THE GREEN REVOLUTION
§ (The Third
Agricultural
Revolution)
§ And Biotechnology
THOMAS MALTHUS
§ 19th century economist
§ Believed that because population grows
geometrically and food production
arithmetically famine was inevitable.
§ Slowing the growth of population was the only
possibility to prevent starvation
History (so far) has proven Malthus wrong . . .
POPULATION and FOOD PRODUCTION GROWTH
Percentage increases 1980-1990
LDCs MDCs
POPULATION
FOOD PRODUCTION
PER CAPITA INCREASE IN
FOOD PRODUCTION
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
INCREASE IN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION PER CAPITA
GREEN REVOLUTION
A complex of improvements which greatly
increased agricultural production
§ Since 1950’s § Adoption of new,
§ Greatest effect felt in improved varieties of
LDCs grains
§ Agricultural output § Application of better
outpaced population agricultural
growth even without techniques
adding additional § Irrigation
cropland § Mechanization
§ Use of fertilizer
§ Use of pesticides
Principal Beneficiaries of the Green Revolution
§ WHEAT § RICE § BOTH
Mexico Thailand India
Egypt Vietnam China
Turkey Korea Pakistan
Indonesia
“Green Revolution”
“Green Revolution”
drawbacks
§ Favored farmers who could afford seeds,
inputs, machines, irrigation
§ Indebted farmers lost land, moved to cities
§ New “monocrops” lacked resistance to
disease/pests
§ Environmental contamination, erosion
§ Oriented to export “cash crops,” not domestic
food
Biotechnology:
Using organisms to…
§ Make or modify products
§ Improve plants or animals
§ Develop new microorganisms
§ Crossing natural divides between species
§ Not just crossbreeding
Genetic Engineering
Genetically Modified
Organisms (GMO)
Consumer concerns
began in Europe,
now in U.S. too
“FRANKENFOODS”
GENETICALLY MODIFIED CROPS - WORLDWIDE
120
100
80
millions of acres
60
40
20
0
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
G ENETICALLY MODIFIED CRO PS - 2000
Others, 9%
Argentina, 23%
USA, 68%
Bovine Growth
Hormone (BGH)