Chapter 3
Statistical Process Control
OOppeerraatioonnssManagement
Operations
MMaannaaggeemmeennt
Roberta Russell & Bernard W. Taylor, III
Lecture Outline
Basics of Statistical Process
Control
Control Charts
Control Charts for Attributes
Control Charts for Variables
Control Chart Patterns
SPC with Excel and OM Tools
Process Capability
3-121
Basics of Statistical
Process Control
Statistical Process Control
(SPC)
monitoring production process
to detect and prevent poor UCL
quality
Sample
subset of items
produced to use for LCL
inspection
Control Charts
process is within statistical
control limits
3-122
Basics of Statistical
Process Control (cont.)
Random
Non-Random
inherent in a process special causes
depends on equipment identifiable and
and machinery, correctable
engineering, operator, include equipment out of
and system of adjustment, defective
measurement materials, changes in
natural occurrences parts or materials, broken
machinery or equipment,
operator fatigue or poor
work methods, or errors
due to lack of training
3-123
SPC in Quality Management
SPC tool for identifying problems in
order to make improvements
contributes to the TQM goal of
continuous improvements
3-124
Quality Measures:
Attributes and Variables
Attribute
a product characteristic that can be
evaluated with a discrete
response
good – bad; yes - no
Variable
measure
a product characteristic that is continuous
and can be measured
weight - length
3-125
SPC Applied to
Services
Nature of defect is different in
services
Service defect is a failure to meet
customer requirements
Monitor time and customer
satisfaction
3-126
SPC Applied to
Services
(cont.)
Hospitals
timeliness and quickness of care, staff responses to
requests, accuracy of lab tests, cleanliness, courtesy,
accuracy of paperwork, speed of admittance and checkouts
Grocery stores
waiting time to check out, frequency of out-of-stock items,
quality of food items, cleanliness, customer complaints,
checkout register errors
Airlines
flight delays, lost luggage and luggage handling, waiting time
at ticket counters and check-in, agent and flight attendant
courtesy, accurate flight information, passenger cabin
cleanliness and maintenance
3-127
SPC Applied to
Services
(cont.)
Fast-food restaurants
waiting time for service, customer complaints,
cleanliness, food quality, order accuracy, employee
courtesy
Catalogue-order companies
order accuracy, operator knowledge and courtesy,
packaging, delivery time, phone order waiting
time
Insurance companies
billing accuracy, timeliness of claims processing,
agent availability and response time
3-128
Where to Use Control Charts
Process has a tendency to go out of control
Process is particularly harmful and
costly if it goes out of control
Examples
at the beginning of a process because it is a waste of
time and money to begin production process with
bad supplies
before a costly or irreversible point, after
which product is difficult to rework or correct
before and after assembly or painting operations that
might cover defects
before the outgoing final product or service
is delivered
3-129
Control Charts
A graph that establishes Types of
control limits
of a process charts
Attributes
Control limits p-chart
upper and lower bands c-chart
of a control chart
Variables
mean (x bar – chart)
range (R-chart)
3-130
Process Control Chart
Out of control
Upper
control
limit
Proces
s
average
Lower
control
limit
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sample number
3-131
Normal Distribution
95%
99.74%
-3 -2 -1 =0 1 2 3
3-132
A Process Is in
Control If …
1. … no sample points outside limits
2. … most points near process average
3. … about equal number of points
above and below centerline
4. … points appear randomly distributed
3-133
Control Charts
for Attributes
p-chart
uses portion defective in a sample
c-chart
uses number of defective items in
a sample
3-134
p-Chart
UCL = p + zp
LCL = p - zp
z = number of standard deviations from
process average
p = sample proportion defective; an estimate
of process average
p = standard deviation of sample proportion
p(1 - p)
p =
n
3-135
Construction of p-Chart
NUMBER OF PROPORTION
SAMPLE DEFECTIVE
1 DEFECTIVES .06
2 6 .00
3 0 .04
: 4 :
: : :
: .18
20
18
200
20 samples of 100 pairs of jeans
3-136
Construction of p-Chart
(cont.)
