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Probability notes in economics
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Ds
Samp PAC! ft
AL Poser he On
de omar
Ei N coth Adee, dope 9 pace
REST
S= tht
oy A Tiemban, of (ond 1 Semple Spare
ae L3,45,6,7,8 9 of
— A ace Card Sag ee
| chee ee Kh sa
ane CeeNveruee _ :
ae
1A J,OK 93 4,£,6,1,2,4, lop
| Fetal See Cobeg
_ i. _Wequrdard exes.b\ a
nate OG wrote and nO _OF( tank tfOM
| Gord, — $2352
|
aw
: 1 Ney = Bes
y! \3! _
x (n-¥) w2! (13-2)!
= 13h
| exit!
j = psarf att
t am It
: =
I |
hy Prob = Fovowable outcomes —_
abel tebcerneg
ps 1B
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ge et oS .
=} AH 72
t el
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co Whin hon Cains NL AvrA-J bbreud donee 7
imei * | yaboad one bho gchancer Ay phy ot duasd
par al 2
Se a te
ae Tet pt
rte) = a
Nodal 2 fee — :
ee ee tr} ae a
g(a) = + z ce
Plat dent orm eid) = 1- plum)
fite 1 nen sQunance = l= a 8
4
[ Pia) = = pla) pi PM. J eccrance
25. pe Gnd 24 dueutn at re ae
~—Poth_af Stadt abah a te pre,
~ ——ese__ennd 48 dnowsn 44 tenor — as uN
ee ee
: _@ frond > Homo Cand = aa Li)
= xy
ae“flim nts) = 1h = 4
52 5
|
if ond £
| : speaks. tod jn bo 4 bed
Woh in Tals lone « id ty
r prob, thal wwf boo Is arrip
: * while dos retbing sania auted
\=} oor, Saige CECE EEE —
HE aie ope oe
hee
P(A) = 40, +) 2
We) =e 3
- a perils. = = aise Ee
| tre PU) x ple)
| Fe = Pla)» Pe)
LPG) = 1-pla) = \-% _ 2
| os
cB) ice (red = it |
0
t Tr+FFz Bott Bay 3
BES EEE
ect Secret eae
: i So ss sgae
ee
SOi)
£9. p Speaks touth in Gol Cotes and ZB
pesdt tnth tn Jol cates, Find dt, oe
| Hut Hy dontradict Cach other
(We
_ p(B)= ease :
el) = : -
ie(®) = 3
Jo _
eo (a)x Pa) + PLB) x A
beg tp
toy, 2
50 Go SOky.
So Sy hen
La yc conan Nuke, 990d ay
16 blu, Joh Rowo balls aro
oun ab yurdem Ke pnb,
I Yel all tt trun ore rod ir”
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tee a a,
Sey Satya)
a Me —_ pals-s)
a iin 91s eee
SA de
De
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I)
UN
Fr
|
ile prot. Foot wome__cof ere boat —
AX OWN —
= ae at2 = 12 ‘Daelech
_fe = pe SKA oe Poem = UES
f= f >) 1 sckdPe
co “bag centered _ % ed, 7 black |
hea wed_ 2 bhacks_, _b black aay eee
—_ L theose | a at werden. tt oy
| prod wana Od oe Wien
t ook orden. peter ya Bcd tog. 2
i i. -_ ee f= ee
ser Danas — | slack bap. l Leleck att
| Jovouoraldle Sh bop y Actect | fad Latd
,
gee EENG
| 40 |
\ IX 48,
& (Oo Soe
=
oo
/s > /10
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= N38 ye yfie [fatunhle eas).“pea et) et jets)
a —
: Qa ma 6 fp 0 deck
——+ oe cand
=| a.
fea a oe 7 Ci oak
i
\
t a
=~ fs
[roe t pee feb tows) (
eos es
|
fol TT: a7
| WSS
leCR) = ie
| 52.
| umberod (nlf = eae
[e(e) = i ‘caer Spee haonh Kart)
i
a Tos C) = Pls)t Pl) = Pbard 6)
fat ok eel
5D bes
- i The Goris ey
=
a ae
“3 TF ae
5eesH , Sete eer eee et
r AA A Pace we )
[| Fach 2 a |
oy Revlon Nasi able. ;
i) “To ssi lvoe Cotnk alias Courdy_
. ma Se slang 4 - “
an 4 HT, oe to.
= 40, 44 op
y= fo a
= peer
RE 6,0,0,0 1,0
ee Ost.
(fin win anteing S sed ond 2 black
: 8
Xda tit wo blah healt dross. hat
—i4 tne Putri bbe Sule of Xe
S= 4ee Re BR, BBY
—O, |, 1, 2
0,2d - | bt x bepretents — be a
pees ~ ¢ end ne tossed 6 6 a *
“dblained ; vilon a ee 'y? SL
jot OD Vo —_— vbltes of —_
= { norap Mus - reef th}
= , 45D), 7) (om. 4D, (o,20)
+i en Blea ad
pk aS be, Bs -3 MH, Sy
—- 6, -4 ,=2 0 a a
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1
ye b> ae
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FL 7 can A forged ee - Find he
pe ably dightnutiow aa Re nor as
|
| :
is= Lunn it Thorp
Ga ot Counts’ no. oe eres
| EE aan_\ | Nanionce_
2
e(x-[elx) J
& 4 Pi [axa]
le TT :
* F [P- = il
| eee
2 2s —_
eee
ne Sa tained :
os| ; |
UO — u o
i i oS ope Cal
= =a ;
TT ou
ee 332 1
2 aoa
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Ska. Dn, = [Neve Ge a
(= St. dew.
