Unit-I
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Keynesian
Principle of
Effective Demand
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Concept of Effective Demand
In a capitalist economy, the level of employment depends on effective
demand. Thus unemployment results from a deficiency of effective demand
and the level of employment can be raised by increasing the level of
effective demand.
Keynes used the term ‘effective demand’ to denote the total demand for
goods and services at various levels of employment.
Different levels of employment represent different levels of aggregate
demand. But there can be a level of employment where aggregate demand
equals aggregate supply.
This is the point of effective demand.
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Aggregate Demand
Aggregate demand (AD) refers to the value of final goods and services which
all the sectors of an economy are planning to buy at a given level of income
during a period of one accounting year.
Aggregate demand is the aggregate expenditure that different sectors of the
economy are willing to incur during a given period.
AD is the total expenditure that all households, firms, government and the
rest of the world are planning to incur during a given period of time.
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Components of AD
The equation for aggregate demand adds the amount of consumer spending,
private investment, government spending, and the net of exports and imports.
The formula is shown as follows:
Aggregate Demand = C+I+G+Nx
where:
C = Consumer spending on goods and services
I = Private investment and corporate spending on capital
goods (factories, equipment, etc.)
G = Government spending on public goods and social
services (infrastructure, Medicare, etc.)
Nx = Net exports (exports minus imports)
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AD curve
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AD=C+I so AD is a function of consumption demand and investment demand.
There is positive Consumption even when income level is zero. So consumption curve starts
from R and not origin. This is called autonomous consumption.
Autonomous consumption is met either through past savings or borrowings.
AD curve slopes upwards because as income increases consumption increases though not
proportionately.
Investment curve is a straight line as it is assumed to be independent of the level of income.
This is called autonomous investment.
AD curve is above Consumption and investment curve as AD=C+I.
AD curve has a positive slope.
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Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Supply (AS) refers to the money value of final goods and
services which all the producers of an economy are willing to supply during
a period of one accounting year.
When expressed in physical terms, it refers to total output of goods and
services.
Aggregate Supply and (AS) and National Income (Y) are one and the same.
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Components of AS
Major portion of income is spent on consumption of goods and
services and the balance is saved
So National Income (Y) = Consumption ( C ) + Saving (S)
Y = AS = C + S
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AS curve
AS curve is obtained by adding
consumption and saving schedules.
It is a 45◦ upward sloping curve.
At every point on the curve Y = C + S.
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Consumption Function
Consumption function refers to the functional relationship
between consumption and national income.
C = f (Y)
It is a psychological concept influenced by subjective factors like
consumers’ preferences, habits etc.
Keynesian Psychological Law of Consumption
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The Keynesian concept of consumption function stems from the fundamental
psychological law of consumption which states that there is a common
tendency for people to spend more on consumption when income increases,
but not to the same extent as the rise in income because a part of the income
is also saved.
Some important points are:
i. There is a minimum consumption known as autonomous consumption even
at zero level of national income because survival needs consumption.
ii. As income rises consumption also rises.
iii. Consumption rises at a lesser proportion than income because part of
increased income is also saved.
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Consumption Function
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Average & Marginal Propensity to Consume
APC refers to the ratio of consumption expenditure to the corresponding
level of income.
APC =
Marginal Propensity to consume refers to the ratio of change in
consumption expenditure to change in total income.
MPC =
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Saving Function
Saving function refers to the functional relationship between saving and
national income. S = f (Y)
APS refers to the ratio of saving to the corresponding level of income.
APS =
Marginal Propensity to save refers to the ratio of change in saving to
change in total income.
MPS =
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Formulae
(I) S= Y-C
(ii) APC = C/Y = 1- APS
(iii) APS = S/Y = 1 – APC
(iv) MPC = ∆C/∆Y =1- MPS
(v) MPS= ∆S/∆Y = 1- MPC
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Equation of Consumption Function
The Consumption Function can be put into two parts:
(i) Even when income (Y) is zero, there is some minimum consumption, known
as autonomous consumption (a) which is always positive.