total defectives
p= = 200 / 20(100) = 0.10
total sample observations
p(1 - p) 0.10(1 - 0.10)
UCL = p + z = 0.10 + 3
n 100
UCL = 0.190
p(1 - p) 0.10(1 - 0.10)
LCL = p - z = 0.10 - 3
n 100
LCL = 0.010
3-137
0.20
0.18 UCL = 0.190
0.16
0.14
Proportion defective
of p-
Construction 0.12
p = 0.10
0.10
Chart 0.08
(cont.) 0.06
0.04
0.02 LCL = 0.010
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
20
Sample number
3-138
c-Chart
UCL = c + zc
c = c
LCL = c - zc
where
c = number of defects per sample
3-139
c-Chart (cont.)
Number of defects in 15 sample
rooms
NUMBER
OF
SAMPLE
DEFECTS 190
c= = 12.67
1 12 15
2 8
3 16 UCL = c + zc
= 12.67 + 3 12.67
: : = 23.35
: :
LCL = c - zc
15 15
= 12.67 - 3 12.67
190
= 1.99
3-140
24
UCL = 23.35
21
18
Number of defects
c = 12.67
c-Chart
15
12
(cont.) 6
3 LCL = 1.99
2 4 6 8 12 14 16
10
Sample number
3-141
Control Charts
for Variables
Range chart ( R-Chart )
uses amount of dispersion in a
sample
Mean chart ( x -Chart )
uses process average of a
sample
3-142
x-bar Chart:
Standard Deviation Known
UCL = x= + zx LCL = =x -
zx
1 + 2 + ... n
x= n
=
wher
e =
x = average of sample
means
3-143
x-bar Chart Example:
Standard Deviation Known (cont.)
3-144
x-bar Chart Example:
Standard Deviation Known (cont.)
3-145
x-bar Chart Example:
Standard Deviation Unknown
UCL = x=+ LCL = x= -
A 2R A 2R
where
x = average of sample
means
3-146
Control
Limits
3-147
x-bar Chart Example:
Standard Deviation Unknown
OBSERVATIONS (SLIP- RING DIAMETER, CM)
SAMPLE k 1 2 3 4 5 x R
1 5.02 5.01 4.94 4.99 4.96 4.98 0.08
2 5.01 5.03 5.07 4.95 4.96 5.00 0.12
3 4.99 5.00 4.93 4.92 4.99 4.97 0.08
4 5.03 4.91 5.01 4.98 4.89 4.96 0.14
5 4.95 4.92 5.03 5.05 5.01 4.99 0.13
6 4.97 5.06 5.06 4.96 5.03 5.01 0.10
7 5.05 5.01 5.10 4.96 4.99 5.02 0.14
8 5.09 5.10 5.00 4.99 5.08 5.05 0.11
9 5.14 5.10 4.99 5.08 5.09 5.08 0.15
10 5.01 4.98 5.08 5.07 4.99 5.03 0.10
Example 15.4 50.09 1.15
3-148
x-bar Chart Example:
Standard Deviation Unknown (cont.)
∑R 1.15
R= k = 10 = 0.115
x 50.09
= = 5.01
x= cm
= k 10
UCL = x +=A2R = 5.01 + (0.58)(0.115) =
5.08
LCL = x =- A2RRetrieve
= 5.01 -Factor
(0.58)(0.115)
Value A=2 4.94
3-149
5.10 –
5.08 –
UCL = 5.08
5.06 –
5.04 –
Mean 5.02 – x== 5.01
5.00 –
x- bar 4.98 –
Chart
Example 4.96 – LCL = 4.94
(cont.) 4.94 –
4.92 – | | | | |
| | | | | 1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sample number
3-150
R- Chart
UCL = D4R LCL = D3R
R
R=
k
where
R = range of each sample
k = number of samples
3-151
R-Chart Example
OBSERVATIONS (SLIP-RING DIAMETER, CM)
SAMPLE k 1 2 3 4 5 x
R
1 5.02 5.01 4.94 4.99 4.96 4.98 0.08
2 5.01 5.03 5.07 4.95 4.96 5.00 0.12
3 4.99 5.00 4.93 4.92 4.99 4.97 0.08
4 5.03 4.91 5.01 4.98 4.89 4.96 0.14
5 4.95 4.92 5.03 5.05 5.01 4.99 0.13
6 4.97 5.06 5.06 4.96 5.03 5.01 0.10
7 5.05 5.01 5.10 4.96 4.99 5.02 0.14
8 5.09 5.10 5.00 4.99 5.08 5.05 0.11
9 5.14 5.10 4.99 5.08 5.09 5.08 0.15
10 5.01 4.98 5.08 5.07 4.99 5.03 0.10
Example 15.3 50.09 1.15
3-152
R-Chart Example (cont.)