SD. gf [L Stites -
AY 7
=
Q- 1 A dite JS ried, Ke random senile
IL
|
|
I
a ee
bo 8 :
=o | phi) = 1.
x lo TT
ey ee Ye—_— ‘
Q— | Find ba po, Thbibe tibea A on —
Il wept a scar ne
| —Q- find Yaa. sasindion yn my
| hands in 3 d094eh o ae
is = [HHH
| aoe eeu
ee
Sa aes
Vig eee
a
14
te
a No.4 haals
X= 0,1,2.,3
i
pQ= a
— eeOt K+2KF2K4 IK 4K. VET Ee
| toky 4K = .
lOk*4+4k -| =o
| joke 4 jolk 1K -L=o
— lols) - \(ktl) =o
(41) Go K-11) =O
| Kk = —! and +
‘she of k=Dé
| 76 = ™« fe
Biromiag- pAlb on :
ind te prob. dishibudion Selle to toad
- Be NO 4 heads , 6 Ture Hmet Loin ig Fobte |.
“Pwr YX Counk Ke wored heads
fo fiat Te, Tf
P|
xX = Qi lio -
| ; ————
7 “ 2 \ ' [Pat ge?
Pohl be Th diss
- N= 2
> 3-0 eri
P(o) = 2 = Coin esc geaiee
ee
“PQ) 2 4 Gy pa
Ho AL x L + =SITLO
Q- ck ice 2a Prox, btm ze
“oud odd _nuruber A Succeas. Rind tng”
prob of 5 hucc esses, ‘ams
ples).
Sol__| P = pile ach
ge aaeenees Haat |
Ha: = Nes Po : are
St . oe
= ceed)
1 >
el Ly
| Ss! : 22
x pal = LX oe i
xi 32
eee = 3 -
|| 32
c= PCat kr
pee %e ie
I =
{ a /
Hh : Gy on
I
—}-— 32 a
ee —
ot~~ (abrosh 5 succes) = (0) 4 AU) es) aly
' EL)
| ye Probe bi li (pl. = 0.001 n= 2000
———|uthan dro value of eZ > 2 fired tsa
— Pr, +
|| h >2 = 2M Ge 6 7 2600
tla) + plu) + es) + Plo) + ___ Pl2ees)
Fs ie Lpty + pl ) +t pa)l — aBe
— a
pile ale® 2 2e*
iL rr
= ee lo
f= 1- (Re o) + 2U).4 Py)
P= -Lettoe 4 2e%]
f= 1- Se"?
7 | P= 00,3233
Q- || p= 1 ca O.o!
08, | H= \90
|
_ £G)\+ Pee sre
Pe) i -[lo) + PL) + Pa) S|
Pl ga
SS eu f
fe
pO) = et
2 2tu — :
) PS i= Plel + PU) 4 el
I a ee a cep
Ss paeteeT
-f etty :
fo ee — 9.08027
7 7 ~
}—|
“ate | Nosimal o sae ~
| Pe (a 7 My
mean =
SD =
Se
—
| =
| “Mean = (es
pis 4
__ P(x > 20) ee
: -
t Za 20-12 — 2 [
| 4a DAE OBION/ ZY
Vi
7]eI Ae ln of Madea seagdon
On S = 094 1
ASR
| fea shone net le
ker Me wohies
taseseet 4/- Yaneeal.©” © -Aestasee7
tebe om the
Nalue of Z- = | og peatthe .Pansat =O becoude oo
hos ach boom _Abinod , fn this queaon
ete bak seek cong pack AL pt
—!_ Aiko ru di gh Kido, ho dra _Porhah iy
becwmo 0) in Wh, Cobo .
|!
|Oke
; tlej= of CT Cini
bs NOT] OAVE
A Set Bee eae
CS
8 Yppod
plnle) p(als) Pl Ly) —
PB)
Mahe ~ PCA and 8)
Condi ui
[a ae [contiond Roba
cee Sena AN Prmn (necoen ord ble, bells |
At pase
ee LaG Gs bu. gat
|
need tn) < Pp (wend IG) Vela)
A2Q= Gh
[= Gh, 68 8G
2h od IGQ= Oly
Plo ty and |tn) = +
(OG) = g 3|
i|
i|
it
\
|
‘Poe \ier)
1e (1): \
if] Y
|
|
|
Pf fta@) =
PUG (2 Gy
WW
He)
(GL 2.4) x ((24) |
I (1G) |
|
i €
— dy) \
i - ia ‘A A
OS ~ 3 %
| 4 M “Za
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