)
𝑞 𝑞
𝐼= 𝑞 × 100 = 𝑞 × 100
Commodity A: × 100 = 125
Example 6.12: From the following price(p) and quantity (q) data, compute
Fisher’s ideal index number.
Commodity 2015 (Base Year) 2020 (Current Year)
Price Quantity Price Quantity
A 12 10 17 10
B 14 9 16 11
C 11 12 13 10
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
Paasche’s price index = ∑ × 100 = × 100 = 123.96 = 124
𝑃0 𝑞𝑛
∑ × ×
Quantity index = ∑
= = 92
152
Commodity P0 Pn q0 qn P0 qn Pn qn Index Numbers
3) We are given the base price(P0), current price (Pn) and value in the base year
(P0q0). To find base year quantity (q0), we can use the relation
𝑃𝑞
𝑞 =
𝑃
Using P0, Pn and q0, we can find Laspeyres’ index as
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0
𝐿= × 100
∑ 𝑃0 𝑞0
Calculation for Laspeyres’ price index
Item P0 Pn P0 q0 Pn Pn q0
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 +𝑞𝑛
4) Marshall-Edgeworth index = ∑ × 100
𝑃0 𝑞0 +𝑞𝑛
∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞0 +∑ 𝑃𝑛 𝑞𝑛
=∑ × 100
𝑃0 𝑞0 +∑ 𝑃0 𝑞𝑛
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