UCL = D4R = 2.11(0.115) = 0.243
LCL = D3R = 0(0.115) = 0
Retrieve Factor Values D3 and D4
Example 15.3
3-153
R-Chart Example (cont.)
0.28 –
0.24 – UCL = 0.243
0.20 –
Range
0.16 – R = 0.115
0.12 –
0.08 –
LCL = 0
0.04 – | | | | | | | | | |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0– Sample number
3-154
Using x- bar and R-Charts
Together
Process average and process variability must be in
control
It is possible for samples to have very narrow
ranges, but their averages might be beyond control
limits
It is possible for sample averages to be in
control, but ranges might be very large
It is possible for an R-chart to exhibit a distinct
downward trend, suggesting some nonrandom cause is
reducing variation
3-155
Control Chart Patterns
Run
sequence of sample values that display same
characteristic
Pattern test
determines if observations within limits of a control chart display
a nonrandom pattern
To identify a pattern:
8 consecutive points on one side of the center line
8 consecutive points up or down
14 points alternating up or down
2 out of 3 consecutive points in zone A (on one side of center
line)
4 out of 5 consecutive points in zone A or B (on one side
of center line)
3-156
Control Chart Patterns (cont.)
UCL
UCL
LCL
Sample observations
LCL
consistently below the
center line
Sample observations
consistently above the
center line
3-157
Control Chart Patterns (cont.)
UCL
UCL
LCL
Sample observations
consistently increasing LCL
Sample observations
consistently decreasing
3-158
Zones for Pattern Tests
UCL =
3 sigma = x + A2R
Zone A
= 2
2 sigma = x + (A2R)
3
Zone B
= 1
1 sigma = x + (A2R)
3
Zone C
Process =
x
average Zone C
= 1
1 sigma = x - (A2R)
3
Zone B
= 2
2 sigma = - (A R)
x
Zone A
2
=
LCL 3 sigma = x - A2R
| | | | | | | |
1 2 3 4 | | |
Sample number
| | 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13
3-159
Performing a Pattern Test
SAMPLE x ABOVE/BELOW UP/DOWN ZONE
1 4.98 B — B
2 5.00 U
3 4.95 B C
4 4.96 D
5 4.99 B U A
C
6 5.01 — D
7 5.02 B
A U A
C
8 5.05
9 5.08 A U C
10 5.03
A U B
A U A
3-160
D B
Sample Size Determination
Attribute charts require larger sample
sizes 50 to 100 parts in a sample
Variable charts require smaller samples
2 to 10 parts in a sample
3-161
SPC with Excel
3-162
SPC with Excel and OM Tools
3-163
Process Capability
Tolerances
design specifications reflecting product
requirements
Process
capability
range of natural variability in a process—
what we measure with control charts
3-164
Process Capability (cont.)
Design
Specifications
(a)Natural variation
exceeds design
specifications; process
is not capable of
meeting specifications
all the time.
P
r
o
c
e
s
s
Design
Specifications
(b)Design specifications
and natural variation the
same; process is capable
of meeting specifications
most of the time. 3-165
Process Capability (cont.)
Design
Specifications
(c)Design
specifications greater
than natural variation;
process is capable of
always conforming to
specifications.