(ii) When income increases, consumption also increases. But, the rate of
increase in consumption is less than rate-of increase in income. The MPC (or b)
shows how consumption expenditure (C) changes with changes in income. This
portion of consumption is termed as Induced Consumption.
(iii) So, Consumption Function can be represented as: C = a + b(Y)
(Where: C = Consumption; a = Autonomous Consumption; b = MPC; Y =
Income)
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INVESTMENT FUNCTION
Investment refers to the expenditure incurred on creation of new capital
assets.
Investment expenditure is classified under two heads:
(i) Autonomous Investment – Investment which is not affected by
changes in the level of income and not induced solely by profit motive.
Usually made by Government on infrastructural activities.
(ii) Induced Investment – Investment which depends on profit
expectations and is directly influenced by income level.
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Determinants of Investment
According to Keynes private investment depends on:
Marginal Efficiency of Capital (MEI) – refers to the expected rate
of return from an additional investment.
Rate of Interest (ROI) – Cost of borrowing money for financing
the investment. There is inverse relationship between ROI and
investment. Higher the ROI lower will be the investment.
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Equilibrium Income
An economy is in equilibrium when aggregate demand for goods and services is
equal to aggregate supply during a period of time.
Equilibrium is achieved when AD = AS ….(1)
We know, AD is the sum total of Consumption (C) and Investment (I):
AD = C + I … (2)
Also, AS is the sum total of consumption (C) and saving (S):
AS = C + S … (3)
Substituting (2) and (3) in (1), we get:
C+S=C+I
Or, S = I
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Equilibrium Income Determination
Emp (Lakhs) Income (Y) Consumption Saving (S) Investment AD C + I AS C + S Remarks
(C) (Y)
0 0 40 -40 40 80 0 AD>AS
10 100 120 -20 40 160 100 AD>AS
20 200 200 0 40 240 200 AD>AS
30 300 280 20 40 320 300 AD>AS
40 400 360 40 40 400 400 AD=AS
50 500 440 60 40 480 500 AD<AS
60 600 520 80 40 560 600 AS<AS
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Point E is the equilibrium point
where AD = AS.
OY is the equilibrium level of output.
Below point E, AD>AS.
Above point E, AD<AS
Point E is the point of Effective
Demand when planned spending is
equal to planned output.
z Concept of Multiplier
The concept of multiplier was first of all developed by F.A. Kahn in the early
1930s. But Keynes later further refined it.
In practice it is observed that when investment is increased by a certain amount
the subsequent change in income is several times more than the change in
investment.
Multiplier is the ratio of the final change in income to the initial change in
investment.
K = ∆Y/∆I, i.e., K (multiplier)
where ∆ (delta) stands for increases or changes, Y for national income, K for
Multiplier and I for investment.
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Value of Multiplier & MPS
Multiplier can also be represented in terms of MPS.
Since MPS = 1-MPC and k=
Multiplier
can also be written as k =
Multiplier is directly related to MPC and inversely related to MPS
– when MPC is more value of k is more and when MPS is more
value of k is less.
Value of Multiplier & MPC
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The concept of multiplier is based on the fact that one person’s expenditure is another
person’s income.
When investment is increased it also increases the income of people. People spend a
part of this increased income on consumption. Which leads to further increase in
income.
The amount of income spent on consumption depends on the value of MPC.
The relationship between the multiplier and marginal propensity to consume is
expressed as: k=
Additional Investment (∆I) of 100 crores
First round increase in income 100 crores
MPC=0.90
Second round increase in income 90 crores (90% of 100crs)
MPC=0.90
Third round increase in income 81 crores(90% of 90 crs)
MPC=0.90
Fourth round increase in income 72.90 crores (90% of 81 crs)
Process Continues
MPC=0.90
Total increase in Income (∆Y) 1000 Crores (100+90+81+72.90+…)
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Contd….
the value of multiplier k=
In this example it is
Final increase in income ∆Y = k ∆I
In this example ∆Y = 10 * 100 crores = 1000 crores