P
r
o
c
e
s
s
Design
Specifications
(d)Specifications
greater than natural
variation, but process off 3-166
center; capable but
Process Capability Measures
Process Capability Ratio
tolerance range
Cp
= process range
upper specification limit -
lower specification limit
=
6
3-167
Computing Cp
Net weight specification = 9.0 oz 0.5 oz
Process mean = 8.80 oz
Process standard deviation = 0.12 oz
upper specification limit -
lower specification limit
Cp
= 6
= 9.5 - 8.5 = 1.39
6(0.12)
3-168
Process Capability Measures
Process Capability Index
= x - lower specification limit
3
,
Cpk = minimum
=
upper specification limit - x
3
3-169
Computing Cpk
Net weight specification = 9.0 oz 0.5 oz
Process mean = 8.80 oz
Process standard deviation = 0.12 oz
=
x - lower specification limit
,
= minimum 3 =
Cpk upper specification limit - x
3
8.80 - 8.50 9.50 - 8.80
= minimum 3(0.12) , 3(0.12) = 0.83
3-170
Process Capability
with Excel
3-171
Process Capability
with Excel and OM Tools
3-172
Chapter 3 Supplement
Acceptance Sampling
OOppeerraatioonnssManagement
Operations
MMaannaaggeemmeennt
Roberta Russell & Bernard W. Taylor, III
Lecture Outline
Single-Sample Attribute Plan
Operating Characteristic Curve
Developing a Sampling Plan with
Excel
Average Outgoing Quality
Double - and Multiple-Sampling Plans
Supplement 3-174
Acceptance Sampling
Accepting or rejecting a production lot
based
on the number of defects in a sample
philosophy
Not consistent with TQM or Zero Defects
producer and customer agree on the number of
acceptable defects
a means of identifying not preventing poor
quality
percent of defective parts versus PPM
Sampling plan
provides guidelines for accepting a lot
Supplement 3-175
Single–Sample
Attribute Plan
Single sampling plan
N = lot size
n = sample size (random)
c = acceptance number
d = number of defective items in sample
If d ≤ c, accept lot; else reject
Supplement 3-176
Producer’s and
Consumer’s Risk
AQL or acceptable quality level
proportion of defects consumer will accept in
a given lot
or producer’s risk
probability of rejecting a good lot
LTPD or lot tolerance percent
defective
limit on the number of defectives the
customer will accept
β or consumer’s risk
probability of accepting a bad lot
Supplement 3-177
Producer’s and
Consumer’s Risk
(cont.)Accept
Good Lot
Reject
Type I Error
No Error
Producer’ Risk
Bad Lot
Type II Error
No Error
Consumer’s Risk
Sampling Errors
Supplement 3-178
Operating Characteristic
(OC) Curve
shows probability of accepting lots of
different quality levels with a specific
sampling plan
assists management to discriminate
between good and bad lots
exact shape and location of the
curve is
defined by the sample size (n) and
acceptance level (c) for the sampling
plan
Supplement 3-179
OC Curve (cont.)
1.00 –
= 0.05
0.80 –
Probability of acceptance, Pa
0.60 – OC curve for n and c
0.40 –
0.20 –
= 0.10
| | | | |
– | | | | |
0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18
AQL LTPD
0.20
Proportion defective
Supplement 3-180
Developing a Sampling
Plan with OM Tools
ABC Company produces mugs
in lots of 10,000. Performance
measures for quality of mugs
sent to stores call for a
producer’s risk of 0.05 with an
AQL of 1% defective and a
consumer’s risk of 0.10 with a N = 10,000 n=?
LTPD of 5% defective. What α = 0.05 c=
size sample and what ?
acceptance number should
ABC use to achieve β = 0.10
performance measures AQL = 1%
called for in the sampling LTPD = 5%
plan?
Supplement 3-181
Average Outgoing
Quality (AOQ)
Expected number of defective
items that will pass on to
customer with a sampling plan
Average outgoing quality limit
(AOQL)
maximum point on the curve
worst level of outgoing quality
Supplement 3-182
AOQ Curve
Supplement 3-183
Double-Sampling Plans
Take small initial sample
If # defective ≤ lower limit, accept
If # defective > upper limit, reject
If # defective between limits, take
second sample
Accept or reject based on 2 samples
Less costly than single-sampling plans
Supplement 3-184
Multiple-Sampling Plans
Uses smaller sample sizes
Take initial sample
If # defective ≤ lower limit, accept
If # defective > upper limit, reject
If # defective between limits, resample
Continue sampling until accept or reject
lot based on all sample data
Supplement 3-185